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Detroit Pistons vs Milwaukee Bucks Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 28 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 00:30
Scheduled
Position#3
Record8-2
FormWWLWW
Points / game113.3
Allowed / game106.3
vs
Position#27
Record3-7
FormLLLWL
Points / game111.4
Allowed / game122.0
USANBA· Little Caesars Arena
NBA2026-27
Meetings · Detroit Pistons v Milwaukee Bucks
11 Mar 2027
DET v MIL
upcoming
27 Nov 2026
DET v MIL
upcoming
08 Apr 2026
DET137
MIL111
06 Dec 2025
DET124
MIL112
11 Apr 2025
DET119
MIL125
03 Dec 2024
DET107
MIL128
06 Oct 2024
DET120
MIL87
22 Jan 2024
DET113
MIL122
20 Jan 2024
DET135
MIL141
27 Mar 2023
DET117
MIL126
23 Jan 2023
DET130
MIL150
08 Apr 2022
DET101
MIL131
02 Nov 2021
DET89
MIL117
13 Jan 2021
DET101
MIL110
20 Feb 2020
DET106
MIL126
04 Dec 2019
DET103
MIL127
22 Apr 2019
DET104
MIL127
20 Apr 2019
DET103
MIL119
29 Jan 2019
DET105
MIL115
17 Dec 2018
DET104
MIL107
06 Jul 2018
DET63
MIL90
28 Feb 2018
DET110
MIL87
03 Nov 2017
DET105
MIL96
28 Dec 2016
DET94
MIL119
30 Oct 2016
DET98
MIL83
17 Oct 2016
DET102
MIL78
21 Mar 2016
DET92
MIL91
04 Dec 2015
DET102
MIL95
28 Nov 2014
DET88
MIL104
07 Nov 2014
DET98
MIL95
09 Oct 2014
DET94
MIL80
31 Mar 2014
DET116
MIL111
25 Nov 2013
DET113
MIL94
29 Jan 2013
DET90
MIL117
30 Dec 2012
DET96
MIL94
13 Apr 2012
DET97
MIL113
03 Feb 2012
DET88
MIL80
08 Apr 2011
DET110
MIL100
26 Nov 2010
DET103
MIL89
08 Oct 2010
DET115
MIL110
19 Feb 2010
DET85
MIL91
04 Dec 2009
DET105
MIL96
17 Feb 2009
DET86
MIL92
28 Nov 2008
DET107
MIL97
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Detroit Pistons win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Milwaukee Bucks win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Detroit PistonsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Phoenix Suns
#29
W
109-107
109
107
+2
H05/10
NBA
Washington Wizards
#15
L
108-114 OT
108
114
-6
A10/10
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#9
W
128-106
128
106
+22
A15/10
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#13
W
129-125
129
125
+4
H16/10
NBA
Boston Celtics
#1
W
121-113
121
113
+8
H20/10
NBA
Miami Heat
#19
W
128-111
128
111
+17
A24/10
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#8
W
106-93
106
93
+13
A25/10
NBA
New York Knicks
#28
L
97-111
97
111
-14
A28/10
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#22
W
97-89
97
89
+8
H28/10
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#25
W
110-94
110
94
+16
A30/10
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-35
29-33
34-16
25-23
20-40
30-16
28-24
20-18
29-38
36-20
32-24
31-24
33-33
26-19
34-28
36-45
27-28
18-30
37-30
39-25
41-26
24-27
38-27
25-31
34-22
22-22
23-25
27-24
38-25
12-26
13-37
34-23
21-22
23-29
32-19
21-19
21-28
35-21
36-17
18-28
219.6Avg total
113.3Scored
106.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)113.3106.3219.6+7.080%
Season at home (4)114.0108.5222.5+5.5100%
Season away (6)112.8104.8217.7+8.067%
Last 10 (10)113.3106.3219.6+7.080%
Last 5 (5)107.699.6207.2+8.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)121.0113.0234.0+8.0100%
vs Similar (3)125.0110.3235.3+14.7100%
vs Weaker ◀ (26)108.8104.7213.5+4.262%
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Milwaukee BucksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Minnesota Timberwolves
#9
L
97-116
97
116
-19
H06/10
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#18
W
128-126
128
126
+2
A08/10
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#22
L
90-105
90
105
-15
A11/10
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#24
L
104-125
104
125
-21
H15/10
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#26
W
128-127 OT
128
127
+1
A16/10
NBA
Washington Wizards
#15
L
116-128
116
128
-12
A21/10
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#24
L
125-132
125
132
-7
H23/10
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#8
L
116-127
116
127
-11
A24/10
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#26
W
110-102
110
102
+8
H27/10
NBA
Houston Rockets
#4
L
100-132
100
132
-32
H29/10
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-31
28-29
28-21
21-35
35-44
29-38
33-20
31-24
