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Split vs Dinamo Zagreb Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 06 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 79-61
18-18 23-17 17-14 21-12
Position#2
Record16-5
FormWWWLW
Points / game86.9
Allowed / game72.9
Split 🏆
Croatia
vs
Position#6
Record11-10
FormLWWLW
Points / game85.5
Allowed / game85.0
CroatiaPremijer ligaRound 16· Dvorana KK Split
Other2024-25
Meetings · Split v Dinamo Zagreb
11 Dec 2026
SPL v DINA
upcoming
09 Mar 2026
SPL94
DINA99
31 May 2025
SPL89
DINA69
25 May 2025
SPL82
DINA86
09 Apr 2025
SPL94
DINA86
06 Mar 2025
SPL79
DINA61
02 Apr 2024
SPL74
DINA51
15 Oct 2023
SPL74
DINA60
01 Nov 2022
SPL96
DINA62
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Split winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Dinamo Zagreb winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SplitCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSplit
Date
Competition
Dubrovnik
#11
W
82-64
82
64
+18
78avg 78
A29/01
Premijer liga
Cedevita Olimpija
#6
L
69-75
69
75
-6
68avg 78
H01/02
ABA League
Dubrava
#9
W
97-71
97
71
+26
108avg 78
H03/02
Premijer liga
Osijek
#12
W
86-77
86
77
+9
79avg 78
A07/02
Premijer liga
Mega Basket
#9
L
82-84
82
84
-2
75avg 78
A09/02
ABA League
Zadar
#5
W
71-70
71
70
+1
64avg 78
H12/02
Croatian Cup
Cibona
#4
W
85-59
85
59
+26
89avg 78
H14/02
Croatian Cup
Alkar
#2
W
77-60
77
60
+17
74avg 78
A15/02
Croatian Cup
Cibona
#5
L
72-75
72
75
-3
69avg 78
H28/02
Premijer liga
Borac Mozzart
#13
W
70-59
70
59
+11
61avg 78
H03/03
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-17
25-10
24-19
15-18
15-23
19-12
15-19
20-21
21-13
28-16
23-21
25-21
18-21
23-7
30-22
15-27
14-32
23-18
25-17
20-17
21-21
18-22
16-15
16-12
15-17
23-15
25-15
22-12
25-8
17-16
21-19
14-17
21-14
18-16
15-21
18-24
25-18
15-15
18-12
12-14
148.5Avg total
79.1Scored
69.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)86.972.9159.7+14.076%
Season at home (10)88.371.8160.1+16.570%
Season away (11)85.573.8159.4+11.782%
Last 10 (10)79.169.4148.5+9.770%
Last 5 (5)75.064.6139.6+10.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)70.487.2157.6-16.90%
vs Similar (6)76.274.8151.0+1.367%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)85.969.8155.7+16.180%
This opponent (Dinamo Zagreb) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Dinamo ZagrebCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormZagreb
Date
Competition
Zabok
#8
W
99-82
99
82
+17
99avg 81
A14/12
Premijer liga
Dubrava
#9
W
84-67
84
67
+17
84avg 81
H20/12
Premijer liga
Osijek
#12
W
90-88 OT
90
88
+2
83avg 81
A29/12
Premijer liga
Cibona
#5
W
91-90 OT
91
90
+1
86avg 81
H03/01
Premijer liga
Dubrovnik
#11
W
103-77
103
77
+26
104avg 81
H18/01
Premijer liga
Cedevita Junior
#3
L
78-84
78
84
-6
76avg 81
A22/01
Premijer liga
GKK Sibenka
#10
W
94-70
94
70
+24
85avg 81
H27/01
Premijer liga
Kvarner
#4
W
89-86
89
86
+3
83avg 81
A01/02
Premijer liga
Zadar
#1
L
71-98
71
98
-27
60avg 81
A06/02
Premijer liga
Alkar
#7
W
96-86
96
86
+10
93avg 81
H01/03
Premijer liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-24
24-25
21-23
25-10
24-24
20-10
21-15
19-18
21-24
15-29
25-11
24-21
19-18
16-28
27-21
21-16
32-19
22-14
27-23
22-21
14-19
16-22
29-19
19-24
24-20
21-18
27-16
22-16
18-18
32-18
21-26
18-24
21-38
11-30
22-13
17-17
23-30
14-23
28-15
31-18
172.3Avg total
89.5Scored
82.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)85.585.0170.5+0.552%
Season at home (11)88.082.6170.6+5.464%
