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Cremona vs Venezia Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 01 Mar 2020
Tip-off: 16:30
Postponed
Position#6
Record12-8
FormWWWWL
Points / game81.3
Allowed / game80.8
vs
Position#7
Record11-10
FormWWLLW
Points / game78.0
Allowed / game75.3
ItalyLega ARound 23
Domestic2019-20
Meetings · Cremona v Venezia
03 May 2026
CRE88
VEN111
12 Jan 2025
CRE78
VEN86
24 Mar 2024
CRE92
VEN90
23 Jan 2022
CRE85
VEN82
04 Oct 2020
CRE66
VEN83
01 Mar 2020
CRE v VEN
upcoming
05 May 2019
CRE80
VEN65
17 May 2018
CRE72
VEN99
11 Feb 2018
CRE83
VEN85
26 Feb 2017
CRE91
VEN82
10 May 2016
CRE77
VEN67
08 May 2016
CRE73
VEN79
07 Feb 2016
CRE74
VEN73
26 Apr 2015
CRE84
VEN91
07 Dec 2013
CRE64
VEN77
02 Dec 2012
CRE92
VEN88
15 Apr 2012
CRE58
VEN45
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cremona win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Venezia win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CremonaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCremona
Date
Competition
Virtus Bologna
#1
W
78-66
78
66
+12
71avg 88
H08/12
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
L
71-84
71
84
-13
58avg 88
A15/12
Lega A
Varese
#10
W
93-72
93
72
+21
no box
H21/12
Lega A
Brescia
#3
L
76-91
76
91
-15
66avg 88
A26/12
Lega A
Sassari
#2
L
74-84
74
84
-10
64avg 88
A30/12
Lega A
Brindisi
#5
W
93-89
93
89
+4
82avg 88
H05/01
Lega A
Treviso
#13
W
94-84
94
84
+10
91avg 88
A18/01
Lega A
Virtus Roma
#15
W
103-92
103
92
+11
99avg 88
H26/01
Lega A
Reggiana
#12
W
95-93
95
93
+2
no box
H02/02
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#4
L
74-77
74
77
-3
no box
A09/02
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-14
20-20
14-18
18-14
15-29
20-11
23-15
13-29
18-24
29-17
24-16
22-15
29-20
22-19
15-28
10-24
22-21
22-17
15-25
15-21
27-21
25-19
18-21
23-28
29-19
18-27
19-18
28-20
32-22
26-29
22-24
23-17
18-36
31-14
18-16
28-27
16-23
23-19
22-17
13-18
168.3Avg total
85.1Scored
83.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)81.380.8162.2+0.560%
Season at home (10)85.580.6166.1+4.990%
Season away (10)77.281.1158.3-3.930%
Last 10 (10)85.183.2168.3+1.960%
Last 5 (5)91.887.0178.8+4.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)76.879.2156.0-2.440%
vs Similar ◀ (16)80.580.3160.8+0.269%
vs Weaker (9)87.981.6169.4+6.367%
This opponent (Venezia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VeneziaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVenezia
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#4
L
70-71
70
71
-1
no box
H15/12
Lega A
Reggiana
#12
W
104-85
104
85
+19
no box
A22/12
Lega A
Virtus Roma
#15
W
79-77
79
77
+2
70avg 88
H26/12
Lega A
Pesaro
#17
W
98-92
98
92
+6
91avg 88
H29/12
Lega A
Brescia
#3
L
64-70
64
70
-6
55avg 88
A04/01
Lega A
Trieste
#14
W
81-72
81
72
+9
76avg 88
A12/01
Lega A
Fortitudo Bologna
#9
W
80-70
80
70
+10
71avg 88
H18/01
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
71-83
71
83
-12
62avg 88
H25/01
Lega A
Cantu
#11
L
77-81
77
81
-4
69avg 88
A02/02
Lega A
Treviso
#13
W
79-73
79
73
+6
76avg 88
H09/02
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-20
22-21
13-18
16-12
30-29
28-23
21-18
25-15
10-17
30-26
18-21
21-13
28-28
26-21
20-18
24-25
14-10
18-15
15-16
17-29
17-23
23-8
21-17
20-24
21-17
15-20
20-14
24-19
21-21
18-23
16-19
16-20
21-22
20-17
16-21
20-21
25-23
13-14
15-14
26-22
157.7Avg total
80.3Scored
77.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)78.075.3153.3+2.752%
Season at home (11)75.669.4145.0+6.382%
Season away (10)80.681.9162.5-1.320%
Last 10 (10)80.377.4157.7+2.960%
