Cremona vs Virtus Roma Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 04 Mar 2012

Tip-off: 17:15

Final 87-71

24-18 26-14 17-20 20-19

Position#11

Record6-15

FormLLLWL

Points / game71.6

Allowed / game78.0

Cremona 🏆

Virtus Roma

Position#13

Record10-11

FormLLWWW

Points / game78.6

Allowed / game80.2

Lega ARound 23

Domestic2011-12

Meetings · Cremona v Virtus Roma

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cremona winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Virtus Roma winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Cremona

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Venezia

70-83

-13

A27/12

Lega A

Sutor Montegranaro

#16

76-72

H30/12

Lega A

Avellino

#10

62-64

-2

A03/01

Lega A

Varese

69-61

H08/01

Lega A

Treviso

#14

62-68

-6

A14/01

Lega A

Cantu

73-87

-14

A22/01

Lega A

Casale Monferrato

#18

73-74 OT

-1

H29/01

Lega A

Sassari

76-91

-15

A05/02

Lega A

Virtus Bologna

83-80

H11/02

Lega A

Biella

#12

62-73

-11

A26/02

Lega A

19-16

18-15

14-23

19-29

27-25

19-20

10-15

20-12

11-26

16-9

19-18

16-11

16-8

20-18

16-17

17-18

19-17

8-12

23-20

12-19

12-17

16-27

19-22

26-21

23-15

14-13

13-16

10-16

16-22

18-27

22-25

20-17

17-20

21-22

16-19

29-19

13-13

14-18

21-23

14-19

145.9Avg total

70.6Scored

75.3Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (21)	71.6	78.0	149.7	-6.4	29%
Season at home (10)	72.9	78.3	151.2	-5.4	40%
Season away (11)	70.5	77.8	148.3	-7.4	18%
Last 10 (10)	70.6	75.3	145.9	-4.7	30%
Last 5 (5)	73.4	81.0	154.4	-7.6	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	73.9	85.5	159.4	-11.6	12%
vs Similar ◀ (21)	74.0	78.2	152.2	-4.3	33%
vs Weaker (1)	80.0	73.0	153.0	+7.0	100%

This opponent (Virtus Roma) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Virtus Roma Italy

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Teramo

#17

67-64

A27/12

Lega A

Venezia

89-80

H30/12

Lega A

Olimpia Milano

75-83

-8

A03/01

Lega A

Casale Monferrato

#18

93-92

A08/01

Lega A

Pesaro

73-77 OT

-4

H11/01

Lega A

Virtus Bologna

78-82

-4

H21/01

Lega A

Biella

#12

73-81

-8

A25/01

Lega A

Sutor Montegranaro

#16

76-69

H08/02

Lega A

Varese

78-76

A12/02

Lega A

Siena

77-76

H26/02

Lega A

11-16

16-17

18-9

22-22

28-15

12-24

28-20

21-21

19-21

15-23

24-25

17-14

23-27

19-17

26-17

25-31

18-20

17-15

10-10

17-17

27-25

14-15

20-21

17-21

16-27

16-21

20-17

21-16

18-18

14-18

27-13

17-20

23-20

17-24

18-14

20-18

22-25

21-19

16-17

18-15

155.9Avg total

77.9Scored

78.0Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (21)	78.6	80.2	158.8	-1.6	48%
Season at home (11)	81.7	79.1	160.8	+2.6	55%
Season away (10)	75.2	81.4	156.6	-6.2	40%
Last 10 (10)	77.9	78.0	155.9	-0.1	60%
Last 5 (5)	76.4	76.8	153.2	-0.4	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	73.6	80.2	153.8	-6.6	40%
vs Similar ◀ (19)	78.9	79.8	158.8	-0.9	47%
vs Weaker (6)	78.3	75.3	153.7	+3.0	50%

This opponent (Cremona) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

CremonaVirtus Roma

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.4	20.4	38.8	-1.9	30%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.3	20.3	40.6	-0.1	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	16.6	20.4	37.0	-3.8	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.3	17.9	35.2	-0.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.2	17.4	33.6	-1.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	15.6	22.4	38.0	-6.8	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (21)	19.5	19.7	39.2	-0.2	38%	-
vs Weaker (1)	19.0	18.0	37.0	+1.0	100%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.0	20.5	39.6	-1.5	33%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.7	18.8	38.5	+0.9	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.3	22.3	40.6	-3.9	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.5	21.4	41.9	-0.9	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.2	23.0	44.2	-1.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	18.6	22.8	41.4	-4.2	20%	-
vs Similar ◀ (19)	19.6	20.3	39.9	-0.7	42%	-
vs Weaker (6)	17.5	19.3	36.8	-1.8	17%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.4	19.2	37.6	-0.8	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.9	18.8	37.7	+0.1	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.9	19.6	37.5	-1.7	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.4	18.1	34.5	-1.7	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.6	21.4	38.0	-4.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	18.8	22.2	41.0	-3.5	12%	-
vs Similar ◀ (21)	18.2	18.2	36.5	+0.0	57%	-
vs Weaker (1)	18.0	15.0	33.0	+3.0	100%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.3	18.4	35.7	-1.1	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.6	17.5	36.1	+1.1	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	16.0	19.3	35.3	-3.3	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.1	19.3	35.4	-3.2	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.4	19.4	35.8	-3.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	19.0	19.0	38.0	+0.0	60%	-
vs Similar ◀ (19)	16.2	18.9	35.2	-2.7	32%	-
vs Weaker (6)	19.3	16.0	35.3	+3.3	67%	-

CremonaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Venezia

37-31

A27/12

Lega A

Sutor Montegranaro

#16

46-45

H30/12

Lega A

Avellino

#10

27-35

-8

A03/01

Lega A

Varese

36-26

+10

H08/01

Lega A

Treviso

#14

27-29

-2

A14/01

Lega A

Cantu

28-44

-16

A22/01

Lega A

Casale Monferrato

#18

37-28

H29/01

Lega A

Sassari

34-49

-15

A05/02

Lega A

Virtus Bologna

38-42

-4

H11/02

Lega A

Biella

#12

27-31

-4

A26/02

Lega A

69.7Avg total

33.7Scored

36.0Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	36.8	39.6	76.4	-2.8	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	39.1	39.1	78.3	+0.0	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	34.5	40.0	74.5	-5.5	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	33.7	36.0	69.7	-2.3	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	32.8	38.8	71.6	-6.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	34.4	44.6	79.0	-10.2	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (21)	37.7	38.0	75.7	-0.2	48%	-
vs Weaker (1)	37.0	33.0	70.0	+4.0	100%	-

This opponent (Virtus Roma) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Virtus RomaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Teramo

#17

27-33

-6

A27/12

Lega A

Venezia

40-39

H30/12

Lega A

Olimpia Milano

34-44

-10

A03/01

Lega A

Casale Monferrato

#18

42-44

-2

A08/01

Lega A

Pesaro

35-35

H11/01

Lega A

Virtus Bologna

41-40

H21/01

Lega A

Biella

#12

32-48

-16

A25/01

Lega A

Sutor Montegranaro

#16

32-36

-4

H08/02

Lega A

Varese

40-44

-4

A12/02

Lega A

Siena

43-44

-1

H26/02

Lega A

77.3Avg total

36.6Scored

40.7Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	36.3	38.9	75.2	-2.6	33%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	38.3	36.3	74.6	+2.1	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	34.3	41.5	75.9	-7.2	13%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.6	40.7	77.3	-4.1	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.6	42.4	80.0	-4.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	37.6	41.8	79.4	-4.2	20%	-
vs Similar ◀ (19)	35.8	39.3	75.1	-3.4	26%	-
vs Weaker (6)	36.8	35.3	72.2	+1.5	67%	-

This opponent (Cremona) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.7	19.7	37.4	-1.9	30%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	17.2	19.6	36.8	-2.4	27%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.3	19.7	38.0	-1.5	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.3	19.8	37.1	-2.5	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.2	21.0	39.2	-2.8	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	18.0	20.9	38.9	-2.9	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (21)	17.7	19.4	37.1	-1.8	38%	-
vs Weaker (1)	17.0	15.0	32.0	+2.0	100%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.5	18.0	37.5	+1.5	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.4	17.6	38.0	+2.8	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.5	18.4	36.9	+0.1	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.7	16.3	37.0	+4.4	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.2	16.4	36.6	+3.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	18.0	18.6	36.6	-0.6	20%	-
vs Similar ◀ (19)	19.6	17.5	37.2	+2.1	53%	-
vs Weaker (6)	20.2	19.0	39.2	+1.2	33%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.0	20.1	39.1	-1.1	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.5	19.5	39.0	+0.1	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.5	20.7	39.1	-2.2	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.3	18.1	36.4	+0.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.8	18.4	38.2	+1.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	21.5	20.0	41.5	+1.5	75%	-
vs Similar ◀ (21)	17.7	19.9	37.6	-2.1	33%	-
vs Weaker (1)	26.0	25.0	51.0	+1.0	100%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.4	20.0	40.4	+0.4	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.1	19.7	39.8	+0.3	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.7	20.3	41.0	+0.5	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.5	19.5	39.0	+0.0	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.6	18.0	36.6	+0.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	18.0	19.8	37.8	-1.8	40%	-
vs Similar ◀ (19)	20.7	19.7	40.5	+1.0	58%	-
vs Weaker (6)	21.3	21.0	42.3	+0.3	83%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	36.7	39.7	76.5	-3.0	30%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	36.7	39.1	75.8	-2.3	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	36.7	40.4	77.1	-3.7	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	35.6	37.9	73.5	-2.3	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.0	39.4	77.4	-1.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	39.5	40.9	80.4	-1.4	38%	-
vs Similar ◀ (21)	35.4	39.3	74.7	-3.9	24%	-
vs Weaker (1)	43.0	40.0	83.0	+3.0	100%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.9	38.0	77.9	+1.9	63%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	40.5	37.3	77.8	+3.1	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	39.3	38.7	77.9	+0.6	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.2	35.8	76.0	+4.4	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.8	34.4	73.2	+4.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	36.0	38.4	74.4	-2.4	60%	-
vs Similar ◀ (19)	40.4	37.3	77.6	+3.1	68%	-
vs Weaker (6)	41.5	40.0	81.5	+1.5	50%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Cremona wins

