Varese vs Virtus Roma Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 12 Feb 2012

Tip-off: 19:30

Final 76-78

20-23 24-17 14-18 18-20

Position#8

Record10-9

FormWLWLW

Points / game75.6

Allowed / game75.2

Varese

Virtus Roma 🏆

Position#13

Record8-11

FormWLLLW

Points / game78.7

Allowed / game80.6

Lega ARound 21

Domestic2011-12

Meetings · Varese v Virtus Roma

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Varese winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Virtus Roma winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Varese

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Biella

#12

79-73

H18/12

Lega A

Pesaro

68-72

-4

A27/12

Lega A

Cantu

67-83

-16

H30/12

Lega A

Treviso

#14

96-80

+16

H03/01

Lega A

Cremona

#11

61-69

-8

A08/01

Lega A

Avellino

#10

94-78

+16

H11/01

Lega A

Teramo

#17

75-81

-6

A15/01

Lega A

Olimpia Milano

74-64

+10

H22/01

Lega A

Sutor Montegranaro

#16

60-63

-3

A29/01

Lega A

Casale Monferrato

#18

64-58 OT

A04/02

Lega A

19-11

19-22

22-18

19-22

18-21

23-15

13-17

14-19

20-17

11-22

21-23

15-21

25-11

21-20

22-24

28-25

8-16

18-20

17-16

18-17

26-13

20-18

26-29

22-18

18-21

10-22

25-20

23-25

20-19

18-4

13-16

16-22

8-10

22-7

14-24

15-19

13-17

9-5

16-12

145.9Avg total

73.8Scored

72.1Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (19)	75.6	75.2	150.7	+0.4	53%
Season at home (9)	82.3	75.4	157.8	+6.9	89%
Season away (10)	69.5	74.9	144.4	-5.4	20%
Last 10 (10)	73.8	72.1	145.9	+1.7	50%
Last 5 (5)	73.4	68.8	142.2	+4.6	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	70.8	75.9	146.7	-5.1	30%
vs Similar ◀ (19)	78.5	75.4	153.9	+3.2	63%
vs Weaker (1)	76.0	81.0	157.0	-5.0	0%

This opponent (Virtus Roma) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Virtus Roma Italy

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Treviso

#14

79-93

-14

A10/12

Lega A

Avellino

#10

96-99 OT

-3

H18/12

Lega A

Teramo

#17

67-64

A27/12

Lega A

Venezia

89-80

H30/12

Lega A

Olimpia Milano

75-83

-8

A03/01

Lega A

Casale Monferrato

#18

93-92

A08/01

Lega A

Pesaro

73-77 OT

-4

H11/01

Lega A

Virtus Bologna

78-82

-4

H21/01

Lega A

Biella

#12

73-81

-8

A25/01

Lega A

Sutor Montegranaro

#16

76-69

H08/02

Lega A

15-24

13-23

19-17

32-29

22-24

23-19

22-27

17-14

11-16

16-17

18-9

22-22

28-15

12-24

28-20

21-21

19-21

15-23

24-25

17-14

23-27

19-17

26-17

25-31

18-20

17-15

10-10

17-17

27-25

14-15

20-21

17-21

16-27

16-21

20-17

21-16

18-18

14-18

27-13

17-20

161.9Avg total

79.9Scored

82.0Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (19)	78.7	80.6	159.4	-1.9	42%
Season at home (10)	82.2	79.4	161.6	+2.8	50%
Season away (9)	74.9	82.0	156.9	-7.1	33%
Last 10 (10)	79.9	82.0	161.9	-2.1	40%
Last 5 (5)	78.6	80.2	158.8	-1.6	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	74.6	78.8	153.4	-4.2	40%
vs Similar ◀ (19)	79.1	79.1	158.2	-0.1	47%
vs Weaker (6)	78.3	75.3	153.7	+3.0	50%

