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Split vs Dinamo Zagreb Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 25 May 2025
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 82-86
17-29 26-14 18-17 21-26
Position#2
Record28-8
FormLWWLW
Points / game88.0
Allowed / game73.8
vs
Position#6
Record18-17
FormWLWWW
Points / game85.3
Allowed / game84.0
CroatiaPremijer ligaPremijer liga - Semi-finals· Dvorana KK Split
Other2024-25
Meetings · Split v Dinamo Zagreb
11 Dec 2026
SPL v DINA
upcoming
09 Mar 2026
SPL94
DINA99
31 May 2025
SPL89
DINA69
25 May 2025
SPL82
DINA86
09 Apr 2025
SPL94
DINA86
06 Mar 2025
SPL79
DINA61
02 Apr 2024
SPL74
DINA51
15 Oct 2023
SPL74
DINA60
01 Nov 2022
SPL96
DINA62
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Split winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Dinamo Zagreb winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SplitCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSplit
Date
Competition
Cedevita Junior
#3
W
87-67
87
67
+20
85avg 77
H17/04
Premijer liga
Dubai
#4
L
82-87
82
87
-5
69avg 77
A20/04
ABA League
Dubrovnik
#11
W
93-89
93
89
+4
86avg 77
H26/04
Premijer liga
Mornar Bar
#17
W
86-76
86
76
+10
75avg 77
A28/04
ABA League
Zadar
#10
L
80-81
80
81
-1
63avg 77
A02/05
ABA League
Zadar
#1
L
65-87
65
87
-22
52avg 77
A04/05
Premijer liga
Osijek
#12
W
118-49
118
49
+69
118avg 77
H10/05
Premijer liga
Alkar
#7
W
97-71
97
71
+26
96avg 77
H15/05
Premijer liga
Alkar
#7
L
72-83
72
83
-11
68avg 77
A18/05
Premijer liga
Alkar
#7
W
96-81
96
81
+15
99avg 77
H21/05
Premijer liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-16
31-17
23-12
20-22
17-28
17-21
26-23
22-15
24-23
19-15
22-29
28-22
19-23
24-22
24-19
19-12
16-16
19-17
17-23
28-25
10-26
18-29
23-17
14-15
31-10
24-15
32-13
31-11
22-15
27-22
22-16
26-18
14-19
18-26
22-21
18-17
28-30
28-14
19-13
21-24
164.7Avg total
87.6Scored
77.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (36)88.073.8161.8+14.278%
Season at home (19)92.571.6164.1+20.984%
Season away (17)82.976.3159.2+6.671%
Last 10 (10)87.677.1164.7+10.560%
Last 5 (5)89.674.2163.8+15.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)77.483.0160.4-5.60%
vs Similar (6)73.380.8154.2-7.533%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)88.773.3162.0+15.584%
This opponent (Dinamo Zagreb) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Dinamo ZagrebCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormZagreb
Date
Competition
Cibona
#5
L
82-98
82
98
-16
77avg 80
A28/03
Premijer liga
Cedevita Junior
#3
L
80-107
80
107
-27
76avg 80
H05/04
Premijer liga
Split
#2
L
86-94
86
94
-8
91avg 80
A09/04
Premijer liga
Zadar
#1
L
78-100
78
100
-22
72avg 80
H13/04
Premijer liga
Osijek
#12
W
119-65
119
65
+54
123avg 80
A18/04
Premijer liga
GKK Sibenka
#10
W
86-71
86
71
+15
78avg 80
H27/04
Premijer liga
Alkar
#7
L
62-63
62
63
-1
59avg 80
A02/05
Premijer liga
Zabok
#8
W
98-89
98
89
+9
91avg 80
H08/05
Premijer liga
Cedevita Junior
#3
W
88-79
88
79
+9
87avg 80
A15/05
Premijer liga
Cedevita Junior
#3
W
95-82
95
82
+13
91avg 80
H18/05
Premijer liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-24
20-27
21-12
16-35
19-27
24-31
19-25
18-24
20-23
28-25
16-20
22-26
19-27
24-26
18-22
17-25
25-14
25-11
43-12
26-28
19-19
18-17
28-14
21-21
8-13
20-19
16-18
18-13
23-29
23-19
33-18
19-23
21-22
14-25
26-9
27-23
16-20
27-29
23-12
29-21
172.2Avg total
87.4Scored
84.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (35)85.384.0169.4+1.351%
Season at home (18)86.783.6170.3+3.161%
