Dayton vs Northern Illinois Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 08 Nov 2026

Tip-off: 00:00

Projected 89-61

Projected total 149.7

Final 76-81 (OT)

29-40 38-27 9-14

Position#199

Record1-0

FormLWWLW

Points / game89.0

Allowed / game58.0

Dayton

99%

■ DAYT 99%■ NORT 1%

Pythia win probability

Northern Illinois 🏆

Position#289

Record0-2

FormLLLLL

Points / game81.0

Allowed / game91.5

NCAA

Other2026-27

Meetings · Dayton v Northern Illinois

Sections

Pythia's preview, written before tip-off

Dayton faces Northern Illinois on 7 November 2026 in the NCAA, with the model rating Dayton as the clear favourite at 99% versus 1% for Northern Illinois, a reflection of Dayton's 1-0 season record, 89.0 points per game and only 58.0 allowed, placing them 65th, compared with Northern Illinois' 0-2 record, 81.0 points per game and 91.5 allowed, 298th. Dayton's lone game was a 89-58 home win over NJIT, and their last five games include three wins and two losses, while Northern Illinois has gone 0-5 in their last five, losing 75-94 to Tulsa, 87-89 to Grambling St. and 55-94 to Akron. The teams have met once, with Dayton winning 79-41 on 4 December 2021. Pythia projects a 89-61 score, 149.7 total points, a home line of -22.5 with a 70% chance of covering, and a 147.5 total with a 55% over probability, and no overtime is expected. The game will likely see Dayton dominate early, as their offensive output far exceeds Northern Illinois' defensive struggles.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Dayton winLost

98.9%fair 1.01

Best odds1.03

Implied93.6%

Edge+5.3pp

Northern Illinois winWon

1.1%fair 93.97

Best odds20.00

Implied6.4%

Edge-5.3pp

Pythia's frozen forecast of 06 Nov 14:23 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Dayton

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

George Mason

#47

82-67

+15

A19/02

NCAA

Duquesne

#166

78-66

+12

H21/02

NCAA

St. Louis Billikens

#13

77-62

+15

H25/02

NCAA

George Washington

#160

68-66

A28/02

NCAA

Richmond Spiders

#231

65-60

A04/03

NCAA

VCU Rams

#27

62-68

-6

H07/03

NCAA

St. Bonaventure

#207

68-63

H13/03

NCAA

St. Louis Billikens

#13

70-69

A14/03

NCAA

VCU Rams

#27

62-70

-8

A15/03

NCAA

NJIT

#299

89-58

+31

H03/11

NCAA

43-36

39-31

42-39

36-27

44-28

33-34

34-31

34-35

40-32

25-28

36-37

26-31

30-27

38-36

33-36

37-33

25-40

37-30

47-23

42-35

137.0Avg total

72.1Scored

64.9Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (1)	89.0	58.0	147.0	+31.0	100%
Season at home (1)	89.0	58.0	147.0	+31.0	100%
Season away	no games
Last 10 (10)	72.1	64.9	137.0	+7.2	80%
Last 5 (5)	70.2	65.6	135.8	+4.6	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	69.7	79.4	149.1	-9.7	29%
vs Similar (17)	75.0	68.9	143.9	+6.1	76%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)	76.5	60.0	136.5	+16.5	83%

This opponent (Northern Illinois) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Northern Illinois USA

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Bowling Green

#143

52-68

-16

H12/02

NCAA

Central Michigan

#323

46-88

-42

A14/02

NCAA

Buffalo

#180

72-70

A17/02

NCAA

Ohio

#241

66-74

-8

H21/02

NCAA

Toledo

#156

69-79

-10

A25/02

NCAA

Ball State

#288

43-79

-36

H28/02

NCAA

Kent State

#52

76-102

102

-26

H04/03

NCAA

Akron

#14

55-94

-39

A06/03

NCAA

Grambling St.

