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Venezia vs Pesaro Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 29 Dec 2019
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 98-92
28-28 26-21 20-18 24-25
Position#7
Record7-7
FormWLLWW
Points / game77.7
Allowed / game74.4
Venezia 🏆
Italy
vs
Position#17
Record0-14
FormLLLLL
Points / game77.6
Allowed / game91.1
ItalyLega ARound 16
Domestic2019-20
Meetings · Venezia v Pesaro
05 May 2024
VEN91
PES79
12 Feb 2023
VEN93
PES77
23 Oct 2021
VEN77
PES68
11 Oct 2020
VEN72
PES90
29 Dec 2019
VEN98
PES92
21 Oct 2018
VEN97
PES62
07 Jan 2018
VEN72
PES71
05 Mar 2017
VEN85
PES61
03 Apr 2016
VEN96
PES100
29 Mar 2015
VEN84
PES72
12 Jan 2014
VEN89
PES65
03 Feb 2013
VEN71
PES68
26 Feb 2012
VEN87
PES61
17 Feb 2012
VEN70
PES90
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Venezia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pesaro winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VeneziaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVenezia
Date
Competition
Treviso
#13
L
79-90
79
90
-11
no box
A19/10
Lega A
Cremona
#6
W
67-55
67
55
+12
68avg 97
H26/10
Lega A
Brindisi
#5
L
71-75
71
75
-4
64avg 97
A03/11
Lega A
Sassari
#2
W
55-54
55
54
+1
42avg 97
H10/11
Lega A
Varese
#10
L
91-93 OT
91
93
-2
no box
A17/11
Lega A
Trento
#8
W
79-69
79
69
+10
74avg 97
H24/11
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
L
87-89
87
89
-2
78avg 97
A01/12
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#4
L
70-71
70
71
-1
no box
H15/12
Lega A
Reggiana
#12
W
104-85
104
85
+19
no box
A22/12
Lega A
Virtus Roma
#15
W
79-77
79
77
+2
70avg 97
H26/12
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-13
18-22
19-26
25-29
21-15
16-17
18-13
12-10
17-21
13-20
27-21
14-13
13-18
20-8
11-15
11-13
14-24
14-17
20-12
27-22
17-21
20-16
25-16
17-16
21-16
25-25
22-28
19-20
19-20
22-21
13-18
16-12
30-29
28-23
21-18
25-15
10-17
30-26
18-21
21-13
154.0Avg total
78.2Scored
75.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)77.774.4152.1+3.450%
Season at home (7)72.063.6135.6+8.486%
Season away (7)83.485.1168.6-1.714%
Last 10 (10)78.275.8154.0+2.450%
Last 5 (5)83.878.2162.0+5.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)62.564.5127.0-2.050%
vs Similar (12)81.182.2163.3-1.242%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)78.574.3152.8+4.367%
This opponent (Pesaro) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PesaroItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPesaro
Date
Competition
Reggiana
#12
L
65-90
65
90
-25
49avg 87
H27/10
Lega A
Treviso
#13
L
75-85
75
85
-10
64avg 87
A03/11
Lega A
Trento
#8
L
95-101 OT
95
101
-6
no box
H09/11
Lega A
Virtus Roma
#15
L
83-92
83
92
-9
68avg 87
A17/11
Lega A
Brescia
#3
L
74-101
74
101
-27
58avg 87
A24/11
Lega A
Cremona
#6
L
63-74
63
74
-11
50avg 87
H01/12
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#4
L
65-71
65
71
-6
56avg 87
H08/12
Lega A
Varese
#10
L
87-103
87
103
-16
76avg 87
A15/12
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
L
79-91
79
91
-12
72avg 87
A22/12
Lega A
Cantu
#11
L
72-87
72
87
-15
no box
H26/12
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-24
15-19
19-20
11-27
27-16
12-24
18-24
18-21
8-18
23-24
30-15
21-25
20-24
20-20
22-23
21-25
12-23
26-29
16-31
20-18
13-18
14-22
18-19
18-15
16-17
14-14
16-21
19-19
24-25
30-31
20-26
13-21
26-27
20-14
20-27
13-23
17-21
18-27
13-17
24-22
165.3Avg total
75.8Scored
89.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)77.691.1168.8-13.50%
Season at home (7)73.085.3158.3-12.30%
Season away (7)82.397.0179.3-14.70%
Last 10 (10)75.889.5165.3-13.70%
Last 5 (5)73.285.2158.4-12.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (29)77.891.7169.5-13.97%
vs Similar (1)81.077.0158.0+4.0100%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Venezia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -1.5-1.5Q1: -3.0-3.0Q2Q2: +1.1+1.1Q2: -3.2-3.2Q3Q3: +0.6+0.6Q3: -3.1-3.1Q4Q4: +2.4+2.4Q4: -3.8-3.8
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -1.5-1.5Q1: -3.0-3.0Q2Q2: +1.1+1.1Q2: -3.2-3.2Q3Q3: +0.6+0.6Q3: -3.1-3.1Q4Q4: +2.4+2.4Q4: -3.8-3.8
VeneziaPesaro
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
VeneziaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Treviso
#13
D
35-35
35
35
+0
A19/10
Lega A
Cremona
#6
W
37-32
37
32
+5
H26/10
Lega A
Brindisi
#5
L
30-41
30
41
-11
A03/11
Lega A
Sassari
#2
W
33-26
33
26
+7
H10/11
Lega A
Varese
#10
L
28-41
28
41
-13
A17/11
Lega A
Trento
#8
D
37-37
37
37
+0
H24/11
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
W
46-41
46
41
+5
A01/12
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#4
D
41-41
41
41
+0
H15/12
Lega A
Reggiana
#12
W
58-52
58
52
+6
A22/12
Lega A
Virtus Roma
#15
L
40-43
40
43
-3
H26/12
Lega A
77.4Avg total
38.5Scored
38.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.039.478.4-0.443%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.835.974.7+2.856%-
Last 30 away (14)39.243.482.6-4.129%-
Last 10 (10)38.538.977.4-0.440%-
Last 5 (5)44.442.887.2+1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)36.030.566.5+5.5100%-
vs Similar (12)40.442.582.9-2.133%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)37.038.075.0-1.040%-
This opponent (Pesaro) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PesaroLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Reggiana
#12
L
35-43
35
43
-8
H27/10
Lega A
Treviso
#13
L
39-40
39
40
-1
A03/11
Lega A
Trento
#8
L
31-42
31
42
-11
H09/11
Lega A
Virtus Roma
#15
L
40-44
40
44
-4
A17/11
Lega A
Brescia
#3
L
38-52
38
52
-14
A24/11
Lega A
Cremona
#6
L
27-40
27
40
-13
H01/12
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#4
L
30-31
30
31
-1
H08/12
Lega A
Varese
#10
L
54-56
54
56
-2
A15/12
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
W
46-41
46
41
+5
A22/12
Lega A
Cantu
#11
L
35-48
35
48
-13
H26/12
Lega A
81.2Avg total
37.5Scored
43.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.946.284.1-8.217%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.344.681.9-7.320%-
Last 30 away (15)38.547.786.3-9.213%-
Last 10 (10)37.543.781.2-6.210%-
Last 5 (5)38.443.281.6-4.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (29)37.746.283.8-8.517%-
vs Similar (1)46.046.092.0+0.00%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Venezia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Veneziatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Venezia: 75.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.8 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.6 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.219.0
49.7%
52.0%38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.68.7
34.0%
35.1%26.1
🏀 Free throws16.311.8
72.4%
73.6%11.8
They take 63.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Pesarotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pesaro: 75.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.2 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.3 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.6 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.117.6
48.8%
52.0%35.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.08.5
28.3%
35.1%25.5
🏀 Free throws20.014.3
71.5%
73.6%14.3
They take 66.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 29 Dec 2019 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Venezia
WWLLWLWLWL
Pesaro
LLLLLLLLLL
#7
League position
#17
+8.3
Net rating
-19.7
108.3
Offensive rating
102.7
100.0
Defensive rating
122.4
50.2%
Effective FG%
45.9%
49.7%
Opp. effective FG%
55.8%
18.1%
Turnover %
14.6%
33.2%
Off. rebound %
29.1%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.30
34.0%
3-point %
28.3%
56.0%
Assist %
46.7%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
0%

