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Defensor vs Penarol Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 04 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 23:15
Final 81-84
24-24 18-24 13-22 26-14
Position#7
Record9-9
FormLLLLW
Points / game86.1
Allowed / game85.8
vs
Position#1
Record16-3
FormWWWLW
Points / game86.9
Allowed / game72.2
UruguayLiga Uruguaya· Welcome
Other2025-26
Meetings · Defensor v Penarol
22 May 2026
DEFE61
PENA81
11 Apr 2026
DEFE92
PENA84
04 Feb 2026
DEFE81
PENA84
21 Apr 2025
DEFE96
PENA93
13 Apr 2025
DEFE73
PENA78
28 Feb 2025
DEFE84
PENA85
24 May 2024
DEFE61
PENA80
16 May 2024
DEFE87
PENA68
01 Apr 2024
DEFE67
PENA83
06 Dec 2023
DEFE72
PENA79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Defensor winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Penarol winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

DefensorUruguayLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormDefensor
Date
Competition
Penarol
#1
L
72-85
72
85
-13
60avg 77
A21/11
Liga Uruguaya
Welcome
#12
W
103-82
103
82
+21
106avg 77
H11/12
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#8
L
90-91
90
91
-1
80avg 77
A15/12
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#5
W
98-76
98
76
+22
99avg 77
H19/12
Liga Uruguaya
Urunday
#9
W
80-78
80
78
+2
75avg 77
A07/01
Liga Uruguaya
Goes
#10
L
92-99
92
99
-7
87avg 77
A12/01
Liga Uruguaya
Union Atletica
#6
L
77-87
77
87
-10
no box
H16/01
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#4
L
76-85
76
85
-9
68avg 77
A20/01
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#3
L
76-90
76
90
-14
63avg 77
A25/01
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#11
W
90-84
90
84
+6
75avg 77
A29/01
Liga Uruguaya
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-22
20-21
18-20
7-22
28-23
28-27
22-11
25-21
21-27
29-21
26-27
14-16
23-22
28-20
23-12
24-22
23-25
19-18
22-17
16-18
24-23
27-27
15-24
26-25
22-27
20-25
20-12
15-23
25-27
13-22
28-18
10-18
27-21
17-18
18-27
14-24
27-19
24-25
18-18
21-22
171.1Avg total
85.4Scored
85.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)86.185.8171.9+0.350%
Season at home (8)93.586.0179.5+7.575%
Season away (10)80.285.7165.9-5.530%
Last 10 (10)85.485.7171.1-0.340%
Last 5 (5)82.289.0171.2-6.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)77.383.5160.8-6.229%
vs Similar (11)82.983.7166.6-0.845%
vs Weaker (5)96.888.0184.8+8.880%
This opponent (Penarol) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PenarolUruguayLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPenarol
Date
Competition
Defensor
#7
W
85-72
85
72
+13
83avg 81
H21/11
Liga Uruguaya
Urunday
#9
W
85-58
85
58
+27
84avg 81
H04/12
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#2
W
82-69
82
69
+13
76avg 81
H09/12
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#4
W
89-67
89
67
+22
91avg 81
A16/12
Liga Uruguaya
Union Atletica
#6
W
88-80
88
80
+8
88avg 81
H18/12
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#11
W
77-58
77
58
+19
83avg 81
A10/01
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#8
W
79-69
79
69
+10
71avg 81
H14/01
Liga Uruguaya
Welcome
#12
W
107-74
107
74
+33
114avg 81
H20/01
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#3
L
80-91
80
91
-11
68avg 81
A27/01
Liga Uruguaya
Goes
#10
W
95-76
95
76
+19
98avg 81
H30/01
Liga Uruguaya
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-27
21-20
20-18
22-7
15-21
28-14
22-10
20-13
21-16
19-16
17-22
25-15
24-19
25-11
27-19
13-18
20-25
27-16
21-25
20-14
19-16
20-10
19-11
19-21
17-18
23-12
19-19
20-20
27-15
25-18
24-24
31-17
20-25
21-21
19-20
20-25
26-15
28-15
17-19
24-27
158.1Avg total
86.7Scored
71.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)86.972.2159.1+14.784%
Season at home (10)91.574.9166.4+16.6100%
Season away (9)81.869.1150.9+12.767%
Last 10 (10)86.771.4158.1+15.390%
Last 5 (5)87.673.6161.2+14.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)72.090.0162.0-18.00%
vs Similar (2)80.079.0159.0+1.050%
vs Weaker ◀ (27)85.574.8160.3+10.778%
This opponent (Defensor) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +1.1+1.1Q1: +1.4+1.4Q2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q2: +8.4+8.4Q3Q3: +2.4+2.4Q3: +1.8+1.8Q4Q4: -3.9-3.9Q4: +3.7+3.7
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +1.1+1.1Q1: +1.4+1.4Q2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q2: +8.4+8.4Q3Q3: +2.4+2.4Q3: +1.8+1.8Q4Q4: -3.9-3.9Q4: +3.7+3.7
DefensorPenarol
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
DefensorLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Penarol
#1
W
47-43
47
43
+4
A21/11
Liga Uruguaya
Welcome
#12
W
56-50
56
50
+6
H11/12
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#8
W
50-48
50
48
+2
A15/12
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#5
W
51-42
51
42
+9
H19/12
Liga Uruguaya
Urunday
#9
L
42-43
42
43
-1
A07/01
Liga Uruguaya
Goes
#10
W
51-50
51
50
+1
A12/01
Liga Uruguaya
Union Atletica
#6
L
42-52
42
52
-10
H16/01
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#4
L
38-49
38
49
-11
A20/01
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#3
W
44-39
44
39
+5
A25/01
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#11
W
51-44
51
44
+7
A29/01
Liga Uruguaya
93.2Avg total
47.2Scored
46.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.044.087.0-1.047%-
Last 30 at home (12)46.044.890.8+1.250%-
Last 30 away (18)41.043.584.5-2.544%-
Last 10 (10)47.246.093.2+1.270%-
Last 5 (5)45.246.892.0-1.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)40.141.982.0-1.736%-
