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Gorica vs Kvarner Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 28 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 18:15
Final 71-75
16-20 23-22 18-19 14-14
Position#4
Record17-7
FormWWWLW
Points / game81.2
Allowed / game74.8
vs
Kvarner 🏆
Croatia
Position#1
Record22-2
FormLWWWW
Points / game90.7
Allowed / game72.8
CroatiaPrva LigaRound 25· GSD Velika Gorica
Other2023-24
Meetings · Gorica v Kvarner
16 Apr 2024
GORI78
KVAR92
28 Mar 2024
GORI71
KVAR75
19 Apr 2017
GORI92
KVAR82
16 Apr 2016
GORI80
KVAR91
09 Jan 2016
GORI70
KVAR94
30 Dec 2014
GORI86
KVAR95
11 Oct 2014
GORI67
KVAR84
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Gorica winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Kvarner winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

GoricaCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGorica
Date
Competition
KK Zagreb
#3
W
83-81 OT
83
81
+2
no box
A24/01
Prva Liga
Jazine
#7
W
103-94
103
94
+9
101avg 76
H27/01
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#12
W
88-71
88
71
+17
85avg 76
A03/02
Prva Liga
Osijek
#2
W
83-59
83
59
+24
81avg 76
H10/02
Prva Liga
Hermes
#8
L
84-89
84
89
-5
80avg 76
A17/02
Prva Liga
Mladost
#11
W
84-69
84
69
+15
77avg 76
H24/02
Prva Liga
Kastela
#6
W
67-61
67
61
+6
59avg 76
A03/03
Prva Liga
Stoja
#13
W
85-77
85
77
+8
81avg 76
H09/03
Prva Liga
Samobor
#5
L
80-85
80
85
-5
72avg 76
H16/03
Prva Liga
Omis
#10
W
82-75
82
75
+7
69avg 76
A23/03
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-20
18-17
21-14
9-22
32-24
24-27
24-19
23-24
26-13
16-20
24-13
22-25
22-18
20-13
16-14
25-14
25-29
15-23
18-17
26-20
20-18
18-21
14-20
32-10
15-18
17-13
21-13
14-17
26-15
20-25
11-16
28-21
26-16
19-15
19-28
16-26
30-29
16-12
21-20
15-14
160.0Avg total
83.9Scored
76.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)81.274.8156.1+6.471%
Season at home (12)84.273.9158.1+10.283%
Season away (12)78.375.8154.1+2.658%
Last 10 (10)83.976.1160.0+7.880%
Last 5 (5)79.673.4153.0+6.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)77.079.0156.0-2.033%
vs Similar (13)82.582.9165.5-0.446%
vs Weaker (13)83.072.4155.4+10.685%
This opponent (Kvarner) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KvarnerCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKvarner
Date
Competition
Marsonia
#9
W
96-56
96
56
+40
92avg 87
H28/01
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#3
W
85-69
85
69
+16
85avg 87
A04/02
Prva Liga
Jazine
#7
W
92-70
92
70
+22
82avg 87
H10/02
Prva Liga
Cibona
#2
L
67-82
67
82
-15
62avg 87
H14/02
Croatian Cup
Crikvenica
#12
W
92-76
92
76
+16
86avg 87
A18/02
Prva Liga
Osijek
#2
L
72-78
72
78
-6
54avg 87
H24/02
Prva Liga
Hermes
#8
W
102-69
102
69
+33
111avg 87
A03/03
Prva Liga
Mladost
#11
W
80-73
80
73
+7
79avg 87
H09/03
Prva Liga
Kastela
#6
W
84-70
84
70
+14
91avg 87
A16/03
Prva Liga
Stoja
#13
W
107-74
107
74
+33
115avg 87
H23/03
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-14
21-19
26-15
25-8
19-25
20-14
24-12
22-18
22-15
14-18
34-21
22-16
20-19
11-16
11-27
25-20
21-18
32-18
12-16
27-24
30-11
15-23
14-24
13-20
36-23
22-14
19-20
25-12
20-19
23-9
19-25
18-20
30-15
15-17
21-20
18-18
31-17
31-20
22-24
23-13
159.4Avg total
87.7Scored
71.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)90.772.8163.5+18.092%
Season at home (12)91.170.6161.7+20.592%
Season away (12)90.374.9165.2+15.492%
Last 10 (10)87.771.7159.4+16.080%
Last 5 (5)89.072.8161.8+16.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)63.373.0136.3-9.733%
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (26)89.772.2161.8+17.588%
This opponent (Gorica) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +4.7+4.7Q1: +7.7+7.7Q2Q2: -0.3-0.3Q2: +3.6+3.6Q3Q3: +1.5+1.5Q3: -0.2-0.2Q4Q4: +1.7+1.7Q4: +4.9+4.9
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +4.7+4.7Q1: +7.7+7.7Q2Q2: -0.3-0.3Q2: +3.6+3.6Q3Q3: +1.5+1.5Q3: -0.2-0.2Q4Q4: +1.7+1.7Q4: +4.9+4.9
GoricaKvarner
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
GoricaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
KK Zagreb
#3
W
43-37
43
37
+6
A24/01
Prva Liga
Jazine
#7
W
56-51
56
51
+5
H27/01
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#12
W
42-33
42
33
+9
A03/02
Prva Liga
Osijek
#2
W
42-31
42
31
+11
H10/02
Prva Liga
Hermes
#8
L
40-52
40
52
-12
A17/02
Prva Liga
Mladost
#11
L
38-39
38
39
-1
H24/02
Prva Liga
Kastela
#6
W
32-31
32
31
+1
A03/03
Prva Liga
Stoja
#13
W
46-40
46
40
+6
H09/03
Prva Liga
Samobor
#5
W
45-31
45
31
+14
H16/03
Prva Liga
Omis
#10
W
46-41
46
41
+5
A23/03
Prva Liga
81.6Avg total
43.0Scored
38.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.138.179.2+3.063%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.838.380.1+3.562%-
Last 30 away (14)40.237.978.1+2.464%-
Last 10 (10)43.038.681.6+4.480%-
Last 5 (5)41.436.477.8+5.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)39.735.775.3+4.067%-
vs Similar (13)42.537.980.4+4.577%-
vs Weaker (13)41.537.679.1+3.854%-
This opponent (Kvarner) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KvarnerLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Marsonia
