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Gorica vs Sencur Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 15 Oct 2024
Tip-off: 18:15
Final 78-108
25-24 17-25 19-35 17-24
Position#31
Record-
FormLWLLL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
vs
Sencur 🏆
Slovenia
Position#11
Record-
FormLLLLW
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
SloveniaSlovenian Cup
Other2024-25
Meetings · Gorica v Sencur
17 Oct 2026
GORI70
SENC76
15 Oct 2024
GORI78
SENC108
13 Oct 2020
GORI75
SENC98
23 Oct 2018
GORI68
SENC119
26 Oct 2017
GORI47
SENC112
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Gorica winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Sencur winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

GoricaSloveniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGorica
Date
Competition
Mladost
#11
W
84-69
84
69
+15
77avg 76
H24/02
Prva Liga
Kastela
#6
W
67-61
67
61
+6
59avg 76
A03/03
Prva Liga
Stoja
#13
W
85-77
85
77
+8
81avg 76
H09/03
Prva Liga
Samobor
#5
L
80-85
80
85
-5
72avg 76
H16/03
Prva Liga
Omis
#10
W
82-75
82
75
+7
69avg 76
A23/03
Prva Liga
Kvarner
#1
L
71-75
71
75
-4
58avg 76
H28/03
Prva Liga
Podstrana
#14
W
91-70
91
70
+21
97avg 76
A06/04
Prva Liga
Kvarner
#1
L
70-93
70
93
-23
58avg 76
A13/04
Prva Liga
Kvarner
#1
L
78-92
78
92
-14
71avg 76
H16/04
Prva Liga
Jazine
#5
L
71-113
71
113
-42
71avg 76
A13/10
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-18
18-21
14-20
32-10
15-18
17-13
21-13
14-17
26-15
20-25
11-16
28-21
26-16
19-15
19-28
16-26
30-29
16-12
21-20
15-14
16-20
23-22
18-19
14-14
26-12
22-25
23-11
20-22
19-25
11-16
23-22
17-30
16-34
21-19
25-16
16-23
21-27
12-26
20-25
18-35
158.9Avg total
77.9Scored
81.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)77.981.0158.9-3.150%
Last 5 (5)76.288.6164.8-12.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)74.487.1161.6-12.714%
vs Similar (8)80.077.2157.2+2.862%
vs Weaker (14)83.672.2155.8+11.486%
SencurSloveniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSencur
Date
Competition
Polzela
#11
L
82-94
82
94
-12
78avg 66
H17/04
Liga Nova KBM
Terme Olimia Podčetrtek
#6
W
79-73 OT
79
73
+6
69avg 66
A20/04
Liga Nova KBM
Tajfun Sentjur
#9
W
98-78
98
78
+20
94avg 66
H27/04
Liga Nova KBM
Perspektiva Ilirija
#4
W
75-67
75
67
+8
60avg 66
A02/05
Liga Nova KBM
Perspektiva Ilirija
#4
W
93-81
93
81
+12
82avg 66
H08/05
Liga Nova KBM
Cedevita Olimpija
#1
L
86-98
86
98
-12
77avg 66
H15/05
Liga Nova KBM
Cedevita Olimpija
#1
L
76-103
76
103
-27
62avg 66
A19/05
Liga Nova KBM
Helios Domzale
#3
L
57-79
57
79
-22
42avg 66
A30/09
Liga Nova KBM
Perspektiva Ilirija
#2
L
91-100 OT
91
100
-9
80avg 66
H07/10
Liga Nova KBM
Zlatorog Lasko
#9
W
83-69
83
69
+14
82avg 66
A12/10
Liga Nova KBM
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-26
26-23
15-24
14-21
21-27
18-21
16-8
15-14
19-31
26-16
28-14
25-17
24-12
13-12
18-17
20-26
21-21
25-24
27-13
20-23
28-26
15-20
21-28
22-24
10-24
22-29
23-24
21-26
16-21
11-12
16-27
14-19
24-17
22-24
15-28
25-17
18-14
24-18
22-19
19-18
166.2Avg total
82.0Scored
84.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)82.084.2166.2-2.250%
Last 5 (5)78.689.8168.4-11.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)74.287.2161.5-13.08%
vs Similar (14)77.977.6155.5+0.457%
vs Weaker (4)85.073.2158.2+11.875%

