PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Minas vs Cruzeiro Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 01 Apr 2026
Tip-off: 22:00
Final 101-88
22-21 31-12 25-27 23-28
Position#3
Record24-8
FormLWWWL
Points / game86.6
Allowed / game81.8
Minas 🏆
Brazil
vs
Cruzeiro
Brazil
Position#14
Record11-21
FormWWLLL
Points / game79.4
Allowed / game85.2
BrazilNBB· Arena Minas Tenis Clube
Other2025-26
Meetings · Minas v Cruzeiro
29 Apr 2026
MINA103
CRUZ93
21 Apr 2026
MINA99
CRUZ94
01 Apr 2026
MINA101
CRUZ88
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Minas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Cruzeiro winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

🔥 Form · Minas
5.5out of 10 · 5 = normal010
Above their normal
🏀
Attack
Points scored per game
Last 5 v their normal 84.0
85.4▲ 1.4
🛡️
Defence
Points allowed per game
Last 5 v their normal 78.3
83.4▲ 5.1
🎯
Accuracy
True shooting %
Last 5 v their normal 56%
57%▲ 2%
🤝
Playmaking
Assists per game
Last 5 v their normal 18.2
19.4▲ 1.2
🔥 Form · Cruzeiro
4.4out of 10 · 5 = normal010
Below their normal
🏀
Attack
Points scored per game
Last 5 v their normal 79.4
80.4▲ 1.0
🛡️
Defence
Points allowed per game
Last 5 v their normal 85.2
85.0▼ 0.2
🎯
Accuracy
True shooting %
Last 5 v their normal 56%
57%▲ 1%
🤝
Playmaking
Assists per game
Last 5 v their normal 18.3
17.2▼ 1.1
MinasBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brasilia
#5
W
92-91
92
91
+1
H17/02
NBB
Rio Claro
#15
W
98-95 OT
98
95
+3
H19/02
NBB
Paulistano
#7
L
83-104
83
104
-21
A22/02
NBB
Franca
#4
L
90-98
90
98
-8
H08/03
Champions League Americas
Franca
#4
W
110-101
110
101
+9
A11/03
Champions League Americas
Franca
#4
L
91-103
91
103
-12
A12/03
Champions League Americas
Uniao Corinthians
#12
W
92-82
92
82
+10
H17/03
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#13
W
81-75
81
75
+6
H19/03
NBB
Osasco
#18
W
78-66
78
66
+12
A22/03
NBB
Pinheiros
#2
L
85-91
85
91
-6
A24/03
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-20
26-28
26-16
9-27
26-22
17-18
15-25
27-20
17-29
24-30
19-31
23-14
13-23
26-30
21-17
30-28
23-23
22-26
33-22
32-30
23-27
21-25
21-32
26-19
21-21
27-21
34-16
10-24
24-29
18-16
21-9
18-21
31-20
12-19
18-18
17-9
22-29
26-24
14-15
23-23
180.6Avg total
90.0Scored
90.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (32)86.681.8168.4+4.875%
Season at home (16)86.079.1165.1+6.988%
Season away (16)87.284.5171.7+2.762%
Last 10 (10)90.090.6180.6-0.660%
Last 5 (5)85.483.4168.8+2.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)85.390.3175.6-5.029%
vs Similar (6)85.589.5175.0-4.033%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)88.479.6168.0+8.894%
This opponent (Cruzeiro) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CruzeiroBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bauru
#10
L
77-80
77
80
-3
A06/02
NBB
Franca
#1
L
67-95
67
95
-28
A14/02
NBB
Mogi
#8
W
70-69
70
69
+1
A16/02
NBB
Brasilia
#5
L
87-93
87
93
-6
H19/02
NBB
Rio Claro
#15
W
95-79
95
79
+16
H21/02
NBB
Osasco
#18
W
92-84
92
84
+8
A07/03
NBB
Paulistano
#7
W
89-88
89
88
+1
A10/03
NBB
Pinheiros
#2
L
79-101
79
101
-22
A13/03
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#13
L
76-85
76
85
-9
H17/03
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#12
L
66-67
66
67
-1
H19/03
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-25
17-17
16-18
25-20
9-26
19-29
20-24
19-16
15-20
18-14
20-17
17-18
26-24
23-20
22-24
16-25
18-24
22-21
30-17
25-17
17-17
23-17
24-26
28-24
27-26
23-14
23-19
16-29
15-20
27-19
23-31
14-31
19-19
20-14
21-18
16-34
13-19
25-14
20-18
8-16
163.9Avg total
79.8Scored
84.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (32)79.485.2164.6-5.834%
Season at home (17)81.184.7165.8-3.635%
Season away (15)77.585.7163.2-8.133%
Last 10 (10)79.884.1163.9-4.340%
Last 5 (5)80.485.0165.4-4.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)79.890.4170.2-10.518%
vs Similar (8)76.680.6157.2-4.038%
vs Weaker (5)88.875.6164.4+13.2100%
This opponent (Minas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.2-1.2Q1: -4.2-4.2Q2Q2: -1.8-1.8Q2: +3.8+3.8Q3Q3: +2.1+2.1Q3: +0.7+0.7Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: -4.6-4.6
MinasCruzeiro
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MinasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brasilia
#5
W
57-48
57
48
+9
H17/02
NBB
Rio Claro
#15
W
43-40
43
40
+3
H19/02
NBB
Paulistano
#7
L
41-59
41
59
-18
A22/02
NBB
Franca
#4
L
39-53
39
53
-14
H08/03
Champions League Americas
Franca
#4
L
45-49
45
49
-4
A11/03
Champions League Americas
Franca
#4
L
44-52
44
52
-8
A12/03
Champions League Americas
Uniao Corinthians
#12
W
48-42
48
42
+6
H17/03
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#13
L
42-45
42
45
-3
H19/03
NBB
Osasco
#18
W
43-39
43
39
+4
A22/03
NBB
Pinheiros
#2
L
48-53
48
53
-5
A24/03
NBB
93.0Avg total
45.0Scored
48.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.543.788.2+0.843%-
Last 30 at home (13)46.040.986.9+5.162%-
Last 30 away (17)43.345.889.1-2.529%-
Last 10 (10)45.048.093.0-3.040%-
Last 5 (5)45.046.291.2-1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)39.746.686.3-6.90%-
