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Dinamo Zagreb vs Split Prediction & Stats

Date: Fri 12 Mar 2027
Tip-off: 16:00
Scheduled
Position#4
Record4-2
FormWLWLW
Points / game76.7
Allowed / game81.2
vs
Position#3
Record4-1
FormLLLWW
Points / game82.0
Allowed / game72.0
CroatiaPremijer ligaRound 22· Kosarkaski centar Drazen Petrovic
Other2026-27
Meetings · Dinamo Zagreb v Split
12 Mar 2027
DINA v SPL
upcoming
29 Apr 2026
DINA89
SPL96
13 Dec 2025
DINA103
SPL116
28 May 2025
DINA55
SPL88
25 Oct 2024
DINA111
SPL121
07 Jan 2024
DINA66
SPL82
29 Jan 2023
DINA73
SPL88
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Dinamo Zagreb win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Split win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Dinamo ZagrebCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dubrovnik
#5
L
82-97
82
97
-15
H03/05
Premijer liga
Samobor
#4
L
91-110
91
110
-19
A09/05
Premijer liga
Kastela
#13
W
97-61
97
61
+36
H16/05
Premijer liga
Kastela
#13
W
101-82
101
82
+19
A20/05
Premijer liga
Zabok
#9
W
80-78
80
78
+2
H26/09
Premijer liga
Dubrovnik
#8
W
94-85
94
85
+9
H03/10
Premijer liga
Kvarner
#5
L
55-100
55
100
-45
A11/10
Premijer liga
Dubrava
#12
W
85-62
85
62
+23
H17/10
Premijer liga
Zadar
#1
L
61-87
61
87
-26
A23/10
Premijer liga
Alkar
#10
W
85-75
85
75
+10
H30/10
Premijer liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-21
19-21
19-27
25-28
25-26
21-25
23-31
22-28
29-15
16-18
21-7
31-21
39-23
18-29
31-13
13-17
24-27
17-18
17-10
22-23
25-23
21-20
23-17
25-25
17-30
8-16
18-21
12-33
23-16
19-18
24-7
19-21
17-26
15-21
17-19
12-21
26-17
20-16
19-20
20-22
166.8Avg total
83.1Scored
83.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)76.781.2157.8-4.567%
Season at home (4)86.075.0161.0+11.0100%
Season away (2)58.093.5151.5-35.50%
Last 10 (10)83.183.7166.8-0.660%
Last 5 (5)76.081.8157.8-5.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)81.298.6179.8-17.420%
vs Similar (13)85.489.6175.0-4.238%
vs Weaker (7)84.675.1159.7+9.471%
This opponent (Split) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SplitCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cibona
#3
L
76-78
76
78
-2
A28/05
Premijer liga
Dubrovnik
#8
W
81-66
81
66
+15
A26/09
Premijer liga
Kvarner
#5
W
94-73
94
73
+21
H02/10
Premijer liga
Opava
#38
W
74-68
74
68
+6
A07/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Dubrava
#12
W
86-62
86
62
+24
A10/10
Premijer liga
Trepca
#10
L
69-78
69
78
-9
H14/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Zadar
#1
L
73-84
73
84
-11
H18/10
Premijer liga
Trier
#2
L
80-100
80
100
-20
A21/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Alkar
#10
W
76-75
76
75
+1
A25/10
Premijer liga
Promitheas
#22
W
88-82
88
82
+6
H28/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-14
21-25
23-21
11-18
15-24
23-16
22-19
21-7
28-24
18-14
26-20
22-15
17-13
24-19
14-21
19-15
19-15
18-17
21-16
28-14
22-19
6-19
23-18
18-22
24-16
19-18
14-23
16-27
32-22
10-31
16-26
22-21
20-24
16-23
21-16
19-12
19-22
19-18
31-21
19-21
156.3Avg total
79.7Scored
76.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)82.072.0154.0+10.080%
Season at home (2)83.578.5162.0+5.050%
Season away (3)81.067.7148.7+13.3100%
Last 10 (10)79.776.6156.3+3.160%
Last 5 (5)77.283.8161.0-6.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)77.784.6162.4-6.936%
vs Similar (6)82.378.7161.0+3.750%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)90.375.2165.5+15.2100%
This opponent (Dinamo Zagreb) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +2.0+2.0Q1: +2.4+2.4Q2Q2: -2.8-2.8Q2: -2.6-2.6Q3Q3: +4.0+4.0Q3: +1.0+1.0Q4Q4: -3.8-3.8Q4: +2.3+2.3
Dinamo ZagrebSplit
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Dinamo ZagrebLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dubrovnik
#5
L
38-42
38
42
-4
H03/05
Premijer liga
Samobor
#4
L
46-51
46
51
-5
A09/05
Premijer liga
Kastela
#13
W
45-33
45
33
+12
H16/05
Premijer liga
Kastela
#13
W
57-52
57
52
+5
A20/05
Premijer liga
Zabok
#9
L
41-45
41
45
-4
H26/09
Premijer liga
Dubrovnik
#8
W
46-43
46
43
+3
H03/10
Premijer liga
Kvarner
#5
L
25-46
25
46
-21
A11/10
Premijer liga
Dubrava
#12
W
42-34
42
34
+8
H17/10
Premijer liga
Zadar
#1
L
32-47
32
47
-15
A23/10
Premijer liga
Alkar
#10
W
46-33
46
33
+13
H30/10
Premijer liga
84.4Avg total
41.8Scored
42.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.845.385.1-5.527%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.142.682.6-2.543%-
Last 30 away (16)39.647.887.3-8.212%-
Last 10 (10)41.842.684.4-0.850%-
Last 5 (5)38.240.678.8-2.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)39.249.989.1-10.710%-
vs Similar (13)40.444.384.7-3.931%-
vs Weaker (7)39.640.780.3-1.143%-
This opponent (Split) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SplitLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cibona
#3
W
42-39
42
39
+3
A28/05
Premijer liga
Dubrovnik
