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Cremona vs Torino Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 30 Dec 2018
Tip-off: 18:05
Final 100-87
23-16 28-24 26-23 23-24
Position#3
Record8-4
FormLWWLW
Points / game89.0
Allowed / game84.0
Cremona 🏆
Italy
vs
Torino
Italy
Position#13
Record4-8
FormLLLWL
Points / game78.7
Allowed / game83.2
ItalyLega ARound 13
Domestic2018-19
Meetings · Cremona v Torino
30 Dec 2018
CRE100
TOR87
18 Mar 2018
CRE92
TOR70
17 Feb 2018
CRE87
TOR92
12 Feb 2017
CRE117
TOR82
14 Feb 2016
CRE66
TOR50
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cremona winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Torino winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CremonaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCremona
Date
Competition
Cantu
#8
L
79-96
79
96
-17
104avg 122
H20/10
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#11
W
84-66
84
66
+18
119avg 122
A28/10
Lega A
Sassari
#4
W
80-73
80
73
+7
no box
H04/11
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
W
90-73
90
73
+17
123avg 122
A11/11
Lega A
Varese
#7
L
79-82
79
82
-3
111avg 122
H18/11
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
75-76
75
76
-1
124avg 122
A25/11
Lega A
Trieste
#10
W
87-78
87
78
+9
155avg 122
H09/12
Lega A
Pesaro
#15
W
122-106
122
106
+16
158avg 122
A16/12
Lega A
Brescia
#12
L
88-91
88
91
-3
118avg 122
H22/12
Lega A
Brindisi
#5
W
86-80
86
80
+6
144avg 122
A26/12
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-30
8-21
19-23
31-22
22-17
16-20
25-17
21-12
26-19
16-21
16-19
22-14
20-17
22-22
22-15
26-19
10-25
28-14
18-22
23-21
20-11
15-18
20-27
20-20
19-18
21-21
21-22
26-17
35-23
31-30
28-18
28-35
20-22
25-24
24-18
19-27
31-16
15-18
18-26
22-20
169.1Avg total
87.0Scored
82.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)89.084.0173.0+5.067%
Season at home (6)84.584.7169.2-0.250%
Season away (6)93.583.3176.8+10.283%
Last 10 (10)87.082.1169.1+4.960%
Last 5 (5)91.686.2177.8+5.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)77.894.3172.2-16.50%
vs Similar (12)84.783.4168.1+1.250%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)94.285.5179.7+8.673%
This opponent (Torino) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TorinoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTorino
Date
Competition
Mornar Bar
#22
L
83-86
83
86
-3
111avg 107
A14/11
Eurocup
Virtus Bologna
#11
L
79-82
79
82
-3
no box
A18/11
Lega A
Unics Kazan
#2
L
72-82
72
82
-10
91avg 107
H21/11
Eurocup
Brescia
#12
L
76-83
76
83
-7
103avg 107
A25/11
Lega A
Trento
#6
W
86-84
86
84
+2
120avg 107
H08/12
Lega A
Rytas
#11
L
96-101 OT
96
101
-5
no box
H11/12
Eurocup
Varese
#7
L
60-77
60
77
-17
83avg 107
A16/12
Lega A
Unicaja
#6
L
68-89
68
89
-21
95avg 107
A19/12
Eurocup
Pistoia
#16
W
86-80
86
80
+6
104avg 107
H23/12
Lega A
Avellino
#9
L
79-96
79
96
-17
110avg 107
H26/12
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-20
19-25
20-20
23-21
15-26
27-18
16-17
21-21
20-14
17-16
8-27
27-25
22-28
13-22
23-17
18-16
23-15
20-27
22-27
21-15
22-29
14-18
21-22
29-17
14-22
15-17
19-21
12-17
21-26
26-15
10-26
11-22
13-21
23-29
26-17
24-13
30-23
16-19
14-24
19-30
164.5Avg total
78.5Scored
86.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)78.783.2161.8-4.533%
Season at home (6)79.083.2162.2-4.250%
Season away (6)78.383.2161.5-4.817%
Last 10 (10)78.586.0164.5-7.520%
Last 5 (5)77.888.6166.4-10.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)79.286.9166.1-7.711%
vs Similar (7)83.085.1168.1-2.129%
vs Weaker (3)83.083.3166.3-0.333%
This opponent (Cremona) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +2.6+2.6Q1: -2.3-2.3Q2Q2: -1.2-1.2Q2: -1.6-1.6Q3Q3: +0.4+0.4Q3: -3.9-3.9Q4Q4: +3.1+3.1Q4: +0.8+0.8
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +2.6+2.6Q1: -2.3-2.3Q2Q2: -1.2-1.2Q2: -1.6-1.6Q3Q3: +0.4+0.4Q3: -3.9-3.9Q4Q4: +3.1+3.1Q4: +0.8+0.8
CremonaTorino
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CremonaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cantu
#8
L
29-51
29
51
-22
H20/10
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#11
W
38-37
38
37
+1
A28/10
Lega A
Sassari
#4
W
42-40
42
40
+2
H04/11
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
W
42-39
42
39
+3
A11/11
Lega A
Varese
#7
L
38-39
38
39
-1
H18/11
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
W
35-29
35
29
+6
A25/11
Lega A
Trieste
#10
W
40-39
40
39
+1
H09/12
Lega A
Pesaro
#15
W
66-53
66
53
+13
A16/12
Lega A
Brescia
#12
L
45-46
45
46
-1
H22/12
Lega A
Brindisi
#5
W
46-34
46
34
+12
A26/12
Lega A
82.8Avg total
42.1Scored
40.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.542.784.2-1.243%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.942.884.7-0.947%-
Last 30 away (15)41.242.683.8-1.440%-
Last 10 (10)42.140.782.8+1.470%-
Last 5 (5)46.440.286.6+6.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)39.548.387.8-8.80%-
vs Similar (12)40.839.880.5+1.058%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)44.443.187.5+1.355%-
This opponent (Torino) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TorinoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mornar Bar