vs Similar (6)45.850.796.5-4.817%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)45.940.186.0+5.971%-
This opponent (Cruzeiro) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CruzeiroLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bauru
#10
L
36-42
36
42
-6
A06/02
NBB
Franca
#1
L
28-55
28
55
-27
A14/02
NBB
Mogi
#8
L
33-34
33
34
-1
A16/02
NBB
Brasilia
#5
W
49-44
49
44
+5
H19/02
NBB
Rio Claro
#15
L
40-45
40
45
-5
H21/02
NBB
Osasco
#18
W
40-34
40
34
+6
A07/03
NBB
Paulistano
#7
W
50-40
50
40
+10
A10/03
NBB
Pinheiros
#2
W
42-39
42
39
+3
A13/03
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#13
W
39-33
39
33
+6
H17/03
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#12
W
38-33
38
33
+5
H19/03
NBB
79.4Avg total
39.5Scored
39.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.542.481.9-2.840%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.342.784.0-1.540%-
Last 30 away (15)37.842.079.8-4.240%-
Last 10 (10)39.539.979.4-0.460%-
Last 5 (5)41.835.877.6+6.0100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)38.744.282.9-5.524%-
vs Similar (8)39.841.281.0-1.550%-
vs Weaker (5)42.037.879.8+4.280%-
This opponent (Minas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Minastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Minas: 90.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.4 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.7 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.521.7
57.9%
52.2%43.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.910.1
34.9%
32.5%30.3
🏀 Free throws24.416.7
68.4%
72.8%16.7
They take 66.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Cruzeirotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cruzeiro: 79.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.2 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.5 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.320.1
53.9%
52.2%40.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.68.6
35.0%
32.5%25.8
🏀 Free throws18.413.5
73.4%
72.8%13.5
They take 61.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 01 Apr 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Minas
LWWWLWLLWW
Cruzeiro
LLLWWWLWLL
#3
League position
#14
+1.3
Net rating
-5.3
99.2
Offensive rating
91.3
97.9
Defensive rating
96.6
55.5%
Effective FG%
53.3%
54.0%
Opp. effective FG%
50.5%
15.5%
Turnover %
17.3%
0.37
Free-throw rate
0.30
34.9%
3-point %
35.0%
60.7%
Assist %
59.6%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence99.2 · 91.3Defence97.9 · 96.6Shooting55.5% · 53.3%3-point %34.9% · 35.0%Ball care15.5% · 17.3%Free throws0.37 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)60% · 40%
■ Minas   ■ Cruzeiro
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Minas wins
0
Cruzeiro wins
DateGameScore
01/11/25Cruzeiro v Minas76-84
Minaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/03/26APinheiros85-91
22/03/26AOsasco78-66
19/03/26HCaxias do Sul81-75
17/03/26HUniao Corinthians92-82
12/03/26AFranca91-103
11/03/26AFranca110-101
08/03/26HFranca90-98
22/02/26APaulistano83-104
19/02/26HRio Claro98-95 OT
17/02/26HBrasilia92-91
Cruzeirolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/03/26HUniao Corinthians66-67
17/03/26HCaxias do Sul76-85
13/03/26APinheiros79-101
10/03/26APaulistano89-88
07/03/26AOsasco92-84
21/02/26HRio Claro95-79
19/02/26HBrasilia87-93
16/02/26AMogi70-69
14/02/26AFranca67-95
06/02/26ABauru77-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Minas
NBB 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL75%
HomeWWWWW88%
AwayLLLWL62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321616
Win %75%88%62%
Points / game86.686.087.2
Allowed / game81.879.184.5
Point differential+4.8+6.9+2.7
Avg total168.4165.1171.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+28%25%31%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (12)71% (7)80% (5)
Overtime %9%12%6%
Cruzeiro
NBB 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL34%
HomeWLWLL35%
AwayLWWWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321715
Win %34%35%33%
Points / game79.481.177.5
Allowed / game85.284.785.7
Point differential-5.8-3.6-8.1
Avg total164.6165.8163.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+9%18%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won71% (7)67% (3)75% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Pinheiros3428682%86.074.4+11.6
2 Franca3226681%91.076.4+14.6
3 Flamengo3325876%87.278.3+8.8
4 Minas3224875%86.681.8+4.8
5 Brasilia3425974%81.572.1+9.4
6 Corinthians Paulista32221069%84.679.0+5.6
7 Bauru34211362%81.978.4+3.4
8 Paulistano33201361%82.978.6+4.3
9 Sao Jose33201361%82.380.0+2.3
10 Mogi33181555%75.870.4+5.4
11 Uniao Corinthians33181555%79.481.0-1.6
12 Unifacisa32161650%80.981.0-0.1
13 Caxias do Sul33141942%72.876.7-3.8
14 Cruzeiro32112134%79.485.2-5.8
15 Rio Claro34102429%78.286.4-8.1
16 Botafogo3392427%72.682.3-9.7
17 Pato3272522%73.380.2-6.9
18 Cearense3462818%76.088.4-12.4
19 Vasco3352815%70.079.4-9.4
20 Osasco3452915%75.887.8-12.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Minas22312523101
Cruzeiro2112272888
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.