PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Cruzeiro vs Minas Prediction & Stats

Date: Thu 03 Dec 2026
Tip-off: 22:30
Scheduled
Position#9
Record2-2
FormLWLLW
Points / game75.5
Allowed / game75.2
vs
Position#1
Record4-0
FormLWWWW
Points / game88.0
Allowed / game65.8
BrazilNBB· Ginasio Dona Salome
Other2026-27
Meetings · Cruzeiro v Minas
03 Dec 2026
CRUZ v MINA
upcoming
26 Apr 2026
CRUZ74
MINA101
24 Apr 2026
CRUZ97
MINA81
01 Nov 2025
CRUZ76
MINA84
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cruzeiro win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Minas win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CruzeiroBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Unifacisa
#11
L
91-101
91
101
-10
H14/04
NBB
Cearense
#19
W
86-77
86
77
+9
H16/04
NBB
Minas
#3
L
94-99
94
99
-5
A21/04
NBB
Minas
#3
W
97-81
97
81
+16
H24/04
NBB
Minas
#3
L
74-101
74
101
-27
H26/04
NBB
Minas
#3
L
93-103
93
103
-10
A29/04
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#16
W
72-61
72
61
+11
A17/10
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#11
L
74-83
74
83
-9
A19/10
NBB
Brasilia
#5
L
80-89
80
89
-9
H27/10
NBB
Pato
#15
W
76-68
76
68
+8
H29/10
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-31
22-16
19-26
29-28
20-23
23-19
18-23
25-12
16-23
38-33
22-24
18-19
31-21
12-29
22-18
32-13
9-25
28-27
16-29
21-20
16-24
27-19
15-27
35-33
21-20
12-19
19-9
20-13
22-20
18-14
13-29
21-20
21-16
28-16
11-30
20-27
17-17
21-18
19-10
19-23
170.0Avg total
83.7Scored
86.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)75.575.2150.8+0.250%
Season at home (2)78.078.5156.5-0.550%
Season away (2)73.072.0145.0+1.050%
Last 10 (10)83.786.3170.0-2.640%
Last 5 (5)79.080.8159.8-1.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)83.892.5176.3-8.719%
vs Similar (6)80.080.7160.7-0.733%
vs Weaker (8)81.274.4155.6+6.988%
This opponent (Minas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MinasBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cruzeiro
#14
W
101-74
101
74
+27
A26/04
NBB
Cruzeiro
#14
W
103-93
103
93
+10
H29/04
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#6
L
90-100
90
100
-10
H04/05
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#6
W
97-91
97
91
+6
A07/05
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#6
L
97-103
97
103
-6
A09/05
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#6
L
81-92
81
92
-11
H12/05
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#16
W
78-66
78
66
+12
A20/10
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#11
W
88-71
88
71
+17
A22/10
NBB
Pato
#15
W
86-65
86
65
+21
H27/10
NBB
Brasilia
#5
W
100-61
100
61
+39
H29/10
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-9
27-28
29-16
20-21
24-16
19-27
27-15
33-35
23-27
29-26
15-25
23-22
28-19
14-23
32-22
23-27
31-31
20-21
27-27
19-24
22-20
22-25
12-24
25-23
25-20
18-13
18-10
17-23
15-15
20-21
36-13
17-22
24-14
24-18
23-16
15-17
26-12
17-21
24-19
33-9
173.7Avg total
92.1Scored
81.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)88.065.8153.8+22.2100%
Season at home (2)93.063.0156.0+30.0100%
Season away (2)83.068.5151.5+14.5100%
Last 10 (10)92.181.6173.7+10.570%
Last 5 (5)86.671.0157.6+15.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)93.2100.5193.8-7.225%
vs Similar (8)89.894.8184.5-5.038%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)91.979.3171.2+12.783%
This opponent (Cruzeiro) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -2.6-2.6Q1: +6.0+6.0Q2Q2: +1.9+1.9Q2: -1.3-1.3Q3Q3: -5.1-5.1Q3: +5.6+5.6Q4Q4: +3.2+3.2Q4: +0.2+0.2
CruzeiroMinas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CruzeiroLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Unifacisa
#11
L
43-47
43
47
-4
H14/04
NBB
Cearense
#19
W
43-42
43
42
+1
H16/04
NBB
Minas
#3
L
54-56
54
56
-2
A21/04
NBB
Minas
#3
L
43-50
43
50
-7
H24/04
NBB
Minas
#3
L
37-52
37
52
-15
H26/04
NBB
Minas
#3
D
43-43
43
43
+0
A29/04
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#16
L
33-39
33
39
-6
A17/10
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#11
W
40-34
40
34
+6
A19/10
NBB
Brasilia
#5
W
49-32
49
32
+17
H27/10
NBB
Pato
#15
W
38-35
38
35
+3
H29/10
NBB
85.3Avg total
42.3Scored
43.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.242.282.5-2.043%-
Last 30 at home (12)42.341.083.3+1.358%-
Last 30 away (18)38.843.181.9-4.233%-
Last 10 (10)42.343.085.3-0.740%-
Last 5 (5)40.636.677.2+4.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)40.746.286.9-5.625%-
vs Similar (6)43.236.079.2+7.283%-
vs Weaker (8)37.138.976.0-1.850%-
This opponent (Minas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MinasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cruzeiro
#14
W
52-37
52
37
+15
A26/04
NBB
Cruzeiro
#14
D
43-43
43
43
+0
H29/04
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#6
L
52-53
52
53
-1
