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Gorica vs Kvarner Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 16 Apr 2024
Tip-off: 14:00
Final 78-92
16-34 21-19 25-16 16-23
Position#4
Record18-9
FormLWLWL
Points / game80.8
Allowed / game75.3
vs
Kvarner 🏆
Croatia
Position#1
Record25-2
FormWWWWW
Points / game90.4
Allowed / game72.6
CroatiaPrva LigaPrva Liga - Semi-finals· GSD Velika Gorica
Other2023-24
Meetings · Gorica v Kvarner
16 Apr 2024
GORI78
KVAR92
28 Mar 2024
GORI71
KVAR75
19 Apr 2017
GORI92
KVAR82
16 Apr 2016
GORI80
KVAR91
09 Jan 2016
GORI70
KVAR94
30 Dec 2014
GORI86
KVAR95
11 Oct 2014
GORI67
KVAR84
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Gorica winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Kvarner winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

GoricaCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGorica
Date
Competition
Osijek
#2
W
83-59
83
59
+24
81avg 76
H10/02
Prva Liga
Hermes
#8
L
84-89
84
89
-5
80avg 76
A17/02
Prva Liga
Mladost
#11
W
84-69
84
69
+15
77avg 76
H24/02
Prva Liga
Kastela
#6
W
67-61
67
61
+6
59avg 76
A03/03
Prva Liga
Stoja
#13
W
85-77
85
77
+8
81avg 76
H09/03
Prva Liga
Samobor
#5
L
80-85
80
85
-5
72avg 76
H16/03
Prva Liga
Omis
#10
W
82-75
82
75
+7
69avg 76
A23/03
Prva Liga
Kvarner
#1
L
71-75
71
75
-4
58avg 76
H28/03
Prva Liga
Podstrana
#14
W
91-70
91
70
+21
97avg 76
A06/04
Prva Liga
Kvarner
#1
L
70-93
70
93
-23
58avg 76
A13/04
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-18
20-13
16-14
25-14
25-29
15-23
18-17
26-20
20-18
18-21
14-20
32-10
15-18
17-13
21-13
14-17
26-15
20-25
11-16
28-21
26-16
19-15
19-28
16-26
30-29
16-12
21-20
15-14
16-20
23-22
18-19
14-14
26-12
22-25
23-11
20-22
19-25
11-16
23-22
17-30
155.0Avg total
79.7Scored
75.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)80.875.3156.1+5.567%
Season at home (13)83.274.0157.2+9.277%
Season away (14)78.676.6155.2+2.157%
Last 10 (10)79.775.3155.0+4.460%
Last 5 (5)78.879.6158.4-0.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)74.481.0155.4-6.620%
vs Similar (10)79.678.7158.3+0.950%
vs Weaker (14)83.672.2155.8+11.486%
This opponent (Kvarner) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KvarnerCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKvarner
Date
Competition
Cibona
#2
L
67-82
67
82
-15
62avg 87
H14/02
Croatian Cup
Crikvenica
#12
W
92-76
92
76
+16
86avg 87
A18/02
Prva Liga
Osijek
#2
L
72-78
72
78
-6
54avg 87
H24/02
Prva Liga
Hermes
#8
W
102-69
102
69
+33
111avg 87
A03/03
Prva Liga
Mladost
#11
W
80-73
80
73
+7
79avg 87
H09/03
Prva Liga
Kastela
#6
W
84-70
84
70
+14
91avg 87
A16/03
Prva Liga
Stoja
#13
W
107-74
107
74
+33
115avg 87
H23/03
Prva Liga
Gorica
#4
W
75-71
75
71
+4
74avg 87
A28/03
Prva Liga
Omis
#10
W
95-72
95
72
+23
95avg 87
H06/04
Prva Liga
Gorica
#4
W
93-70
93
70
+23
93avg 87
H13/04
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-19
11-16
11-27
25-20
21-18
32-18
12-16
27-24
30-11
15-23
14-24
13-20
36-23
22-14
19-20
25-12
20-19
23-9
19-25
18-20
30-15
15-17
21-20
18-18
31-17
31-20
22-24
23-13
20-16
22-23
19-18
14-14
17-14
30-13
28-19
20-26
25-19
16-11
22-23
30-17
160.2Avg total
86.7Scored
73.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)90.472.6162.9+17.893%
Season at home (14)91.570.6162.1+20.993%
Season away (13)89.274.6163.8+14.592%
Last 10 (10)86.773.5160.2+13.280%
Last 5 (5)90.871.4162.2+19.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)65.084.0149.0-19.00%