#22
L
40-45
40
45
-5
A14/11
Eurocup
Virtus Bologna
#11
L
42-44
42
44
-2
A18/11
Lega A
Unics Kazan
#2
W
37-30
37
30
+7
H21/11
Eurocup
Brescia
#12
L
35-50
35
50
-15
A25/11
Lega A
Trento
#6
W
43-42
43
42
+1
H08/12
Lega A
Rytas
#11
L
36-47
36
47
-11
H11/12
Eurocup
Varese
#7
L
29-39
29
39
-10
A16/12
Lega A
Unicaja
#6
W
47-41
47
41
+6
A19/12
Eurocup
Pistoia
#16
L
36-50
36
50
-14
H23/12
Lega A
Avellino
#9
W
46-42
46
42
+4
H26/12
Lega A
82.1Avg total
39.1Scored
43.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.643.381.9-4.730%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.942.581.4-3.638%-
Last 30 away (14)38.344.182.4-5.921%-
Last 10 (10)39.143.082.1-3.940%-
Last 5 (5)38.843.882.6-5.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)37.742.480.1-4.626%-
vs Similar (7)40.744.785.4-4.043%-
vs Weaker (3)38.750.088.7-11.30%-
This opponent (Cremona) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Cremonatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cremona: 86.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.6 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.6 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.8 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.020.8
50.7%
51.0%41.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.211.2
37.1%
35.1%33.6
🏀 Free throws15.910.8
67.9%
72.3%10.8
They take 71.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Torinotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Torino: 74.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.4 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.0 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.1 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.420.2
50.0%
51.0%40.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.87.0
32.1%
35.1%21.0
🏀 Free throws17.113.1
76.6%
72.3%13.1
They take 62.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 30 Dec 2018 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Cremona
WLWWLLWWWL
Torino
LWLLLWLLLL
#3
League position
#13
+5.7
Net rating
-10.2
111.2
Offensive rating
100.1
105.5
Defensive rating
110.3
52.8%
Effective FG%
49.4%
47.8%
Opp. effective FG%
53.8%
15.8%
Turnover %
17.7%
32.6%
Off. rebound %
23.2%
0.22
Free-throw rate
0.27
37.1%
3-point %
32.1%
50.3%
Assist %
60.7%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence111.2 · 100.1Defence105.5 · 110.3Shooting52.8% · 49.4%3-point %37.1% · 32.1%Ball care15.8% · 17.7%Off. rebounds32.6% · 23.2%Free throws0.22 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)60% · 20%
■ Cremona   ■ Torino
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Cremona wins
3
Torino wins
DateGameScore
18/03/18Cremona v Torino92-70
17/02/18Cremona v Torino87-92 OT
12/11/17Torino v Cremona88-80
12/02/17Cremona v Torino117-82
23/10/16Torino v Cremona85-82 OT
14/02/16Cremona v Torino66-50
01/11/15Torino v Cremona80-93
Cremonalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/12/18ABrindisi86-80
22/12/18HBrescia88-91
16/12/18APesaro122-106
09/12/18HTrieste87-78
25/11/18AOlimpia Milano75-76
18/11/18HVarese79-82
11/11/18APistoia90-73
04/11/18HSassari80-73
28/10/18AVirtus Bologna84-66
20/10/18HCantu79-96
Torinolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/12/18HAvellino79-96
23/12/18HPistoia86-80
19/12/18AUnicaja68-89
16/12/18AVarese60-77
11/12/18HRytas96-101 OT
08/12/18HTrento86-84
25/11/18ABrescia76-83
21/11/18HUnics Kazan72-82
18/11/18AVirtus Bologna79-82
14/11/18AMornar Bar83-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Cremona
Lega A 2018-19
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW67%
HomeLWLWL50%
AwayWWLWW83%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %67%50%83%
Points / game89.084.593.5
Allowed / game84.084.783.3
Point differential+5.0-0.2+10.2
Avg total173.0169.2176.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%0%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)0% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %8%0%17%
Torino
Lega A 2018-19
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL33%
HomeLLWWL50%
AwayWLLLL17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %33%50%17%
Points / game78.779.078.3
Allowed / game83.283.283.2
Point differential-4.5-4.2-4.8
Avg total161.8162.2161.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%17%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)100% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %8%0%17%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olimpia Milano1312192%92.080.4+11.6
2 Venezia139469%82.370.9+11.4
3 Avellino139469%84.583.0+1.5
4 Cremona128467%89.084.0+5.0
5 Varese128467%77.172.4+4.7
6 Trieste137654%84.982.2+2.7
7 Brindisi137654%79.176.8+2.3
8 Sassari136746%88.282.5+5.7
9 Virtus Bologna136746%80.683.0-2.4
10 Trento136746%76.280.8-4.5
11 Brescia135838%78.379.8-1.5
12 Torino124833%78.783.2-4.5
13 Pesaro124833%82.390.7-8.3
14 Reggiana134931%77.582.8-5.3
15 Cantu134931%80.888.1-7.3
16 Pistoia1331023%78.890.1-11.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Cremona23282623100
Torino1624232487
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