H04/05
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#6
D
42-42
42
42
+0
A07/05
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#6
L
51-52
51
52
-1
A09/05
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#6
L
44-45
44
45
-1
H12/05
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#16
W
43-33
43
33
+10
A20/10
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#11
L
35-36
35
36
-1
A22/10
NBB
Pato
#15
W
48-32
48
32
+16
H27/10
NBB
Brasilia
#5
W
43-33
43
33
+10
H29/10
NBB
85.9Avg total
45.3Scored
40.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.844.190.9+2.747%-
Last 30 at home (14)46.642.188.6+4.557%-
Last 30 away (16)47.045.992.9+1.138%-
Last 10 (10)45.340.685.9+4.740%-
Last 5 (5)42.635.878.4+6.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)44.052.296.2-8.20%-
vs Similar (8)46.849.596.2-2.812%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)47.439.987.4+7.572%-
This opponent (Cruzeiro) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Cruzeirotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cruzeiro: 77.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.8 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.1 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 71.0 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.320.4
50.6%
49.9%40.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.68.0
33.9%
31.7%24.0
🏀 Free throws17.713.1
74.0%
71.2%13.1
They take 63.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Minastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Minas: 89.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.8 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.4 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 71.0 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.320.9
59.2%
49.9%41.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.210.1
34.6%
31.7%30.3
🏀 Free throws23.317.4
74.7%
71.2%17.4
They take 64.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 Dec 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Cruzeiro
WLLWLLWLWL
Minas
WWWWLLWLWW
#9
League position
#1
+1.2
Net rating
+13.2
92.4
Offensive rating
100.9
91.2
Defensive rating
87.7
50.7%
Effective FG%
55.9%
50.2%
Opp. effective FG%
47.4%
15.3%
Turnover %
16.7%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.36
33.9%
3-point %
34.6%
73.9%
Assist %
71.6%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence92.4 · 100.9Defence91.2 · 87.7Shooting50.7% · 55.9%3-point %33.9% · 34.6%Ball care15.3% · 16.7%Free throws0.28 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)40% · 70%
■ Cruzeiro   ■ Minas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Cruzeiro wins
5
Minas wins
DateGameScore
29/04/26Minas v Cruzeiro103-93
26/04/26Cruzeiro v Minas74-101
24/04/26Cruzeiro v Minas97-81
21/04/26Minas v Cruzeiro99-94
01/04/26Minas v Cruzeiro101-88
01/11/25Cruzeiro v Minas76-84
Cruzeirolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/10/26HPato76-68
27/10/26HBrasilia80-89
19/10/26AUniao Corinthians74-83
17/10/26ACaxias do Sul72-61
29/04/26AMinas93-103
26/04/26HMinas74-101
24/04/26HMinas97-81
21/04/26AMinas94-99
16/04/26HCearense86-77
14/04/26HUnifacisa91-101
Minaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/10/26HBrasilia100-61
27/10/26HPato86-65
22/10/26AUniao Corinthians88-71
20/10/26ACaxias do Sul78-66
12/05/26HCorinthians Paulista81-92
09/05/26ACorinthians Paulista97-103
07/05/26ACorinthians Paulista97-91
04/05/26HCorinthians Paulista90-100
29/04/26HCruzeiro103-93
26/04/26ACruzeiro101-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Cruzeiro
NBB 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLW50%
HomeLW50%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game75.578.073.0
Allowed / game75.278.572.0
Point differential+0.2-0.5+1.0
Avg total150.8156.5145.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%0%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Minas
NBB 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWW100%
HomeWW100%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game88.093.083.0
Allowed / game65.863.068.5
Point differential+22.2+30.0+14.5
Avg total153.8156.0151.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Minas440100%88.065.8+22.2
2 Unifacisa43175%86.074.0+12.0
3 Pinheiros43175%81.870.2+11.5
4 Mogi43175%78.873.5+5.2
5 Brasilia43175%86.286.2+0.0
6 Paulistano43175%75.275.5-0.2
7 Flamengo32167%79.770.7+9.0
8 Franca42250%72.569.0+3.5
9 Cruzeiro42250%75.575.2+0.2
10 Bauru42250%75.277.8-2.5
11 Uniao Corinthians42250%76.079.2-3.2
12 Corinthians Paulista31233%81.078.7+2.3
13 Osasco31233%79.084.7-5.7
14 Botafogo41325%80.884.8-4.0
15 Pato41325%74.082.5-8.5
16 Caxias do Sul4040%67.077.8-10.8
17 Sao Jose3030%70.090.0-20.0
18 Cearense2020%66.095.5-29.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.