#8
L
38-40
38
40
-2
A26/09
Premijer liga
Kvarner
#5
W
46-38
46
38
+8
H02/10
Premijer liga
Opava
#38
W
41-32
41
32
+9
A07/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Dubrava
#12
W
37-32
37
32
+5
A10/10
Premijer liga
Trepca
#10
L
28-38
28
38
-10
H14/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Zadar
#1
W
43-34
43
34
+9
H18/10
Premijer liga
Trier
#2
L
42-53
42
53
-11
A21/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Alkar
#10
L
36-47
36
47
-11
A25/10
Premijer liga
Promitheas
#22
L
38-40
38
40
-2
H28/10
FIBA Europe Cup
78.4Avg total
39.1Scored
39.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.439.381.7+3.160%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.136.478.5+5.773%-
Last 30 away (15)42.742.284.9+0.547%-
Last 10 (10)39.139.378.4-0.250%-
Last 5 (5)37.442.479.8-5.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)39.540.680.2-1.136%-
vs Similar (6)43.540.884.3+2.767%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)44.237.581.7+6.877%-
This opponent (Dinamo Zagreb) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Dinamo Zagrebtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Dinamo Zagreb: 82.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.8 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.4 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.120.4
56.5%
54.8%40.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.79.2
34.5%
34.0%27.6
🏀 Free throws20.314.4
70.9%
71.8%14.4
They take 62.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Splittheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Split: 79.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.2 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.7 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.8 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.817.6
53.7%
54.8%35.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.49.9
34.9%
34.0%29.7
🏀 Free throws20.014.8
74.0%
71.8%14.8
They take 61.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 12 Mar 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Dinamo Zagreb
WLWLWWWWLL
Split
WWLLLWWWWL
#4
League position
#3
-1.0
Net rating
+4.2
96.0
Offensive rating
96.3
97.1
Defensive rating
92.1
54.5%
Effective FG%
53.0%
54.3%
Opp. effective FG%
53.3%
16.2%
Turnover %
15.5%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.33
34.5%
3-point %
34.9%
63.9%
Assist %
66.5%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence96.0 · 96.3Defence97.1 · 92.1Shooting54.5% · 53.0%3-point %34.5% · 34.9%Ball care16.2% · 15.5%Free throws0.32 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)60% · 60%
■ Dinamo Zagreb   ■ Split
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Dinamo Zagreb wins
8
Split wins
DateGameScore
29/04/26Dinamo Zagreb v Split89-96
09/03/26Split v Dinamo Zagreb94-99
13/12/25Dinamo Zagreb v Split103-116
31/05/25Split v Dinamo Zagreb89-69
28/05/25Dinamo Zagreb v Split55-88
25/05/25Split v Dinamo Zagreb82-86
09/04/25Split v Dinamo Zagreb94-86
06/03/25Split v Dinamo Zagreb79-61
25/10/24Dinamo Zagreb v Split111-121 OT
02/04/24Split v Dinamo Zagreb74-51
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/10/26HAlkar85-75
23/10/26AZadar61-87
17/10/26HDubrava85-62
11/10/26AKvarner55-100
03/10/26HDubrovnik94-85
26/09/26HZabok80-78
20/05/26AKastela101-82
16/05/26HKastela97-61
09/05/26ASamobor91-110
03/05/26HDubrovnik82-97
Splitlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/10/26HPromitheas88-82
25/10/26AAlkar76-75
21/10/26ATrier80-100
18/10/26HZadar73-84
14/10/26HTrepca69-78
10/10/26ADubrava86-62
07/10/26AOpava74-68
02/10/26HKvarner94-73
26/09/26ADubrovnik81-66
28/05/26ACibona76-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Dinamo Zagreb
Premijer liga 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW67%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games642
Win %67%100%0%
Points / game76.786.058.0
Allowed / game81.275.093.5
Point differential-4.5+11.0-35.5
Avg total157.8161.0151.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Split
Premijer liga 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW80%
HomeWL50%
AwayWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %80%50%100%
Points / game82.083.581.0
Allowed / game72.078.567.7
Point differential+10.0+5.0+13.3
Avg total154.0162.0148.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+60%50%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zadar660100%91.864.8+27.0
2 Cibona550100%90.276.4+13.8
3 Split54180%82.072.0+10.0
4 Dinamo Zagreb64267%76.781.2-4.5
5 Kvarner53260%89.479.4+10.0
6 Skrljevo53260%83.285.2-2.0
7 Cedevita Junior53260%78.288.0-9.8
8 Dubrovnik62433%79.888.3-8.5
9 Zabok51420%78.286.8-8.6
10 Alkar61517%79.084.5-5.5
11 Samobor5050%72.883.4-10.6
12 Dubrava5050%72.085.0-13.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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