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +0.1+0.1Q1: -1.1-1.1Q2Q2: -1.5-1.5Q2: +0.3+0.3Q3Q3: +0.5+0.5Q3: -0.1-0.1Q4Q4: -2.2-2.2Q4: -1.0-1.0
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +0.1+0.1Q1: -1.1-1.1Q2Q2: -1.5-1.5Q2: +0.3+0.3Q3Q3: +0.5+0.5Q3: -0.1-0.1Q4Q4: -2.2-2.2Q4: -1.0-1.0
GoricaSencur
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
GoricaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mladost
#11
L
38-39
38
39
-1
H24/02
Prva Liga
Kastela
#6
W
32-31
32
31
+1
A03/03
Prva Liga
Stoja
#13
W
46-40
46
40
+6
H09/03
Prva Liga
Samobor
#5
W
45-31
45
31
+14
H16/03
Prva Liga
Omis
#10
W
46-41
46
41
+5
A23/03
Prva Liga
Kvarner
#1
L
39-42
39
42
-3
H28/03
Prva Liga
Podstrana
#14
W
48-37
48
37
+11
A06/04
Prva Liga
Kvarner
#1
L
30-41
30
41
-11
A13/04
Prva Liga
Kvarner
#1
L
37-53
37
53
-16
H16/04
Prva Liga
Jazine
#5
L
33-53
33
53
-20
A13/10
Prva Liga
80.2Avg total
39.4Scored
40.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.439.179.5+1.257%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.339.180.4+2.360%-
Last 30 away (15)39.439.278.6+0.253%-
Last 10 (10)39.440.880.2-1.450%-
Last 5 (5)37.445.282.6-7.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)36.942.379.1-5.429%-
vs Similar (8)43.037.280.2+5.888%-
vs Weaker (14)41.937.679.5+4.457%-
SencurLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Polzela
#11
W
53-49
53
49
+4
H17/04
Liga Nova KBM
Terme Olimia Podčetrtek
#6
L
39-48
39
48
-9
A20/04
Liga Nova KBM
Tajfun Sentjur
#9
L
45-47
45
47
-2
H27/04
Liga Nova KBM
Perspektiva Ilirija
#4
W
37-24
37
24
+13
A02/05
Liga Nova KBM
Perspektiva Ilirija
#4
W
46-45
46
45
+1
H08/05
Liga Nova KBM
Cedevita Olimpija
#1
L
43-46
43
46
-3
H15/05
Liga Nova KBM
Cedevita Olimpija
#1
L
32-53
32
53
-21
A19/05
Liga Nova KBM
Helios Domzale
#3
L
27-33
27
33
-6
A30/09
Liga Nova KBM
Perspektiva Ilirija
#2
W
46-41
46
41
+5
H07/10
Liga Nova KBM
Zlatorog Lasko
#9
W
42-32
42
32
+10
A12/10
Liga Nova KBM
82.8Avg total
41.0Scored
41.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.640.680.2-0.947%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.641.283.8+1.453%-
Last 30 away (15)36.739.976.6-3.340%-
Last 10 (10)41.041.882.8-0.850%-
Last 5 (5)38.041.079.0-3.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)37.843.781.5-5.817%-
vs Similar (14)40.639.279.8+1.471%-
vs Weaker (4)41.836.077.8+5.850%-
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Goricatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Gorica: 77.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀11%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.2 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.2 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws8.6 pts a game · 11% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.9 points a game
48%
31%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.320.1
51.1%
51.5%40.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.99.4
32.5%
32.2%28.2
🏀 Free throws11.68.6
74.1%
76.6%8.6
They take 68.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Sencurtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sencur: 81.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.6 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.3 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.2 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.9 points a game