26-29
19-31
22-27
23-18
15-24
24-38
39-40
26-23
21-29
35-42
34-22
27-24
23-25
33-26
37-39
23-38
32-17
30-44
42-41
21-30
25-34
35-30
27-33
29-30
31-29
19-32
34-24
26-17
21-23
14-34
34-38
31-37
233.4Avg total
111.4Scored
122.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)111.4122.0233.4-10.630%
Season at home (5)107.2121.4228.6-14.220%
Season away (5)115.6122.6238.2-7.040%
Last 10 (10)111.4122.0233.4-10.630%
Last 5 (5)113.4124.2237.6-10.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)108.3124.5232.8-16.217%
vs Similar (5)114.8114.0228.8+0.860%
vs Weaker (2)107.5102.0209.5+5.550%
This opponent (Detroit Pistons) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -1.2-1.2Q1: -3.6-3.6Q2Q2: +1.2+1.2Q2: -7.8-7.8Q3Q3: +6.0+6.0Q3: +2.5+2.5Q4Q4: +1.6+1.6Q4: -1.8-1.8
Detroit PistonsMilwaukee Bucks
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Detroit PistonsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Phoenix Suns
#29
L
50-68
50
68
-18
H05/10
NBA
Washington Wizards
#15
L
50-56
50
56
-6
A10/10
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#9
W
65-58
65
58
+7
A15/10
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#13
W
59-52
59
52
+7
H16/10
NBA
Boston Celtics
#1
L
45-58
45
58
-13
H20/10
NBA
Miami Heat
#19
W
65-53
65
53
+12
A24/10
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#8
W
56-44
56
44
+12
A25/10
NBA
New York Knicks
#28
L
50-51
50
51
-1
A28/10
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#22
L
44-51
44
51
-7
H28/10
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#25
W
56-49
56
49
+7
A30/10
NBA
108.0Avg total
54.0Scored
54.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)56.355.5111.8+0.853%-
Last 30 at home (14)55.053.9108.9+1.150%-
Last 30 away (16)57.456.9114.3+0.656%-
Last 10 (10)54.054.0108.0+0.050%-
Last 5 (5)54.249.6103.8+4.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)45.058.0103.0-13.00%-
vs Similar (3)64.058.3122.3+5.7100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)55.855.1110.9+0.850%-
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Milwaukee BucksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Minnesota Timberwolves
#9
L
48-60
48
60
-12
H06/10
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#18
L
64-82
64
82
-18
A08/10
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#22
L
45-60
45
60
-15
A11/10
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#24
L
39-62
39
62
-23
H15/10
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#26
L
56-71
56
71
-15
A16/10
NBA
Washington Wizards
#15
W
56-51
56
51
+5
A21/10
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#24
W
62-61
62
61
+1
H23/10
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#8
L
60-64
60
64
-4
A24/10
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#26
L
50-61
50
61
-11
H27/10
NBA
Houston Rockets
#4
L
35-57
35
57
-22
H29/10
NBA
114.4Avg total
51.5Scored
62.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)53.361.8115.1-8.430%-
Last 30 at home (15)54.260.8115.0-6.640%-
Last 30 away (15)52.562.7115.2-10.320%-
Last 10 (10)51.562.9114.4-11.420%-
Last 5 (5)52.658.8111.4-6.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)52.763.2116.0-10.526%-
vs Similar (5)55.659.2114.8-3.640%-
vs Weaker (2)54.551.5106.0+3.050%-
This opponent (Detroit Pistons) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Detroit Pistonstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Detroit Pistons: 113.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers53.0 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.0 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws21.0 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.3 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.626.5
53.4%
54.0%53.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.113.0
35.0%
34.9%39.0
🏀 Free throws28.921.0
72.7%
76.2%21.0
They take 86.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 37.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Milwaukee Buckstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Milwaukee Bucks: 112.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.2 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers42.9 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.9 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.3 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.525.6