Last 5 (5)77.675.8153.4+1.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)65.070.5135.5-5.525%
vs Similar ◀ (8)79.081.2160.2-2.225%
vs Weaker (18)79.974.7154.7+5.272%
This opponent (Cremona) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.3+0.3Q1: -0.4-0.4Q2Q2: +4.4+4.4Q2: +2.5+2.5Q3Q3: -0.8-0.8Q3: -0.1-0.1Q4Q4: -2.0-2.0Q4: +0.9+0.9
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.3+0.3Q1: -0.4-0.4Q2Q2: +4.4+4.4Q2: +2.5+2.5Q3Q3: -0.8-0.8Q3: -0.1-0.1Q4Q4: -2.0-2.0Q4: +0.9+0.9
CremonaVenezia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CremonaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Virtus Bologna
#1
W
46-34
46
34
+12
H08/12
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
L
35-40
35
40
-5
A15/12
Lega A
Varese
#10
W
47-41
47
41
+6
H21/12
Lega A
Brescia
#3
W
51-39
51
39
+12
A26/12
Lega A
Sassari
#2
W
44-38
44
38
+6
A30/12
Lega A
Brindisi
#5
W
52-40
52
40
+12
H05/01
Lega A
Treviso
#13
W
47-46
47
46
+1
A18/01
Lega A
Virtus Roma
#15
W
58-51
58
51
+7
H26/01
Lega A
Reggiana
#12
L
49-50
49
50
-1
H02/02
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#4
L
39-42
39
42
-3
A09/02
Lega A
88.9Avg total
46.8Scored
42.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.542.385.8+1.253%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.941.586.4+3.367%-
Last 30 away (15)42.143.185.3-1.040%-
Last 10 (10)46.842.188.9+4.770%-
Last 5 (5)49.045.894.8+3.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)44.038.082.0+6.080%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)41.743.985.6-2.250%-
vs Weaker (9)46.442.088.4+4.444%-
This opponent (Venezia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VeneziaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#4
D
41-41
41
41
+0
H15/12
Lega A
Reggiana
#12
W
58-52
58
52
+6
A22/12
Lega A
Virtus Roma
#15
L
40-43
40
43
-3
H26/12
Lega A
Pesaro
#17
W
54-49
54
49
+5
H29/12
Lega A
Brescia
#3
W
32-25
32
25
+7
A04/01
Lega A
Trieste
#14
W
40-31
40
31
+9
A12/01
Lega A
Fortitudo Bologna
#9
L
36-37
36
37
-1
H18/01
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
39-44
39
44
-5
H25/01
Lega A
Cantu
#11
W
41-39
41
39
+2
A02/02
Lega A
Treviso
#13
W
38-37
38
37
+1
H09/02
Lega A
81.7Avg total
41.9Scored
39.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.338.677.9+0.750%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.536.875.2+1.850%-
Last 30 away (14)40.240.680.9-0.450%-
Last 10 (10)41.939.881.7+2.160%-
Last 5 (5)38.837.676.4+1.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)35.832.568.2+3.275%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)40.643.684.2-3.025%-
vs Weaker (18)39.537.777.2+1.856%-
This opponent (Cremona) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Cremonatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cremona: 84.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.4 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.6 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.5 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.6 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.324.2
54.6%
52.0%48.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.77.2
33.2%
35.1%21.6
🏀 Free throws19.014.5
76.3%
73.6%14.5
They take 66.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Veneziatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Venezia: 79.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.6 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.9 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.2 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.6 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.018.3
