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Defensor vs Penarol Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 02 Apr 2024
Tip-off: 01:15
Final 67-83
17-25 12-14 20-27 18-17
Position#4
Record17-10
FormLWWLL
Points / game80.3
Allowed / game78.8
vs
Penarol 🏆
Uruguay
Position#2
Record20-6
FormLLLWW
Points / game82.1
Allowed / game70.7
UruguayLiga Uruguaya· Welcome
Other2023-24
Meetings · Defensor v Penarol
22 May 2026
DEFE61
PENA81
11 Apr 2026
DEFE92
PENA84
04 Feb 2026
DEFE81
PENA84
21 Apr 2025
DEFE96
PENA93
13 Apr 2025
DEFE73
PENA78
28 Feb 2025
DEFE84
PENA85
24 May 2024
DEFE61
PENA80
16 May 2024
DEFE87
PENA68
01 Apr 2024
DEFE67
PENA83
06 Dec 2023
DEFE72
PENA79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Defensor winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Penarol winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

DefensorUruguayLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormDefensor
Date
Competition
Malvin
#5
W
85-82
85
82
+3
78avg 70
H23/01
Liga Uruguaya
Trouville
#8
W
88-84
88
84
+4
79avg 70
H30/01
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#10
W
76-74
76
74
+2
65avg 70
A06/02
Liga Uruguaya
Larre Borges
#13
W
92-77
92
77
+15
91avg 70
H10/02
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#3
W
72-65
72
65
+7
67avg 70
A22/02
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#1
L
77-82
77
82
-5
64avg 70
A05/03
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#10
W
79-60
79
60
+19
72avg 70
H18/03
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#2
W
72-69
72
69
+3
60avg 70
A22/03
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#6
L
96-103 OT
96
103
-7
no box
A23/03
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#3
L
58-95
58
95
-37
52avg 70
H27/03
Liga Uruguaya
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-27
25-10
16-22
26-23
26-15
25-27
16-25
21-17
22-16
14-24
16-19
24-15
23-25
22-13
26-20
21-19
19-17
20-16
18-11
15-21
21-23
16-20
26-14
14-25
26-16
17-13
21-17
15-14
9-10
26-15
19-20
18-24
16-18
29-26
17-24
26-20
20-30
20-21
9-24
9-20
158.6Avg total
79.5Scored
79.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)80.378.8159.1+1.563%
Season at home (13)81.679.2160.8+2.469%
Season away (14)79.178.4157.5+0.657%
Last 10 (10)79.579.1158.6+0.470%
Last 5 (5)76.481.8158.2-5.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)74.578.8153.3-4.333%
vs Similar (13)79.582.8162.3-3.438%
vs Weaker (11)84.073.7157.7+10.3100%
This opponent (Penarol) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PenarolUruguayLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPenarol
Date
Competition
Goes
#12
W
90-65
90
65
+25
83avg 73
H25/01
Liga Uruguaya
Trouville
#8
W
91-83
91
83
+8
84avg 73
A28/01
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#10
L
65-75
65
75
-10
51avg 73
H31/01
Liga Uruguaya
Larre Borges
#13
W
57-52
57
52
+5
45avg 73
A03/02
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#3
W
79-68
79
68
+11
70avg 73
H07/02
Liga Uruguaya
Goes
#12
L
62-77
62
77
-15
49avg 73
A16/02
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#1
L
81-82
81
82
-1
69avg 73
H19/03
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#4
L
69-72
69
72
-3
53avg 73
H22/03
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#10
W
84-68
84
68
+16
84avg 73
A24/03
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#6
W
99-74
99
74
+25
99avg 73
H27/03
Liga Uruguaya
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-14
30-16
17-16
18-19
26-18
26-27
12-18
27-20
22-24
17-21
11-12
15-18
13-14
14-16
20-13
10-9
24-14
14-16
22-17
19-21
20-18
11-22
14-17
17-20
13-12
19-20
16-15
33-35
10-9
15-26
20-19
24-18
28-20
20-23
22-10
14-15
32-17
25-22
23-20
19-15
149.3Avg total
77.7Scored
71.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)82.170.7152.8+11.477%
Season at home (14)83.368.9152.2+14.479%
Season away (12)80.872.8153.6+7.975%
Last 10 (10)77.771.6149.3+6.160%
Last 5 (5)79.074.6153.6+4.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (5)84.278.2162.4+6.060%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)81.669.0150.6+12.781%
This opponent (Defensor) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +0.3+0.3Q1: +5.3+5.3Q2Q2: +2.9+2.9Q2: -1.8-1.8Q3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q3: +2.0+2.0Q4Q4: -0.9-0.9Q4: +0.6+0.6
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +0.3+0.3Q1: +5.3+5.3Q2Q2: +2.9+2.9Q2: -1.8-1.8Q3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q3: +2.0+2.0Q4Q4: -0.9-0.9Q4: +0.6+0.6
DefensorPenarol
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
DefensorLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Malvin
#5
W
43-37
43
37
+6
H23/01
Liga Uruguaya
Trouville
#8
W
51-42
51
42
+9
H30/01
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#10
L
36-40
36
40
-4
A06/02
Liga Uruguaya
Larre Borges
#13
W
45-38
45
38
+7
H10/02
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#3
W
39-33
39
33
+6
A22/02
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#1
L
37-43
37
43
-6
A05/03
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#10
W
43-29
43
29
+14
H18/03
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#2
W
35-25
35
25
+10
A22/03
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#6
W
45-44
45
44
+1
A23/03
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#3
L
40-51
40
51
-11
H27/03
Liga Uruguaya
79.6Avg total
41.4Scored
38.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.640.181.7+1.567%-