Profile

Offence108.3 · 102.7Defence100.0 · 122.4Shooting50.2% · 45.9%3-point %34.0% · 28.3%Ball care18.1% · 14.6%Off. rebounds33.2% · 29.1%Free throws0.26 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)50% · 0%
■ Venezia   ■ Pesaro
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Venezia wins
4
Pesaro wins
DateGameScore
03/02/19Pesaro v Venezia86-89
21/10/18Venezia v Pesaro97-62
06/05/18Pesaro v Venezia77-74
07/01/18Venezia v Pesaro72-71
05/03/17Venezia v Pesaro85-61
06/11/16Pesaro v Venezia84-78
03/04/16Venezia v Pesaro96-100 OT
13/12/15Pesaro v Venezia82-75
29/03/15Venezia v Pesaro84-72
07/12/14Pesaro v Venezia89-90
Venezialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/12/19HVirtus Roma79-77
22/12/19AReggiana104-85
15/12/19HOlimpia Milano70-71
01/12/19APistoia87-89
24/11/19HTrento79-69
17/11/19AVarese91-93 OT
10/11/19HSassari55-54
03/11/19ABrindisi71-75
26/10/19HCremona67-55
19/10/19ATreviso79-90
Pesarolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/12/19HCantu72-87
22/12/19APistoia79-91
15/12/19AVarese87-103
08/12/19HOlimpia Milano65-71
01/12/19HCremona63-74
24/11/19ABrescia74-101
17/11/19AVirtus Roma83-92
09/11/19HTrento95-101 OT
03/11/19ATreviso75-85
27/10/19HReggiana65-90

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Venezia
Lega A 2019-20
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW50%
HomeWWWLW86%
AwayLLLLW14%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %50%86%14%
Points / game77.772.083.4
Allowed / game74.463.685.1
Point differential+3.4+8.4-1.7
Avg total152.1135.6168.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%43%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (8)75% (4)0% (4)
Overtime %7%0%14%
Pesaro
Lega A 2019-20
Recent: 0 Wins / 10 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL0%
HomeLLLLL0%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game77.673.082.3
Allowed / game91.185.397.0
Point differential-13.5-12.3-14.7
Avg total168.8158.3179.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %7%14%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Virtus Bologna1513287%84.075.7+8.3
2 Sassari1411379%83.772.9+10.9
3 Brescia1510567%83.974.3+9.6
4 Olimpia Milano1510567%80.173.7+6.4
5 Brindisi148657%83.080.0+3.0
6 Cremona148657%78.178.4-0.3
7 Fortitudo Bologna158753%76.779.7-2.9
8 Venezia147750%77.774.4+3.4
9 Varese157847%82.179.1+3.1
10 Trento157847%78.179.6-1.5
11 Cantu157847%75.177.5-2.4
12 Virtus Roma157847%75.981.8-5.9
13 Treviso146843%77.178.1-1.1
14 Reggiana146843%81.183.4-2.3
15 Pistoia1551033%74.483.2-8.8
16 Trieste1541127%74.179.9-5.9
17 Pesaro140140%77.691.1-13.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Venezia2826202498
Pesaro2821182592
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