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Darussafaka vs Benfica Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 11 Jan 2023
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 83-72 (OT)
18-24 17-18 20-11 13-15 15-4
Position#25
Record3-4
FormLLWWL
Points / game74.0
Allowed / game74.9
vs
Position#8
Record7-3
FormLLWLW
Points / game79.8
Allowed / game76.6
EuropeChampions LeagueChampions League - Final
European cup2022
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Darussafaka winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Benfica winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

DarussafakaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormDarussafaka
Date
Competition
Konyaspor
#16
W
72-70
72
70
+2
no box
H04/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Manisa
#11
W
92-73
92
73
+19
no box
A09/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bakken Bears
#30
L
66-68
66
68
-2
57avg 72
A13/12
Champions League
Karsiyaka
#4
L
71-87
71
87
-16
no box
H17/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Hapoel Jerusalem
#3
L
69-92
69
92
-23
56avg 72
H20/12
Champions League
Besiktas
#14
L
84-98
84
98
-14
no box
A24/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bursaspor
#5
L
71-97
71
97
-26
no box
A28/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Tofas
#6
W
88-82
88
82
+6
no box
H31/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Benfica
#8
W
89-76
89
76
+13
90avg 72
A04/01
Champions League
Fenerbahce
#3
L
82-95
82
95
-13
no box
A07/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-16
17-16
14-16
20-22
24-22
25-16
20-11
23-24
17-22
23-13
20-20
6-13
16-23
15-27
18-11
22-26
24-22
17-29
13-19
15-22
20-33
20-22
15-13
29-30
19-27
15-15
15-26
22-29
25-19
28-16
17-15
18-32
27-16
20-19
25-22
17-19
11-31
22-19
15-23
34-22
162.2Avg total
78.4Scored
83.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)74.074.9148.9-0.943%
Season at home (3)73.082.7155.7-9.733%
Season away (4)74.869.0143.8+5.850%
Last 10 (10)78.483.8162.2-5.440%
Last 5 (5)82.889.6172.4-6.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)73.884.4158.2-10.617%
vs Similar ◀ (18)79.278.9158.1+0.361%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Benfica) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BenficaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBenfica
Date
Competition
Esgueira
#7
W
95-82
95
82
+13
no box
H30/11
LPB
VEF Riga
#40
W
84-71
84
71
+13
81avg 74
H06/12
Champions League
FC Porto
#9
W
97-93
97
93
+4
no box
H11/12
Taca de Portugal
Sporting CP
#2
L
90-93
90
93
-3
no box
H14/12
LPB
Lusitania
#10
W
87-77
87
77
+10
no box
A17/12
LPB
Limoges
#28
L
59-79
59
79
-20
45avg 74
H20/12
Champions League
FC Porto
#3
L
86-87
86
87
-1
no box
H23/12
LPB
CAB Madeira
#11
W
107-78
107
78
+29
no box
A28/12
LPB
Darussafaka
#25
L
76-89
76
89
-13
67avg 74
H04/01
Champions League
Ovarense
#8
W
96-75
96
75
+21
no box
A07/01
LPB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-18
23-18
32-24
21-22
27-22
15-16
19-17
23-16
28-22
17-28
23-21
29-22
28-24
19-25
16-13
27-31
32-17
15-25
26-18
14-17
17-17
23-15
5-25
14-22
25-23
22-24
12-17
27-23
26-19
24-16
31-22
26-21
16-27
19-20
22-25
19-17
25-15
21-19
32-13
18-28
170.1Avg total
87.7Scored
82.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)79.876.6156.4+3.270%
Season at home (4)74.284.0158.2-9.825%
Season away (6)83.571.7155.2+11.8100%
Last 10 (10)87.782.4170.1+5.360%
Last 5 (5)84.881.6166.4+3.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (5)74.682.8157.4-8.240%
vs Weaker (21)90.075.4165.4+14.686%
This opponent (Darussafaka) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -2.7-2.7Q1: +3.9+3.9Q2Q2: +1.0+1.0Q2: -0.8-0.8Q3Q3: -0.4-0.4Q3: +2.3+2.3Q4Q4: -3.3-3.3Q4: -0.1-0.1
