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Defensor vs Penarol Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 21 Apr 2025
Tip-off: 22:10
Final 96-93 (OT)
20-22 23-21 14-17 18-15 21-18
Position#5
Record13-17
FormLLLLW
Points / game84.3
Allowed / game81.4
vs
Position#3
Record22-8
FormWWWWL
Points / game83.3
Allowed / game75.7
UruguayLiga UruguayaLiga Uruguaya - Quarter-finals· Welcome
Other2024-25
Meetings · Defensor v Penarol
22 May 2026
DEFE61
PENA81
11 Apr 2026
DEFE92
PENA84
04 Feb 2026
DEFE81
PENA84
21 Apr 2025
DEFE96
PENA93
13 Apr 2025
DEFE73
PENA78
28 Feb 2025
DEFE84
PENA85
24 May 2024
DEFE61
PENA80
16 May 2024
DEFE87
PENA68
01 Apr 2024
DEFE67
PENA83
06 Dec 2023
DEFE72
PENA79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Defensor winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Penarol winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

DefensorUruguayLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormDefensor
Date
Competition
Penarol
#3
L
84-85
84
85
-1
77avg 75
H01/03
Liga Uruguaya
Urupan
#10
L
92-94
92
94
-2
78avg 75
A04/03
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#9
W
88-78
88
78
+10
88avg 75
H10/03
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#3
L
74-80
74
80
-6
63avg 75
A13/03
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#4
L
55-71
55
71
-16
38avg 75
A17/03
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#1
L
69-81
69
81
-12
62avg 75
A27/03
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#2
L
75-83
75
83
-8
71avg 75
A30/03
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#3
L
71-76
71
76
-5
65avg 75
A08/04
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#3
L
73-78
73
78
-5
61avg 75
H13/04
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#3
W
95-76
95
76
+19
91avg 75
A17/04
Liga Uruguaya
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-26
14-25
21-20
23-14
19-22
20-26
28-24
25-22
28-29
22-19
26-10
12-20
26-27
22-12
10-16
16-25
18-23
11-16
12-23
14-9
15-15
19-18
21-15
14-33
23-19
31-22
11-25
10-17
16-24
22-17
16-16
17-19
27-8
10-32
15-16
21-22
18-16
14-20
31-14
32-26
157.8Avg total
77.6Scored
80.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)84.381.4165.7+2.843%
Season at home (13)88.878.8167.5+10.062%
Season away (17)80.883.5164.3-2.629%
Last 10 (10)77.680.2157.8-2.620%
Last 5 (5)76.678.8155.4-2.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)77.883.2160.9-5.48%
vs Similar (5)79.279.0158.2+0.260%
vs Weaker (13)92.280.8173.0+11.569%
This opponent (Penarol) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PenarolUruguayLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPenarol
Date
Competition
Defensor
#5
W
85-84
85
84
+1
78avg 78
A01/03
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#7
W
82-68
82
68
+14
82avg 78
H05/03
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#1
L
72-90
72
90
-18
57avg 78
A10/03
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#5
W
80-74
80
74
+6
71avg 78
H13/03
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#2
L
78-85
78
85
-7
70avg 78
H17/03
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#4
W
82-73 OT
82
73
+9
72avg 78
H28/03
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#9
W
95-88
95
88
+7
95avg 78
H31/03
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#5
W
76-71
76
71
+5
70avg 78
H08/04
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#5
W
78-73
78
73
+5
74avg 78
A13/04
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#5
L
76-95
76
95
-19
75avg 78
H17/04
Liga Uruguaya
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-26
25-14
20-21
14-23
27-14
13-17
20-19
22-18
18-26
25-14
9-26
20-24
27-26
12-22
16-10
25-16
16-26
23-21
23-20
16-18
18-15
13-14
21-24
17-16
26-15
19-31
25-18
25-24
24-16
17-22
16-16
19-17
8-27
32-10
16-15
22-21
16-18
20-14
14-31
26-32
160.5Avg total
80.4Scored
80.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)83.375.7159.0+7.673%
Season at home (17)81.675.2156.9+6.476%
Season away (13)85.576.4161.8+9.169%
Last 10 (10)80.480.1160.5+0.370%
Last 5 (5)81.480.0161.4+1.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)78.386.3164.7-8.00%
vs Similar (6)77.876.2154.0+1.750%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)85.674.1159.7+11.590%
This opponent (Defensor) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +0.7+0.7Q1: -0.3-0.3Q2Q2: -2.2-2.2Q2: +2.0+2.0Q3Q3: +1.2+1.2Q3: -2.0-2.0Q4Q4: -2.3-2.3Q4: -0.3-0.3
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +0.7+0.7Q1: -0.3-0.3Q2Q2: -2.2-2.2Q2: +2.0+2.0Q3Q3: +1.2+1.2Q3: -2.0-2.0Q4Q4: -2.3-2.3Q4: -0.3-0.3
DefensorPenarol
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
DefensorLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Penarol
#3
L
40-51
40
51
-11
H01/03
Liga Uruguaya
Urupan
#10
L
39-48
39
48
-9
A04/03
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#9
W
50-48
50
48
+2
H10/03
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#3
W
48-39
48
39
+9
A13/03
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#4
L
29-39
29
39
-10
A17/03
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#1
W
34-33
34
33
+1
A27/03
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#2
W
54-41
54
41
+13
A30/03
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#3
L
38-41
38
41
-3
A08/04
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#3
L
37-40
37
40
-3
H13/04
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#3
L
32-36
32
36
-4
A17/04
Liga Uruguaya
81.7Avg total
40.1Scored
41.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.240.183.3+3.253%-
Last 30 at home (13)45.839.585.2+6.354%-
Last 30 away (17)41.340.581.8+0.853%-
Last 10 (10)40.141.681.7-1.540%-
Last 5 (5)39.038.277.2+0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)39.140.179.2-1.033%-