52.8%
54.0%51.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers44.414.3
32.2%
34.9%42.9
🏀 Free throws25.517.9
70.2%
76.2%17.9
They take 92.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 44.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Detroit Pistons
WWLWWWWWLW
Milwaukee Bucks
LWLLLWLLWL
#3
League position
#27
+2.8
Net rating
-8.1
101.9
Offensive rating
96.0
99.1
Defensive rating
104.0
53.1%
Effective FG%
50.6%
50.5%
Opp. effective FG%
54.3%
15.4%
Turnover %
15.2%
27.6%
Off. rebound %
13.0%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.27
35.0%
3-point %
32.2%
66.3%
Assist %
63.4%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence101.9 · 96.0Defence99.1 · 104.0Shooting53.1% · 50.6%3-point %35.0% · 32.2%Ball care15.4% · 15.2%Off. rebounds27.6% · 13.0%Free throws0.33 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)80% · 30%
■ Detroit Pistons   ■ Milwaukee Bucks
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Detroit Pistons wins
6
Milwaukee Bucks wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/10/26ABrooklyn Nets110-94
28/10/26HCharlotte Hornets97-89
28/10/26ANew York Knicks97-111
25/10/26APhiladelphia 76ers106-93
24/10/26AMiami Heat128-111
20/10/26HBoston Celtics121-113
16/10/26HToronto Raptors129-125
15/10/26AMinnesota Timberwolves128-106
10/10/26AWashington Wizards108-114 OT
05/10/26HPhoenix Suns109-107
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/10/26HHouston Rockets100-132
27/10/26HIndiana Pacers110-102
24/10/26APhiladelphia 76ers116-127
23/10/26HChicago Bulls125-132
21/10/26AWashington Wizards116-128
16/10/26AIndiana Pacers128-127 OT
15/10/26HChicago Bulls104-125
11/10/26ACharlotte Hornets90-105
08/10/26AOklahoma City Thunder128-126
06/10/26HMinnesota Timberwolves97-116

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Detroit Pistons
NBA 2026-27
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW80%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayWWWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1046
Win %80%100%67%
Points / game113.3114.0112.8
Allowed / game106.3108.5104.8
Point differential+7.0+5.5+8.0
Avg total219.6222.5217.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%0%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (2)-
Overtime %10%0%17%
Milwaukee Bucks
NBA 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL30%
HomeLLLWL20%
AwayWLWLL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %30%20%40%
Points / game111.4107.2115.6
Allowed / game122.0121.4122.6
Point differential-10.6-14.2-7.0
Avg total233.4228.6238.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)-100% (2)
Overtime %10%0%20%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Boston Celtics98189%123.4110.0+13.4
2 Memphis Grizzlies98189%117.9108.2+9.7
3 Detroit Pistons108280%113.3106.3+7.0
4 Houston Rockets97278%121.3110.9+10.4
5 Portland Trail Blazers75271%120.3114.3+6.0
6 Atlanta Hawks117464%120.7115.7+5.0
7 Denver Nuggets106460%114.8114.7+0.1
8 Philadelphia 76ers106460%110.6111.0-0.4
9 Minnesota Timberwolves127558%118.8112.4+6.4
10 Golden State Warriors127558%115.2110.8+4.4
11 Orlando Magic95456%116.0117.8-1.8
12 Los Angeles Lakers116555%113.2112.6+0.5
13 Toronto Raptors105550%119.6111.5+8.1
14 San Antonio Spurs105550%115.5109.4+6.1
15 Washington Wizards105550%111.6111.3+0.3
16 Cleveland Cavaliers84450%117.2118.2-1.0
17 Dallas Mavericks105550%114.3115.7-1.4
18 Oklahoma City Thunder105550%109.0110.8-1.8
19 Miami Heat115645%122.7121.9+0.8
20 New Orleans Pelicans94544%115.4116.6-1.1
21 Utah Jazz94544%112.8115.6-2.8
22 Charlotte Hornets104640%97.0108.0-11.0
23 Los Angeles Clippers83538%107.4110.5-3.1
24 Chicago Bulls114736%117.4122.7-5.4
25 Brooklyn Nets93633%116.4118.9-2.4
26 Indiana Pacers103730%117.9119.2-1.3
27 Milwaukee Bucks103730%111.4122.0-10.6
28 New York Knicks113827%106.5115.2-8.6
29 Phoenix Suns92722%110.3119.0-8.7
30 Sacramento Kings100100%106.5122.2-15.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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