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Defensor vs Nacional Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 02 May 2025
Tip-off: 22:10
Final 87-77
26-24 19-21 24-18 18-14
Position#5
Record15-18
FormLWWWL
Points / game83.9
Allowed / game82.2
vs
Position#1
Record27-4
FormLWWWW
Points / game93.5
Allowed / game76.7
UruguayLiga UruguayaLiga Uruguaya - Semi-finals· Welcome
Other2024-25
Meetings · Defensor v Nacional
26 Mar 2026
DEFE68
NACI80
12 Feb 2026
DEFE82
NACI73
09 May 2025
DEFE80
NACI85
02 May 2025
DEFE87
NACI77
07 Jan 2025
DEFE78
NACI88
26 Mar 2024
DEFE58
NACI95
08 Dec 2023
DEFE91
NACI99
05 Apr 2023
DEFE92
NACI73
28 Mar 2023
DEFE66
NACI78
09 Mar 2023
DEFE87
NACI79
05 Dec 2022
DEFE75
NACI80
07 Mar 2022
DEFE73
NACI66
26 May 2021
DEFE70
NACI73
27 Mar 2021
DEFE88
NACI106
18 Nov 2020
DEFE83
NACI66
09 Nov 2020
DEFE67
NACI80
18 Oct 2019
DEFE79
NACI68
22 Jan 2019
DEFE69
NACI94
14 Dec 2017
DEFE90
NACI89
05 Nov 2012
DEFE100
NACI85
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Defensor winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Nacional winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

DefensorUruguayLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormDefensor
Date
Competition
Penarol
#3
L
74-80
74
80
-6
63avg 75
A13/03
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#4
L
55-71
55
71
-16
38avg 75
A17/03
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#1
L
69-81
69
81
-12
62avg 75
A27/03
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#2
L
75-83
75
83
-8
71avg 75
A30/03
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#3
L
71-76
71
76
-5
65avg 75
A08/04
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#3
L
73-78
73
78
-5
61avg 75
H13/04
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#3
W
95-76
95
76
+19
91avg 75
A17/04
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#3
W
96-93 OT
96
93
+3
84avg 75
H21/04
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#3
W
84-78
84
78
+6
79avg 75
A25/04
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#1
L
61-97
61
97
-36
54avg 75
A28/04
Liga Uruguaya
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-27
22-12
10-16
16-25
18-23
11-16
12-23
14-9
15-15
19-18
21-15
14-33
23-19
31-22
11-25
10-17
16-24
22-17
16-16
17-19
27-8
10-32
15-16
21-22
18-16
14-20
31-14
32-26
20-22
23-21
14-17
18-15
27-17
17-23
19-21
21-17
18-17
17-35
16-23
10-22
156.6Avg total
75.3Scored
81.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (33)83.982.2166.1+1.845%
Season at home (14)89.379.8169.1+9.564%
Season away (19)79.983.9163.8-3.932%
Last 10 (10)75.381.3156.6-6.030%
Last 5 (5)81.884.4166.2-2.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)77.983.6161.4-5.721%
vs Similar (4)74.079.0153.0-5.050%
vs Weaker (12)93.180.5173.6+12.675%
This opponent (Nacional) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NacionalUruguayLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNacional
Date
Competition
Bigua
#6
W
102-96 OT
102
96
+6
91avg 85
A05/03
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#3
W
90-72
90
72
+18
86avg 85
H10/03
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#2
L
81-99
81
99
-18
63avg 85
A13/03
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#9
W
85-80
85
80
+5
75avg 85
H17/03
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#5
W
81-69
81
69
+12
76avg 85
H27/03
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#4
L
82-85
82
85
-3
68avg 85
H31/03
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#7
W
94-52
94
52
+42
93avg 85
H15/04
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#7
W
115-64
115
64
+51
115avg 85
H19/04
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#7
W
96-72
96
72
+24
100avg 85
H21/04
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#5
W
97-61
97
61
+36
93avg 85
H28/04
Liga Uruguaya
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-19
20-26
27-26
17-17
26-18
14-25
26-9
24-20
13-29
24-26
28-24
16-20
22-23
24-15
21-21
18-21
15-15
18-19
15-21
33-14
18-23
22-32
16-11
26-19
28-16
20-10
20-7
26-19
28-18
29-15
28-14
30-17
32-18
21-20
22-22
21-12
17-18
35-17
23-16
22-10
167.3Avg total
92.3Scored
75.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)93.576.7170.1+16.887%
Season at home (19)93.075.1168.1+17.984%
Season away (12)94.279.2173.3+15.092%
Last 10 (10)92.375.0167.3+17.380%
Last 5 (5)96.866.8163.6+30.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (30)92.777.1169.8+15.687%
This opponent (Defensor) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +2.0+2.0Q1: +2.6+2.6Q2Q2: -3.0-3.0Q2: +2.2+2.2Q3Q3: -2.1-2.1Q3: +5.5+5.5Q4Q4: -3.2-3.2Q4: +6.4+6.4
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +2.0+2.0Q1: +2.6+2.6Q2Q2: -3.0-3.0Q2: +2.2+2.2Q3Q3: -2.1-2.1Q3: +5.5+5.5Q4Q4: -3.2-3.2Q4: +6.4+6.4
DefensorNacional
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
DefensorLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Penarol
#3
W
48-39
48
39
+9
A13/03
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#4
L
29-39
29
39
-10
A17/03
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#1
W
34-33
34
33
+1
A27/03
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#2
W
54-41
54
41
+13
A30/03
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#3
L
38-41
38
41
-3
A08/04
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#3
L
37-40
37
40
-3
H13/04
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#3
L
32-36
32
36
-4
A17/04
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#3
D
43-43
43
43
+0
H21/04
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#3
W
44-40
44
40
+4
A25/04
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#1
L
35-52
35
52
-17
A28/04
Liga Uruguaya
79.8Avg total
39.4Scored
40.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.540.282.7+2.353%-
Last 30 at home (13)44.539.884.3+4.646%-
Last 30 away (17)41.140.581.5+0.659%-
Last 10 (10)39.440.479.8-1.040%-