#135

87-89

-2

A02/11

NCAA

Tulsa

#33

75-94

-19

A06/11

NCAA

19-38

33-30

22-51

24-37

29-35

43-35

25-37

41-37

31-36

38-43

29-36

14-43

28-51

48-51

27-47

28-47

36-43

51-46

29-56

46-38

147.8Avg total

64.1Scored

83.7Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (2)	81.0	91.5	172.5	-10.5	0%
Season at home	no games
Season away (2)	81.0	91.5	172.5	-10.5	0%
Last 10 (10)	64.1	83.7	147.8	-19.6	10%
Last 5 (5)	67.2	91.6	158.8	-24.4	0%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)	63.4	80.2	143.6	-16.8	12%
vs Similar (3)	78.7	66.0	144.7	+12.7	100%
vs Weaker (2)	114.5	63.0	177.5	+51.5	100%

This opponent (Dayton) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Over/Under 142.5Actual: Over 142.5

Over 142.5

67.2%

@ 1.50+5.3pp

Under 142.5

32.8%

@ 2.50-5.3pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

1.50

Bet365

1.50

Under

Bet365

2.50

Betano

2.37

Over/Under 147.5 · main lineActual: Over 147.5

Over 147.5

55.3%

@ 1.95+5.3pp

Under 147.5

44.7%

@ 1.91-5.3pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

1.95

Pinnacle

1.91

Betano

1.88

SBO

1.87

WilliamHill

1.85

Under

Pinnacle

1.91

Betano

1.90

Marathon Be

1.88

SBO

1.87

WilliamHill

1.85

Over/Under 152.5Actual: Over 152.5

Over 152.5

42.9%

@ 2.72+7.7pp

Under 152.5

57.1%

@ 1.45-7.7pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

2.72

Betano

2.52

Under

Betano

1.45

Bet365

1.40

📊 3. Team Totals

Dayton total 79.5Actual: Dayton under 79.5

Over 79.5

83.4%

@ 1.37+17.3pp

Under 79.5

16.6%

@ 2.67-17.3pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

1.37

Under

Betano

2.67

Dayton total 83.5 · main lineActual: Dayton under 83.5

Over 83.5

71.5%

@ 1.89+21.5pp

Under 83.5

28.5%

@ 1.93-21.5pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Pinnacle

1.89

Bet365

1.86

WilliamHill

1.85

BetVictor

1.85

Marathon Be

1.84

Under

Betano

1.93

Pinnacle

1.89

Marathon Be

1.86

WilliamHill

1.85

BetVictor

1.85

Dayton total 87.5Actual: Dayton under 87.5

Over 87.5

56.4%

@ 2.42+19.1pp

Under 87.5

43.6%

@ 1.44-19.1pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

2.42

Under

Betano

1.44

Northern Illinois total 60Actual: Northern Illinois over 60

Over 60

52.2%

Under 60

47.8%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

Northern Illinois total 64 · main lineActual: Northern Illinois over 64

Over 64

35.8%

@ 1.85-14.2pp

Under 64

64.2%

@ 1.85+14.2pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Marathon Be

1.85

BetVictor

1.85

Under

Marathon Be

1.85

BetVictor

1.85

Northern Illinois total 68Actual: Northern Illinois over 68

Over 68

21.7%

Under 68

78.3%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Dayton -25.5Actual: Northern Illinois +25.5