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (27)90.472.6162.9+17.893%
This opponent (Gorica) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +2.5+2.5Q1: +7.9+7.9Q2Q2: -0.4-0.4Q2: +5.3+5.3Q3Q3: +0.4+0.4Q3: -2.9-2.9Q4Q4: +1.9+1.9Q4: +2.9+2.9
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +2.5+2.5Q1: +7.9+7.9Q2Q2: -0.4-0.4Q2: +5.3+5.3Q3Q3: +0.4+0.4Q3: -2.9-2.9Q4Q4: +1.9+1.9Q4: +2.9+2.9
GoricaKvarner
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
GoricaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Osijek
#2
W
42-31
42
31
+11
H10/02
Prva Liga
Hermes
#8
L
40-52
40
52
-12
A17/02
Prva Liga
Mladost
#11
L
38-39
38
39
-1
H24/02
Prva Liga
Kastela
#6
W
32-31
32
31
+1
A03/03
Prva Liga
Stoja
#13
W
46-40
46
40
+6
H09/03
Prva Liga
Samobor
#5
W
45-31
45
31
+14
H16/03
Prva Liga
Omis
#10
W
46-41
46
41
+5
A23/03
Prva Liga
Kvarner
#1
L
39-42
39
42
-3
H28/03
Prva Liga
Podstrana
#14
W
48-37
48
37
+11
A06/04
Prva Liga
Kvarner
#1
L
30-41
30
41
-11
A13/04
Prva Liga
79.1Avg total
40.6Scored
38.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.538.278.7+2.360%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.438.780.1+2.760%-
Last 30 away (15)39.637.777.3+1.960%-
Last 10 (10)40.638.579.1+2.160%-
Last 5 (5)41.638.480.0+3.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)37.638.075.6-0.440%-
vs Similar (10)41.837.779.5+4.180%-
vs Weaker (14)41.937.679.5+4.457%-
This opponent (Kvarner) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KvarnerLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cibona
#2
L
31-35
31
35
-4
H14/02
Croatian Cup
Crikvenica
#12
W
53-36
53
36
+17
A18/02
Prva Liga
Osijek
#2
W
45-34
45
34
+11
H24/02
Prva Liga
Hermes
#8
W
58-37
58
37
+21
A03/03
Prva Liga
Mladost
#11
W
43-28
43
28
+15
H09/03
Prva Liga
Kastela
#6
W
45-32
45
32
+13
A16/03
Prva Liga
Stoja
#13
W
62-37
62
37
+25
H23/03
Prva Liga
Gorica
#4
W
42-39
42
39
+3
A28/03
Prva Liga
Omis
#10
W
47-27
47
27
+20
H06/04
Prva Liga
Gorica
#4
W
41-30
41
30
+11
H13/04
Prva Liga
80.2Avg total
46.7Scored
33.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.336.681.9+8.877%-
Last 30 at home (16)45.734.980.6+10.881%-
Last 30 away (14)44.938.583.4+6.471%-
Last 10 (10)46.733.580.2+13.290%-
Last 5 (5)47.433.080.4+14.4100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)33.539.573.0-6.00%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (27)46.135.982.0+10.385%-
This opponent (Gorica) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Goricatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Gorica: 78.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.0 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.2 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.6 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.4 points a game
53%
32%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.520.5
51.9%
52.9%41.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.09.4
32.4%
32.9%28.2
🏀 Free throws12.99.6
74.4%
71.2%9.6
They take 68.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Kvarnertheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Kvarner: 86.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.8 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.2 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.1 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.4 points a game
53%