This opponent (Varese) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

VareseVirtus Roma

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.0	18.4	36.4	-0.4	40%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.7	16.9	36.6	+2.8	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	16.4	19.7	36.1	-3.2	19%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.2	17.3	36.5	+1.9	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.4	19.4	39.8	+1.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	16.5	18.6	35.1	-2.1	20%	-
vs Similar ◀ (19)	18.8	17.8	36.6	+1.1	53%	-
vs Weaker (1)	16.0	28.0	44.0	-12.0	0%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.8	20.2	39.0	-1.3	37%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.6	18.2	37.8	+1.4	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.0	22.4	40.4	-4.4	14%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.7	21.7	41.4	-2.0	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.4	23.4	43.8	-3.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	18.4	21.2	39.6	-2.8	40%	-
vs Similar ◀ (19)	19.4	20.2	39.5	-0.8	42%	-
vs Weaker (6)	17.5	19.3	36.8	-1.8	17%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.0	18.7	37.7	+0.2	40%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.1	18.1	38.3	+2.0	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	17.9	19.2	37.2	-1.3	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.1	18.4	35.5	-1.3	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	15.8	17.0	32.8	-1.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	18.6	19.7	38.3	-1.1	40%	-
vs Similar ◀ (19)	19.2	18.5	37.6	+0.7	37%	-
vs Weaker (1)	19.0	14.0	33.0	+5.0	100%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.3	18.4	35.7	-1.0	40%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	18.6	17.9	36.4	+0.7	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	15.9	18.9	34.9	-3.0	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	15.9	19.2	35.1	-3.3	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.0	17.2	33.2	-1.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	19.0	20.2	39.2	-1.2	40%	-
vs Similar ◀ (19)	16.3	18.6	34.9	-2.4	32%	-
vs Weaker (6)	19.3	16.0	35.3	+3.3	67%	-

VareseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Biella

#12

38-33

H18/12

Lega A

Pesaro

41-36

A27/12

Lega A

Cantu

31-39

-8

H30/12

Lega A

Treviso

#14

46-31

+15

H03/01

Lega A

Cremona

#11

26-36

-10

A08/01

Lega A

Avellino

#10

46-31

+15

H11/01

Lega A

Teramo

#17

40-39

A15/01

Lega A

Olimpia Milano

43-44

-1

H22/01

Lega A

Sutor Montegranaro

#16

24-32

-8

A29/01

Lega A

Casale Monferrato

#18

28-36

-8

A04/02

Lega A

72.0Avg total

36.3Scored

35.7Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	36.9	37.1	74.1	-0.2	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	39.9	35.1	74.9	+4.8	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	34.4	38.9	73.3	-4.6	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.3	35.7	72.0	+0.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.2	36.4	72.6	-0.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	35.1	38.3	73.4	-3.2	20%	-
vs Similar ◀ (19)	38.0	36.3	74.3	+1.7	63%	-
vs Weaker (1)	35.0	42.0	77.0	-7.0	0%	-

This opponent (Virtus Roma) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Virtus RomaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Treviso

#14

28-47

-19

A10/12

Lega A

Avellino

#10

45-43

H18/12

Lega A

Teramo

#17

27-33

-6

A27/12

Lega A

Venezia

40-39

H30/12

Lega A

Olimpia Milano

34-44

-10

A03/01

Lega A

Casale Monferrato

#18

42-44

-2

A08/01

Lega A

Pesaro

35-35

H11/01

Lega A

Virtus Bologna

41-40

H21/01

Lega A

Biella

#12

32-48

-16

A25/01

Lega A

Sutor Montegranaro

#16

32-36

-4

H08/02

Lega A

76.5Avg total

35.6Scored

40.9Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	36.2	38.5	74.7	-2.4	37%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	38.1	36.1	74.2	+2.1	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	33.9	41.4	75.3	-7.4	14%	-
Last 10 (10)	35.6	40.9	76.5	-5.3	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.4	40.6	77.0	-4.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	37.4	41.4	78.8	-4.0	20%	-
vs Similar ◀ (19)	35.6	38.8	74.4	-3.2	32%	-
vs Weaker (6)	36.8	35.3	72.2	+1.5	67%	-

This opponent (Varese) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.1	17.6	35.7	+0.5	53%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.9	18.8	38.7	+1.1	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	16.5	16.6	33.1	-0.1	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.0	16.5	34.5	+1.5	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.0	13.4	30.4	+3.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	17.9	17.7	35.6	+0.2	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (19)	18.3	17.5	35.8	+0.8	58%	-
vs Weaker (1)	16.0	19.0	35.0	-3.0	0%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.6	17.4	37.0	+2.2	47%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.5	16.3	36.8	+4.2	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.6	18.7	37.3	-0.1	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.4	17.6	39.0	+3.8	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.6	15.6	36.2	+5.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	18.4	16.4	34.8	+2.0	40%	-
vs Similar ◀ (19)	19.7	17.2	36.9	+2.5	53%	-
vs Weaker (6)	20.2	19.0	39.2	+1.2	33%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.7	19.9	39.6	-0.2	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	22.4	21.4	43.7	+1.0	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	17.4	18.7	36.1	-1.3	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.4	19.4	37.8	-1.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.0	18.0	36.0	+0.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	17.8	19.9	37.7	-2.1	30%	-
vs Similar ◀ (19)	20.4	19.9	40.4	+0.5	58%	-
vs Weaker (1)	25.0	20.0	45.0	+5.0	100%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.7	20.2	40.9	+0.4	60%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.6	20.1	40.6	+0.5	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.8	20.4	41.2	+0.4	64%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.6	20.5	41.1	+0.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.4	21.0	40.4	-1.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	18.8	21.0	39.8	-2.2	40%	-
vs Similar ◀ (19)	20.9	19.8	40.7	+1.2	58%	-
vs Weaker (6)	21.3	21.0	42.3	+0.3	83%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.8	37.6	75.4	+0.2	57%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	42.3	40.1	82.4	+2.1	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	33.9	35.3	69.2	-1.4	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.4	35.9	72.3	+0.5	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	35.0	31.4	66.4	+3.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	35.7	37.6	73.3	-1.9	30%	-
vs Similar ◀ (19)	38.7	37.5	76.2	+1.3	68%	-
vs Weaker (1)	41.0	39.0	80.0	+2.0	100%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.3	37.7	77.9	+2.6	63%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	41.1	36.4	77.4	+4.7	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	39.4	39.1	78.5	+0.2	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.0	38.1	80.1	+3.9	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.0	36.6	76.6	+3.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	37.2	37.4	74.6	-0.2	60%	-
vs Similar ◀ (19)	40.7	37.0	77.7	+3.7	68%	-
vs Weaker (6)	41.5	40.0	81.5	+1.5	50%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Varese wins

