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Defensor vs Penarol Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 11 Apr 2026
Tip-off: 23:15
Final 92-84 (OT)
16-24 21-23 26-10 13-19 16-8
Position#7
Record13-15
FormLLLLW
Points / game85.2
Allowed / game85.4
vs
Position#1
Record22-5
FormLWWWL
Points / game87.6
Allowed / game74.4
UruguayLiga Uruguaya· Welcome
Other2025-26
Meetings · Defensor v Penarol
22 May 2026
DEFE61
PENA81
11 Apr 2026
DEFE92
PENA84
04 Feb 2026
DEFE81
PENA84
21 Apr 2025
DEFE96
PENA93
13 Apr 2025
DEFE73
PENA78
28 Feb 2025
DEFE84
PENA85
24 May 2024
DEFE61
PENA80
16 May 2024
DEFE87
PENA68
01 Apr 2024
DEFE67
PENA83
06 Dec 2023
DEFE72
PENA79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Defensor winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Penarol winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

🔥 Form · Defensor
4.2out of 10 · 5 = normal010
Below their normal
🏀
Attack
Points scored per game
Last 5 v their normal 84.5
79.2▼ 5.3
🛡️
Defence
Points allowed per game
Last 5 v their normal 85.1
86.0▲ 0.9
🎯
Accuracy
True shooting %
Last 5 v their normal 57%
55%▼ 2%
🤝
Playmaking
Assists per game
Last 5 v their normal 16.9
14.8▼ 2.1
🔥 Form · Penarol
4.6out of 10 · 5 = normal010
Around their normal
🏀
Attack
Points scored per game
Last 5 v their normal 86.8
86.4▼ 0.4
🛡️
Defence
Points allowed per game
Last 5 v their normal 76.0
79.6▲ 3.6
🎯
Accuracy
True shooting %
Last 5 v their normal 58%
56%▼ 2%
🤝
Playmaking
Assists per game
Last 5 v their normal 21.3
21.2▼ 0.1
DefensorUruguayLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Penarol
#1
L
81-84
81
84
-3
H04/02
Liga Uruguaya
Welcome
#12
W
91-77
91
77
+14
A09/02
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#2
W
82-73
82
73
+9
H12/02
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#3
W
98-92
98
92
+6
H19/02
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#8
L
87-90
87
90
-3
H09/03
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#1
L
80-88
80
88
-8
A13/03
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#4
L
83-85
83
85
-2
A17/03
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#3
L
81-97
81
97
-16
A20/03
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#2
L
68-80
68
80
-12
H26/03
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#8
W
84-80
84
80
+4
A30/03
Liga Uruguaya
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-24
18-24
13-22
26-14
28-23
23-20
23-13
17-21
38-24
15-14
16-18
13-17
35-29
23-27
22-17
18-19
16-33
22-17
27-25
22-15
25-20
20-23
18-20
17-25
18-22
19-24
30-21
16-18
18-22
24-26
14-21
25-28
17-20
17-20
21-21
13-19
23-19
19-18
23-21
19-22
168.1Avg total
83.5Scored
84.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)85.285.4170.6-0.246%
Season at home (13)89.585.2174.7+4.462%
Season away (15)81.485.6167.0-4.233%
Last 10 (10)83.584.6168.1-1.140%
Last 5 (5)79.286.0165.2-6.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)78.385.8164.1-7.518%
vs Similar (13)85.585.0170.5+0.546%
vs Weaker (6)95.886.2182.0+9.783%
This opponent (Penarol) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PenarolUruguayLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Aguada
#3
L
80-91
80
91
-11
A27/01
Liga Uruguaya
Goes
#10
W
95-76
95
76
+19
H30/01
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#7
W
84-81
84
81
+3
A04/02
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#5
W
98-76
98
76
+22
H09/02
Liga Uruguaya
Urunday
#9
W
100-83
100
83
+17
A19/02
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#3
L
80-86
80
86
-6
A10/03
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#7
W
88-80
88
80
+8
H13/03
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#4
W
96-67
96
67
+29
A19/03
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#8
W
97-87 OT
97
87
+10
A26/03
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#2
L
71-78
71
78
-7
H09/04
Liga Uruguaya
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-25
21-21
19-20
20-25
26-15
28-15
17-19
24-27
24-24
24-18
22-13
14-26
31-19
18-22
19-15
30-20
23-28
23-21
28-19
26-15
20-22
19-30
25-14
16-20
20-25
23-20
20-18
25-17
19-17
25-15
26-20
26-15
20-23
22-16
17-23
22-19
20-17
17-25
16-20
18-16
169.4Avg total
88.9Scored
80.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)87.674.4162.0+13.281%
Season at home (13)90.275.6165.8+14.592%
Season away (14)85.273.3158.5+11.971%
Last 10 (10)88.980.5169.4+8.470%
Last 5 (5)86.479.6166.0+6.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (30)87.176.1163.2+10.973%
This opponent (Defensor) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q1: +0.8+0.8Q2Q2: -1.3-1.3Q2: +1.7+1.7Q3Q3: +0.8+0.8Q3: +2.8+2.8Q4Q4: -1.2-1.2Q4: +2.1+2.1
DefensorPenarol
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
DefensorLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Penarol
#1
L
42-48
42
48
-6
H04/02
Liga Uruguaya
Welcome
#12
W
51-43
51
43
+8
A09/02
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#2
W
53-38
53
38
+15
H12/02
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#3
W
58-56
58
56
+2
H19/02
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#8
L
38-50
38
50
-12
H09/03
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#1
W
45-43
45
43
+2
A13/03
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#4
L
37-46
37
46
-9
A17/03
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#3
L
42-48
42
48
-6
A20/03
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#2
L
34-40
34
40
-6
H26/03
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#8
W
42-37
42
37
+5
A30/03
Liga Uruguaya
89.1Avg total
44.2Scored
44.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.745.390.0-0.653%-
Last 30 at home (14)46.645.892.4+0.857%-
Last 30 away (16)43.144.987.9-1.850%-