Season away (10)82.887.6170.4-4.840%
Last 10 (10)89.582.8172.3+6.780%
Last 5 (5)85.684.8170.4+0.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)76.391.9168.2-15.69%
vs Similar (5)92.083.8175.8+8.280%
vs Weaker (13)89.080.7169.7+8.369%
This opponent (Split) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q1: -0.9-0.9Q2Q2: +6.2+6.2Q2: -2.6-2.6Q3Q3: +3.2+3.2Q3: +6.6+6.6Q4Q4: -0.6-0.6Q4: +3.3+3.3
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q1: -0.9-0.9Q2Q2: +6.2+6.2Q2: -2.6-2.6Q3Q3: +3.2+3.2Q3: +6.6+6.6Q4Q4: -0.6-0.6Q4: +3.3+3.3
SplitDinamo Zagreb
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SplitLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dubrovnik
#11
W
43-27
43
27
+16
A29/01
Premijer liga
Cedevita Olimpija
#6
L
34-35
34
35
-1
H01/02
ABA League
Dubrava
#9
W
49-29
49
29
+20
H03/02
Premijer liga
Osijek
#12
W
41-28
41
28
+13
A07/02
Premijer liga
Mega Basket
#9
L
37-50
37
50
-13
A09/02
ABA League
Zadar
#5
L
39-43
39
43
-4
H12/02
Croatian Cup
Cibona
#4
W
38-32
38
32
+6
H14/02
Croatian Cup
Alkar
#2
W
42-24
42
24
+18
A15/02
Croatian Cup
Cibona
#5
W
39-30
39
30
+9
H28/02
Premijer liga
Borac Mozzart
#13
W
40-33
40
33
+7
H03/03
ABA League
73.3Avg total
40.2Scored
33.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.737.276.9+2.547%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.636.175.7+3.650%-
Last 30 away (14)39.838.478.2+1.443%-
Last 10 (10)40.233.173.3+7.170%-
Last 5 (5)39.632.472.0+7.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)34.645.279.9-10.612%-
vs Similar (6)37.239.076.2-1.833%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)43.132.775.9+10.467%-
This opponent (Dinamo Zagreb) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Dinamo ZagrebLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zabok
#8
W
53-49
53
49
+4
A14/12
Premijer liga
Dubrava
#9
W
44-34
44
34
+10
H20/12
Premijer liga
Osijek
#12
L
36-53
36
53
-17
A29/12
Premijer liga
Cibona
#5
L
35-46
35
46
-11
H03/01
Premijer liga
Dubrovnik
#11
W
54-33
54
33
+21
H18/01
Premijer liga
Cedevita Junior
#3
L
30-41
30
41
-11
A22/01
Premijer liga
GKK Sibenka
#10
W
45-38
45
38
+7
H27/01
Premijer liga
Kvarner
#4
W
50-36
50
36
+14
A01/02
Premijer liga
Zadar
#1
L
32-68
32
68
-36
A06/02
Premijer liga
Alkar
#7
L
37-53
37
53
-16
H01/03
Premijer liga
86.7Avg total
41.6Scored
45.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.243.185.3-0.953%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.239.681.8+2.667%-
Last 30 away (15)42.246.688.8-4.440%-
Last 10 (10)41.645.186.7-3.550%-
Last 5 (5)38.847.286.0-8.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)36.445.982.3-9.518%-
vs Similar (5)49.842.492.2+7.4100%-
vs Weaker (13)43.840.884.6+3.162%-
This opponent (Split) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Splittheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Split: 78.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.2 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.0 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.6 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.018.1
50.3%
53.5%36.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.29.1
37.6%
34.6%27.3
🏀 Free throws18.815.0
79.8%
73.3%15.0
They take 60.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Dinamo Zagrebtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Dinamo Zagreb: 88.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.6 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.0 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.9 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.6 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.220.8
