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Delaware vs Middle Tenn. St. Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 16 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 19:00
Scheduled
Position#271
Record1-2
FormWLWLL
Points / game76.7
Allowed / game62.7
vs
Position#139
Record3-1
FormLWLWW
Points / game80.8
Allowed / game76.2
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Meetings · Delaware v Middle Tenn. St.
16 Jan 2027
DELA v MIDD
upcoming
07 Feb 2026
DELA89
MIDD88
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Delaware win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Middle Tenn. St. win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

DelawareUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Missouri State
#223
W
76-67
76
67
+9
A14/02
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#151
L
87-88 OT
87
88
-1
H19/02
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#179
L
66-78
66
78
-12
A21/02
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#228
L
70-80 OT
70
80
-10
A27/02
NCAA
Kennesaw State
#113
L
82-90
82
90
-8
A28/02
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#69
W
83-80
83
80
+3
H06/03
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#131
L
38-81
38
81
-43
H07/03
NCAA
Notre Dame MD
#518
W
105-44
105
44
+61
H03/11
NCAA
Wisconsin
#50
L
64-73
64
73
-9
A07/11
NCAA
James Madison
#282
L
61-71
61
71
-10
H12/11
NCAA
1H
2H
35-25
41-42
41-29
38-50
20-31
46-47
25-25
36-36
25-50
57-40
33-33
50-47
22-40
16-41
55-16
50-28
28-35
36-38
26-35
35-36
148.4Avg total
73.2Scored
75.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)76.762.7139.3+14.033%
Season at home (2)83.057.5140.5+25.550%
Season away (1)64.073.0137.0-9.00%
Last 10 (10)73.275.2148.4-2.030%
Last 5 (5)70.269.8140.0+0.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (24)67.574.6142.1-7.133%
vs Similar (3)65.371.7137.0-6.30%
vs Weaker ◀ (2)63.064.0127.0-1.050%
This opponent (Middle Tenn. St.) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Middle Tenn. St.USALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Delaware
#326
W
78-66
78
66
+12
H21/02
NCAA
UTEP
#307
W
77-67
77
67
+10
H27/02
NCAA
New Mexico State
#178
W
86-85 OT
86
85
+1
H28/02
NCAA
Florida International
#232
W
73-67
73
67
+6
A06/03
NCAA
Missouri State
#223
W
75-63
75
63
+12
A07/03
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#131
L
69-80
69
80
-11
A12/03
NCAA
Fisk
#476
W
117-73
117
73
+44
H02/11
NCAA
Kansas
#12
L
45-89
45
89
-44
A07/11
NCAA
Evansville
#229
W
73-68
73
68
+5
H11/11
NCAA
Southeast Missouri State
#222
W
88-75
88
75
+13
H14/11
NCAA
1H
2H
31-20
47-46
34-26
43-41
36-42
40-34
33-34
40-33
37-27
38-36
25-39
44-41
52-32
65-41
14-36
31-53
27-20
46-48
50-32
38-43
151.4Avg total
78.1Scored
73.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)80.876.2157.0+4.575%
Season at home (3)92.772.0164.7+20.7100%
Season away (1)45.089.0134.0-44.00%
Last 10 (10)78.173.3151.4+4.880%
Last 5 (5)78.477.0155.4+1.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)65.677.0142.6-11.433%
vs Similar (14)74.670.9145.5+3.657%
vs Weaker (6)85.574.3159.8+11.267%
This opponent (Delaware) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: -0.9-0.91st half: +3.1+3.12nd half2nd half: +0.0+0.02nd half: +1.6+1.6
-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: -0.9-0.91st half: +3.1+3.12nd half2nd half: +0.0+0.02nd half: +1.6+1.6
DelawareMiddle Tenn. St.
