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Cruzeiro vs Minas Prediction & Stats

Date: Thu 03 Dec 2026
Tip-off: 22:30
Scheduled
Position#9
Record3-3
FormLLWWL
Points / game76.2
Allowed / game78.8
Cruzeiro
Brazil
vs
Form · last 5 games
4.5/10
Below normal
5.4/10
Around normal
Minas
Brazil
Position#1
Record8-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game85.1
Allowed / game65.4
BrazilNBB· Ginasio Dona Salome
Other2026-27
Meetings · Cruzeiro v Minas
03 Dec 2026
CRUZ v MINA
upcoming
26 Apr 2026
CRUZ74
MINA101
24 Apr 2026
CRUZ97
MINA81
01 Nov 2025
CRUZ76
MINA84
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cruzeiro win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Minas win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CruzeiroBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCruzeiro
Date
Competition
Minas
#3
L
94-99
94
99
-5
92avg 75
A21/04
NBB
Minas
#3
W
97-81
97
81
+16
94avg 75
H24/04
NBB
Minas
#3
L
74-101
74
101
-27
63avg 75
H26/04
NBB
Minas
#3
L
93-103
93
103
-10
83avg 75
A29/04
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#18
W
72-61
72
61
+11
71avg 75
A17/10
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#7
L
74-83
74
83
-9
66avg 75
A19/10
NBB
Brasilia
#8
L
80-89
80
89
-9
40avg 75
H27/10
NBB
Pato
#15
W
76-68
76
68
+8
60avg 75
H29/10
NBB
Bauru
#11
W
78-74
78
74
+4
no box
A03/11
NBB
Franca
#6
L
77-98
77
98
-21
no box
A05/11
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-23
38-33
22-24
18-19
31-21
12-29
22-18
32-13
9-25
28-27
16-29
21-20
16-24
27-19
15-27
35-33
21-20
12-19
19-9
20-13
22-20
18-14
13-29
21-20
21-16
28-16
11-30
20-27
17-17
21-18
19-10
19-23
16-24
23-21
13-15
26-14
14-23
21-22
17-27
25-26
167.2Avg total
81.5Scored
85.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)76.278.8155.0-2.750%
Season at home (2)78.078.5156.5-0.550%
Season away (4)75.279.0154.2-3.850%
Last 10 (10)81.585.7167.2-4.240%
Last 5 (5)77.082.4159.4-5.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)83.893.3177.1-9.519%
vs Similar (7)79.779.7159.4+0.043%
vs Weaker (7)81.674.3155.9+7.386%
This opponent (Minas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MinasBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMinas
Date
Competition
Corinthians Paulista
#6
L
97-103
97
103
-6
95avg 85
A09/05
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#6
L
81-92
81
92
-11
76avg 85
H12/05
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#18
W
78-66
78
66
+12
69avg 85
A20/10
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#7
W
88-71
88
71
+17
88avg 85
A22/10
NBB
Pato
#15
W
86-65
86
65
+21
85avg 85
H27/10
NBB
Brasilia
#8
W
100-61
100
61
+39
100avg 85
H29/10
NBB
Franca
#6
W
87-76
87
76
+11
no box
A03/11
NBB
Bauru
#11
W
77-64
77
64
+13
no box
A05/11
NBB
Unifacisa
#5
W
88-57
88
57
+31
no box
H11/11
NBB
Cearense
#17
W
77-63
77
63
+14
no box
H14/11
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-31
20-21
27-27
19-24
22-20
22-25
12-24
25-23
25-20
18-13
18-10
17-23
15-15
20-21
36-13
17-22
24-14
24-18
23-16
15-17
26-12
17-21
24-19
33-9
19-25
25-15
24-21
19-15
18-16
21-20
17-12
21-16
24-17
20-11
23-11
21-18
17-18
23-11
14-16
23-18
157.7Avg total
85.9Scored
71.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)85.165.4150.5+19.8100%
Season at home (4)87.861.5149.2+26.2100%
Season away (4)82.569.2151.8+13.2100%
Last 10 (10)85.971.8157.7+14.180%
Last 5 (5)85.864.2150.0+21.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)97.0100.7197.7-3.733%
vs Similar (7)89.495.3184.7-5.929%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)89.874.3164.1+15.590%
This opponent (Cruzeiro) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -3.0-3.0Q1: +3.3+3.3Q2Q2: +1.0+1.0Q2: +3.4+3.4Q3Q3: -5.1-5.1Q3: +4.9+4.9Q4Q4: +2.9+2.9Q4: +2.5+2.5
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -3.0-3.0Q1: +3.3+3.3Q2Q2: +1.0+1.0Q2: +3.4+3.4Q3Q3: -5.1-5.1Q3: +4.9+4.9Q4Q4: +2.9+2.9Q4: +2.5+2.5
CruzeiroMinas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CruzeiroLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Minas
#3
L
54-56
54
56
-2
A21/04
NBB
Minas
#3
L
43-50
43
50
-7
H24/04
NBB
Minas
#3
L
37-52
37
52
-15
H26/04
NBB
Minas
#3
D
43-43
43
43
+0
A29/04
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#18
L
33-39
33
39
-6
A17/10
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#7
W
40-34
40
34
+6
A19/10
NBB
Brasilia
#8
W
49-32
49
32
+17
H27/10
NBB
Pato
#15
W
38-35
38
35
+3
H29/10
NBB
Bauru
#11
L
39-45
39
45
-6
A03/11
NBB
Franca
#6
L
35-45
35
45
-10
A05/11
NBB
84.2Avg total
41.1Scored
43.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.342.683.0-2.343%-
Last 30 at home (11)42.941.184.0+1.864%-
Last 30 away (19)38.843.582.4-4.732%-
Last 10 (10)41.143.184.2-2.030%-
Last 5 (5)40.238.278.4+2.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)40.746.787.4-6.025%-
vs Similar (7)42.637.379.9+5.371%-
vs Weaker (7)37.338.776.0-1.457%-
