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Drake vs Illinois (Chi.) Prediction & Stats

Date: Thu 21 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 21:00
Scheduled
Position#38
Record3-0
FormWLWWW
Points / game85.7
Allowed / game62.7
vs
Position#111
Record3-1
FormLWWWL
Points / game79.5
Allowed / game64.8
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Meetings · Drake v Illinois (Chi.)
21 Jan 2027
DRAK v ILLI
upcoming
12 Feb 2026
DRAK70
ILLI80
19 Feb 2025
DRAK74
ILLI57
03 Dec 2022
DRAK77
ILLI64
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Drake win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Illinois (Chi.) win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

DrakeUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Northern Iowa
#88
L
62-86
62
86
-24
A15/02
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#203
L
61-66
61
66
-5
H19/02
NCAA
Valparaiso
#170
L
71-74
71
74
-3
A26/02
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#88
L
53-75
53
75
-22
H01/03
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#203
W
67-63
67
63
+4
A05/03
NCAA
Belmont
#25
W
100-79
100
79
+21
A06/03
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#155
L
51-72
51
72
-21
A07/03
NCAA
Central College
#494
W
101-48
101
48
+53
H05/11
NCAA
Southern Univ.
#406
W
75-68
75
68
+7
H08/11
NCAA
South Dakota Coyotes
#333
W
81-72
81
72
+9
H14/11
NCAA
1H
2H
29-38
33-48
36-31
25-35
37-36
34-38
24-39
29-36
27-31
40-32
48-41
52-38
27-34
24-38
50-22
51-26
33-27
42-41
30-29
51-43
142.5Avg total
72.2Scored
70.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)85.762.7148.3+23.0100%
Season at home (3)85.762.7148.3+23.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)72.270.3142.5+1.950%
Last 5 (5)81.667.8149.4+13.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)72.081.6153.6-9.68%
vs Similar (12)74.876.3151.1-1.650%
vs Weaker ◀ (5)82.468.0150.4+14.4100%
This opponent (Illinois (Chi.)) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Illinois (Chi.)USALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Valparaiso
#170
L
67-71
67
71
-4
H21/02
NCAA
Bradley
#91
W
93-86 OT
93
86
+7
H25/02
NCAA
Indiana State
#311
L
63-79
63
79
-16
A01/03
NCAA
Murray State
#102
W
92-79
92
79
+13
A06/03
NCAA
Drake
#271
W
72-51
72
51
+21
H07/03
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#88
L
69-84
69
84
-15
H08/03
NCAA
St. Francis (ILL)
#485
W
96-47
96
47
+49
H02/11
NCAA
Robert Morris
#405
W
79-56
79
56
+23
H07/11
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#199
W
82-72
82
72
+10
H10/11
NCAA
St. Marys (CA)
#105
L
61-84
61
84
-23
A14/11
NCAA
1H
2H
29-31
38-40
39-28
33-44
31-35
32-44
50-32
42-47
34-27
38-24
41-48
28-36
51-31
45-16
30-32
49-24
33-32
49-40
24-42
37-42
148.3Avg total
77.4Scored
70.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)79.564.8144.2+14.875%
Season at home (3)85.758.3144.0+27.3100%
Season away (1)61.084.0145.0-23.00%
Last 10 (10)77.470.9148.3+6.560%
Last 5 (5)77.468.6146.0+8.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)66.080.0146.0-14.00%
vs Similar (15)73.671.9145.5+1.753%
vs Weaker (13)76.265.6141.8+10.569%
This opponent (Drake) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: +1.3+1.31st half: +2.4+2.42nd half2nd half: +0.6+0.62nd half: +3.4+3.4
-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: +1.3+1.31st half: +2.4+2.42nd half2nd half: +0.6+0.62nd half: +3.4+3.4
DrakeIllinois (Chi.)
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
DrakeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Northern Iowa
#88
L
29-38
29
38
-9
A15/02
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#203
W
36-31
36
31
+5
H19/02
NCAA
Valparaiso
#170
W
37-36
37
36
+1
A26/02
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#88
L
24-39
24
39
-15
H01/03
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#203
L
27-31
27
31
-4
A05/03
NCAA
Belmont
#25
W
48-41
48
41
+7
A06/03
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#155
L
27-34
27
34
-7
A07/03
NCAA
Central College
#494
W
50-22
50
22
+28
H05/11
NCAA
Southern Univ.