Virtus Roma wins

Date	Game	Score
13/11/11	Virtus Roma v Cremona	85-78
20/03/11	Cremona v Virtus Roma	83-70
28/11/10	Virtus Roma v Cremona	70-84
31/01/10	Cremona v Virtus Roma	75-79
11/10/09	Virtus Roma v Cremona	94-79

Cremonalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
26/02/12	A	Biella	62-73
11/02/12	H	Virtus Bologna	83-80
05/02/12	A	Sassari	76-91
29/01/12	H	Casale Monferrato	73-74 OT
22/01/12	A	Cantu	73-87
14/01/12	A	Treviso	62-68
08/01/12	H	Varese	69-61
03/01/12	A	Avellino	62-64
30/12/11	H	Sutor Montegranaro	76-72
27/12/11	A	Venezia	70-83

Virtus Romalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
26/02/12	H	Siena	77-76
12/02/12	A	Varese	78-76
08/02/12	H	Sutor Montegranaro	76-69
25/01/12	A	Biella	73-81
21/01/12	H	Virtus Bologna	78-82
11/01/12	H	Pesaro	73-77 OT
08/01/12	A	Casale Monferrato	93-92
03/01/12	A	Olimpia Milano	75-83
30/12/11	H	Venezia	89-80
27/12/11	A	Teramo	67-64

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Cremona

Lega A 2011-12

Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLWL	29%
Home	LWWLW	40%
Away	LLLLL	18%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	21	10	11
Win %	29%	40%	18%
Points / game	71.6	72.9	70.5
Allowed / game	78.0	78.3	77.8
Point differential	-6.4	-5.4	-7.4
Avg total	149.7	151.2	148.3
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	0%	0%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	44% (9)	40% (5)	50% (4)
Overtime %	5%	10%	0%

Virtus Roma

Lega A 2011-12

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLWWW	48%
Home	WLLWW	55%
Away	WLWLW	40%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	21	11	10
Win %	48%	55%	40%
Points / game	78.6	81.7	75.2
Allowed / game	80.2	79.1	81.4
Point differential	-1.6	+2.6	-6.2
Avg total	158.8	160.8	156.6
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	5%	9%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	44% (9)	20% (5)	75% (4)
Overtime %	19%	27%	10%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Siena	21	15	6	71%	79.6	71.2	+8.4
2	Venezia	20	13	7	65%	77.1	73.9	+3.2
3	Olimpia Milano	21	13	8	62%	76.3	72.3	+4.0
4	Virtus Bologna	21	13	8	62%	78.6	76.3	+2.3
5	Sassari	21	13	8	62%	78.5	77.5	+1.0
6	Cantu	20	12	8	60%	74.6	70.5	+4.0
7	Pesaro	19	11	8	58%	73.4	75.3	-1.8
8	Avellino	21	12	9	57%	79.4	79.3	+0.0
9	Varese	21	11	10	52%	76.3	75.9	+0.5
10	Biella	21	10	11	48%	75.4	76.0	-0.6
11	Virtus Roma	21	10	11	48%	78.6	80.2	-1.6
12	Caserta	20	9	11	45%	77.8	78.4	-0.6
13	Treviso	20	8	12	40%	74.5	76.4	-1.9
14	Sutor Montegranaro	19	7	12	37%	75.6	77.7	-2.2
15	Teramo	22	7	15	32%	71.2	75.7	-4.5
16	Cremona	21	6	15	29%	71.6	78.0	-6.4
17	Casale Monferrato	21	5	16	24%	71.7	75.4	-3.7

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Cremona	24	26	17	20	87
Virtus Roma	18	14	20	19	71

← all games of the day

Cremona vs Virtus Roma Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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