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Split vs Dinamo Zagreb Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 31 May 2025
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 89-69
23-10 28-22 13-17 25-20
Position#2
Record29-9
FormWLWLW
Points / game87.8
Allowed / game73.6
Split 🏆
Croatia
vs
Position#6
Record19-18
FormWWWWL
Points / game84.5
Allowed / game84.1
CroatiaPremijer ligaPremijer liga - Semi-finals· Dvorana KK Split
Other2024-25
Meetings · Split v Dinamo Zagreb
11 Dec 2026
SPL v DINA
upcoming
09 Mar 2026
SPL94
DINA99
31 May 2025
SPL89
DINA69
25 May 2025
SPL82
DINA86
09 Apr 2025
SPL94
DINA86
06 Mar 2025
SPL79
DINA61
02 Apr 2024
SPL74
DINA51
15 Oct 2023
SPL74
DINA60
01 Nov 2022
SPL96
DINA62
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Split winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Dinamo Zagreb winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SplitCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSplit
Date
Competition
Dubrovnik
#11
W
93-89
93
89
+4
86avg 77
H26/04
Premijer liga
Mornar Bar
#17
W
86-76
86
76
+10
75avg 77
A28/04
ABA League
Zadar
#10
L
80-81
80
81
-1
63avg 77
A02/05
ABA League
Zadar
#1
L
65-87
65
87
-22
52avg 77
A04/05
Premijer liga
Osijek
#12
W
118-49
118
49
+69
118avg 77
H10/05
Premijer liga
Alkar
#7
W
97-71
97
71
+26
96avg 77
H15/05
Premijer liga
Alkar
#7
L
72-83
72
83
-11
68avg 77
A18/05
Premijer liga
Alkar
#7
W
96-81
96
81
+15
99avg 77
H21/05
Premijer liga
Dinamo Zagreb
#6
L
82-86
82
86
-4
80avg 77
H25/05
Premijer liga
Dinamo Zagreb
#6
W
88-55
88
55
+33
82avg 77
A28/05
Premijer liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-23
19-15
22-29
28-22
19-23
24-22
24-19
19-12
16-16
19-17
17-23
28-25
10-26
18-29
23-17
14-15
31-10
24-15
32-13
31-11
22-15
27-22
22-16
26-18
14-19
18-26
22-21
18-17
28-30
28-14
19-13
21-24
17-29
26-14
18-17
21-26
26-16
18-13
19-13
25-13
163.5Avg total
87.7Scored
75.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (38)87.873.6161.4+14.276%
Season at home (20)92.072.3164.2+19.780%
Season away (18)83.275.1158.3+8.172%
Last 10 (10)87.775.8163.5+11.960%
Last 5 (5)87.075.2162.2+11.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)76.282.8159.0-6.50%
vs Similar (5)73.883.0156.8-9.220%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)88.473.0161.4+15.481%
This opponent (Dinamo Zagreb) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Dinamo ZagrebCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormZagreb
Date
Competition
Split
#2
L
86-94
86
94
-8
91avg 80
A09/04
Premijer liga
Zadar
#1
L
78-100
78
100
-22
72avg 80
H13/04
Premijer liga
Osijek
#12
W
119-65
119
65
+54
123avg 80
A18/04
Premijer liga
GKK Sibenka
#10
W
86-71
86
71
+15
78avg 80
H27/04
Premijer liga
Alkar
#7
L
62-63
62
63
-1
59avg 80
A02/05
Premijer liga
Zabok
#8
W
98-89
98
89
+9
91avg 80
H08/05
Premijer liga
Cedevita Junior
#3
W
88-79
88
79
+9
87avg 80
A15/05
Premijer liga
Cedevita Junior
#3
W
95-82
95
82
+13
91avg 80
H18/05
Premijer liga
Split
#2
W
86-82
86
82
+4
90avg 80
A25/05
Premijer liga
Split
#2
L
55-88
55
88
-33
45avg 80
H28/05
Premijer liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-23
28-25
16-20
22-26
19-27
24-26
18-22
17-25
25-14
25-11
43-12
26-28
19-19
18-17
28-14
21-21
8-13
20-19
16-18
18-13
23-29
23-19
33-18
19-23
21-22
14-25
26-9
27-23
16-20
27-29
23-12
29-21
29-17
14-26
17-18
26-21
16-26
13-18
13-19
13-25
166.6Avg total
85.3Scored
81.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (37)84.584.1168.6+0.551%
Season at home (19)85.183.8168.9+1.258%
