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Washington Wizards vs Milwaukee Bucks Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 21 Oct 2026
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 128-116
25-23 26-33 39-37 38-23
Position#19
Record-
FormLLLLL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
vs
Position#29
Record-
FormWLLWL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
USANBA· Capital One Arena
NBA2026-27
Meetings · Washington Wizards v Milwaukee Bucks
13 Feb 2027
WAS v MIL
upcoming
21 Oct 2026
WAS128
MIL116
29 Jan 2026
WAS109
MIL99
01 Dec 2025
WAS129
MIL126
21 Feb 2025
WAS101
MIL104
02 Apr 2024
WAS117
MIL113
20 Nov 2023
WAS129
MIL142
04 Apr 2023
WAS128
MIL140
05 Mar 2023
WAS111
MIL117
07 Nov 2021
WAS101
MIL94
15 Mar 2021
WAS122
MIL133
13 Mar 2021
WAS119
MIL125
11 Aug 2020
WAS113
MIL126
24 Feb 2020
WAS134
MIL137
02 Feb 2019
WAS115
MIL131
11 Jan 2019
WAS113
MIL106
15 Jan 2018
WAS95
MIL104
06 Jan 2018
WAS103
MIL110
26 Dec 2016
WAS107
MIL102
10 Dec 2016
WAS110
MIL105
13 Jan 2016
WAS106
MIL101
17 Nov 2015
WAS115
MIL86
01 Nov 2014
WAS108
MIL97
12 Apr 2014
WAS104
MIL91
06 Dec 2013
WAS105
MIL109
13 Mar 2013
WAS106
MIL93
09 Nov 2012
WAS91
MIL101
18 Apr 2012
WAS121
MIL112
02 Apr 2012
WAS98
MIL112
08 Mar 2011
WAS76
MIL95
09 Feb 2011
WAS100
MIL85
05 Mar 2010
WAS74
MIL102
02 Dec 2009
WAS104
MIL102
12 Jan 2009
WAS91
MIL97
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Washington Wizards winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Milwaukee Bucks winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Washington WizardsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormWizards
Date
Competition
Golden State Warriors
#20
L
126-131
126
131
-5
118avg 100
A28/03
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#19
L
88-123
88
123
-35
60avg 100
A29/03
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#7
L
101-120
101
120
-19
85avg 100
A31/03
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#15
L
131-153
131
153
-22
121avg 100
H01/04
NBA
Miami Heat
#17
L
136-152
136
152
-16
117avg 100
A04/04
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#28
L
115-121
115
121
-6
92avg 100
A05/04
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#22
L
98-129
98
129
-31
70avg 100
H07/04
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#22
L
108-119
108
119
-11
81avg 100
H09/04
NBA
Miami Heat
#17
L
117-140
117
140
-23
92avg 100
H10/04
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#9
L
117-130
117
130
-13
92avg 100
A12/04
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-38
35-34
34-20
32-39
15-24
32-34
19-33
22-32
26-25
18-40
33-26
24-29
29-35
42-38
32-47
28-33
32-36
25-41
34-45
45-30
23-35
31-24
30-26
31-36
18-38
19-28
26-34
35-29
24-32
27-20
23-35
34-32
23-34
29-38
33-33
32-35
21-43
34-22
40-34
22-31
245.5Avg total
113.7Scored
131.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)113.7131.8245.5-18.10%
Last 5 (5)111.0127.8238.8-16.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (25)113.0131.0244.0-18.10%
vs Similar (5)120.6115.2235.8+5.460%
vs Weaker ◀no games
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Milwaukee BucksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBucks
Date
Competition
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
95-127
95
127
-32
83avg 102
H28/03
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#18
L
113-127
113
127
-14
104avg 102
H29/03
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#24
W
123-99
123
99
+24
120avg 102
H01/04
NBA
Houston Rockets
#8
L
113-119
113
119
-6
103avg 102
A02/04
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
L
101-133
101
133
-32
88avg 102
H04/04
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#25
W
131-115
131
115
+16
130avg 102
H05/04
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#28
L
90-96
90
96
-6
86avg 102
A07/04
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#3
L
111-137
111
137
-26
92avg 102
A08/04
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#28
W
125-108
125
108
+17
132avg 102
H11/04
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#15
L
106-126
106
126
-20
89avg 102
A12/04
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-37
21-30
34-35
16-25
25-29
21-28
28-39
39-31
38-31
27-20
25-19
33-29
20-27
24-27
34-31
35-34
26-43
29-32
21-30
25-28
34-25
28-31
30-31
39-28
29-30
14-19
19-21
28-26
28-34
29-41
29-37
25-25
38-24
28-30
33-30
26-24
26-29
36-29
16-38
28-30
229.5Avg total
110.8Scored
118.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)110.8118.7229.5-7.930%
Last 5 (5)112.6116.4229.0-3.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)105.2122.0227.2-16.919%
vs Similar (9)116.4111.8228.2+4.767%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Washington Wizards) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-13-6+0+6+13Q1Q1: -10.4-10.4Q1: -2.1-2.1Q2Q2: -2.7-2.7Q2: -3.0-3.0Q3Q3: -2.9-2.9Q3: -4.2-4.2Q4Q4: -2.1-2.1Q4: +1.4+1.4
-13-6+0+6+13Q1Q1: -10.4-10.4Q1: -2.1-2.1Q2Q2: -2.7-2.7Q2: -3.0-3.0Q3Q3: -2.9-2.9Q3: -4.2-4.2Q4Q4: -2.1-2.1Q4: +1.4+1.4
Washington WizardsMilwaukee Bucks
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Washington WizardsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Golden State Warriors
#20
L
60-72
60
72
-12
A28/03
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#19
L
47-58
47
58
-11
A29/03
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#7
L
44-65
44
65
-21
A31/03
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#15
L
71-73
71
73
-2
H01/04
NBA
Miami Heat
#17
L
57-77
57
77
-20