DAYT -25.5

no forecast

@ 3.05

NORT +25.5

no forecast

@ 1.42

Best 5 market prices

DAYT

Bet365

3.05

Betano

2.62

NORT

Betano

1.42

Bet365

1.34

Spread Dayton -22.5 · main lineActual: Northern Illinois +22.5

DAYT -22.5

70.4%

@ 2.30+23.1pp

NORT +22.5

29.6%

@ 1.92-23.1pp

Best 5 market prices

DAYT

Bet365

2.30

Betano

2.07

1xBet

1.83

SBO

1.82

NORT

SBO

1.92

1xBet

1.83

Betano

1.67

Bet365

1.55

Spread Dayton -19.5Actual: Northern Illinois +19.5

DAYT -19.5

78.7%

@ 1.94+29.1pp

NORT +19.5

21.3%

@ 2.07-29.1pp

Best 5 market prices

DAYT

Pinnacle

1.94

Bet365

1.91

Marathon Be

1.87

SBO

1.87

1xBet

1.83

NORT

Betano

2.07

Pinnacle

1.91

Bet365

1.90

BetVictor

1.88

Marathon Be

1.87

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

DaytonNorthern Illinois

Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by half · pick a half

DaytonLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

George Mason

#47

43-36

A19/02

NCAA

Duquesne

#166

42-39

H21/02

NCAA

St. Louis Billikens

#13

44-28

+16

H25/02

NCAA

George Washington

#160

34-31

A28/02

NCAA

Richmond Spiders

#231

40-32

A04/03

NCAA

VCU Rams

#27

36-37

-1

H07/03

NCAA

St. Bonaventure

#207

30-27

H13/03

NCAA

St. Louis Billikens

#13

33-36

-3

A14/03

NCAA

VCU Rams

#27

25-40

-15

A15/03

NCAA

NJIT

#299

47-23

+24

H03/11

NCAA

70.3Avg total

37.4Scored

32.9Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 69.5
Last 30 (30)	36.1	32.7	68.8	+3.4	67%	53%
Last 30 at home (18)	38.4	29.6	67.9	+8.8	89%	50%
Last 30 away (12)	32.8	37.4	70.2	-4.7	33%	58%
Last 10 (10)	37.4	32.9	70.3	+4.5	70%	60%
Last 5 (5)	34.2	32.6	66.8	+1.6	40%	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	32.4	39.1	71.6	-6.7	14%	71%
vs Similar (17)	37.0	31.3	68.3	+5.7	88%	53%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)	38.0	29.2	67.2	+8.8	67%	33%

This opponent (Northern Illinois) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Northern IllinoisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Bowling Green

#143

19-38

-19

H12/02

NCAA

Central Michigan

#323

22-51

-29

A14/02

NCAA

Buffalo

#180

29-35

-6

A17/02

NCAA

Ohio

#241

25-37

-12

H21/02

NCAA

Toledo

#156

31-36

-5

A25/02

NCAA

Ball State

#288

29-36

-7

H28/02

NCAA

Kent State

#52

28-51

-23

H04/03

NCAA

Akron

#14

27-47

-20

A06/03

NCAA

Grambling St.

#135

36-43

-7

A02/11

NCAA

Tulsa

#33

29-56

-27

A06/11

NCAA

70.5Avg total

27.5Scored

43.0Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 69.5
Last 30 (30)	32.4	38.7	71.0	-6.3	20%	60%
Last 30 at home (12)	34.0	37.2	71.2	-3.2	33%	58%
Last 30 away (18)	31.3	39.7	70.9	-8.4	11%	61%
Last 10 (10)	27.5	43.0	70.5	-15.5	0%	50%
Last 5 (5)	29.8	46.6	76.4	-16.8	0%	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)	29.3	40.3	69.7	-11.0	8%	54%
vs Similar (3)	37.3	34.7	72.0	+2.7	67%	67%
vs Weaker (2)	59.5	22.5	82.0	+37.0	100%	100%