#9
W
45-33
45
33
+12
H28/01
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#3
D
39-39
39
39
+0
A04/02
Prva Liga
Jazine
#7
W
36-33
36
33
+3
H10/02
Prva Liga
Cibona
#2
L
31-35
31
35
-4
H14/02
Croatian Cup
Crikvenica
#12
W
53-36
53
36
+17
A18/02
Prva Liga
Osijek
#2
W
45-34
45
34
+11
H24/02
Prva Liga
Hermes
#8
W
58-37
58
37
+21
A03/03
Prva Liga
Mladost
#11
W
43-28
43
28
+15
H09/03
Prva Liga
Kastela
#6
W
45-32
45
32
+13
A16/03
Prva Liga
Stoja
#13
W
62-37
62
37
+25
H23/03
Prva Liga
80.1Avg total
45.7Scored
34.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.536.280.7+8.373%-
Last 30 at home (16)44.634.478.9+10.281%-
Last 30 away (14)44.538.382.8+6.264%-
Last 10 (10)45.734.480.1+11.380%-
Last 5 (5)50.633.684.2+17.0100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)32.033.765.7-1.733%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (26)45.936.081.9+9.981%-
This opponent (Gorica) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Goricatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Gorica: 83.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.6 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.8 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.4 points a game
53%
32%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.321.3
54.2%
52.9%42.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.59.5
33.3%
32.9%28.5
🏀 Free throws17.212.8
74.4%
71.2%12.8
They take 67.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Kvarnertheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Kvarner: 87.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.0 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.2 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.1 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.4 points a game
53%
32%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.023.0
57.5%
52.9%46.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.79.4
35.2%
32.9%28.2
🏀 Free throws17.513.1
74.9%
71.2%13.1
They take 66.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Gorica
WLWWWLWWWW
Kvarner
WWWWLWLWWW
#4
League position
#1
+11.6
Net rating
+21.8
109.4
Offensive rating
116.0
97.8
Defensive rating
94.2
52.4%
Effective FG%
55.6%
47.3%
Opp. effective FG%
49.3%
15.9%
Turnover %
15.5%
28.3%
Off. rebound %
29.7%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.26
33.3%
3-point %
35.2%
58.8%
Assist %
69.4%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence109.4 · 116.0Defence97.8 · 94.2Shooting52.4% · 55.6%3-point %33.3% · 35.2%Ball care15.9% · 15.5%Off. rebounds28.3% · 29.7%Free throws0.25 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)80% · 80%
■ Gorica   ■ Kvarner
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Gorica wins
8
Kvarner wins
DateGameScore
23/12/23Kvarner v Gorica94-71
19/04/17Gorica v Kvarner92-82
05/01/17Kvarner v Gorica73-77
07/05/16Kvarner v Gorica88-78
16/04/16Gorica v Kvarner80-91
09/01/16Gorica v Kvarner70-94
03/10/15Kvarner v Gorica81-77
10/01/15Kvarner v Gorica93-69
30/12/14Gorica v Kvarner86-95
11/10/14Gorica v Kvarner67-84
Goricalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/03/24AOmis82-75
16/03/24HSamobor80-85
09/03/24HStoja85-77
03/03/24AKastela67-61
24/02/24HMladost84-69
17/02/24AHermes84-89
10/02/24HOsijek83-59
03/02/24ACrikvenica88-71
27/01/24HJazine103-94
24/01/24AKK Zagreb83-81 OT
Kvarnerlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/03/24HStoja107-74
16/03/24AKastela84-70
09/03/24HMladost80-73
03/03/24AHermes102-69
24/02/24HOsijek72-78
18/02/24ACrikvenica92-76
14/02/24HCibona67-82
10/02/24HJazine92-70
04/02/24AKK Zagreb85-69
28/01/24HMarsonia96-56

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Gorica
Prva Liga 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW71%
HomeWWWWL83%
AwayWWLWW58%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241212
Win %71%83%58%
Points / game81.284.278.3
Allowed / game74.873.975.8
Point differential+6.4+10.2+2.6
Avg total156.1158.1154.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+46%58%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %8%0%17%
Kvarner
Prva Liga 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW92%
HomeWWLWW92%
AwayWWWWW92%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241212
Win %92%92%92%
Points / game90.791.190.3
Allowed / game72.870.674.9
Point differential+18.0+20.5+15.4
Avg total163.5161.7165.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+75%75%75%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Kvarner2422292%90.772.8+18.0
2 Osijek2522388%88.174.9+13.2
3 Gorica2417771%81.274.8+6.4
4 Samobor2517868%85.683.2+2.4
5 KK Zagreb2516964%79.672.0+7.6
6 Kastela25151060%79.874.6+5.2
7 Jazine25121348%86.785.9+0.8
8 Hermes25111444%89.690.2-0.6
9 Omis25101540%77.581.6-4.2
10 Marsonia25101540%80.985.8-4.9
11 Mladost2581732%78.384.5-6.2
12 Crikvenica2561924%73.284.7-11.6
13 Stoja2542116%79.290.1-10.9
14 Podstrana2542116%71.485.6-14.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Gorica1623181471
Kvarner2022191475
← all games of the day
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