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Pesaro vs Cremona Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 16 Dec 2018
Tip-off: 18:05
Final 106-122
23-35 30-31 18-28 35-28
Position#15
Record4-5
FormLWWWL
Points / game82.7
Allowed / game86.1
vs
Cremona 🏆
Italy
Position#3
Record6-3
FormWWLLW
Points / game85.8
Allowed / game81.2
ItalyLega ARound 10
Domestic2018-19
Meetings · Pesaro v Cremona
28 Apr 2024
PES91
CRE86
06 Feb 2022
PES93
CRE87
01 Nov 2020
PES95
CRE83
01 Dec 2019
PES63
CRE74
16 Dec 2018
PES106
CRE122
29 Oct 2017
PES68
CRE79
02 Apr 2017
PES63
CRE73
30 Nov 2015
PES74
CRE86
04 Apr 2015
PES74
CRE89
06 Apr 2014
PES86
CRE91
14 Apr 2013
PES88
CRE81
09 Apr 2012
PES86
CRE64
03 Apr 2011
PES82
CRE59
06 Dec 2009
PES101
CRE94
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Pesaro winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Cremona winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PesaroItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sassari
#6
L
81-112
81
112
-31
A09/05
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
W
83-77
83
77
+6
H07/10
Lega A
Brindisi
#5
L
73-88
73
88
-15
A14/10
Lega A
Venezia
#2
L
62-97
62
97
-35
A21/10
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
82-97
82
97
-15
H28/10
Lega A
Brescia
#12
L
81-84
81
84
-3
A04/11
Lega A
Trieste
#10
W
103-77
103
77
+26
H12/11
Lega A
Cantu
#8
W
90-87
90
87
+3
A19/11
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#11
W
89-86
89
86
+3
H25/11
Lega A
Avellino
#9
L
81-82
81
82
-1
A09/12
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-28
22-29
24-30
21-25
18-23
21-20
18-15
26-19
22-20
10-22
18-22
23-24
9-27
19-25
14-28
20-17
20-31
14-19
27-24
21-23
27-17
17-33
19-15
18-19
22-21
24-16
25-16
32-24
26-17
21-28
18-27
25-15
22-28
23-19
20-20
24-19
25-25
24-21
16-24
16-12
171.2Avg total
82.5Scored
88.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)82.786.1168.8-3.444%
Season at home (4)89.284.2173.5+5.075%
Season away (5)77.487.6165.0-10.220%
Last 10 (10)82.588.7171.2-6.240%
Last 5 (5)88.883.2172.0+5.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)78.587.5166.0-9.024%
vs Similar (4)82.282.0164.2+0.250%
vs Weaker (1)84.081.0165.0+3.0100%
This opponent (Cremona) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CremonaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Venezia
#2
L
72-99
72
99
-27
H17/05
Lega A
Trento
#6
W
104-99 OT
104
99
+5
A06/10
Lega A
Avellino
#9
W
94-88
94
88
+6
H14/10
Lega A
Cantu
#8
L
79-96
79
96
-17
H20/10
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#11
W
84-66
84
66
+18
A28/10
Lega A
Sassari
#4
W
80-73
80
73
+7
H04/11
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
W
90-73
90
73
+17
A11/11
Lega A
Varese
#7
L
79-82
79
82
-3
H18/11
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
75-76
75
76
-1
A25/11
Lega A
Trieste
#10
W
87-78
87
78
+9
H09/12
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-25
17-22
23-23
17-29
19-15
18-16
19-21
21-25
26-23
16-21
26-25
26-19
21-30
8-21
19-23
31-22
22-17
16-20
25-17
21-12
26-19
16-21
16-19
22-14
20-17
22-22
22-15
26-19
10-25
28-14
18-22
23-21
20-11
15-18
20-27
20-20
19-18
21-21
21-22
26-17
167.4Avg total
84.4Scored
83.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)85.881.2167.0+4.667%
Season at home (5)83.883.4167.2+0.460%
Season away (4)88.278.5166.8+9.875%
Last 10 (10)84.483.0167.4+1.460%
Last 5 (5)82.276.4158.6+5.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)78.192.6170.7-14.40%
vs Similar (12)86.685.1171.7+1.550%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)92.182.9175.0+9.280%
This opponent (Pesaro) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -3.2-3.2Q1: -0.2-0.2Q2Q2: -3.7-3.7Q2: -1.9-1.9Q3Q3: -2.2-2.2Q3: -0.5-0.5Q4Q4: +2.9+2.9Q4: +3.5+3.5
PesaroCremona
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PesaroLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sassari
#6
L
36-57
36
57
-21
A09/05
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
L
39-43
39
43
-4
H07/10
Lega A
Brindisi
#5
L
32-42
32
42
-10
A14/10
Lega A
Venezia
#2
L
28-52
28
52
-24
A21/10
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
34-50
34
50
-16
H28/10
Lega A
Brescia
#12
L
44-50
44
50
-6
A04/11
Lega A
Trieste
#10
W
46-37
46
37
+9
H12/11
Lega A
Cantu
#8
W
47-45
47
45
+2
A19/11
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#11
L
45-47
45
47
-2
H25/11
Lega A
Avellino
#9
W
49-46
49
46
+3
A09/12
Lega A
86.9Avg total
40.0Scored
46.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.245.283.3-7.027%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.343.181.4-4.929%-
Last 30 away (16)38.146.985.0-8.925%-
Last 10 (10)40.046.986.9-6.930%-
Last 5 (5)46.245.091.2+1.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)37.845.583.3-7.724%-
vs Similar (4)42.243.285.5-1.050%-
vs Weaker (1)31.045.076.0-14.00%-
This opponent (Cremona) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CremonaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Venezia
#2
L
32-47
32
47
-15
H17/05
Lega A
Trento
#6
W
37-31
37
31
+6
A06/10
Lega A
Avellino
#9
L
42-44