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -2.7-2.7Q1: +3.9+3.9Q2Q2: +1.0+1.0Q2: -0.8-0.8Q3Q3: -0.4-0.4Q3: +2.3+2.3Q4Q4: -3.3-3.3Q4: -0.1-0.1
DarussafakaBenfica
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
DarussafakaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Konyaspor
#16
W
38-32
38
32
+6
H04/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Manisa
#11
W
49-38
49
38
+11
A09/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bakken Bears
#30
W
40-35
40
35
+5
A13/12
Champions League
Karsiyaka
#4
L
31-50
31
50
-19
H17/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Hapoel Jerusalem
#3
L
41-51
41
51
-10
H20/12
Champions League
Besiktas
#14
L
40-55
40
55
-15
A24/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bursaspor
#5
L
34-42
34
42
-8
A28/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Tofas
#6
W
53-35
53
35
+18
H31/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Benfica
#8
W
47-35
47
35
+12
A04/01
Champions League
Fenerbahce
#3
L
33-50
33
50
-17
A07/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
82.9Avg total
40.6Scored
42.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.041.680.6-2.647%-
Last 30 at home (14)37.142.079.1-4.929%-
Last 30 away (16)40.641.281.8-0.662%-
Last 10 (10)40.642.382.9-1.750%-
Last 5 (5)41.443.484.8-2.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)36.343.579.8-7.233%-
vs Similar ◀ (18)40.840.381.1+0.556%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Benfica) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BenficaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Esgueira
#7
W
42-36
42
36
+6
H30/11
LPB
VEF Riga
#40
W
42-38
42
38
+4
H06/12
Champions League
FC Porto
#9
L
45-50
45
50
-5
H11/12
Taca de Portugal
Sporting CP
#2
L
47-49
47
49
-2
H14/12
LPB
Lusitania
#10
W
47-42
47
42
+5
A17/12
LPB
Limoges
#28
W
40-32
40
32
+8
H20/12
Champions League
FC Porto
#3
D
47-47
47
47
+0
H23/12
LPB
CAB Madeira
#11
W
50-35
50
35
+15
A28/12
LPB
Darussafaka
#25
L
35-47
35
47
-12
H04/01
Champions League
Ovarense
#8
W
46-34
46
34
+12
A07/01
LPB
85.1Avg total
44.1Scored
41.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.039.683.6+4.363%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.642.486.9+2.250%-
Last 30 away (16)43.437.280.7+6.275%-
Last 10 (10)44.141.085.1+3.160%-
Last 5 (5)43.639.082.6+4.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (5)41.642.083.6-0.440%-
vs Weaker (21)45.438.583.9+6.976%-
This opponent (Darussafaka) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Darussafakatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Darussafaka: 72.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.2 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.2 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.1 points a game
48%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.020.1
55.8%
51.4%40.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.06.4
27.8%
35.2%19.2
🏀 Free throws17.713.0
73.4%
74.3%13.0
They take 59.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Benficatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Benfica: 78.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.6 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.6 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.1 points a game
48%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.618.8
52.8%
51.4%37.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.69.8
35.5%
35.2%29.4
🏀 Free throws16.311.6
71.2%
74.3%11.6
They take 63.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 11 Jan 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Darussafaka
LWWLLLLLWW
Benfica
WLWLLWLWWW
#25
League position
#8
-3.3
Net rating
+3.8
104.1
Offensive rating
107.7
107.4
Defensive rating
103.8
50.3%
Effective FG%
53.0%
53.2%
Opp. effective FG%
52.3%
21.3%
Turnover %
19.8%
32.4%
Off. rebound %