This opponent (Dayton) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

1st half winnerActual: Northern Illinois win

DAYT win

no forecast

@ 1.11

NORT win

no forecast

@ 8.50

1st half Spread Dayton -11.5 · main lineActual: Northern Illinois +11.5

DAYT -11.5

no forecast

@ 1.95

NORT +11.5

no forecast

@ 1.93

1st half Over/Under 69.5 · main lineActual: Under 69.5

Over

no forecast

@ 1.93

Under

no forecast

@ 1.91

Dayton 1st half total 40.5 · main lineActual: Dayton under 40.5

Over

no forecast

@ 1.89

Under

no forecast

@ 1.89

Northern Illinois 1st half total 29 · main lineActual: Northern Illinois over 29

Over

no forecast

@ 1.83

Under

no forecast

@ 1.87

1st half: DAYT + total 69.5

DAYT & over

no forecast

@ 2.10

DAYT & under

no forecast

@ 1.95

1st half: Draw + total 69.5

Draw & over

no forecast

@ 41.00

Draw & under

no forecast

@ 41.00

1st half: NORT + total 69.5

NORT & over

no forecast

@ 15.00

NORT & under

no forecast

@ 13.50

1st half Over/Under 68Actual: Over 68

Over

no forecast

@ 1.71

Under

no forecast

@ 2.14

1st half Over/Under 71Actual: Under 71

Over

no forecast

@ 2.14

Under

no forecast

@ 1.70

1st half Spread Dayton -12.5Actual: Northern Illinois +12.5

DAYT -12.5

no forecast

@ 2.13

NORT +12.5

no forecast

@ 1.85

1st half Spread Dayton -10.5Actual: Northern Illinois +10.5

DAYT -10.5

no forecast

@ 1.76

NORT +10.5

no forecast

@ 2.15

1st half Over/Under 66.5Actual: Over 66.5

Over

no forecast

@ 1.57

Under

no forecast

@ 2.25

1st half Over/Under 72.5Actual: Under 72.5

Over

no forecast

@ 2.47

Under

no forecast

@ 1.47

1st half Spread Dayton -13.5Actual: Northern Illinois +13.5

DAYT -13.5

no forecast

@ 2.15

NORT +13.5

no forecast

@ 1.67

1st half 3-way (draw possible)Actual: Draw after regulation

DAYT

no forecast

@ 1.10

Draw

no forecast

@ 29.00

NORT

no forecast

@ 8.80

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 79.5
Last 30 (30)	37.0	36.0	73.0	+1.0	47%	23%
Last 30 at home (18)	36.7	34.9	71.7	+1.8	50%	17%
Last 30 away (12)	37.5	37.6	75.1	-0.1	42%	33%
Last 10 (10)	34.7	32.0	66.7	+2.7	60%	0%
Last 5 (5)	36.0	33.0	69.0	+3.0	80%	0%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	37.3	40.3	77.6	-3.0	29%	43%
vs Similar (17)	36.4	36.1	72.5	+0.4	47%	24%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)	38.5	30.8	69.3	+7.7	67%	0%

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 79.5
Last 30 (30)	36.8	39.3	76.0	-2.5	43%	30%
Last 30 at home (12)	39.9	38.7	78.6	+1.2	50%	33%
Last 30 away (18)	34.7	39.7	74.3	-5.0	39%	28%
Last 10 (10)	36.6	40.7	77.3	-4.1	50%	40%
Last 5 (5)	37.4	45.0	82.4	-7.6	40%	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)	34.1	39.9	74.0	-5.8	29%	21%
vs Similar (3)	41.3	31.3	72.7	+10.0	100%	33%
vs Weaker (2)	55.0	40.5	95.5	+14.5	100%	100%

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.

DAYT win + total 147.5

🔒 Pro

NORT win + total 147.5

🔒 Pro

Overtime

🔒 Pro

Half-time / full-time: DAYT leads at half

🔒 Pro

Half-time / full-time: level at half

🔒 Pro

Half-time / full-time: NORT leads at half

🔒 Pro

Winning margin: close (1-10 points)

🔒 Pro

Winning margin: clear (11-20 points)

🔒 Pro

🔒 8 special markets for this game with Pythia's probabilities and edges: Upgrade to Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Use Min odds to match the prices you want; Edge = Yes shows only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.