vs Similar (5)42.244.286.4-2.040%-
vs Weaker (13)47.538.585.9+9.077%-
This opponent (Penarol) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PenarolLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Defensor
#5
W
51-40
51
40
+11
A01/03
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#7
W
40-31
40
31
+9
H05/03
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#1
W
43-40
43
40
+3
A10/03
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#5
L
39-48
39
48
-9
H13/03
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#2
L
39-47
39
47
-8
H17/03
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#4
W
31-29
31
29
+2
H28/03
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#9
L
45-46
45
46
-1
H31/03
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#5
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H08/04
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#5
W
40-37
40
37
+3
A13/04
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#5
W
36-32
36
32
+4
H17/04
Liga Uruguaya
79.3Avg total
40.5Scored
38.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.537.379.9+5.273%-
Last 30 at home (17)39.638.077.6+1.659%-
Last 30 away (13)46.336.582.8+9.892%-
Last 10 (10)40.538.879.3+1.770%-
Last 5 (5)38.636.475.0+2.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)41.743.385.0-1.767%-
vs Similar (6)37.534.071.5+3.550%-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)44.137.481.5+6.781%-
This opponent (Defensor) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Defensortheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Defensor: 76.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.4 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.4 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.1 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.919.2
49.4%
51.5%38.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.68.7
29.4%
33.0%26.1
🏀 Free throws16.512.4
75.2%
71.7%12.4
They take 68.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Penaroltheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Penarol: 80.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.3 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.1 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.820.0
50.3%
51.5%40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.58.9
30.2%
33.0%26.7
🏀 Free throws18.813.3
70.7%
71.7%13.3
They take 69.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 Apr 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Defensor
WLLLLLLWLL
Penarol
LWWWWLWLWW
#5
League position
#3
-3.9
Net rating
+0.8
99.8
Offensive rating
103.9
103.7
Defensive rating
103.2
47.1%
Effective FG%
48.1%
50.0%
Opp. effective FG%
49.6%
14.9%
Turnover %
16.7%
23.8%
Off. rebound %
32.2%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.27
29.4%
3-point %
30.2%
60.6%
Assist %
66.4%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence99.8 · 103.9Defence103.7 · 103.2Shooting47.1% · 48.1%3-point %29.4% · 30.2%Ball care14.9% · 16.7%Off. rebounds23.8% · 32.2%Free throws0.24 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)20% · 70%
■ Defensor   ■ Penarol
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Defensor wins
7
Penarol wins
DateGameScore
17/04/25Penarol v Defensor76-95
13/04/25Defensor v Penarol73-78
08/04/25Penarol v Defensor76-71
13/03/25Penarol v Defensor80-74
01/03/25Defensor v Penarol84-85
20/12/24Penarol v Defensor70-64
28/05/24Penarol v Defensor103-66
24/05/24Defensor v Penarol61-80
22/05/24Penarol v Defensor76-80
17/05/24Defensor v Penarol87-68
Defensorlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/04/25APenarol95-76
13/04/25HPenarol73-78
08/04/25APenarol71-76
30/03/25AAguada75-83
27/03/25ANacional69-81
17/03/25AMalvin55-71
13/03/25APenarol74-80
10/03/25HCordon88-78
04/03/25AUrupan92-94
01/03/25HPenarol84-85
Penarollast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/04/25HDefensor76-95
13/04/25ADefensor78-73
08/04/25HDefensor76-71
31/03/25HCordon95-88
28/03/25HMalvin82-73 OT
17/03/25HAguada78-85
13/03/25HDefensor80-74
10/03/25ANacional72-90
05/03/25HHebraica y Macabi82-68
01/03/25ADefensor85-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Defensor
Liga Uruguaya 2024-25
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW43%
HomeWWLWL62%
AwayLLLLW29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301317
Win %43%62%29%
Points / game84.388.880.8
Allowed / game81.478.883.5
Point differential+2.8+10.0-2.6
Avg total165.7167.5164.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%46%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won11% (9)0% (4)20% (5)
Overtime %7%8%6%
Penarol
Liga Uruguaya 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL73%
HomeLWWWL76%
AwayWWWLW69%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301713
Win %73%76%69%
Points / game83.381.685.5
Allowed / game75.775.276.4
Point differential+7.6+6.4+9.1
Avg total159.0156.9161.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%24%46%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (9)75% (4)60% (5)
Overtime %7%12%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Nacional3026487%93.377.2+16.1
2 Aguada3025583%90.680.8+9.8
3 Penarol3022873%83.375.7+7.6
4 Malvin31191261%80.476.6+3.8
5 Bigua32141844%86.485.7+0.7
6 Defensor30131743%84.381.4+2.8
7 Hebraica y Macabi33141942%82.888.2-5.4
8 Cordon31131842%82.585.8-3.3
9 Urunday27111641%77.982.2-4.3
10 Urupan28101836%82.287.5-5.3
11 Remeros Mercedes31233%82.079.7+2.3
12 Welcome2891932%80.293.4-13.2
13 Trouville2742315%72.382.6-10.3
14 Ferro Carril2020%73.595.5-22.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Defensor202314182196
Penarol222117151893
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