32.6%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.26
27.8%
3-point %
35.5%
63.4%
Assist %
67.8%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence104.1 · 107.7Defence107.4 · 103.8Shooting50.3% · 53.0%3-point %27.8% · 35.5%Ball care21.3% · 19.8%Off. rebounds32.4% · 32.6%Free throws0.30 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)40% · 60%
■ Darussafaka   ■ Benfica
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Darussafaka wins
0
Benfica wins
DateGameScore
04/01/23Benfica v Darussafaka76-89
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/01/23AFenerbahce82-95
04/01/23ABenfica89-76
31/12/22HTofas88-82
28/12/22ABursaspor71-97
24/12/22ABesiktas84-98
20/12/22HHapoel Jerusalem69-92
17/12/22HKarsiyaka71-87
13/12/22ABakken Bears66-68
09/12/22AManisa92-73
04/12/22HKonyaspor72-70
Benficalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/01/23AOvarense96-75
04/01/23HDarussafaka76-89
28/12/22ACAB Madeira107-78
23/12/22HFC Porto86-87
20/12/22HLimoges59-79
17/12/22ALusitania87-77
14/12/22HSporting CP90-93
11/12/22HFC Porto97-93
06/12/22HVEF Riga84-71
30/11/22HEsgueira95-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Darussafaka
Champions League 2022
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW43%
HomeWLL33%
AwayLWLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %43%33%50%
Points / game74.073.074.8
Allowed / game74.982.769.0
Point differential-0.9-9.7+5.8
Avg total148.9155.7143.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%33%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)-0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Benfica
Champions League 2022
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL70%
HomeLWLL25%
AwayWWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1046
Win %70%25%100%
Points / game79.874.283.5
Allowed / game76.684.071.7
Point differential+3.2-9.8+11.8
Avg total156.4158.2155.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%25%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Unicaja87188%89.873.1+16.6
2 Bonn65183%83.273.8+9.3
3 Hapoel Jerusalem65183%80.074.7+5.3
4 Hapoel Holon86275%88.882.2+6.5
5 Ludwigsburg75271%84.675.7+8.9
6 Murcia75271%83.482.7+0.7
7 Benfica107370%79.876.6+3.2
8 Tenerife64267%85.371.2+14.2
9 Chemnitz32167%89.076.3+12.7
10 Bilbao64267%79.570.8+8.7
11 FMP Beograd32167%83.376.0+7.3
12 Galatasaray64267%85.778.8+6.8
13 Manresa64267%83.778.3+5.3
14 Levice32167%77.772.7+5.0
15 Strasbourg64267%80.880.2+0.7
16 AEK Athens85362%77.075.0+2.0
17 Rytas74357%84.379.3+5.0
18 Budivelnyk21150%90.574.0+16.5
19 Voluntari21150%63.564.5-1.0
20 Oostende84450%77.678.8-1.1
21 Dijon84450%78.480.4-2.0
22 Bahcesehir Kol.84450%73.276.2-3.0
23 Peristeri84450%78.984.0-5.1
24 Bamberg21150%85.090.5-5.5
25 Swans Gmunden21150%73.581.5-8.0
26 Den Bosch21150%71.593.5-22.0
27 Limoges73443%74.169.9+4.3
28 Darussafaka73443%74.074.9-0.9
29 Tofas104640%78.275.5+2.7
30 Igokea83538%78.281.2-3.0
31 Bakken Bears83538%75.080.9-5.9
32 Szombathely62433%78.782.3-3.7
33 Nymburk62433%72.877.8-5.0
34 Sassari62433%78.384.7-6.3
35 Reggiana62433%72.779.8-7.2
36 Bnei Herzliya62433%78.088.2-10.2
37 PAOK72529%73.777.0-3.3
38 Karsiyaka72529%79.983.9-4.0
39 Legia61517%72.882.5-9.7
40 VEF Riga61517%68.379.0-10.7
41 Parnu1010%80.082.0-2.0
42 Keravnos1010%65.073.0-8.0
43 Kormend1010%70.079.0-9.0
44 Leicester Riders1010%61.070.0-9.0
45 Breogan1010%64.076.0-12.0
46 Siauliai1010%73.085.0-12.0
47 Opava1010%76.092.0-16.0
48 TFT Skopje1010%77.096.0-19.0
49 Fribourg Olympic1010%70.093.0-23.0
50 Karhu Basket1010%57.081.0-24.0
51 Golden Eagle Ylli1010%67.092.0-25.0
52 Norrkoping1010%51.087.0-36.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 52 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Darussafaka181720131583
Benfica24181115472
← all games of the day
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