50.8%
52.0%36.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.110.3
36.7%
35.1%30.9
🏀 Free throws16.712.2
73.1%
73.6%12.2
They take 64.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 01 Mar 2020 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Cremona
LWWWWLLWLW
Venezia
WLLWWLWWWL
#6
League position
#7
+3.2
Net rating
+4.4
116.7
Offensive rating
113.4
113.5
Defensive rating
109.0
53.0%
Effective FG%
52.7%
54.0%
Opp. effective FG%
52.0%
17.2%
Turnover %
17.3%
35.8%
Off. rebound %
33.7%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.26
33.2%
3-point %
36.7%
55.1%
Assist %
55.6%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence116.7 · 113.4Defence113.5 · 109.0Shooting53.0% · 52.7%3-point %33.2% · 36.7%Ball care17.2% · 17.3%Off. rebounds35.8% · 33.7%Free throws0.29 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)60% · 60%
■ Cremona   ■ Venezia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Cremona wins
8
Venezia wins
DateGameScore
26/10/19Venezia v Cremona67-55
05/05/19Cremona v Venezia80-65
06/01/19Venezia v Cremona78-67
17/05/18Cremona v Venezia72-99
15/05/18Venezia v Cremona108-76
13/05/18Venezia v Cremona87-77
11/02/18Cremona v Venezia83-85
21/10/17Venezia v Cremona92-81
26/02/17Cremona v Venezia91-82
30/10/16Venezia v Cremona81-73
Cremonalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/02/20AOlimpia Milano74-77
02/02/20HReggiana95-93
26/01/20HVirtus Roma103-92
18/01/20ATreviso94-84
05/01/20HBrindisi93-89
30/12/19ASassari74-84
26/12/19ABrescia76-91
21/12/19HVarese93-72
15/12/19APistoia71-84
08/12/19HVirtus Bologna78-66
Venezialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/02/20HTreviso79-73
02/02/20ACantu77-81
25/01/20HVirtus Bologna71-83
18/01/20HFortitudo Bologna80-70
12/01/20ATrieste81-72
04/01/20ABrescia64-70
29/12/19HPesaro98-92
26/12/19HVirtus Roma79-77
22/12/19AReggiana104-85
15/12/19HOlimpia Milano70-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Cremona
Lega A 2019-20
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL60%
HomeWWWWW90%
AwayLLLWL30%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %60%90%30%
Points / game81.385.577.2
Allowed / game80.880.681.1
Point differential+0.5+4.9-3.9
Avg total162.2166.1158.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+35%40%30%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)100% (4)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Venezia
Lega A 2019-20
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW52%
HomeWWWLW82%
AwayLWLWL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211110
Win %52%82%20%
Points / game78.075.680.6
Allowed / game75.369.481.9
Point differential+2.7+6.3-1.3
Avg total153.3145.0162.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%36%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (9)75% (4)0% (5)
Overtime %5%0%10%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Virtus Bologna2018290%86.075.0+10.9
2 Sassari2015575%85.275.3+9.8
3 Brescia2114767%81.374.0+7.3
4 Olimpia Milano2114767%80.374.0+6.3
5 Brindisi2113862%84.680.8+3.8
6 Cremona2012860%81.380.8+0.5
7 Venezia21111052%78.075.3+2.7
8 Trento21111052%77.979.3-1.4
9 Fortitudo Bologna21111052%77.379.5-2.2
10 Varese1991047%82.680.1+2.5
11 Cantu2091145%76.779.0-2.4
12 Reggiana2191243%82.984.0-1.0
13 Treviso2181338%77.179.2-2.1
14 Virtus Roma2171433%78.085.1-7.0
15 Pistoia2171433%74.282.6-8.4
16 Trieste2161529%75.080.5-5.5
17 Pesaro201195%79.292.5-13.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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