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Cremona vs Varese Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 21 Dec 2019
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 93-72
18-24 29-17 24-16 22-15
Position#6
Record7-5
FormWWWWL
Points / game77.1
Allowed / game77.9
Cremona 🏆
Italy
vs
Position#10
Record6-6
FormWLWLW
Points / game82.3
Allowed / game78.9
ItalyLega ARound 14
Domestic2019-20
Meetings · Cremona v Varese
08 Dec 2025
CRE79
VAR87
08 Dec 2024
CRE78
VAR60
28 Jan 2024
CRE82
VAR83
17 Oct 2021
CRE94
VAR78
06 Sep 2021
CRE80
VAR70
17 Oct 2020
CRE80
VAR67
21 Dec 2019
CRE93
VAR72
14 Feb 2019
CRE82
VAR73
18 Nov 2018
CRE79
VAR82
07 Jan 2018
CRE80
VAR72
02 Jan 2017
CRE85
VAR71
16 Apr 2016
CRE70
VAR79
30 Nov 2014
CRE64
VAR53
29 Dec 2013
CRE75
VAR94
21 Apr 2013
CRE88
VAR92
08 Jan 2012
CRE69
VAR61
21 Nov 2010
CRE103
VAR79
16 Jan 2010
CRE78
VAR71
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cremona winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Varese winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CremonaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCremona
Date
Competition
Reggiana
#12
L
71-85
71
85
-14
54avg 96
A13/10
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#4
W
82-78
82
78
+4
77avg 96
H20/10
Lega A
Venezia
#7
L
55-67
55
67
-12
43avg 96
A26/10
Lega A
Cantu
#11
L
54-78
54
78
-24
35avg 96
H03/11
Lega A
Fortitudo Bologna
#9
W
80-73
80
73
+7
72avg 96
H10/11
Lega A
Trento
#8
W
89-79
89
79
+10
no box
A17/11
Lega A
Trieste
#14
W
88-78
88
78
+10
82avg 96
H24/11
Lega A
Pesaro
#17
W
74-63
74
63
+11
64avg 96
A01/12
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
W
78-66
78
66
+12
71avg 96
H08/12
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
L
71-84
71
84
-13
58avg 96
A15/12
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-23
17-17
22-30
15-15
16-24
24-13
23-17
19-24
15-21
17-16
13-18
10-12
14-29
19-20
14-9
7-20
24-19
24-19
19-22
13-13
22-21
22-22
22-20
23-16
22-21
16-17
28-17
22-23
18-13
22-14
19-18
15-18
26-14
20-20
14-18
18-14
15-29
20-11
23-15
13-29
149.3Avg total
74.2Scored
75.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)77.177.9155.0-0.858%
Season at home (6)78.576.7155.2+1.883%
Season away (6)75.779.2154.8-3.533%
Last 10 (10)74.275.1149.3-0.960%
Last 5 (5)80.074.0154.0+6.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)80.072.0152.0+8.0100%
vs Similar ◀ (13)71.872.8144.6-1.162%
vs Weaker (14)84.778.6163.4+6.171%
This opponent (Varese) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VareseItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVarese
Date
Competition
Fortitudo Bologna
#9
W
83-60
83
60
+23
75avg 102
H06/10
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
80-87
80
87
-7
66avg 102
A19/10
Lega A
Brindisi
#5
W
102-78
102
78
+24
no box
H27/10
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#4
L
69-93
69
93
-24
no box
A03/11
Lega A
Brescia
#3
L
74-91
74
91
-17
58avg 102
A10/11
Lega A
Venezia
#7
W
93-91 OT
93
91
+2
no box
H17/11
Lega A
Reggiana
#12
L
74-81
74
81
-7
66avg 102
A23/11
Lega A
Virtus Roma
#15
W
99-69
99
69
+30
96avg 102
H01/12
Lega A
Cantu
#11
L
67-74
67
74
-7
58avg 102
A08/12
Lega A
Pesaro
#17
W
103-87
103
87
+16
99avg 102
H15/12
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-15
32-16
21-15
13-14
22-21
12-19
21-17
25-30
26-19
24-17
27-23
25-19
14-26
16-20
15-28
24-19
21-18
14-25
19-23
20-25
24-14
17-14
12-20
22-27
20-23
28-20
13-18
13-20
34-19
24-20
21-15
20-15
14-14
21-23
12-17
20-20
25-24
31-30
26-20
21-13
165.5Avg total
84.4Scored
81.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)82.378.9161.2+3.450%
Season at home (6)88.776.5165.2+12.283%
Season away (6)76.081.3157.3-5.317%
