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Milwaukee Bucks vs Minnesota Timberwolves Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 06 Oct 2026
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 97-116
20-31 28-29 28-21 21-35
Position#30
Record-
FormWLLWL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
vs
Position#5
Record-
FormLLWLL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
USANBA· Fiserv Forum
NBA2026-27
Meetings · Milwaukee Bucks v Minnesota Timberwolves
23 Dec 2026
MIL v MIN
upcoming
05 Oct 2026
MIL97
MIN116
13 Jan 2026
MIL106
MIN139
08 Apr 2025
MIL110
MIN103
08 Feb 2024
MIL105
MIN129
30 Dec 2022
MIL123
MIN114
27 Oct 2021
MIL108
MIN113
23 Feb 2021
MIL139
MIN112
01 Jan 2020
MIL106
MIN104
23 Feb 2019
MIL140
MIN128
28 Dec 2017
MIL102
MIN96
11 Mar 2017
MIL102
MIN95
04 Mar 2016
MIL116
MIN101
09 Jan 2015
MIL98
MIN84
28 Dec 2013
MIL95
MIN117
03 Apr 2013
MIL98
MIN107
27 Dec 2011
MIL98
MIN95
21 Dec 2011
MIL84
MIN85
22 Feb 2011
MIL94
MIN88
23 Jan 2010
MIL127
MIN94
26 Jan 2009
MIL83
MIN90
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Milwaukee Bucks winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Minnesota Timberwolves winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Milwaukee BucksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBucks
Date
Competition
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
95-127
95
127
-32
83avg 103
H28/03
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#18
L
113-127
113
127
-14
104avg 103
H29/03
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#24
W
123-99
123
99
+24
120avg 103
H01/04
NBA
Houston Rockets
#8
L
113-119
113
119
-6
103avg 103
A02/04
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
L
101-133
101
133
-32
88avg 103
H04/04
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#25
W
131-115
131
115
+16
130avg 103
H05/04
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#28
L
90-96
90
96
-6
86avg 103
A07/04
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#3
L
111-137
111
137
-26
92avg 103
A08/04
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#28
W
125-108
125
108
+17
132avg 103
H11/04
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#15
L
106-126
106
126
-20
89avg 103
A12/04
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-37
21-30
34-35
16-25
25-29
21-28
28-39
39-31
38-31
27-20
25-19
33-29
20-27
24-27
34-31
35-34
26-43
29-32
21-30
25-28
34-25
28-31
30-31
39-28
29-30
14-19
19-21
28-26
28-34
29-41
29-37
25-25
38-24
28-30
33-30
26-24
26-29
36-29
16-38
28-30
229.5Avg total
110.8Scored
118.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)110.8118.7229.5-7.930%
Last 5 (5)112.6116.4229.0-3.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)105.2122.0227.2-16.919%
vs Similar (9)116.4111.8228.2+4.767%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Minnesota TimberwolvesUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTimberwolves
Date
Competition
Denver Nuggets
#6
W
113-96
113
96
+17
112avg 109
H24/04
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#6
W
112-96
112
96
+16
105avg 109
H26/04
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#6
L
113-125
113
125
-12
108avg 109
A28/04
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#6
W
110-98
110
98
+12
102avg 109
H01/05
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
W
104-102
104
102
+2
91avg 109
A05/05
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
95-133
95
133
-38
76avg 109
A07/05
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
108-115
108
115
-7
95avg 109
H09/05
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
W
114-109
114
109
+5
103avg 109
H10/05
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
97-126
97
126
-29
82avg 109
A13/05
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
109-139
109
139
-30
81avg 109
H16/05
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-11
36-28
27-29
25-28
22-23
28-31
32-24
30-18
29-34
22-26
24-37
38-28
29-30
28-20
25-24
28-24
24-23
21-22
24-27
35-30
17-24
18-35
28-39
32-35
22-23
29-28
28-35
29-29
34-30
26-26
20-28
34-25
30-34
17-25
26-32
24-35
27-36
34-38
23-36
25-29
221.4Avg total
107.5Scored
113.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)107.5113.9221.4-6.450%
Last 5 (5)104.6124.4229.0-19.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)102.7115.4218.1-12.730%
vs Similar (16)114.4116.0230.4-1.650%
vs Weaker ◀ (4)131.8108.8240.5+23.0100%
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -2.1-2.1Q1: -0.9-0.9Q2Q2: -3.0-3.0Q2: -2.0-2.0Q3Q3: -4.2-4.2Q3: -5.4-5.4Q4Q4: +1.4+1.4Q4: +1.9+1.9
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -2.1-2.1Q1: -0.9-0.9Q2Q2: -3.0-3.0Q2: -2.0-2.0Q3Q3: -4.2-4.2Q3: -5.4-5.4Q4Q4: +1.4+1.4Q4: +1.9+1.9
Milwaukee BucksMinnesota Timberwolves
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Milwaukee BucksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
45-67
45
67
-22
H28/03
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#18
L
46-57
46
57
-11
H29/03
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#24
W
65-51
65
51
+14
H01/04
NBA
Houston Rockets
#8
L
44-54
44
54
-10
A02/04
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
L
55-75
55
75
-20
H04/04
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#25
