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Gorica vs Samobor Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 16 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 80-85
26-16 19-15 19-28 16-26
Position#4
Record16-6
FormWLWWW
Points / game81.3
Allowed / game74.4
vs
Samobor 🏆
Croatia
Position#5
Record14-8
FormWWLWW
Points / game84.9
Allowed / game83.2
CroatiaPrva LigaRound 23· GSD Velika Gorica
Other2023-24
Meetings · Gorica v Samobor
02 Apr 2025
GORI82
SAMO109
16 Mar 2024
GORI80
SAMO85
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Gorica winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Samobor winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

GoricaCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGorica
Date
Competition
Podstrana
#14
W
87-69
87
69
+18
91avg 77
H13/01
Prva Liga
Marsonia
#9
W
88-77
88
77
+11
76avg 77
H21/01
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#3
W
83-81 OT
83
81
+2
no box
A24/01
Prva Liga
Jazine
#7
W
103-94
103
94
+9
101avg 77
H27/01
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#12
W
88-71
88
71
+17
85avg 77
A03/02
Prva Liga
Osijek
#2
W
83-59
83
59
+24
81avg 77
H10/02
Prva Liga
Hermes
#8
L
84-89
84
89
-5
80avg 77
A17/02
Prva Liga
Mladost
#11
W
84-69
84
69
+15
77avg 77
H24/02
Prva Liga
Kastela
#6
W
67-61
67
61
+6
59avg 77
A03/03
Prva Liga
Stoja
#13
W
85-77
85
77
+8
81avg 77
H09/03
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-11
23-20
23-17
15-21
27-29
17-20
24-13
20-15
25-20
18-17
21-14
9-22
32-24
24-27
24-19
23-24
26-13
16-20
24-13
22-25
22-18
20-13
16-14
25-14
25-29
15-23
18-17
26-20
20-18
18-21
14-20
32-10
15-18
17-13
21-13
14-17
26-15
20-25
11-16
28-21
159.9Avg total
85.2Scored
74.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)81.374.4155.6+6.973%
Season at home (11)84.572.9157.5+11.691%
Season away (11)78.075.8153.8+2.255%
Last 10 (10)85.274.7159.9+10.590%
Last 5 (5)80.671.0151.6+9.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)77.079.0156.0-2.033%
vs Similar ◀ (14)81.981.9163.8+0.150%
vs Weaker (12)83.172.2155.2+10.983%
This opponent (Samobor) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SamoborCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSamobor
Date
Competition
Osijek
#2
L
77-96
77
96
-19
69avg 77
A13/01
Prva Liga
Kvarner
#1
L
82-86
82
86
-4
82avg 77
H21/01
Prva Liga
Hermes
#8
W
91-85
91
85
+6
83avg 77
A24/01
Prva Liga
Podstrana
#14
W
99-65
99
65
+34
80avg 77
H27/01
Prva Liga
Mladost
#11
W
113-92
113
92
+21
116avg 77
H06/02
Prva Liga
Marsonia
#9
W
97-88
97
88
+9
89avg 77
H11/02
Prva Liga
Kastela
#6
W
72-71
72
71
+1
66avg 77
A17/02
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#3
L
69-74
69
74
-5
64avg 77
H25/02
Prva Liga
Stoja
#13
W
92-87
92
87
+5
86avg 77
A03/03
Prva Liga
Jazine
#7
W
107-97
107
97
+10
101avg 77
H10/03
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-23
16-31
18-20
18-22
21-22
22-14
20-25
19-25
20-23
23-23
32-24
16-15
28-18
17-17
25-16
29-14
31-21
36-28
25-26
21-17
31-24
23-31
17-16
26-17
24-17
16-16
20-20
12-18
29-17
15-9
13-21
12-27
38-32
23-29
17-11
14-15
20-28
29-18
36-26
22-25
174.0Avg total
89.9Scored
84.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)84.983.2168.1+1.664%
Season at home (11)88.183.2171.3+4.964%
Season away (11)81.683.3164.9-1.664%
Last 10 (10)89.984.1174.0+5.870%
Last 5 (5)87.483.4170.8+4.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)80.388.1168.4-7.810%
vs Similar ◀ (7)79.984.4164.3-4.657%
vs Weaker (12)94.881.2175.9+13.6100%
This opponent (Gorica) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.9+4.9Q1: +4.2+4.2Q2Q2: -1.1-1.1Q2: +0.4+0.4Q3Q3: +4.0+4.0Q3: +1.8+1.8Q4Q4: +2.5+2.5Q4: -0.6-0.6
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.9+4.9Q1: +4.2+4.2Q2Q2: -1.1-1.1Q2: +0.4+0.4Q3Q3: +4.0+4.0Q3: +1.8+1.8Q4Q4: +2.5+2.5Q4: -0.6-0.6
GoricaSamobor
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
GoricaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Podstrana
#14
W
49-31
49
31
+18
H13/01
Prva Liga
Marsonia
#9
L
44-49
44
49
-5
H21/01
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#3
W
43-37
43
37
+6
A24/01
Prva Liga
Jazine
#7
W
56-51
56
51
+5
H27/01
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#12
W
42-33
42
33
+9
A03/02
Prva Liga
Osijek
#2
W
42-31
42
31
+11
H10/02
Prva Liga
Hermes
#8
L
40-52
40
52
-12
A17/02
Prva Liga
Mladost
#11
L
38-39
38
39
-1
H24/02
Prva Liga
Kastela
#6
W
32-31
32
31
+1
A03/03
Prva Liga
Stoja
#13
W
46-40
46
40
+6
H09/03
Prva Liga
82.6Avg total
43.2Scored
39.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.538.779.2+1.957%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.839.481.2+2.456%-
Last 30 away (14)39.137.976.9+1.257%-
Last 10 (10)43.239.482.6+3.870%-
Last 5 (5)39.638.678.2+1.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)39.735.775.3+4.067%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)41.639.480.9+2.264%-
vs Weaker (12)41.137.378.4+3.850%-
This opponent (Samobor) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SamoborLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Osijek