32%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.322.9
58.3%
52.9%45.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.79.4
36.6%
32.9%28.2
🏀 Free throws16.912.1
71.6%
71.2%12.1
They take 65.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 Apr 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Gorica
LWLWLWWWLW
Kvarner
WWWWWWWLWL
#4
League position
#1
+5.5
Net rating
+18.2
103.7
Offensive rating
115.9
98.1
Defensive rating
97.8
50.5%
Effective FG%
56.9%
48.8%
Opp. effective FG%
49.7%
16.6%
Turnover %
16.7%
27.3%
Off. rebound %
31.0%
0.19
Free-throw rate
0.26
32.4%
3-point %
36.6%
62.9%
Assist %
72.8%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence103.7 · 115.9Defence98.1 · 97.8Shooting50.5% · 56.9%3-point %32.4% · 36.6%Ball care16.6% · 16.7%Off. rebounds27.3% · 31.0%Free throws0.19 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)60% · 80%
■ Gorica   ■ Kvarner
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Gorica wins
8
Kvarner wins
DateGameScore
13/04/24Kvarner v Gorica93-70
28/03/24Gorica v Kvarner71-75
23/12/23Kvarner v Gorica94-71
19/04/17Gorica v Kvarner92-82
05/01/17Kvarner v Gorica73-77
07/05/16Kvarner v Gorica88-78
16/04/16Gorica v Kvarner80-91
09/01/16Gorica v Kvarner70-94
03/10/15Kvarner v Gorica81-77
10/01/15Kvarner v Gorica93-69
Goricalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/04/24AKvarner70-93
06/04/24APodstrana91-70
28/03/24HKvarner71-75
23/03/24AOmis82-75
16/03/24HSamobor80-85
09/03/24HStoja85-77
03/03/24AKastela67-61
24/02/24HMladost84-69
17/02/24AHermes84-89
10/02/24HOsijek83-59
Kvarnerlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/04/24HGorica93-70
06/04/24HOmis95-72
28/03/24AGorica75-71
23/03/24HStoja107-74
16/03/24AKastela84-70
09/03/24HMladost80-73
03/03/24AHermes102-69
24/02/24HOsijek72-78
18/02/24ACrikvenica92-76
14/02/24HCibona67-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Gorica
Prva Liga 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL67%
HomeWWWLL77%
AwayLWWWL57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271314
Win %67%77%57%
Points / game80.883.278.6
Allowed / game75.374.076.6
Point differential+5.5+9.2+2.1
Avg total156.1157.2155.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+44%54%36%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)0% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %7%0%14%
Kvarner
Prva Liga 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW93%
HomeLWWWW93%
AwayWWWWW92%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271413
Win %93%93%92%
Points / game90.491.589.2
Allowed / game72.670.674.6
Point differential+17.8+20.9+14.5
Avg total162.9162.1163.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+74%79%69%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)-100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Kvarner2725293%90.472.6+17.8
2 Osijek2723485%87.774.9+12.7
3 Gorica2718967%80.875.3+5.5
4 Samobor2718967%84.883.1+1.7
5 KK Zagreb2617965%79.771.8+7.9
6 Kastela26151158%79.274.8+4.4
7 Jazine26131350%86.985.5+1.4
8 Hermes26121446%89.789.4+0.2
9 Marsonia26101638%81.286.0-4.8
10 Omis26101638%77.382.2-4.9
11 Mladost2681831%78.284.8-6.6
12 Crikvenica2662023%73.084.9-11.9
13 Stoja2652119%79.790.0-10.3
14 Podstrana2642215%71.385.8-14.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Gorica1621251678
Kvarner3419162392
← all games of the day
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