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Torino vs Pistoia Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 23 Dec 2018
Tip-off: 17:30
Final 86-80
13-21 23-29 26-17 24-13
Position#13
Record3-7
FormLWLLL
Points / game77.9
Allowed / game82.2
Torino 🏆
Italy
vs
Pistoia
Italy
Position#16
Record3-7
FormLWWWL
Points / game79.6
Allowed / game90.7
ItalyLega ARound 11
Domestic2018-19
Meetings · Torino v Pistoia
23 Dec 2018
TOR86
PIS80
31 Mar 2018
TOR77
PIS84
02 Apr 2017
TOR91
PIS95
07 Dec 2015
TOR87
PIS88
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Torino winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pistoia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TorinoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTorino
Date
Competition
Frankfurt
#16
L
75-85
75
85
-10
94avg 108
H06/11
Eurocup
Brindisi
#5
L
66-72
66
72
-6
90avg 108
H11/11
Lega A
Mornar Bar
#22
L
83-86
83
86
-3
111avg 108
A14/11
Eurocup
Virtus Bologna
#11
L
79-82
79
82
-3
no box
A18/11
Lega A
Unics Kazan
#2
L
72-82
72
82
-10
91avg 108
H21/11
Eurocup
Brescia
#12
L
76-83
76
83
-7
103avg 108
A25/11
Lega A
Trento
#6
W
86-84
86
84
+2
120avg 108
H08/12
Lega A
Rytas
#11
L
96-101 OT
96
101
-5
no box
H11/12
Eurocup
Varese
#7
L
60-77
60
77
-17
83avg 108
A16/12
Lega A
Unicaja
#6
L
68-89
68
89
-21
95avg 108
A19/12
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-24
15-25
19-23
20-13
13-13
18-19
20-20
15-20
21-20
19-25
20-20
23-21
15-26
27-18
16-17
21-21
20-14
17-16
8-27
27-25
22-28
13-22
23-17
18-16
23-15
20-27
22-27
21-15
22-29
14-18
21-22
29-17
14-22
15-17
19-21
12-17
21-26
26-15
10-26
11-22
160.2Avg total
76.1Scored
84.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)77.982.2160.1-4.330%
Season at home (4)77.280.8158.0-3.550%
Season away (6)78.383.2161.5-4.817%
Last 10 (10)76.184.1160.2-8.010%
Last 5 (5)77.286.8164.0-9.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)79.286.4165.6-7.211%
vs Similar (9)83.185.9169.0-2.822%
vs Weaker ◀ (2)81.585.0166.5-3.50%
This opponent (Pistoia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PistoiaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPistoia
Date
Competition
Pesaro
#15
L
77-83
77
83
-6
no box
A07/10
Lega A
Venezia
#2
L
69-97
69
97
-28
no box
H14/10
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
83-107
83
107
-24
no box
A21/10
Lega A
Brindisi
#5
L
74-90
74
90
-16
95avg 117
H28/10
Lega A
Trieste
#10
L
79-96
79
96
-17
103avg 117
A04/11
Lega A
Cremona
#3
L
73-90
73
90
-17
101avg 117
H11/11
Lega A
Sassari
#4
W
113-111
113
111
+2
190avg 117
A18/11
Lega A
Reggiana
#14
W
84-82
84
82
+2
137avg 117
A24/11
Lega A
Brescia
#12
W
73-70
73
70
+3
118avg 117
H09/12
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#11
L
71-81
71
81
-10
95avg 117
H16/12
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-18
20-21
15-18
19-26
15-21
17-22
16-22
21-32
24-26
24-27
13-19
22-35
16-28
22-21
19-12
17-29
21-31
14-21
15-23
29-21
17-20
22-22
15-22
19-26
30-28
22-29
25-26
36-28
21-15
19-17
23-20
21-30
19-15
16-20
22-20
16-15
12-28
16-22
16-21
27-10
170.3Avg total
79.6Scored
90.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)79.690.7170.3-11.130%
Season at home (5)72.085.6157.6-13.620%
Season away (5)87.295.8183.0-8.640%
Last 10 (10)79.690.7170.3-11.130%
Last 5 (5)82.886.8169.6-4.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)76.786.0162.8-9.328%
vs Similar (4)76.882.0158.8-5.225%
vs Weaker (1)91.069.0160.0+22.0100%
This opponent (Torino) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -2.5-2.5Q1: -3.2-3.2Q2Q2: -1.8-1.8Q2: -3.0-3.0Q3Q3: -4.2-4.2Q3: -2.4-2.4Q4Q4: +1.0+1.0Q4: -2.5-2.5
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -2.5-2.5Q1: -3.2-3.2Q2Q2: -1.8-1.8Q2: -3.0-3.0Q3Q3: -4.2-4.2Q3: -2.4-2.4Q4Q4: +1.0+1.0Q4: -2.5-2.5
TorinoPistoia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
TorinoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Frankfurt
#16
L
36-49
36
49
-13
H06/11
Eurocup
Brindisi
#5
L
31-32
31
32
-1
H11/11
Lega A
Mornar Bar
#22
L
40-45
40
45
-5
A14/11
Eurocup
Virtus Bologna
#11
L
42-44
42
44
-2
A18/11
Lega A
Unics Kazan
#2
W
37-30
37
30
+7
H21/11
Eurocup
Brescia
#12
L
35-50
35
50
-15
A25/11
Lega A
Trento
#6
W
43-42
43
42
+1
H08/12
Lega A
Rytas
#11
L
36-47
36
47
-11
H11/12
Eurocup
Varese
#7
L
29-39
29
39
-10
A16/12
Lega A
Unicaja
#6
W
47-41
47
41
+6
A19/12
Eurocup
79.5Avg total
37.6Scored
41.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.242.780.9-4.530%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.842.179.9-4.333%-
Last 30 away (15)38.643.381.9-4.727%-
Last 10 (10)37.641.979.5-4.330%-
Last 5 (5)38.043.881.8-5.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)37.342.479.7-5.122%-
vs Similar (9)39.443.182.6-3.744%-
vs Weaker ◀ (2)40.050.090.0-10.00%-
This opponent (Pistoia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PistoiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pesaro
#15
W
43-39
43
39
+4
A07/10
Lega A
Venezia
#2
L
32-43
32
43
-11
H14/10
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