Last 30 at home (14)45.139.985.0+5.186%-
Last 30 away (16)38.540.278.8-1.850%-
Last 10 (10)41.438.279.6+3.270%-
Last 5 (5)40.038.478.4+1.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)37.239.276.3-2.050%-
vs Similar (13)40.842.082.8-1.262%-
vs Weaker (11)44.838.483.2+6.582%-
This opponent (Penarol) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PenarolLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Goes
#12
W
55-30
55
30
+25
H25/01
Liga Uruguaya
Trouville
#8
W
52-45
52
45
+7
A28/01
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#10
L
39-45
39
45
-6
H31/01
Liga Uruguaya
Larre Borges
#13
L
27-30
27
30
-3
A03/02
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#3
W
38-30
38
30
+8
H07/02
Liga Uruguaya
Goes
#12
L
31-40
31
40
-9
A16/02
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#1
D
32-32
32
32
+0
H19/03
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#4
L
25-35
25
35
-10
H22/03
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#10
W
48-43
48
43
+5
A24/03
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#6
W
57-39
57
39
+18
H27/03
Liga Uruguaya
77.3Avg total
40.4Scored
36.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (26)42.936.279.0+6.758%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.433.577.9+10.971%-
Last 30 away (12)41.139.280.3+1.842%-
Last 10 (10)40.436.977.3+3.550%-
Last 5 (5)38.637.876.4+0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (5)41.437.879.2+3.640%-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)43.235.879.0+7.562%-
This opponent (Defensor) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Defensortheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Defensor: 75.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.4 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.2 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.918.7
44.6%
51.0%37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.88.6
32.1%
33.3%25.8
🏀 Free throws19.212.2
63.5%
71.7%12.2
They take 68.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Penaroltheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Penarol: 77.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.6 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.7 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.817.8
52.7%
51.0%35.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.08.7
29.0%
33.3%26.1
🏀 Free throws22.615.7
69.5%
71.7%15.7
They take 63.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 02 Apr 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Defensor
LLWWLWWWWW
Penarol
WWLLLWWLWW
#4
League position
#2
-0.6
Net rating
+7.6
97.7
Offensive rating
102.6
98.3
Defensive rating
95.0
46.0%
Effective FG%
48.4%
48.5%
Opp. effective FG%
44.1%
14.3%
Turnover %
15.8%
25.6%
Off. rebound %
25.9%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.35
32.1%
3-point %
29.0%
58.2%
Assist %
50.6%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence97.7 · 102.6Defence98.3 · 95.0Shooting46.0% · 48.4%3-point %32.1% · 29.0%Ball care14.3% · 15.8%Off. rebounds25.6% · 25.9%Free throws0.28 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)70% · 60%
■ Defensor   ■ Penarol
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Defensor wins
2
Penarol wins
DateGameScore
22/03/24Penarol v Defensor69-72
20/01/24Penarol v Defensor81-64
07/12/23Defensor v Penarol72-79
Defensorlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/03/24HNacional58-95
23/03/24AHebraica y Macabi96-103 OT
22/03/24APenarol72-69
18/03/24HCordon79-60
05/03/24AAguada77-82
22/02/24ANacional72-65
10/02/24HLarre Borges92-77
06/02/24ACordon76-74
30/01/24HTrouville88-84
23/01/24HMalvin85-82
Penarollast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/03/24HHebraica y Macabi99-74
24/03/24ACordon84-68
22/03/24HDefensor69-72
19/03/24HAguada81-82
16/02/24AGoes62-77
07/02/24HNacional79-68
03/02/24ALarre Borges57-52
31/01/24HCordon65-75
28/01/24ATrouville91-83
25/01/24HGoes90-65

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Defensor
Liga Uruguaya 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL63%
HomeWWWWL69%
AwayWWLWL57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271314
Win %63%69%57%
Points / game80.381.679.1
Allowed / game78.879.278.4
Point differential+1.5+2.4+0.6
Avg total159.1160.8157.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%38%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (8)100% (3)60% (5)
Overtime %4%0%7%
Penarol
Liga Uruguaya 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW77%
HomeLWLLW79%
AwayWWWLW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261412
Win %77%79%75%
Points / game82.183.380.8
Allowed / game70.768.972.8
Point differential+11.4+14.4+7.9
Avg total152.8152.2153.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%64%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)50% (4)33% (3)
Overtime %4%7%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Aguada2822679%90.081.0+9.0
2 Penarol2620677%82.170.7+11.4
3 Nacional2718967%86.381.0+5.3
4 Defensor27171063%80.378.8+1.5
5 Hebraica y Macabi27161159%84.682.8+1.7
6 Malvin30171357%83.680.5+3.1
7 Bigua30141647%84.884.9-0.1
8 Cordon27121544%72.575.0-2.4
9 Trouville30121840%78.381.4-3.2
10 Goes30102033%78.281.8-3.6
11 Urupan30102033%76.481.9-5.4
12 Larre Borges3032710%69.183.7-14.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Defensor1712201867
Penarol2514271783
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