Season away (17)83.984.5168.4-0.641%
Last 10 (10)87.484.8172.2+2.650%
Last 5 (5)85.876.8162.6+9.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)78.188.9167.0-10.825%
vs Similar (3)82.079.0161.0+3.067%
vs Weaker (14)90.977.4168.3+13.479%
This opponent (Split) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -1.2-1.2Q1: -2.3-2.3Q2Q2: +2.7+2.7Q2: -0.6-0.6Q3Q3: +4.4+4.4Q3: +8.1+8.1Q4Q4: +4.6+4.6Q4: -2.6-2.6
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -1.2-1.2Q1: -2.3-2.3Q2Q2: +2.7+2.7Q2: -0.6-0.6Q3Q3: +4.4+4.4Q3: +8.1+8.1Q4Q4: +4.6+4.6Q4: -2.6-2.6
SplitDinamo Zagreb
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SplitLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cedevita Junior
#3
W
44-33
44
33
+11
H17/04
Premijer liga
Dubai
#4
L
34-49
34
49
-15
A20/04
ABA League
Dubrovnik
#11
W
43-38
43
38
+5
H26/04
Premijer liga
Mornar Bar
#17
L
43-45
43
45
-2
A28/04
ABA League
Zadar
#10
W
35-33
35
33
+2
A02/05
ABA League
Zadar
#1
L
28-55
28
55
-27
A04/05
Premijer liga
Osijek
#12
W
55-25
55
25
+30
H10/05
Premijer liga
Alkar
#7
W
49-37
49
37
+12
H15/05
Premijer liga
Alkar
#7
L
32-45
32
45
-13
A18/05
Premijer liga
Alkar
#7
W
56-44
56
44
+12
H21/05
Premijer liga
82.3Avg total
41.9Scored
40.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.639.782.3+2.960%-
Last 30 at home (16)45.237.782.9+7.675%-
Last 30 away (14)39.542.081.5-2.543%-
Last 10 (10)41.940.482.3+1.560%-
Last 5 (5)44.041.285.2+2.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)34.842.677.4-7.820%-
vs Similar (6)37.243.080.2-5.833%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)46.337.984.2+8.479%-
This opponent (Dinamo Zagreb) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Dinamo ZagrebLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cibona
#5
L
45-51
45
51
-6
A28/03
Premijer liga
Cedevita Junior
#3
L
43-58
43
58
-15
H05/04
Premijer liga
Split
#2
D
48-48
48
48
+0
A09/04
Premijer liga
Zadar
#1
L
43-53
43
53
-10
H13/04
Premijer liga
Osijek
#12
W
50-25
50
25
+25
A18/04
Premijer liga
GKK Sibenka
#10
W
37-36
37
36
+1
H27/04
Premijer liga
Alkar
#7
L
28-32
28
32
-4
A02/05
Premijer liga
Zabok
#8
L
46-48
46
48
-2
H08/05
Premijer liga
Cedevita Junior
#3
L
35-47
35
47
-12
A15/05
Premijer liga
Cedevita Junior
#3
L
43-49
43
49
-6
H18/05
Premijer liga
86.5Avg total
41.8Scored
44.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.444.285.6-2.837%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.243.184.3-1.947%-
Last 30 away (15)41.645.487.0-3.827%-
Last 10 (10)41.844.786.5-2.920%-
Last 5 (5)37.842.480.2-4.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)37.547.885.3-10.38%-
vs Similar (3)44.340.084.3+4.367%-
vs Weaker (14)43.741.985.6+1.850%-
This opponent (Split) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Splittheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Split: 86.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.7 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.1 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.6 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.519.0
53.5%
53.5%38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.710.9
40.8%
34.6%32.7
🏀 Free throws19.216.1
83.9%
73.3%16.1
They take 62.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Dinamo Zagrebtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Dinamo Zagreb: 86.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.8 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.7 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.9 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.6 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.520.4