Min odds1.20

Edge

Pick	Probability	Avg odds	Best 1	Best 2	Best 3	Best 4	Best 5	Edge	Result
Dayton -21	75.5%	2.09	Pinnacle 2.23	Bet365 2.05	Marathon Bet 2.00	-	-	+32.5pp	Lost
Dayton -21.5	73.4%	1.99	Pinnacle 2.33	Bet365 2.12	Betano 1.98	SBO 1.87	1xBet 1.83	+32.4pp	Lost
Dayton -20.5	76.2%	1.92	Pinnacle 2.13	Bet365 2.01	Marathon Bet 1.95	SBO 1.87	BetVictor 1.85	+31.2pp	Lost
Dayton -20	78.2%	1.96	Pinnacle 2.03	Bet365 1.96	SBO 1.96	Marathon Bet 1.91	-	+31.0pp	Lost
Dayton -22	72.6%	2.22	Bet365 2.22	-	-	-	-	+31.0pp	Lost
Dayton -19.5	78.7%	1.84	Pinnacle 1.94	Bet365 1.91	Marathon Bet 1.87	SBO 1.87	1xBet 1.83	+29.1pp	Lost
Dayton -19	80.7%	1.81	Pinnacle 1.84	Marathon Bet 1.80	Bet365 1.80	SBO 1.78	-	+28.6pp	Lost
Dayton -17	85.1%	1.60	Bet365 1.60	-	-	-	-	+27.2pp	Lost
Dayton -18.5	81.1%	1.72	Pinnacle 1.76	Marathon Bet 1.74	Bet365 1.74	SBO 1.74	Betano 1.60	+26.7pp	Lost
Dayton -18	83.0%	1.69	Pinnacle 1.70	Bet365 1.68	-	-	-	+26.6pp	Lost
Dayton -16	86.9%	1.52	Bet365 1.52	-	-	-	-	+25.7pp	Lost
Dayton -17.5	83.3%	1.60	Pinnacle 1.65	Bet365 1.64	Betano 1.52	-	-	+25.2pp	Lost
Dayton -16.5	85.4%	1.51	Bet365 1.57	Betano 1.45	-	-	-	+24.2pp	Lost
Dayton -15	88.6%	1.44	Bet365 1.44	-	-	-	-	+24.1pp	Lost
Dayton over 83	73.9%	1.85	BetVictor 1.85	Marathon Bet 1.84	-	-	-	+23.8pp	Lost
Dayton -22.5	70.4%	2.00	Bet365 2.30	Betano 2.07	1xBet 1.83	SBO 1.82	-	+23.1pp	Lost
Dayton -15.5	87.2%	1.44	Bet365 1.50	Betano 1.39	-	-	-	+22.7pp	Lost
Dayton -14	90.2%	1.37	Bet365 1.37	-	-	-	-	+22.6pp	Lost
Dayton over 82.5	74.8%	1.75	Bet365 1.80	Pinnacle 1.78	Betano 1.67	-	-	+21.9pp	Lost
Dayton over 83.5	71.5%	1.84	Pinnacle 1.89	Bet365 1.86	WilliamHill 1.85	BetVictor 1.85	Marathon Bet 1.84	+21.5pp	Lost
Dayton -14.5	88.8%	1.37	Bet365 1.41	Betano 1.33	-	-	-	+21.3pp	Lost
Dayton -13	91.5%	1.31	Bet365 1.31	-	-	-	-	+20.5pp	Lost
Dayton over 84	70.4%	1.85	Marathon Bet 1.85	BetVictor 1.85	-	-	-	+20.4pp	Lost
Dayton -13.5	90.3%	1.31	Bet365 1.35	Betano 1.28	-	-	-	+19.8pp	Lost
Dayton -12.5	91.6%	1.29	Bet365 1.29	-	-	-	-	+19.7pp	Lost
Dayton over 81.5	77.9%	1.53	Betano 1.53	-	-	-	-	+18.7pp	Lost
Dayton -12	92.7%	1.26	Bet365 1.26	-	-	-	-	+18.6pp	Lost
Dayton over 80.5	80.8%	1.50	Bet365 1.55	1xBet 1.50	Betano 1.44	-	-	+18.3pp	Lost
Dayton -11.5	92.8%	1.25	Bet365 1.25	-	-	-	-	+18.0pp	Lost
Dayton over 78.5	85.8%	1.34	Bet365 1.38	Betano 1.31	-	-	-	+17.7pp	Lost
Dayton over 79.5	83.4%	1.37	Betano 1.37	-	-	-	-	+17.3pp	Lost
Dayton over 76.5	89.8%	1.26	Bet365 1.26	-	-	-	-	+16.0pp	Lost
Dayton over 77.5	87.9%	1.25	1xBet 1.25	-	-	-	-	+14.3pp	Lost
Dayton -9.5	94.7%	1.15	Bet365 1.15	-	-	-	-	+14.2pp	Lost
Dayton over 75.5	91.5%	1.16	Bet365 1.16	-	-	-	-	+12.0pp	Won
Dayton over 74.5	93.0%	1.15	Bet365 1.18	1xBet 1.12	-	-	-	+12.0pp	Won
Dayton over 73.5	94.2%	1.13	Bet365 1.13	-	-	-	-	+11.9pp	Won