48%
31%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.823.3
52.0%
51.5%46.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.97.1
27.4%
32.2%21.3
🏀 Free throws18.313.2
72.1%
76.6%13.2
They take 70.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 15 Oct 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Gorica
LLLWLWLWWW
Sencur
WLLLLWWWWL
#31
League position
#11
-4.3
Net rating
-2.0
99.9
Offensive rating
101.9
104.2
Defensive rating
103.9
50.1%
Effective FG%
48.0%
51.9%
Opp. effective FG%
54.1%
18.5%
Turnover %
16.5%
27.0%
Off. rebound %
27.9%
0.17
Free-throw rate
0.26
32.5%
3-point %
27.4%
65.4%
Assist %
61.2%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence99.9 · 101.9Defence104.2 · 103.9Shooting50.1% · 48.0%3-point %32.5% · 27.4%Ball care18.5% · 16.5%Off. rebounds27.0% · 27.9%Free throws0.17 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)50% · 50%
■ Gorica   ■ Sencur
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Gorica wins
7
Sencur wins
DateGameScore
08/03/23Sencur v Gorica74-72
20/10/20Sencur v Gorica93-62
13/10/20Gorica v Sencur75-98
30/10/18Sencur v Gorica91-68
23/10/18Gorica v Sencur68-119
30/10/17Sencur v Gorica103-64
26/10/17Gorica v Sencur47-112
Goricalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/10/24AJazine71-113
16/04/24HKvarner78-92
13/04/24AKvarner70-93
06/04/24APodstrana91-70
28/03/24HKvarner71-75
23/03/24AOmis82-75
16/03/24HSamobor80-85
09/03/24HStoja85-77
03/03/24AKastela67-61
24/02/24HMladost84-69
Sencurlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/10/24AZlatorog Lasko83-69
07/10/24HPerspektiva Ilirija91-100 OT
30/09/24AHelios Domzale57-79
19/05/24ACedevita Olimpija76-103
15/05/24HCedevita Olimpija86-98
08/05/24HPerspektiva Ilirija93-81
02/05/24APerspektiva Ilirija75-67
27/04/24HTajfun Sentjur98-78
20/04/24ATerme Olimia Podčetrtek79-73 OT
17/04/24HPolzela82-94

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Gorica
Slovenian Cup 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Sencur
Slovenian Cup 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Polzela110100%111.047.0+64.0
2 Jezica110100%101.059.0+42.0
3 Hidria110100%94.057.0+37.0
4 Branik Maribor110100%87.052.0+35.0
5 Terme Olimia Podčetrtek110100%93.067.0+26.0
6 Litija110100%78.053.0+25.0
7 Tajfun Sentjur110100%81.063.0+18.0
8 Ajdovscina110100%70.056.0+14.0
9 Zlatorog Lasko110100%87.075.0+12.0
10 Dravograd110100%88.079.0+9.0
11 Hrastnik110100%72.063.0+9.0
12 LTH Castings110100%79.070.0+9.0
13 KK Slovan110100%97.092.0+5.0
14 Nagode Postojna110100%69.066.0+3.0
15 Koper1010%66.069.0-3.0
16 Tolmin1010%92.097.0-5.0
17 Cedevita Olimpija mladi1010%63.072.0-9.0
18 Grosuplje1010%70.079.0-9.0
19 KK Nazarje1010%79.088.0-9.0
20 Celje1010%75.087.0-12.0
21 Plama P.1010%56.070.0-14.0
22 Vrani Vransko1010%63.081.0-18.0
23 KK Slovenske Konjice1010%53.078.0-25.0
24 Bistrica Kety Emmi1010%67.093.0-26.0
25 Sentvid1010%52.087.0-35.0
26 Portoroz1010%57.094.0-37.0
27 Sezana1010%59.0101.0-42.0
28 Miklavz1010%47.0111.0-64.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 28 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Gorica2517191778
Sencur24253524108
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