57.5%
53.5%40.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.19.9
37.9%
34.6%29.7
🏀 Free throws20.915.9
76.1%
73.3%15.9
They take 61.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 25 May 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Split
WLWWLLWWLW
Dinamo Zagreb
WWWLWWLLLL
#2
League position
#6
+14.7
Net rating
+3.4
121.2
Offensive rating
114.1
106.5
Defensive rating
110.7
56.8%
Effective FG%
57.2%
51.8%
Opp. effective FG%
54.7%
14.6%
Turnover %
20.2%
29.5%
Off. rebound %
33.0%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.34
40.8%
3-point %
37.9%
55.2%
Assist %
69.3%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence121.2 · 114.1Defence106.5 · 110.7Shooting56.8% · 57.2%3-point %40.8% · 37.9%Ball care14.6% · 20.2%Off. rebounds29.5% · 33.0%Free throws0.31 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)60% · 50%
■ Split   ■ Dinamo Zagreb
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Split wins
0
Dinamo Zagreb wins
DateGameScore
09/04/25Split v Dinamo Zagreb94-86
06/03/25Split v Dinamo Zagreb79-61
25/10/24Dinamo Zagreb v Split111-121 OT
02/04/24Split v Dinamo Zagreb74-51
07/01/24Dinamo Zagreb v Split66-82
15/10/23Split v Dinamo Zagreb74-60
29/01/23Dinamo Zagreb v Split73-88
01/11/22Split v Dinamo Zagreb96-62
Splitlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/05/25HAlkar96-81
18/05/25AAlkar72-83
15/05/25HAlkar97-71
10/05/25HOsijek118-49
04/05/25AZadar65-87
02/05/25AZadar80-81
28/04/25AMornar Bar86-76
26/04/25HDubrovnik93-89
20/04/25ADubai82-87
17/04/25HCedevita Junior87-67
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/05/25HCedevita Junior95-82
15/05/25ACedevita Junior88-79
08/05/25HZabok98-89
02/05/25AAlkar62-63
27/04/25HGKK Sibenka86-71
18/04/25AOsijek119-65
13/04/25HZadar78-100
09/04/25ASplit86-94
05/04/25HCedevita Junior80-107
28/03/25ACibona82-98

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Split
Premijer liga 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW78%
HomeWWWWW84%
AwayLWWLL71%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games361917
Win %78%84%71%
Points / game88.092.582.9
Allowed / game73.871.676.3
Point differential+14.2+20.9+6.6
Avg total161.8164.1159.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+61%68%53%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)50% (2)33% (3)
Overtime %3%0%6%
Dinamo Zagreb
Premijer liga 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW51%
HomeLLWWW61%
AwayLLWLW41%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games351817
Win %51%61%41%
Points / game85.386.783.9
Allowed / game84.083.684.5
Point differential+1.3+3.1-0.6
Avg total169.4170.3168.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+34%44%24%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)33% (3)67% (3)
Overtime %11%17%6%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zadar3633392%81.465.4+16.0
2 Split3628878%88.073.8+14.2
3 Cedevita Junior35221363%86.979.0+7.9
4 Cibona37201754%85.879.9+5.9
5 Kvarner36191753%81.581.6-0.1
6 Dinamo Zagreb35181751%85.384.0+1.3
7 Alkar36162044%72.277.2-5.1
8 Zabok35152043%80.786.0-5.3
9 Dubrava33112233%79.586.8-7.3
10 GKK Sibenka33112233%74.982.9-8.0
11 Dubrovnik35112431%79.083.7-4.8
12 Osijek3372621%72.890.0-17.2
13 Mladost2020%89.599.5-10.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Split1726182182
Dinamo Zagreb2914172686
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