This opponent (Minas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MinasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Corinthians Paulista
#6
L
51-52
51
52
-1
A09/05
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#6
L
44-45
44
45
-1
H12/05
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#18
W
43-33
43
33
+10
A20/10
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#7
L
35-36
35
36
-1
A22/10
NBB
Pato
#15
W
48-32
48
32
+16
H27/10
NBB
Brasilia
#8
W
43-33
43
33
+10
H29/10
NBB
Franca
#6
W
44-40
44
40
+4
A03/11
NBB
Bauru
#11
W
39-36
39
36
+3
A05/11
NBB
Unifacisa
#5
W
44-28
44
28
+16
H11/11
NBB
Cearense
#17
W
40-29
40
29
+11
H14/11
NBB
79.5Avg total
43.1Scored
36.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.642.087.6+3.753%-
Last 30 at home (14)45.439.985.3+5.657%-
Last 30 away (16)45.843.889.6+2.050%-
Last 10 (10)43.136.479.5+6.770%-
Last 5 (5)42.033.275.2+8.8100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)42.751.394.0-8.70%-
vs Similar (7)45.349.795.0-4.40%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)46.237.984.1+8.480%-
This opponent (Cruzeiro) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Cruzeirotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cruzeiro: 77.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.8 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.1 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 69.9 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.320.4
50.6%
49.8%40.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.68.0
33.9%
31.6%24.0
🏀 Free throws17.713.1
74.0%
71.3%13.1
They take 63.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Minastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Minas: 89.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.8 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.4 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 69.9 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.320.9
59.2%
49.8%41.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.210.1
34.6%
31.6%30.3
🏀 Free throws23.317.4
74.7%
71.3%17.4
They take 64.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 Dec 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Cruzeiro
LWWLLWLLWL
Minas
WWWWWWWWLL
#9
League position
#1
+1.2
Net rating
+13.2
92.4
Offensive rating
100.9
91.2
Defensive rating
87.7
50.7%
Effective FG%
55.9%
50.2%
Opp. effective FG%
47.4%
15.3%
Turnover %
16.7%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.36
33.9%
3-point %
34.6%
73.9%
Assist %
71.6%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence92.4 · 100.9Defence91.2 · 87.7Shooting50.7% · 55.9%3-point %33.9% · 34.6%Ball care15.3% · 16.7%Free throws0.28 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)40% · 80%
■ Cruzeiro   ■ Minas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Cruzeiro wins
5
Minas wins
DateGameScore
29/04/26Minas v Cruzeiro103-93
26/04/26Cruzeiro v Minas74-101
24/04/26Cruzeiro v Minas97-81
21/04/26Minas v Cruzeiro99-94
01/04/26Minas v Cruzeiro101-88
01/11/25Cruzeiro v Minas76-84
Cruzeirolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/11/26AFranca77-98
03/11/26ABauru78-74
29/10/26HPato76-68
27/10/26HBrasilia80-89
19/10/26AUniao Corinthians74-83
17/10/26ACaxias do Sul72-61
29/04/26AMinas93-103
26/04/26HMinas74-101
24/04/26HMinas97-81
21/04/26AMinas94-99
Minaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HCearense77-63
11/11/26HUnifacisa88-57
05/11/26ABauru77-64
03/11/26AFranca87-76
29/10/26HBrasilia100-61
27/10/26HPato86-65
22/10/26AUniao Corinthians88-71
20/10/26ACaxias do Sul78-66
12/05/26HCorinthians Paulista81-92
09/05/26ACorinthians Paulista97-103

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Cruzeiro
NBB 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL50%
HomeLW50%
AwayWLWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games624
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game76.278.075.2
Allowed / game78.878.579.0
Point differential-2.7-0.5-3.8
Avg total155.0156.5154.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%0%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Minas
NBB 2026-27
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game85.187.882.5
Allowed / game65.461.569.2
Point differential+19.8+26.2+13.2
Avg total150.5149.2151.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Minas880100%85.165.4+19.8
2 Mogi76186%83.173.9+9.3
3 Pinheiros86275%85.273.1+12.1
4 Flamengo75271%80.973.4+7.4
5 Unifacisa75271%79.475.1+4.3
6 Franca85362%78.971.6+7.2
7 Uniao Corinthians74357%72.374.7-2.4
8 Brasilia84450%80.679.8+0.9
9 Cruzeiro63350%76.278.8-2.7
10 Corinthians Paulista73443%80.079.0+1.0
11 Bauru73443%76.777.7-1.0
12 Sao Jose73443%80.381.7-1.4
13 Paulistano73443%69.673.9-4.3
14 Botafogo62433%76.783.0-6.3
15 Pato82625%72.681.5-8.9
16 Osasco61517%77.886.8-9.0
17 Cearense71614%65.683.7-18.1
18 Caxias do Sul7070%64.779.6-14.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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