48-53
48
53
-5
A21/10
Lega A
Brindisi
#5
L
38-49
38
49
-11
H28/10
Lega A
Trieste
#10
L
35-52
35
52
-17
A04/11
Lega A
Cremona
#3
L
39-42
39
42
-3
H11/11
Lega A
Sassari
#4
L
52-57
52
57
-5
A18/11
Lega A
Reggiana
#14
W
40-32
40
32
+8
A24/11
Lega A
Brescia
#12
D
35-35
35
35
+0
H09/12
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#11
L
28-50
28
50
-22
H16/12
Lega A
84.2Avg total
39.0Scored
45.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.842.381.1-3.533%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.439.376.7-1.940%-
Last 30 away (15)40.145.385.4-5.127%-
Last 10 (10)39.045.284.2-6.220%-
Last 5 (5)38.843.282.0-4.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)38.243.581.6-5.324%-
vs Similar (4)40.837.077.8+3.875%-
vs Weaker (1)46.034.080.0+12.0100%-
This opponent (Torino) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Torinotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Torino: 72.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.6 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.5 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.5 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.519.8
50.1%
51.0%39.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.56.5
31.7%
35.1%19.5
🏀 Free throws17.913.5
75.4%
72.3%13.5
They take 60.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Pistoiatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pistoia: 74.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.6 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.3 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.0 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.720.3
51.1%
51.0%40.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.47.1
36.6%
35.1%21.3
🏀 Free throws21.013.0
61.9%
72.3%13.0
They take 59.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 19.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 23 Dec 2018 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Torino
LLLWLLLLLL
Pistoia
LWWWLLLLLL
#13
League position
#16
-13.1
Net rating
-18.6
97.8
Offensive rating
102.7
110.9
Defensive rating
121.3
49.2%
Effective FG%
52.4%
54.8%
Opp. effective FG%
56.4%
17.5%
Turnover %
19.1%
19.5%
Off. rebound %
30.1%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.36
31.7%
3-point %
36.6%
57.8%
Assist %
42.7%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence97.8 · 102.7Defence110.9 · 121.3Shooting49.2% · 52.4%3-point %31.7% · 36.6%Ball care17.5% · 19.1%Off. rebounds19.5% · 30.1%Free throws0.30 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)10% · 30%
■ Torino   ■ Pistoia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Torino wins
5
Pistoia wins
DateGameScore
31/03/18Torino v Pistoia77-84
03/12/17Pistoia v Torino80-65
02/04/17Torino v Pistoia91-95 OT
04/12/16Pistoia v Torino89-73
26/03/16Pistoia v Torino70-80
07/12/15Torino v Pistoia87-88 OT
Torinolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/12/18AUnicaja68-89
16/12/18AVarese60-77
11/12/18HRytas96-101 OT
08/12/18HTrento86-84
25/11/18ABrescia76-83
21/11/18HUnics Kazan72-82
18/11/18AVirtus Bologna79-82
14/11/18AMornar Bar83-86
11/11/18HBrindisi66-72
06/11/18HFrankfurt75-85
Pistoialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/12/18HVirtus Bologna71-81
09/12/18HBrescia73-70
24/11/18AReggiana84-82
18/11/18ASassari113-111
11/11/18HCremona73-90
04/11/18ATrieste79-96
28/10/18HBrindisi74-90
21/10/18AOlimpia Milano83-107
14/10/18HVenezia69-97
07/10/18APesaro77-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Torino
Lega A 2018-19
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL30%
HomeWLLW50%
AwayWLLLL17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1046
Win %30%50%17%
Points / game77.977.278.3
Allowed / game82.280.883.2
Point differential-4.3-3.5-4.8
Avg total160.1158.0161.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%25%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)100% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %10%0%17%
Pistoia
Lega A 2018-19
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL30%
HomeLLLWL20%
AwayLLLWW40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %30%20%40%
Points / game79.672.087.2
Allowed / game90.785.695.8
Point differential-11.1-13.6-8.6
Avg total170.3157.6183.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (1)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olimpia Milano11110100%93.580.5+13.0
2 Venezia108280%82.868.6+14.2
3 Cremona117464%89.384.4+4.9
4 Varese117464%76.072.5+3.5
5 Avellino117464%83.583.5-0.1
6 Brindisi116555%77.876.5+1.4
7 Trieste105550%86.683.1+3.5
8 Brescia115645%79.377.8+1.5
9 Virtus Bologna115645%82.085.4-3.4
10 Sassari114736%85.284.4+0.8
11 Pesaro114736%83.288.5-5.4
12 Trento114736%76.583.2-6.6
13 Torino103730%77.982.2-4.3
14 Reggiana103730%78.583.7-5.2
15 Cantu103730%80.888.4-7.6
16 Pistoia103730%79.690.7-11.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Torino1323262486
Pistoia2129171380
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