Last 10 (10)84.481.1165.5+3.350%
Last 5 (5)87.280.4167.6+6.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)68.784.0152.7-15.30%
vs Similar ◀ (11)81.183.2164.3-2.136%
vs Weaker (15)83.573.7157.2+9.973%
This opponent (Cremona) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.5-2.5Q1: +2.4+2.4Q2Q2: +3.2+3.2Q2: +1.5+1.5Q3Q3: +1.3+1.3Q3: -0.9-0.9Q4Q4: -2.9-2.9Q4: +0.1+0.1
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.5-2.5Q1: +2.4+2.4Q2Q2: +3.2+3.2Q2: +1.5+1.5Q3Q3: +1.3+1.3Q3: -0.9-0.9Q4Q4: -2.9-2.9Q4: +0.1+0.1
CremonaVarese
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CremonaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Reggiana
#12
L
34-40
34
40
-6
A13/10
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#4
W
40-37
40
37
+3
H20/10
Lega A
Venezia
#7
L
32-37
32
37
-5
A26/10
Lega A
Cantu
#11
L
33-49
33
49
-16
H03/11
Lega A
Fortitudo Bologna
#9
W
48-38
48
38
+10
H10/11
Lega A
Trento
#8
W
44-43
44
43
+1
A17/11
Lega A
Trieste
#14
D
38-38
38
38
+0
H24/11
Lega A
Pesaro
#17
W
40-27
40
27
+13
A01/12
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
W
46-34
46
34
+12
H08/12
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
L
35-40
35
40
-5
A15/12
Lega A
77.3Avg total
39.0Scored
38.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)42.341.784.0+0.755%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.640.183.7+3.573%-
Last 30 away (14)41.043.484.4-2.436%-
Last 10 (10)39.038.377.3+0.750%-
Last 5 (5)40.636.477.0+4.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)43.035.578.5+7.5100%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)39.343.883.1-4.442%-
vs Weaker (14)44.740.985.6+3.857%-
This opponent (Varese) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VareseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fortitudo Bologna
#9
W
49-31
49
31
+18
H06/10
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
34-40
34
40
-6
A19/10
Lega A
Brindisi
#5
W
50-36
50
36
+14
H27/10
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#4
L
30-46
30
46
-16
A03/11
Lega A
Brescia
#3
L
35-43
35
43
-8
A10/11
Lega A
Venezia
#7
W
41-28
41
28
+13
H17/11
Lega A
Reggiana
#12
W
48-43
48
43
+5
A23/11
Lega A
Virtus Roma
#15
W
58-39
58
39
+19
H01/12
Lega A
Cantu
#11
L
35-37
35
37
-2
A08/12
Lega A
Pesaro
#17
W
56-54
56
54
+2
H15/12
Lega A
83.3Avg total
43.6Scored
39.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.337.779.1+3.663%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.136.679.7+6.580%-
Last 30 away (15)39.638.978.5+0.747%-
Last 10 (10)43.639.783.3+3.960%-
Last 5 (5)47.640.287.8+7.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)31.041.072.0-10.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)41.638.780.4+2.973%-
vs Weaker (15)43.335.979.2+7.373%-
This opponent (Cremona) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Cremonatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cremona: 73.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀60%
🏀🏀🏀24%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.0 pts a game · 60% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers17.4 pts a game · 24% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.0 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.6 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.322.0
48.6%
52.0%44.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.15.8
26.2%
35.1%17.4
🏀 Free throws18.112.0
66.3%
73.6%12.0
They take 67.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Varesetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Varese: 83.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀40%