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
DelawareLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Missouri State
#223
W
35-25
35
25
+10
A14/02
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#151
W
41-29
41
29
+12
H19/02
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#179
L
20-31
20
31
-11
A21/02
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#228
D
25-25
25
25
+0
A27/02
NCAA
Kennesaw State
#113
L
25-50
25
50
-25
A28/02
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#69
D
33-33
33
33
+0
H06/03
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#131
L
22-40
22
40
-18
H07/03
NCAA
Notre Dame MD
#518
W
55-16
55
16
+39
H03/11
NCAA
Wisconsin
#50
L
28-35
28
35
-7
A07/11
NCAA
James Madison
#282
L
26-35
26
35
-9
H12/11
NCAA
62.9Avg total
31.0Scored
31.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)30.232.262.3-2.033%-
Last 30 at home (17)31.433.164.5-1.735%-
Last 30 away (13)28.530.959.5-2.431%-
Last 10 (10)31.031.962.9-0.930%-
Last 5 (5)32.831.864.6+1.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (24)29.333.562.8-4.229%-
vs Similar (3)29.728.358.0+1.333%-
vs Weaker ◀ (2)28.530.058.5-1.550%-
This opponent (Middle Tenn. St.) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Middle Tenn. St.Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Delaware
#326
W
31-20
31
20
+11
H21/02
NCAA
UTEP
#307
W
34-26
34
26
+8
H27/02
NCAA
New Mexico State
#178
L
36-42
36
42
-6
H28/02
NCAA
Florida International
#232
L
33-34
33
34
-1
A06/03
NCAA
Missouri State
#223
W
37-27
37
27
+10
A07/03
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#131
L
25-39
25
39
-14
A12/03
NCAA
Fisk
#476
W
52-32
52
32
+20
H02/11
NCAA
Kansas
#12
L
14-36
14
36
-22
A07/11
NCAA
Evansville
#229
W
27-20
27
20
+7
H11/11
NCAA
Southeast Missouri State
#222
W
50-32
50
32
+18
H14/11
NCAA
64.7Avg total
33.9Scored
30.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.633.668.3+1.043%-
Last 30 at home (16)35.231.967.1+3.450%-
Last 30 away (14)33.935.669.6-1.736%-
Last 10 (10)33.930.864.7+3.160%-
Last 5 (5)33.631.865.4+1.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)31.937.068.9-5.122%-
vs Similar (14)35.133.268.3+1.936%-
vs Weaker (6)38.529.367.8+9.2100%-
This opponent (Delaware) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Delaware wins
1
Middle Tenn. St. wins
DateGameScore
21/02/26Middle Tenn. St. v Delaware78-66
07/02/26Delaware v Middle Tenn. St.89-88 OT
Delawarelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/26HJames Madison61-71
07/11/26AWisconsin64-73
03/11/26HNotre Dame MD105-44
07/03/26HLouisiana Tech38-81
06/03/26HSam Houston St.83-80
28/02/26AKennesaw State82-90
27/02/26AJacksonville State70-80 OT
21/02/26AMiddle Tenn. St.66-78
19/02/26HWestern Kentucky87-88 OT
14/02/26AMissouri State76-67
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HSoutheast Missouri State88-75
11/11/26HEvansville73-68
07/11/26AKansas45-89
02/11/26HFisk117-73
12/03/26ALouisiana Tech69-80
07/03/26AMissouri State75-63
06/03/26AFlorida International73-67
28/02/26HNew Mexico State86-85 OT
27/02/26HUTEP77-67
21/02/26HDelaware78-66

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Delaware
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLL33%
HomeWL50%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %33%50%0%
Points / game76.783.064.0
Allowed / game62.757.573.0
Point differential+14.0+25.5-9.0
Avg total139.3140.5137.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Middle Tenn. St.
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWW75%
HomeWWW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games431
Win %75%100%0%
Points / game80.892.745.0
Allowed / game76.272.089.0
Point differential+4.5+20.7-44.0
Avg total157.0164.7134.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%67%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Conference USA conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Kennesaw State440100%95.564.8+30.8
2 Missouri State330100%85.361.3+24.0
3 Florida International330100%91.771.0+20.7
4 Western Kentucky43175%84.263.5+20.8
5 Middle Tenn. St.43175%80.876.2+4.5
6 Liberty32167%81.364.0+17.3
7 UTEP32167%71.767.3+4.3
8 Louisiana Tech42250%69.863.2+6.5
9 Jacksonville State42250%80.075.5+4.5
10 Sam Houston St.42250%86.885.0+1.8
11 Delaware31233%76.762.7+14.0
12 New Mexico State31233%66.378.3-12.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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