W
62-56
62
56
+6
H05/04
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#28
L
43-49
43
49
-6
A07/04
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#3
L
57-75
57
75
-18
A08/04
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#28
W
66-54
66
54
+12
H11/04
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#15
W
62-58
62
58
+4
A12/04
NBA
114.1Avg total
54.5Scored
59.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)56.260.7116.9-4.443%-
Last 30 at home (17)57.560.9118.4-3.547%-
Last 30 away (13)54.660.3114.9-5.738%-
Last 10 (10)54.559.6114.1-5.140%-
Last 5 (5)58.058.4116.4-0.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)55.162.9118.0-7.833%-
vs Similar (9)58.955.4114.3+3.467%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Minnesota TimberwolvesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Denver Nuggets
#6
W
61-39
61
39
+22
H24/04
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#6
L
50-54
50
54
-4
H26/04
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#6
L
51-60
51
60
-9
A28/04
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#6
W
57-50
57
50
+7
H01/05
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
D
45-45
45
45
+0
A05/05
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
35-59
35
59
-24
A07/05
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
D
51-51
51
51
+0
H09/05
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
W
60-56
60
56
+4
H10/05
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
47-59
47
59
-12
A13/05
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
61-74
61
74
-13
H16/05
NBA
106.5Avg total
51.8Scored
54.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)56.055.2111.2+0.847%-
Last 30 at home (13)58.255.3113.5+2.862%-
Last 30 away (17)54.455.1109.5-0.735%-
Last 10 (10)51.854.7106.5-2.930%-
Last 5 (5)50.859.8110.6-9.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)49.753.8103.5-4.130%-
vs Similar (16)57.556.4113.9+1.144%-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)66.054.0120.0+12.0100%-
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Milwaukee Buckstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Milwaukee Bucks: 110.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀40%
🏀🏀🏀48%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.8 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers53.1 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.9 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.1 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.622.4
56.6%
54.0%44.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers45.317.7
39.1%
35.0%53.1
🏀 Free throws17.412.9
74.1%
76.8%12.9
They take 84.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 45.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 53% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Minnesota Timberwolvestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Minnesota Timberwolves: 107.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers58.8 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.4 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.1 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers61.029.4
48.2%
54.0%58.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.610.1
33.0%
35.0%30.3
🏀 Free throws24.018.4
76.7%
76.8%18.4
They take 91.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 06 Oct 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Milwaukee Bucks
LWLLWLLWLL
Minnesota Timberwolves
LLWLLWWLWW
#30
League position
#5
-7.6
Net rating
-6.3
106.6
Offensive rating
105.7
114.2
Defensive rating
112.0
57.7%
Effective FG%
48.6%
57.4%
Opp. effective FG%
53.5%
16.7%
Turnover %
13.0%
18.6%
Off. rebound %
27.4%
0.20
Free-throw rate
0.26
39.1%
3-point %
33.0%
65.1%
Assist %
57.7%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence106.6 · 105.7Defence114.2 · 112.0Shooting57.7% · 48.6%3-point %39.1% · 33.0%Ball care16.7% · 13.0%Off. rebounds18.6% · 27.4%Free throws0.20 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)30% · 50%
■ Milwaukee Bucks   ■ Minnesota Timberwolves
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
12/04/26APhiladelphia 76ers106-126
11/04/26HBrooklyn Nets125-108
08/04/26ADetroit Pistons111-137
07/04/26ABrooklyn Nets90-96
05/04/26HMemphis Grizzlies131-115
04/04/26HBoston Celtics101-133
02/04/26AHouston Rockets113-119
01/04/26HDallas Mavericks123-99
29/03/26HLos Angeles Clippers113-127
28/03/26HSan Antonio Spurs95-127
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/05/26HSan Antonio Spurs109-139
13/05/26ASan Antonio Spurs97-126
10/05/26HSan Antonio Spurs114-109
09/05/26HSan Antonio Spurs108-115
07/05/26ASan Antonio Spurs95-133
05/05/26ASan Antonio Spurs104-102
01/05/26HDenver Nuggets110-98
28/04/26ADenver Nuggets113-125
26/04/26HDenver Nuggets112-96
24/04/26HDenver Nuggets113-96

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
NBA 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Minnesota Timberwolves
NBA 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

No league table for this competition yet.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Milwaukee Bucks2028282197
Minnesota Timberwolves31292135116
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