🏀🏀🏀42%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.2 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.1 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.8 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.6 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.616.6
52.5%
52.0%33.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.811.7
36.8%
35.1%35.1
🏀 Free throws18.614.8
79.6%
73.6%14.8
They take 63.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 50% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 Dec 2019 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Cremona
LWWWWWLLWL
Varese
WLWLWLLWLW
#6
League position
#10
-1.0
Net rating
+9.6
104.8
Offensive rating
121.2
105.8
Defensive rating
111.6
45.5%
Effective FG%
53.9%
49.3%
Opp. effective FG%
51.6%
16.2%
Turnover %
14.5%
37.3%
Off. rebound %
32.0%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.29
26.2%
3-point %
36.8%
53.2%
Assist %
49.1%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence104.8 · 121.2Defence105.8 · 111.6Shooting45.5% · 53.9%3-point %26.2% · 36.8%Ball care16.2% · 14.5%Off. rebounds37.3% · 32.0%Free throws0.27 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)60% · 50%
■ Cremona   ■ Varese
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Cremona wins
7
Varese wins
DateGameScore
17/03/19Varese v Cremona83-64
14/02/19Cremona v Varese82-73
18/11/18Cremona v Varese79-82
06/05/18Varese v Cremona89-79
07/01/18Cremona v Varese80-72
30/04/17Varese v Cremona78-75
02/01/17Cremona v Varese85-71
16/04/16Cremona v Varese70-79
23/12/15Varese v Cremona87-82 OT
22/03/15Varese v Cremona86-82
Cremonalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/12/19APistoia71-84
08/12/19HVirtus Bologna78-66
01/12/19APesaro74-63
24/11/19HTrieste88-78
17/11/19ATrento89-79
10/11/19HFortitudo Bologna80-73
03/11/19HCantu54-78
26/10/19AVenezia55-67
20/10/19HOlimpia Milano82-78
13/10/19AReggiana71-85
Vareselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/12/19HPesaro103-87
08/12/19ACantu67-74
01/12/19HVirtus Roma99-69
23/11/19AReggiana74-81
17/11/19HVenezia93-91 OT
10/11/19ABrescia74-91
03/11/19AOlimpia Milano69-93
27/10/19HBrindisi102-78
19/10/19AVirtus Bologna80-87
06/10/19HFortitudo Bologna83-60

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Cremona
Lega A 2019-20
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL58%
HomeWLWWW83%
AwayLLWWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %58%83%33%
Points / game77.178.575.7
Allowed / game77.976.779.2
Point differential-0.8+1.8-3.5
Avg total155.0155.2154.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%33%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Varese
Lega A 2019-20
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW50%
HomeWWWWW83%
AwayLLLLL17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %50%83%17%
Points / game82.388.776.0
Allowed / game78.976.581.3
Point differential+3.4+12.2-5.3
Avg total161.2165.2157.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+42%67%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %8%17%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Virtus Bologna1211192%83.876.0+7.8
2 Sassari129375%81.772.0+9.7
3 Olimpia Milano139469%80.873.4+7.5
4 Brescia127558%82.675.2+7.3
5 Brindisi127558%83.680.8+2.8
6 Fortitudo Bologna127558%78.578.3+0.2
7 Cremona127558%77.177.9-0.8
8 Virtus Roma137654%77.581.9-4.4
9 Varese126650%82.378.9+3.4
10 Reggiana126650%81.581.3+0.2
11 Treviso136746%76.976.4+0.5
12 Venezia125742%75.473.2+2.2
13 Trento125742%78.081.6-3.6
14 Cantu125742%71.876.0-4.2
15 Pistoia134931%74.282.9-8.7
16 Trieste123925%73.679.5-5.9
17 Pesaro120120%78.091.5-13.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Cremona1829242293
Varese2417161572
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