Virtus Roma wins

Date	Game	Score
30/10/11	Virtus Roma v Varese	74-76 OT
27/03/11	Varese v Virtus Roma	84-78
05/12/10	Virtus Roma v Varese	89-92
17/04/10	Virtus Roma v Varese	64-71
20/12/09	Varese v Virtus Roma	67-84

Vareselast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
04/02/12	A	Casale Monferrato	64-58 OT
29/01/12	A	Sutor Montegranaro	60-63
22/01/12	H	Olimpia Milano	74-64
15/01/12	A	Teramo	75-81
11/01/12	H	Avellino	94-78
08/01/12	A	Cremona	61-69
03/01/12	H	Treviso	96-80
30/12/11	H	Cantu	67-83
27/12/11	A	Pesaro	68-72
18/12/11	H	Biella	79-73

Virtus Romalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
08/02/12	H	Sutor Montegranaro	76-69
25/01/12	A	Biella	73-81
21/01/12	H	Virtus Bologna	78-82
11/01/12	H	Pesaro	73-77 OT
08/01/12	A	Casale Monferrato	93-92
03/01/12	A	Olimpia Milano	75-83
30/12/11	H	Venezia	89-80
27/12/11	A	Teramo	67-64
18/12/11	H	Avellino	96-99 OT
10/12/11	A	Treviso	79-93

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Varese

Lega A 2011-12

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWLW	53%
Home	WLWWW	89%
Away	LLLLW	20%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	19	9	10
Win %	53%	89%	20%
Points / game	75.6	82.3	69.5
Allowed / game	75.2	75.4	74.9
Point differential	+0.4	+6.9	-5.4
Avg total	150.7	157.8	144.4
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	21%	44%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	40% (5)	100% (1)	25% (4)
Overtime %	11%	0%	20%

Virtus Roma

Lega A 2011-12

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLLLW	42%
Home	LWLLW	50%
Away	LWLWL	33%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	19	10	9
Win %	42%	50%	33%
Points / game	78.7	82.2	74.9
Allowed / game	80.6	79.4	82.0
Point differential	-1.9	+2.8	-7.1
Avg total	159.4	161.6	156.9
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	5%	10%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	29% (7)	0% (4)	67% (3)
Overtime %	21%	30%	11%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Siena	20	15	5	75%	79.8	71.0	+8.8
2	Venezia	18	11	7	61%	76.5	74.9	+1.6
3	Pesaro	18	11	7	61%	74.1	74.6	-0.5
4	Olimpia Milano	20	12	8	60%	76.0	72.9	+3.0
5	Virtus Bologna	20	12	8	60%	78.2	76.6	+1.6
6	Sassari	20	12	8	60%	78.1	77.8	+0.3
7	Cantu	19	11	8	58%	74.4	70.7	+3.6
8	Avellino	19	11	8	58%	79.9	79.8	+0.2
9	Varese	19	10	9	53%	75.6	75.2	+0.4
10	Caserta	19	9	10	47%	77.3	77.7	-0.4
11	Biella	19	9	10	47%	75.5	76.5	-1.0
12	Treviso	19	8	11	42%	74.8	76.3	-1.4
13	Virtus Roma	19	8	11	42%	78.7	80.6	-1.9
14	Sutor Montegranaro	19	7	12	37%	75.6	77.7	-2.2
15	Teramo	18	6	12	33%	71.3	75.0	-3.7
16	Cremona	20	6	14	30%	72.1	78.3	-6.2
17	Casale Monferrato	20	5	15	25%	72.2	75.0	-2.8

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Varese	20	24	14	18	76
Virtus Roma	23	17	18	20	78

← all games of the day

Varese vs Virtus Roma Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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