42
44
-2
H14/10
Lega A
Cantu
#8
L
29-51
29
51
-22
H20/10
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#11
W
38-37
38
37
+1
A28/10
Lega A
Sassari
#4
W
42-40
42
40
+2
H04/11
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
W
42-39
42
39
+3
A11/11
Lega A
Varese
#7
L
38-39
38
39
-1
H18/11
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
W
35-29
35
29
+6
A25/11
Lega A
Trieste
#10
W
40-39
40
39
+1
H09/12
Lega A
77.1Avg total
37.5Scored
39.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.043.284.2-2.240%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.743.185.7-0.453%-
Last 30 away (15)39.443.382.7-3.927%-
Last 10 (10)37.539.677.1-2.160%-
Last 5 (5)39.437.276.6+2.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)39.448.387.7-8.90%-
vs Similar (12)41.741.182.8+0.658%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)42.342.584.8-0.250%-
This opponent (Pesaro) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Pesarotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pesaro: 80.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.8 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.1 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.0 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.421.9
49.3%
51.0%43.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.66.7
32.5%
35.1%20.1
🏀 Free throws22.917.0
74.2%
72.3%17.0
They take 65.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Cremonatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cremona: 80.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.4 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.3 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.521.2
49.9%
51.0%42.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.48.7
31.8%
35.1%26.1
🏀 Free throws17.612.3
69.9%
72.3%12.3
They take 69.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 Dec 2018 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Pesaro
LWWWLLLLWL
Cremona
WLLWWWLWWL
#15
League position
#3
-9.4
Net rating
-2.7
104.3
Offensive rating
105.1
113.7
Defensive rating
107.9
49.2%
Effective FG%
49.0%
55.1%
Opp. effective FG%
51.4%
16.8%
Turnover %
14.7%
28.7%
Off. rebound %
30.0%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.25
32.5%
3-point %
31.8%
46.2%
Assist %
45.2%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence104.3 · 105.1Defence113.7 · 107.9Shooting49.2% · 49.0%3-point %32.5% · 31.8%Ball care16.8% · 14.7%Off. rebounds28.7% · 30.0%Free throws0.35 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)40% · 60%
■ Pesaro   ■ Cremona
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Pesaro wins
7
Cremona wins
DateGameScore
04/03/18Cremona v Pesaro92-79
29/10/17Pesaro v Cremona68-79
02/04/17Pesaro v Cremona63-73
04/12/16Cremona v Pesaro71-73
20/03/16Cremona v Pesaro77-72
30/11/15Pesaro v Cremona74-86
04/04/15Pesaro v Cremona74-89
14/12/14Cremona v Pesaro73-80
06/04/14Pesaro v Cremona86-91
22/12/13Cremona v Pesaro80-82
Pesarolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/12/18AAvellino81-82
25/11/18HVirtus Bologna89-86
19/11/18ACantu90-87
12/11/18HTrieste103-77
04/11/18ABrescia81-84
28/10/18HOlimpia Milano82-97
21/10/18AVenezia62-97
14/10/18ABrindisi73-88
07/10/18HPistoia83-77
09/05/18ASassari81-112
Cremonalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/12/18HTrieste87-78
25/11/18AOlimpia Milano75-76
18/11/18HVarese79-82
11/11/18APistoia90-73
04/11/18HSassari80-73
28/10/18AVirtus Bologna84-66
20/10/18HCantu79-96
14/10/18HAvellino94-88
06/10/18ATrento104-99 OT
17/05/18HVenezia72-99

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Pesaro
Lega A 2018-19
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL44%
HomeWLWW75%
AwayLLLWL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %44%75%20%
Points / game82.789.277.4
Allowed / game86.184.287.6
Point differential-3.4+5.0-10.2
Avg total168.8173.5165.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)100% (1)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Cremona
Lega A 2018-19
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW67%
HomeWLWLW60%
AwayWWWL75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %67%60%75%
Points / game85.883.888.2
Allowed / game81.283.478.5
Point differential+4.6+0.4+9.8
Avg total167.0167.2166.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%0%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %11%0%25%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olimpia Milano10100100%95.681.8+13.8
2 Venezia108280%82.868.6+14.2
3 Varese107370%76.972.6+4.3
4 Cremona96367%85.881.2+4.6
5 Avellino96367%85.381.2+4.1
6 Brindisi105550%76.776.0+0.7
7 Virtus Bologna105550%82.185.0-2.9
8 Trieste94544%84.085.2-1.2
9 Pesaro94544%82.786.1-3.4
10 Sassari104640%85.984.2+1.7
11 Brescia104640%78.176.8+1.3
12 Torino103730%77.982.2-4.3
13 Reggiana103730%78.583.7-5.2
14 Cantu103730%80.888.4-7.6
15 Trento103730%76.585.0-8.5
16 Pistoia103730%79.690.7-11.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Pesaro23301835106
Cremona35312828122
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