Northern Illinois under 69.5	81.7%	1.29	1xBet 1.29	Betano 1.28	-	-	-	+10.7pp	Lost
Dayton (regulation)	98.7%	1.02	Betano 1.03	Marathon Bet 1.01	-	-	-	+10.1pp	Lost
Northern Illinois under 66.5	72.7%	1.47	1xBet 1.50	Bet365 1.47	Betano 1.44	-	-	+9.7pp	Lost
Northern Illinois under 67.5	75.9%	1.35	Betano 1.35	-	-	-	-	+9.1pp	Lost
Northern Illinois under 68.5	78.9%	1.30	Bet365 1.31	Betano 1.29	-	-	-	+8.3pp	Lost
Dayton -4.5	97.8%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	+8.1pp	Lost
Northern Illinois under 70.5	84.2%	1.20	Bet365 1.20	-	-	-	-	+6.4pp	Lost
Northern Illinois under 72.5	88.5%	1.13	1xBet 1.14	Bet365 1.12	-	-	-	+6.3pp	Lost
Dayton win	98.9%	1.02	Betano 1.03	WilliamHill 1.02	1xBet 1.02	Marathon Bet 1.01	Bet365 1.01	+5.3pp	Lost
Northern Illinois under 74.5	91.9%	1.08	Bet365 1.08	-	-	-	-	+5.3pp	Lost
Over 139.5	73.7%	1.36	Betano 1.39	Bet365 1.33	-	-	-	+5.2pp	Won
Over 140.5	71.6%	1.39	Betano 1.40	Bet365 1.38	-	-	-	+5.2pp	Won
Over 140	73.1%	1.36	Bet365 1.36	-	-	-	-	+5.0pp	Won
Over 141	71.0%	1.40	Bet365 1.40	-	-	-	-	+4.9pp	Won
Northern Illinois under 76.5	94.4%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	+4.8pp	Lost
Over 139	75.2%	1.31	Bet365 1.31	-	-	-	-	+4.2pp	Won
Over 138.5	75.7%	1.28	Bet365 1.28	-	-	-	-	+3.3pp	Won
Over 121.5	96.1%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+3.3pp	Won
Over 136.5	79.4%	1.22	Bet365 1.22	-	-	-	-	+3.2pp	Won
Over 126.5	92.6%	1.03	Bet365 1.03	-	-	-	-	+2.4pp	Won
Over 131.5	87.1%	1.10	Bet365 1.10	-	-	-	-	+1.6pp	Won
Under 171.5	91.3%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	-1.5pp	Won
Dayton under 102.5	91.1%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	-2.6pp	Won
Northern Illinois over 48.5	88.7%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	-2.8pp	Won
Northern Illinois over 47.5	90.5%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	-3.2pp	Won
Dayton under 100.5	87.5%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	-4.0pp	Won
Under 166.5	85.3%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	-4.3pp	Won
Northern Illinois over 49.5	86.6%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	-4.5pp	Won
Northern Illinois over 50.5	84.4%	1.03	Bet365 1.03	-	-	-	-	-5.9pp	Won
Northern Illinois over 51.5	81.8%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	-7.5pp	Won
Dayton under 98.5	82.9%	1.03	Bet365 1.03	-	-	-	-	-7.6pp	Won
Under 161.5	77.0%	1.10	Bet365 1.10	-	-	-	-	-8.0pp	Won
Northern Illinois over 52.5	79.1%	1.07	Bet365 1.07	-	-	-	-	-8.4pp	Won
Northern Illinois over 53.5	76.1%	1.08	Bet365 1.08	-	-	-	-	-10.6pp	Won
Northern Illinois over 54.5	72.8%	1.12	1xBet 1.12	Bet365 1.11	-	-	-	-10.6pp	Won
Dayton under 96.5	77.3%	1.05	Bet365 1.05	-	-	-	-	-11.4pp	Won
Dayton under 94.5	70.8%	1.09	Bet365 1.09	-	-	-	-	-15.3pp	Won

