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Venezia vs Virtus Roma Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 26 Dec 2019
Tip-off: 17:30
Final 79-77
10-17 30-26 18-21 21-13
Position#7
Record6-7
FormLWLLW
Points / game77.6
Allowed / game74.2
Venezia 🏆
Italy
vs
Position#15
Record7-7
FormLLWWL
Points / game75.8
Allowed / game82.0
ItalyLega ARound 15
Domestic2019-20
Meetings · Venezia v Virtus Roma
14 Mar 2021
VEN v VRO
upcoming
26 Dec 2019
VEN79
VRO77
19 Oct 2014
VEN74
VRO57
04 May 2014
VEN75
VRO83
18 Nov 2012
VEN67
VRO75
22 Apr 2012
VEN83
VRO69
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Venezia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Virtus Roma winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VeneziaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cantu
#11
W
76-46
76
46
+30
H13/10
Lega A
Treviso
#13
L
79-90
79
90
-11
A19/10
Lega A
Cremona
#6
W
67-55
67
55
+12
H26/10
Lega A
Brindisi
#5
L
71-75
71
75
-4
A03/11
Lega A
Sassari
#2
W
55-54
55
54
+1
H10/11
Lega A
Varese
#10
L
91-93 OT
91
93
-2
A17/11
Lega A
Trento
#8
W
79-69
79
69
+10
H24/11
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
L
87-89
87
89
-2
A01/12
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#4
L
70-71
70
71
-1
H15/12
Lega A
Reggiana
#12
W
104-85
104
85
+19
A22/12
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-9
16-19
20-7
17-11
17-13
18-22
19-26
25-29
21-15
16-17
18-13
12-10
17-21
13-20
27-21
14-13
13-18
20-8
11-15
11-13
14-24
14-17
20-12
27-22
17-21
20-16
25-16
17-16
21-16
25-25
22-28
19-20
19-20
22-21
13-18
16-12
30-29
28-23
21-18
25-15
150.6Avg total
77.9Scored
72.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)77.674.2151.8+3.546%
Season at home (6)70.861.3132.2+9.583%
Season away (7)83.485.1168.6-1.714%
Last 10 (10)77.972.7150.6+5.250%
Last 5 (5)86.281.4167.6+4.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)62.564.5127.0-2.050%
vs Similar (12)81.182.2163.3-1.242%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)78.173.3151.3+4.867%
This opponent (Virtus Roma) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Virtus RomaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fortitudo Bologna
#9
W
79-65
79
65
+14
H20/10
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#4
L
73-79
73
79
-6
H27/10
Lega A
Sassari
#2
L
72-108
72
108
-36
A02/11
Lega A
Cantu
#11
W
76-74
76
74
+2
A10/11
Lega A
Pesaro
#17
W
92-83
92
83
+9
H17/11
Lega A
Treviso
#13
L
69-81
69
81
-12
H24/11
Lega A
Varese
#10
L
69-99
69
99
-30
A01/12
Lega A
Trieste
#14
W
82-72
82
72
+10
H08/12
Lega A
Trento
#8
W
88-82
88
82
+6
A14/12
Lega A
Brescia
#3
L
53-83
53
83
-30
H22/12
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-16
20-20
20-9
18-20
29-16
14-14
15-32
15-17
24-25
11-32
18-31
19-20
23-19
17-28
24-13
12-14
24-20
20-20
23-22
25-21
13-25
22-25
20-14
14-17
19-34
20-24
15-21
15-20
27-22
18-13
20-19
17-18
30-30
17-22
13-15
28-15
15-25
13-22
12-16
13-20
157.9Avg total
75.3Scored
82.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)75.882.0157.8-6.250%
Season at home (8)76.080.5156.5-4.550%
Season away (6)75.584.0159.5-8.550%
Last 10 (10)75.382.6157.9-7.350%
Last 5 (5)72.283.4155.6-11.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)75.685.1160.7-9.531%
vs Similar (10)78.576.4154.9+2.160%
vs Weaker (7)88.777.4166.1+11.386%
This opponent (Venezia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q1: -0.7-0.7Q2Q2: +0.4+0.4Q2: -4.8-4.8Q3Q3: +2.2+2.2Q3: -1.2-1.2Q4Q4: +2.2+2.2Q4: -0.6-0.6
VeneziaVirtus Roma
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
VeneziaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cantu
#11
W
39-28
39
28
+11
H13/10
Lega A
Treviso
#13
D
35-35
35
35
+0
A19/10
Lega A
Cremona
#6
W
37-32
37
32
+5
H26/10
Lega A
Brindisi
#5
L
30-41
30
41
-11
A03/11
Lega A
Sassari
#2
W
33-26
33
26
+7
H10/11
Lega A
Varese
#10
L
28-41
28
41
-13
A17/11
Lega A
Trento
#8
D
37-37
37
37
+0
H24/11
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
W
46-41
46
41
+5
A01/12
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#4
D
41-41
41
41
+0
H15/12
Lega A
Reggiana
#12
W
58-52
58
52
+6
A22/12
Lega A
75.8Avg total
38.4Scored
37.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.038.877.8+0.147%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.834.973.6+3.962%-
Last 30 away (14)39.243.482.6-4.129%-
Last 10 (10)38.437.475.8+1.050%-
Last 5 (5)42.042.484.4-0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)36.030.566.5+5.5100%-
vs Similar (12)40.442.582.9-2.133%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)37.036.973.9+0.147%-
This opponent (Virtus Roma) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Virtus RomaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fortitudo Bologna
#9
W
41-36
41
36
+5
H20/10
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#4
W
43-30
43
30
+13
H27/10
Lega A
Sassari
#2
L
35-57
35
57
-22
A02/11
Lega A
Cantu
#11
L
40-47
40
47
-7
A10/11
Lega A
Pesaro
#17
W
44-40
44
40
+4
H17/11
Lega A
Treviso
#13
L
35-50
35
50
-15