Last 5 (5)38.242.280.4-4.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)39.240.579.7-1.336%-
vs Similar (4)37.845.883.5-8.025%-
vs Weaker (12)48.038.086.0+10.083%-
This opponent (Nacional) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NacionalLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bigua
#6
L
44-45
44
45
-1
A05/03
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#3
L
40-43
40
43
-3
H10/03
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#2
L
37-55
37
55
-18
A13/03
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#9
W
46-38
46
38
+8
H17/03
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#5
L
33-34
33
34
-1
H27/03
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#4
L
40-55
40
55
-15
H31/03
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#7
W
48-26
48
26
+22
H15/04
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#7
W
57-33
57
33
+24
H19/04
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#7
W
53-38
53
38
+15
H21/04
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#5
W
52-35
52
35
+17
H28/04
Liga Uruguaya
85.2Avg total
45.0Scored
40.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.439.585.8+6.967%-
Last 30 at home (18)45.738.984.7+6.867%-
Last 30 away (12)47.340.287.6+7.167%-
Last 10 (10)45.040.285.2+4.850%-
Last 5 (5)50.037.487.4+12.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (30)46.439.585.8+6.967%-
This opponent (Defensor) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Defensortheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Defensor: 75.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.4 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.8 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.1 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.218.7
49.0%
51.5%37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.48.7
30.6%
33.0%26.1
🏀 Free throws17.011.8
69.4%
71.7%11.8
They take 66.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Nacionaltheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nacional: 92.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.2 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.7 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.6 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.1 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.823.1
55.3%
51.5%46.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.59.9
31.4%
33.0%29.7
🏀 Free throws23.016.6
72.2%
71.7%16.6
They take 73.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 02 May 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Defensor
LWWWLLLLLL
Nacional
WWWWLWWLWW
#5
League position
#1
-7.6
Net rating
+22.2
97.3
Offensive rating
115.2
105.0
Defensive rating
93.1
47.7%
Effective FG%
51.8%
48.7%
Opp. effective FG%
46.4%
17.2%
Turnover %
12.6%
24.4%
Off. rebound %
30.5%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.31
30.6%
3-point %
31.4%
58.4%
Assist %
62.4%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence97.3 · 115.2Defence105.0 · 93.1Shooting47.7% · 51.8%3-point %30.6% · 31.4%Ball care17.2% · 12.6%Off. rebounds24.4% · 30.5%Free throws0.26 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)30% · 80%
■ Defensor   ■ Nacional
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Defensor wins
8
Nacional wins
DateGameScore
28/04/25Nacional v Defensor97-61
27/03/25Nacional v Defensor81-69
27/01/25Nacional v Defensor96-81
08/01/25Defensor v Nacional78-88
27/03/24Defensor v Nacional58-95
22/02/24Nacional v Defensor65-72
09/12/23Defensor v Nacional91-99
12/04/23Nacional v Defensor81-71
05/04/23Defensor v Nacional92-73
31/03/23Nacional v Defensor79-73
Defensorlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/04/25ANacional61-97
25/04/25APenarol84-78
21/04/25HPenarol96-93 OT
17/04/25APenarol95-76
13/04/25HPenarol73-78
08/04/25APenarol71-76
30/03/25AAguada75-83
27/03/25ANacional69-81
17/03/25AMalvin55-71
13/03/25APenarol74-80
Nacionallast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/04/25HDefensor97-61
21/04/25HHebraica y Macabi96-72
19/04/25HHebraica y Macabi115-64
15/04/25HHebraica y Macabi94-52
31/03/25HMalvin82-85
27/03/25HDefensor81-69
17/03/25HCordon85-80
13/03/25AAguada81-99
10/03/25HPenarol90-72
05/03/25ABigua102-96 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Defensor
Liga Uruguaya 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL45%
HomeWLWLW64%
AwayLLWWL32%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games331419
Win %45%64%32%
Points / game83.989.379.9
Allowed / game82.279.883.9
Point differential+1.8+9.5-3.9
Avg total166.1169.1163.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%43%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (10)20% (5)20% (5)
Overtime %9%14%5%
Nacional
Liga Uruguaya 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW87%
HomeLWWWW84%
AwayWWWWL92%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311912
Win %87%84%92%
Points / game93.593.094.2
Allowed / game76.775.179.2
Point differential+16.8+17.9+15.0
Avg total170.1168.1173.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+68%74%58%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)40% (5)100% (2)
Overtime %3%0%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Nacional3127487%93.576.7+16.8
2 Aguada3225778%90.581.5+9.0
3 Penarol32221069%83.476.6+6.8
4 Malvin34221265%81.977.4+4.5
5 Defensor33151845%83.982.2+1.8
6 Bigua32141844%86.485.7+0.7
7 Hebraica y Macabi33141942%82.888.2-5.4
8 Urunday27111641%77.982.2-4.3
9 Cordon32131941%82.286.4-4.1
10 Urupan28101836%82.287.5-5.3
11 Remeros Mercedes31233%82.079.7+2.3
12 Welcome2891932%80.293.4-13.2
13 Trouville2742315%72.382.6-10.3
14 Ferro Carril2020%73.595.5-22.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Defensor2619241887
Nacional2421181477
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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