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Dayton wins

Northern Illinois wins

Date	Game	Score
04/12/21	Dayton v Northern Illinois	79-41

Daytonlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
03/11/26	H	NJIT	89-58
15/03/26	A	VCU Rams	62-70
14/03/26	A	St. Louis Billikens	70-69
13/03/26	H	St. Bonaventure	68-63
07/03/26	H	VCU Rams	62-68
04/03/26	A	Richmond Spiders	65-60
28/02/26	A	George Washington	68-66
25/02/26	H	St. Louis Billikens	77-62
21/02/26	H	Duquesne	78-66
19/02/26	A	George Mason	82-67

Northern Illinoislast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
06/11/26	A	Tulsa	75-94
02/11/26	A	Grambling St.	87-89
06/03/26	A	Akron	55-94
04/03/26	H	Kent State	76-102
28/02/26	H	Ball State	43-79
25/02/26	A	Toledo	69-79
21/02/26	H	Ohio	66-74
17/02/26	A	Buffalo	72-70
14/02/26	A	Central Michigan	46-88
12/02/26	H	Bowling Green	52-68

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Dayton

NCAA 2026-27

Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	W	100%
Home	W	100%
Away	-	-

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	1	1	-
Win %	100%	100%	-
Points / game	89.0	89.0	-
Allowed / game	58.0	58.0	-
Point differential	+31.0	+31.0	-
Avg total	147.0	147.0	-
Over 147.5	0%	0%	-
Win by 10+	100%	100%	-
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	-

Northern Illinois

NCAA 2026-27

Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LL	0%
Home	-	-
Away	LL	0%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	2	-	2
Win %	0%	-	0%
Points / game	81.0	-	81.0
Allowed / game	91.5	-	91.5
Point differential	-10.5	-	-10.5
Avg total	172.5	-	172.5
Over 147.5	100%	-	100%
Win by 10+	0%	-	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (1)	-	0% (1)
Overtime %	0%	-	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic 10 conference

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Richmond Spiders	2	2	0	100%	103.5	61.5	+42.0
2	George Washington	2	2	0	100%	83.0	50.0	+33.0
3	Dayton	1	1	0	100%	89.0	58.0	+31.0
4	Rhode Island	2	2	0	100%	93.5	62.5	+31.0
5	Loyola Chicago	2	2	0	100%	76.5	52.5	+24.0
6	George Mason	2	2	0	100%	75.0	52.5	+22.5
7	St. Louis Billikens	2	2	0	100%	91.0	75.5	+15.5
8	Davidson	1	1	0	100%	76.0	61.0	+15.0
9	Saint Josephs Hawks	2	2	0	100%	74.5	65.0	+9.5
10	Duquesne	1	1	0	100%	78.0	71.0	+7.0
11	VCU Rams	2	1	1	50%	85.0	80.5	+4.5
12	Fordham	2	1	1	50%	74.0	79.0	-5.0
13	La Salle	2	1	1	50%	71.5	87.0	-15.5
14	St. Bonaventure	1	0	1	0%	71.0	79.0	-8.0

Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

Mid-American conference

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Central Michigan	2	2	0	100%	88.0	64.0	+24.0
2	Akron	1	1	0	100%	75.0	61.0	+14.0
3	Ohio	2	2	0	100%	83.0	73.5	+9.5
4	Miami (Ohio)	2	2	0	100%	83.0	75.0	+8.0
5	Bowling Green	1	1	0	100%	76.0	73.0	+3.0
6	Kent State	2	1	1	50%	88.5	67.5	+21.0
7	Western Michigan	2	1	1	50%	74.0	56.5	+17.5
8	UMass	2	1	1	50%	63.0	65.5	-2.5
9	Eastern Michigan	2	1	1	50%	62.0	73.0	-11.0
10	Toledo	3	1	2	33%	70.7	79.3	-8.7
11	Ball State	2	0	2	0%	60.5	68.0	-7.5
12	Northern Illinois	2	0	2	0%	81.0	91.5	-10.5
13	Buffalo	2	0	2	0%	63.0	86.0	-23.0