53.1%
53.5%41.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.711.0
41.2%
34.6%33.0
🏀 Free throws18.213.9
76.4%
73.3%13.9
They take 65.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 06 Mar 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Split
WLWWWLWWLW
Dinamo Zagreb
WLWWLWWWWW
#2
League position
#6
+15.0
Net rating
+8.7
110.3
Offensive rating
114.6
95.2
Defensive rating
105.9
52.7%
Effective FG%
56.6%
49.5%
Opp. effective FG%
53.4%
19.2%
Turnover %
19.1%
33.5%
Off. rebound %
33.5%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.28
37.6%
3-point %
41.2%
72.1%
Assist %
60.4%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence110.3 · 114.6Defence95.2 · 105.9Shooting52.7% · 56.6%3-point %37.6% · 41.2%Ball care19.2% · 19.1%Off. rebounds33.5% · 33.5%Free throws0.31 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)70% · 80%
■ Split   ■ Dinamo Zagreb
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Split wins
0
Dinamo Zagreb wins
DateGameScore
25/10/24Dinamo Zagreb v Split111-121 OT
02/04/24Split v Dinamo Zagreb74-51
07/01/24Dinamo Zagreb v Split66-82
15/10/23Split v Dinamo Zagreb74-60
29/01/23Dinamo Zagreb v Split73-88
01/11/22Split v Dinamo Zagreb96-62
Splitlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/03/25HBorac Mozzart70-59
28/02/25HCibona72-75
15/02/25AAlkar77-60
14/02/25HCibona85-59
12/02/25HZadar71-70
09/02/25AMega Basket82-84
07/02/25AOsijek86-77
03/02/25HDubrava97-71
01/02/25HCedevita Olimpija69-75
29/01/25ADubrovnik82-64
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/03/25HAlkar96-86
06/02/25AZadar71-98
01/02/25AKvarner89-86
27/01/25HGKK Sibenka94-70
22/01/25ACedevita Junior78-84
18/01/25HDubrovnik103-77
03/01/25HCibona91-90 OT
29/12/24AOsijek90-88 OT
20/12/24HDubrava84-67
14/12/24AZabok99-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Split
Premijer liga 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL76%
HomeWLWWL70%
AwayWLWWW82%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211011
Win %76%70%82%
Points / game86.988.385.5
Allowed / game72.971.873.8
Point differential+14.0+16.5+11.7
Avg total159.7160.1159.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+62%60%64%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %5%0%9%
Dinamo Zagreb
Premijer liga 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW52%
HomeWWWWW64%
AwayWWLWL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211110
Win %52%64%40%
Points / game85.588.082.8
Allowed / game85.082.687.6
Point differential+0.5+5.4-4.8
Avg total170.5170.6170.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%45%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)50% (2)100% (2)
Overtime %19%27%10%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zadar2219386%77.964.5+13.4
2 Cedevita Junior2217577%84.276.0+8.2
3 Split2116576%86.972.9+14.0
4 Cibona2214864%83.777.8+5.9
5 Dinamo Zagreb21111052%85.585.0+0.5
6 Kvarner22101245%79.580.9-1.3
7 Dubrava2291341%78.283.3-5.1
8 Zabok2291341%80.085.6-5.5
9 Alkar2281436%71.076.7-5.7
10 Osijek2271532%75.883.5-7.6
11 GKK Sibenka2271532%74.882.5-7.7
12 Dubrovnik2241818%74.582.8-8.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Split1823172179
Dinamo Zagreb1817141261
← all games of the day
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