#2
L
41-54
41
54
-13
A13/01
Prva Liga
Kvarner
#1
W
43-36
43
36
+7
H21/01
Prva Liga
Hermes
#8
L
43-46
43
46
-3
A24/01
Prva Liga
Podstrana
#14
W
45-35
45
35
+10
H27/01
Prva Liga
Mladost
#11
W
67-49
67
49
+18
H06/02
Prva Liga
Marsonia
#9
L
54-55
54
55
-1
H11/02
Prva Liga
Kastela
#6
W
40-33
40
33
+7
A17/02
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#3
W
44-26
44
26
+18
H25/02
Prva Liga
Stoja
#13
D
61-61
61
61
+0
A03/03
Prva Liga
Jazine
#7
W
49-46
49
46
+3
H10/03
Prva Liga
92.8Avg total
48.7Scored
44.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.843.086.7+0.853%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.241.385.5+2.973%-
Last 30 away (15)43.344.687.9-1.333%-
Last 10 (10)48.744.192.8+4.660%-
Last 5 (5)49.644.293.8+5.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)41.443.685.0-2.240%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)38.944.483.3-5.643%-
vs Weaker (12)48.241.289.4+6.967%-
This opponent (Gorica) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Goricatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Gorica: 83.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.2 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.6 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.4 points a game
53%
32%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.921.6
52.8%
52.9%43.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.58.9
34.9%
32.9%26.7
🏀 Free throws18.613.6
73.1%
71.2%13.6
They take 66.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Samobortheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Samobor: 90.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀11%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.8 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.4 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.8 pts a game · 11% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.4 points a game
53%
32%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.023.9
56.9%
52.9%47.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.810.8
37.5%
32.9%32.4
🏀 Free throws12.49.8
79.0%
71.2%9.8
They take 70.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Gorica
WWWLWWWWWW
Samobor
WWLWWWWWLL
#4
League position
#5
+10.9
Net rating
+7.3
107.5
Offensive rating
113.2
96.6
Defensive rating
105.9
52.6%
Effective FG%
56.6%
46.9%
Opp. effective FG%
51.7%
17.3%
Turnover %
16.7%
27.4%
Off. rebound %
26.2%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.18
34.9%
3-point %
37.5%
60.0%
Assist %
62.5%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence107.5 · 113.2Defence96.6 · 105.9Shooting52.6% · 56.6%3-point %34.9% · 37.5%Ball care17.3% · 16.7%Off. rebounds27.4% · 26.2%Free throws0.28 · 0.18Form (last 10/10)90% · 70%
■ Gorica   ■ Samobor
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Gorica wins
1
Samobor wins
DateGameScore
10/12/23Samobor v Gorica85-74
Goricalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/03/24HStoja85-77
03/03/24AKastela67-61
24/02/24HMladost84-69
17/02/24AHermes84-89
10/02/24HOsijek83-59
03/02/24ACrikvenica88-71
27/01/24HJazine103-94
24/01/24AKK Zagreb83-81 OT
21/01/24HMarsonia88-77
13/01/24HPodstrana87-69
Samoborlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/03/24HJazine107-97
03/03/24AStoja92-87
25/02/24HKK Zagreb69-74
17/02/24AKastela72-71
11/02/24HMarsonia97-88
06/02/24HMladost113-92
27/01/24HPodstrana99-65
24/01/24AHermes91-85
21/01/24HKvarner82-86
13/01/24AOsijek77-96

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Gorica
Prva Liga 2023-24
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW73%
HomeWWWWW91%
AwayLWWLW55%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221111
Win %73%91%55%
Points / game81.384.578.0
Allowed / game74.472.975.8
Point differential+6.9+11.6+2.2
Avg total155.6157.5153.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%64%36%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %9%0%18%
Samobor
Prva Liga 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW64%
HomeWWWLW64%
AwayWLWWW64%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221111
Win %64%64%64%
Points / game84.988.181.6
Allowed / game83.283.283.3
Point differential+1.6+4.9-1.6
Avg total168.1171.3164.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%55%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)0% (2)100% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Kvarner2321291%90.072.7+17.3
2 Osijek2321291%87.574.5+13.0
3 Gorica2216673%81.374.4+6.9
4 Samobor2214864%84.983.2+1.6
5 KK Zagreb2314961%79.172.7+6.4
6 Kastela23131057%79.474.5+4.9
7 Jazine23111248%86.385.0+1.3
8 Hermes22101245%89.690.0-0.4
9 Omis2291341%76.581.0-4.5
10 Marsonia2281436%79.385.6-6.3
11 Mladost2271532%78.884.4-5.6
12 Crikvenica2361726%73.484.1-10.7
13 Podstrana2241818%71.084.9-13.9
14 Stoja2231914%78.790.3-11.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Gorica2619191680
Samobor1615282685
← all games of the day
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