H24/11
Lega A
Varese
#10
L
39-58
39
58
-19
A01/12
Lega A
Trieste
#14
W
45-35
45
35
+10
H08/12
Lega A
Trento
#8
L
47-52
47
52
-5
A14/12
Lega A
Brescia
#3
L
28-47
28
47
-19
H22/12
Lega A
84.9Avg total
39.7Scored
45.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.341.381.7-1.050%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.439.479.8+1.069%-
Last 30 away (14)40.343.683.9-3.329%-
Last 10 (10)39.745.284.9-5.540%-
Last 5 (5)38.848.487.2-9.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)38.145.283.3-7.231%-
vs Similar (10)39.738.478.1+1.350%-
vs Weaker (7)45.438.383.7+7.186%-
This opponent (Venezia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Veneziatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Venezia: 74.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.6 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.9 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.6 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.518.3
48.8%
52.0%36.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.59.1
35.7%
35.1%27.3
🏀 Free throws15.310.9
71.2%
73.6%10.9
They take 63.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Virtus Romatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Virtus Roma: 74.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.2 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.9 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.4 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.6 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.621.1
50.7%
52.0%42.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.26.3
31.2%
35.1%18.9
🏀 Free throws19.213.4
69.8%
73.6%13.4
They take 61.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 26 Dec 2019 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Venezia
WLLWLWLWLW
Virtus Roma
LWWLLWWLLW
#7
League position
#15
+7.0
Net rating
-9.8
106.6
Offensive rating
106.1
99.6
Defensive rating
116.0
50.7%
Effective FG%
49.4%
49.1%
Opp. effective FG%
51.5%
19.1%
Turnover %
19.2%
33.0%
Off. rebound %
34.8%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.31
35.7%
3-point %
31.2%
56.2%
Assist %
57.3%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence106.6 · 106.1Defence99.6 · 116.0Shooting50.7% · 49.4%3-point %35.7% · 31.2%Ball care19.1% · 19.2%Off. rebounds33.0% · 34.8%Free throws0.24 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)50% · 50%
■ Venezia   ■ Virtus Roma
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Venezia wins
4
Virtus Roma wins
DateGameScore
01/02/15Virtus Roma v Venezia62-72
19/10/14Venezia v Virtus Roma74-57
04/05/14Venezia v Virtus Roma75-83
05/01/14Virtus Roma v Venezia87-92
16/03/13Virtus Roma v Venezia74-69
18/11/12Venezia v Virtus Roma67-75
22/04/12Venezia v Virtus Roma83-69
30/12/11Virtus Roma v Venezia89-80
Venezialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/12/19AReggiana104-85
15/12/19HOlimpia Milano70-71
01/12/19APistoia87-89
24/11/19HTrento79-69
17/11/19AVarese91-93 OT
10/11/19HSassari55-54
03/11/19ABrindisi71-75
26/10/19HCremona67-55
19/10/19ATreviso79-90
13/10/19HCantu76-46
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/12/19HBrescia53-83
14/12/19ATrento88-82
08/12/19HTrieste82-72
01/12/19AVarese69-99
24/11/19HTreviso69-81
17/11/19HPesaro92-83
10/11/19ACantu76-74
02/11/19ASassari72-108
27/10/19HOlimpia Milano73-79
20/10/19HFortitudo Bologna79-65

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Venezia
Lega A 2019-20
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW46%
HomeWWWWL83%
AwayLLLLW14%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1367
Win %46%83%14%
Points / game77.670.883.4
Allowed / game74.261.385.1
Point differential+3.5+9.5-1.7
Avg total151.8132.2168.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%50%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won29% (7)67% (3)0% (4)
Overtime %8%0%14%
Virtus Roma
Lega A 2019-20
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL50%
HomeLWLWL50%
AwayWLWLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1486
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game75.876.075.5
Allowed / game82.080.584.0
Point differential-6.2-4.5-8.5
Avg total157.8156.5159.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%25%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Virtus Bologna1412286%84.176.1+8.0
2 Sassari1310377%82.472.4+10.0
3 Olimpia Milano1410471%80.973.1+7.8
4 Brescia138562%82.673.5+9.1
5 Cremona138562%78.377.5+0.8
6 Fortitudo Bologna148657%77.379.0-1.7
7 Brindisi137654%82.780.6+2.1
8 Varese147750%82.278.6+3.6
9 Cantu147750%74.676.4-1.8
10 Virtus Roma147750%75.882.0-6.2
11 Venezia136746%77.674.2+3.5
12 Treviso136746%76.976.4+0.5
13 Reggiana136746%81.883.1-1.3
14 Trento135838%77.381.5-4.2
15 Pistoia1551033%74.483.2-8.8
16 Trieste1331023%74.580.8-6.2
17 Pesaro140140%77.691.1-13.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Venezia1030182179
Virtus Roma1726211377
← all games of the day
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