Season away (18)84.084.3168.3-0.344%
Last 10 (10)85.381.3166.6+4.060%
Last 5 (5)84.484.0168.4+0.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)77.688.1165.7-10.531%
vs Similar (3)82.079.0161.0+3.067%
vs Weaker (13)92.177.1169.2+15.085%
This opponent (Split) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: -1.4-1.4Q2Q2: +3.4+3.4Q2: -0.9-0.9Q3Q3: +3.7+3.7Q3: +7.1+7.1Q4Q4: +4.8+4.8Q4: -0.8-0.8
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: -1.4-1.4Q2Q2: +3.4+3.4Q2: -0.9-0.9Q3Q3: +3.7+3.7Q3: +7.1+7.1Q4Q4: +4.8+4.8Q4: -0.8-0.8
SplitDinamo Zagreb
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SplitLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dubrovnik
#11
W
43-38
43
38
+5
H26/04
Premijer liga
Mornar Bar
#17
L
43-45
43
45
-2
A28/04
ABA League
Zadar
#10
W
35-33
35
33
+2
A02/05
ABA League
Zadar
#1
L
28-55
28
55
-27
A04/05
Premijer liga
Osijek
#12
W
55-25
55
25
+30
H10/05
Premijer liga
Alkar
#7
W
49-37
49
37
+12
H15/05
Premijer liga
Alkar
#7
L
32-45
32
45
-13
A18/05
Premijer liga
Alkar
#7
W
56-44
56
44
+12
H21/05
Premijer liga
Dinamo Zagreb
#6
D
43-43
43
43
+0
H25/05
Premijer liga
Dinamo Zagreb
#6
W
44-29
44
29
+15
A28/05
Premijer liga
82.2Avg total
42.8Scored
39.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.939.081.9+3.963%-
Last 30 at home (16)45.537.783.2+7.875%-
Last 30 away (14)40.040.580.5-0.550%-
Last 10 (10)42.839.482.2+3.460%-
Last 5 (5)44.839.684.4+5.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)34.240.875.0-6.525%-
vs Similar (5)36.843.079.8-6.240%-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)46.037.783.8+8.376%-
This opponent (Dinamo Zagreb) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Dinamo ZagrebLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Split
#2
D
48-48
48
48
+0
A09/04
Premijer liga
Zadar
#1
L
43-53
43
53
-10
H13/04
Premijer liga
Osijek
#12
W
50-25
50
25
+25
A18/04
Premijer liga
GKK Sibenka
#10
W
37-36
37
36
+1
H27/04
Premijer liga
Alkar
#7
L
28-32
28
32
-4
A02/05
Premijer liga
Zabok
#8
L
46-48
46
48
-2
H08/05
Premijer liga
Cedevita Junior
#3
L
35-47
35
47
-12
A15/05
Premijer liga
Cedevita Junior
#3
L
43-49
43
49
-6
H18/05
Premijer liga
Split
#2
D
43-43
43
43
+0
A25/05
Premijer liga
Split
#2
L
29-44
29
44
-15
H28/05
Premijer liga
82.7Avg total
40.2Scored
42.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.544.485.9-2.937%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.143.184.1-2.047%-
Last 30 away (15)41.945.787.6-3.727%-
Last 10 (10)40.242.582.7-2.320%-
Last 5 (5)39.246.285.4-7.00%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)37.847.585.2-9.78%-
vs Similar (3)44.340.084.3+4.367%-
vs Weaker (13)44.242.286.3+2.054%-
This opponent (Split) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Splittheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Split: 86.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀40%
🏀🏀🏀43%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.0 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.2 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.7 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.6 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.617.5
49.2%
53.5%35.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.812.4
44.6%
34.6%37.2
🏀 Free throws18.514.7
79.5%
73.3%14.7
They take 63.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Dinamo Zagrebtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Dinamo Zagreb: 84.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.9 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.6 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.619.3