Last 10 (10)44.244.989.1-0.750%-
Last 5 (5)40.042.882.8-2.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)43.144.487.5-1.345%-
vs Similar (13)43.045.788.7-2.738%-
vs Weaker (6)51.346.297.5+5.2100%-
This opponent (Penarol) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PenarolLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Aguada
#3
L
41-46
41
46
-5
A27/01
Liga Uruguaya
Goes
#10
W
54-30
54
30
+24
H30/01
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#7
W
48-42
48
42
+6
A04/02
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#5
W
49-41
49
41
+8
H09/02
Liga Uruguaya
Urunday
#9
L
46-49
46
49
-3
A19/02
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#3
L
39-52
39
52
-13
A10/03
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#7
L
43-45
43
45
-2
H13/03
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#4
W
44-32
44
32
+12
A19/03
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#8
W
42-39
42
39
+3
A26/03
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#2
L
37-42
37
42
-5
H09/04
Liga Uruguaya
86.1Avg total
44.3Scored
41.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.638.883.4+5.863%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.738.383.0+6.367%-
Last 30 away (15)44.539.383.8+5.360%-
Last 10 (10)44.341.886.1+2.550%-
Last 5 (5)41.042.083.0-1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (30)44.638.883.4+5.863%-
This opponent (Defensor) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Defensortheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Defensor: 82.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.8 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.9 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.9 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.018.9
51.1%
53.3%37.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.19.7
34.5%
33.3%29.1
🏀 Free throws22.815.9
69.7%
70.9%15.9
They take 65.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Penaroltheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Penarol: 88.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.2 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.5 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.2 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.9 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.522.6
57.2%
53.3%45.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.710.5
36.6%
33.3%31.5
🏀 Free throws18.512.2
65.9%
70.9%12.2
They take 68.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 11 Apr 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Defensor
WLLLLLWWWL
Penarol
LWWWLWWWWL
#7
League position
#1
-2.0
Net rating
+9.4
93.4
Offensive rating
99.6
95.4
Defensive rating
90.2
51.4%
Effective FG%
56.2%
52.0%
Opp. effective FG%
50.5%
14.6%
Turnover %
15.7%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.27
34.5%
3-point %
36.6%
52.4%
Assist %
63.7%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence93.4 · 99.6Defence95.4 · 90.2Shooting51.4% · 56.2%3-point %34.5% · 36.6%Ball care14.6% · 15.7%Free throws0.35 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)40% · 70%
■ Defensor   ■ Penarol
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Defensor wins
7
Penarol wins
DateGameScore
13/03/26Penarol v Defensor88-80
04/02/26Defensor v Penarol81-84
21/11/25Penarol v Defensor85-72
25/04/25Penarol v Defensor78-84
21/04/25Defensor v Penarol96-93 OT
17/04/25Penarol v Defensor76-95
13/04/25Defensor v Penarol73-78
08/04/25Penarol v Defensor76-71
13/03/25Penarol v Defensor80-74
01/03/25Defensor v Penarol84-85
Defensorlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/03/26AHebraica y Macabi84-80
26/03/26HNacional68-80
20/03/26AAguada81-97
17/03/26AMalvin83-85
13/03/26APenarol80-88
09/03/26HHebraica y Macabi87-90
19/02/26HAguada98-92
12/02/26HNacional82-73
09/02/26AWelcome91-77
04/02/26HPenarol81-84
Penarollast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/04/26HNacional71-78
26/03/26AHebraica y Macabi97-87 OT
19/03/26AMalvin96-67
13/03/26HDefensor88-80
10/03/26AAguada80-86
19/02/26AUrunday100-83
09/02/26HBigua98-76
04/02/26ADefensor84-81
30/01/26HGoes95-76
27/01/26AAguada80-91

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Defensor
Liga Uruguaya 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW46%
HomeLWWLL62%
AwayWLLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281315
Win %46%62%33%
Points / game85.289.581.4
Allowed / game85.485.285.6
Point differential-0.2+4.4-4.2
Avg total170.6174.7167.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%38%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won44% (9)33% (3)50% (6)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Penarol
Liga Uruguaya 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL81%
HomeWWWWL92%
AwayWWLWW71%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271314
Win %81%92%71%
Points / game87.690.285.2
Allowed / game74.475.673.3
Point differential+13.2+14.5+11.9
Avg total162.0165.8158.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+70%77%64%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %4%0%7%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Penarol2722581%87.674.4+13.2
2 Aguada2619773%91.984.8+7.1
3 Nacional2718967%91.181.7+9.4
4 Malvin29171259%80.681.6-1.0
5 Bigua28161257%89.087.2+1.7
6 Hebraica y Macabi29161355%83.984.0-0.1
7 Union Atletica28141450%83.582.6+0.9
8 Urunday27131448%89.385.3+4.0
9 Defensor28131546%85.285.4-0.2
10 Goes2791833%83.789.1-5.4
11 Cordon2852318%80.894.4-13.6
12 Welcome2842414%81.195.8-14.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Defensor162126131692
Penarol24231019884
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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