vs Similar (11)42.845.588.3-2.636%-
vs Weaker (5)51.446.898.2+4.6100%-
This opponent (Penarol) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PenarolLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Defensor
#7
L
43-47
43
47
-4
H21/11
Liga Uruguaya
Urunday
#9
W
43-35
43
35
+8
H04/12
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#2
W
40-32
40
32
+8
H09/12
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#4
W
49-30
49
30
+19
A16/12
Liga Uruguaya
Union Atletica
#6
W
47-41
47
41
+6
H18/12
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#11
W
39-26
39
26
+13
A10/01
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#8
W
40-30
40
30
+10
H14/01
Liga Uruguaya
Welcome
#12
W
52-33
52
33
+19
H20/01
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#3
L
41-46
41
46
-5
A27/01
Liga Uruguaya
Goes
#10
W
54-30
54
30
+24
H30/01
Liga Uruguaya
79.8Avg total
44.8Scored
35.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.637.981.5+5.767%-
Last 30 at home (18)43.138.181.2+5.067%-
Last 30 away (12)44.337.782.0+6.767%-
Last 10 (10)44.835.079.8+9.880%-
Last 5 (5)45.233.078.2+12.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)43.040.083.0+3.0100%-
vs Similar (2)35.038.073.0-3.050%-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)44.337.982.1+6.467%-
This opponent (Defensor) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Defensortheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Defensor: 85.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.4 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.8 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.9 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.323.7
56.0%
53.3%47.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.38.9
35.2%
33.3%26.7
🏀 Free throws17.311.8
68.2%
70.9%11.8
They take 67.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Penaroltheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Penarol: 86.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.2 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.8 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.9 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.122.6
53.7%
53.3%45.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.89.5
36.8%
33.3%28.5
🏀 Free throws20.112.8
63.7%
70.9%12.8
They take 67.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 Feb 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Defensor
WLLLLWWLWL
Penarol
WLWWWWWWWW
#7
League position
#1
+2.5
Net rating
+19.1
108.0
Offensive rating
104.0
105.5
Defensive rating
84.9
54.8%
Effective FG%
54.3%
54.7%
Opp. effective FG%
44.6%
14.3%
Turnover %
17.7%
29.1%
Off. rebound %
37.9%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.30
35.2%
3-point %
36.8%
59.2%
Assist %
68.5%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence108.0 · 104.0Defence105.5 · 84.9Shooting54.8% · 54.3%3-point %35.2% · 36.8%Ball care14.3% · 17.7%Off. rebounds29.1% · 37.9%Free throws0.26 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)40% · 90%
■ Defensor   ■ Penarol
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Defensor wins
7
Penarol wins
DateGameScore
21/11/25Penarol v Defensor85-72
25/04/25Penarol v Defensor78-84
21/04/25Defensor v Penarol96-93 OT
17/04/25Penarol v Defensor76-95
13/04/25Defensor v Penarol73-78
08/04/25Penarol v Defensor76-71
13/03/25Penarol v Defensor80-74
01/03/25Defensor v Penarol84-85
20/12/24Penarol v Defensor70-64
28/05/24Penarol v Defensor103-66
Defensorlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/01/26ACordon90-84
25/01/26AAguada76-90
20/01/26AMalvin76-85
16/01/26HUnion Atletica77-87
12/01/26AGoes92-99
07/01/26AUrunday80-78
19/12/25HBigua98-76
15/12/25AHebraica y Macabi90-91
11/12/25HWelcome103-82
21/11/25APenarol72-85
Penarollast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/01/26HGoes95-76
27/01/26AAguada80-91
20/01/26HWelcome107-74
14/01/26HHebraica y Macabi79-69
10/01/26ACordon77-58
18/12/25HUnion Atletica88-80
16/12/25AMalvin89-67
09/12/25HNacional82-69
04/12/25HUrunday85-58
21/11/25HDefensor85-72

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Defensor
Liga Uruguaya 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW50%
HomeLWWWL75%
AwayWLLLW30%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18810
Win %50%75%30%
Points / game86.193.580.2
Allowed / game85.886.085.7
Point differential+0.3+7.5-5.5
Avg total171.9179.5165.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+28%62%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)100% (1)50% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Penarol
Liga Uruguaya 2025-26
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW84%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLWWWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19109
Win %84%100%67%
Points / game86.991.581.8
Allowed / game72.274.969.1
Point differential+14.7+16.6+12.7
Avg total159.1166.4150.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+79%90%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Penarol1916384%86.972.2+14.7
2 Nacional1913668%92.283.2+9.0
3 Aguada1812667%93.688.1+5.5
4 Malvin2013765%81.881.0+0.9
5 Hebraica y Macabi1912763%84.081.0+3.0
6 Bigua2011955%89.388.5+0.8
7 Union Atletica189950%83.782.7+1.0
8 Defensor189950%86.185.8+0.3
9 Urunday1981142%89.086.4+2.6
10 Goes2061430%82.189.7-7.5
11 Cordon2031715%80.993.6-12.7
12 Welcome2031715%80.796.1-15.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Defensor2418132681
Penarol2424221484
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