55.8%
53.5%38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.510.0
39.2%
34.6%30.0
🏀 Free throws20.115.9
79.1%
73.3%15.9
They take 60.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 31 May 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Split
WLWLWWLLWW
Dinamo Zagreb
LWWWWLWWLL
#2
League position
#6
+16.6
Net rating
+5.7
121.2
Offensive rating
114.1
104.6
Defensive rating
108.5
56.9%
Effective FG%
57.1%
52.4%
Opp. effective FG%
53.9%
15.4%
Turnover %
20.6%
31.9%
Off. rebound %
32.5%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.33
44.6%
3-point %
39.2%
63.2%
Assist %
68.9%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence121.2 · 114.1Defence104.6 · 108.5Shooting56.9% · 57.1%3-point %44.6% · 39.2%Ball care15.4% · 20.6%Off. rebounds31.9% · 32.5%Free throws0.29 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)60% · 60%
■ Split   ■ Dinamo Zagreb
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
9
Split wins
1
Dinamo Zagreb wins
DateGameScore
28/05/25Dinamo Zagreb v Split55-88
25/05/25Split v Dinamo Zagreb82-86
09/04/25Split v Dinamo Zagreb94-86
06/03/25Split v Dinamo Zagreb79-61
25/10/24Dinamo Zagreb v Split111-121 OT
02/04/24Split v Dinamo Zagreb74-51
07/01/24Dinamo Zagreb v Split66-82
15/10/23Split v Dinamo Zagreb74-60
29/01/23Dinamo Zagreb v Split73-88
01/11/22Split v Dinamo Zagreb96-62
Splitlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/05/25ADinamo Zagreb88-55
25/05/25HDinamo Zagreb82-86
21/05/25HAlkar96-81
18/05/25AAlkar72-83
15/05/25HAlkar97-71
10/05/25HOsijek118-49
04/05/25AZadar65-87
02/05/25AZadar80-81
28/04/25AMornar Bar86-76
26/04/25HDubrovnik93-89
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/05/25HSplit55-88
25/05/25ASplit86-82
18/05/25HCedevita Junior95-82
15/05/25ACedevita Junior88-79
08/05/25HZabok98-89
02/05/25AAlkar62-63
27/04/25HGKK Sibenka86-71
18/04/25AOsijek119-65
13/04/25HZadar78-100
09/04/25ASplit86-94

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Split
Premijer liga 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW76%
HomeWWWWL80%
AwayWWLLW72%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games382018
Win %76%80%72%
Points / game87.892.083.2
Allowed / game73.672.375.1
Point differential+14.2+19.6+8.1
Avg total161.4164.2158.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+61%65%56%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)33% (3)33% (3)
Overtime %3%0%6%
Dinamo Zagreb
Premijer liga 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL51%
HomeLWWWL58%
AwayLWLWW44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games371918
Win %51%58%44%
Points / game84.585.184.0
Allowed / game84.183.884.3
Point differential+0.5+1.2-0.3
Avg total168.6168.9168.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+32%42%22%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)33% (3)75% (4)
Overtime %11%16%6%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zadar3734392%81.465.5+15.8
2 Split3829976%87.873.6+14.2
3 Cedevita Junior35221363%86.979.0+7.9
4 Kvarner36191753%81.581.6-0.1
5 Cibona38201853%85.379.9+5.5
6 Dinamo Zagreb37191851%84.584.1+0.5
7 Alkar36162044%72.277.2-5.1
8 Zabok35152043%80.786.0-5.3
9 Dubrava33112233%79.586.8-7.3
10 GKK Sibenka33112233%74.982.9-8.0
11 Dubrovnik35112431%79.083.7-4.8
12 Osijek3372621%72.890.0-17.2
13 Mladost2020%89.599.5-10.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Split2328132589
Dinamo Zagreb1022172069
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