A04/04
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#28
L
54-59
54
59
-5
A05/04
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#22
L
37-66
37
66
-29
H07/04
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#22
L
51-52
51
52
-1
H09/04
NBA
Miami Heat
#17
L
52-72
52
72
-20
H10/04
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#9
L
55-65
55
65
-10
A12/04
NBA
118.7Avg total
52.8Scored
65.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)55.264.4119.6-9.210%-
Last 30 at home (14)55.563.1118.6-7.614%-
Last 30 away (16)54.965.5120.4-10.66%-
Last 10 (10)52.865.9118.7-13.10%-
Last 5 (5)49.862.8112.6-13.00%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (25)54.665.8120.4-11.24%-
vs Similar (5)58.257.2115.4+1.040%-
vs Weaker ◀no games
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Milwaukee BucksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
45-67
45
67
-22
H28/03
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#18
L
46-57
46
57
-11
H29/03
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#24
W
65-51
65
51
+14
H01/04
NBA
Houston Rockets
#8
L
44-54
44
54
-10
A02/04
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
L
55-75
55
75
-20
H04/04
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#25
W
62-56
62
56
+6
H05/04
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#28
L
43-49
43
49
-6
A07/04
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#3
L
57-75
57
75
-18
A08/04
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#28
W
66-54
66
54
+12
H11/04
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#15
W
62-58
62
58
+4
A12/04
NBA
114.1Avg total
54.5Scored
59.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)56.260.7116.9-4.443%-
Last 30 at home (17)57.560.9118.4-3.547%-
Last 30 away (13)54.660.3114.9-5.738%-
Last 10 (10)54.559.6114.1-5.140%-
Last 5 (5)58.058.4116.4-0.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)55.162.9118.0-7.833%-
vs Similar (9)58.955.4114.3+3.467%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Washington Wizards) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Washington Wizardstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Washington Wizards: 118.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers63.4 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.9 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.9 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.2 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.331.7
56.3%
54.0%63.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.213.3
36.7%
35.0%39.9
🏀 Free throws20.014.9
74.5%
76.6%14.9
They take 92.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 36.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Milwaukee Buckstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Milwaukee Bucks: 110.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀40%
🏀🏀🏀48%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.8 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers53.1 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.9 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.2 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.622.4
56.6%
54.0%44.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers45.317.7
39.1%
35.0%53.1
🏀 Free throws17.412.9
74.1%
76.6%12.9
They take 84.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 45.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 53% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 Oct 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Washington Wizards
LLLLLLLLLL
Milwaukee Bucks
LWLLWLLWLL
#19
League position
#29
-11.1
Net rating
-7.6
106.3
Offensive rating
106.6
117.3
Defensive rating
114.2
55.8%
Effective FG%
57.7%
61.1%
Opp. effective FG%
57.4%
13.2%
Turnover %
16.7%
12.5%
Off. rebound %
18.6%
0.22
Free-throw rate
0.20
36.7%
3-point %
39.1%
57.8%
Assist %
65.1%
0%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence106.3 · 106.6Defence117.3 · 114.2Shooting55.8% · 57.7%3-point %36.7% · 39.1%Ball care13.2% · 16.7%Off. rebounds12.5% · 18.6%Free throws0.22 · 0.20Form (last 10/10)0% · 30%
■ Washington Wizards   ■ Milwaukee Bucks
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
12/04/26ACleveland Cavaliers117-130
10/04/26HMiami Heat117-140
09/04/26HChicago Bulls108-119
07/04/26HChicago Bulls98-129
05/04/26ABrooklyn Nets115-121
04/04/26AMiami Heat136-152
01/04/26HPhiladelphia 76ers131-153
31/03/26ALos Angeles Lakers101-120
29/03/26APortland Trail Blazers88-123
28/03/26AGolden State Warriors126-131
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/04/26APhiladelphia 76ers106-126
11/04/26HBrooklyn Nets125-108
08/04/26ADetroit Pistons111-137
07/04/26ABrooklyn Nets90-96
05/04/26HMemphis Grizzlies131-115
04/04/26HBoston Celtics101-133
02/04/26AHouston Rockets113-119
01/04/26HDallas Mavericks123-99
29/03/26HLos Angeles Clippers113-127
28/03/26HSan Antonio Spurs95-127

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Washington Wizards
NBA 2026-27
Recent: 0 Wins / 10 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Milwaukee Bucks
NBA 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Oklahoma City Thunder110100%116.0104.0+12.0
2 Detroit Pistons110100%121.0113.0+8.0
3 Philadelphia 76ers110100%106.0100.0+6.0
4 New York Knicks1010%100.0106.0-6.0
5 Boston Celtics1010%113.0121.0-8.0
6 San Antonio Spurs1010%104.0116.0-12.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Washington Wizards25263938128
Milwaukee Bucks23333723116
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