#406
W
33-27
33
27
+6
H08/11
NCAA
South Dakota Coyotes
#333
W
30-29
30
29
+1
H14/11
NCAA
66.9Avg total
34.1Scored
32.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.335.770.0-1.443%-
Last 30 at home (16)36.934.771.6+2.250%-
Last 30 away (14)31.336.968.1-5.636%-
Last 10 (10)34.132.866.9+1.360%-
Last 5 (5)37.630.668.2+7.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)33.939.072.9-5.117%-
vs Similar (12)33.036.269.2-3.250%-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)35.229.464.6+5.880%-
This opponent (Illinois (Chi.)) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Illinois (Chi.)Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Valparaiso
#170
L
29-31
29
31
-2
H21/02
NCAA
Bradley
#91
W
39-28
39
28
+11
H25/02
NCAA
Indiana State
#311
L
31-35
31
35
-4
A01/03
NCAA
Murray State
#102
W
50-32
50
32
+18
A06/03
NCAA
Drake
#271
W
34-27
34
27
+7
H07/03
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#88
L
41-48
41
48
-7
H08/03
NCAA
St. Francis (ILL)
#485
W
51-31
51
31
+20
H02/11
NCAA
Robert Morris
#405
L
30-32
30
32
-2
H07/11
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#199
W
33-32
33
32
+1
H10/11
NCAA
St. Marys (CA)
#105
L
24-42
24
42
-18
A14/11
NCAA
70.0Avg total
36.2Scored
33.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.231.066.1+4.267%-
Last 30 at home (16)35.829.465.2+6.475%-
Last 30 away (14)34.432.767.1+1.757%-
Last 10 (10)36.233.870.0+2.450%-
Last 5 (5)35.837.072.8-1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)32.035.067.0-3.00%-
vs Similar (15)33.932.366.2+1.560%-
vs Weaker (13)35.729.164.8+6.677%-
This opponent (Drake) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Drake wins
4
Illinois (Chi.) wins
DateGameScore
07/03/26Illinois (Chi.) v Drake72-51
13/02/26Drake v Illinois (Chi.)70-80
17/01/26Illinois (Chi.) v Drake74-67
20/02/25Drake v Illinois (Chi.)74-57
01/01/25Illinois (Chi.) v Drake74-70
29/02/24Illinois (Chi.) v Drake105-107 OT
11/01/23Illinois (Chi.) v Drake71-76 OT
03/12/22Drake v Illinois (Chi.)77-64
Drakelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HSouth Dakota Coyotes81-72
08/11/26HSouthern Univ.75-68
05/11/26HCentral College101-48
07/03/26AIllinois (Chi.)51-72
06/03/26ABelmont100-79
05/03/26ASouthern Illinois67-63
01/03/26HNorthern Iowa53-75
26/02/26AValparaiso71-74
19/02/26HSouthern Illinois61-66
15/02/26ANorthern Iowa62-86
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26ASt. Marys (CA)61-84
10/11/26HNC Greensboro82-72
07/11/26HRobert Morris79-56
02/11/26HSt. Francis (ILL)96-47
08/03/26HNorthern Iowa69-84
07/03/26HDrake72-51
06/03/26AMurray State92-79
01/03/26AIndiana State63-79
25/02/26HBradley93-86 OT
21/02/26HValparaiso67-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Drake
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWW100%
HomeWWW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games33-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game85.785.7-
Allowed / game62.762.7-
Point differential+23.0+23.0-
Avg total148.3148.3-
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%33%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
Illinois (Chi.)
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWL75%
HomeWWW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games431
Win %75%100%0%
Points / game79.585.761.0
Allowed / game64.858.384.0
Point differential+14.8+27.3-23.0
Avg total144.2144.0145.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+75%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Missouri Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Murray State440100%95.067.5+27.5
2 Drake330100%85.762.7+23.0
3 Illinois (Chi.)43175%79.564.8+14.8
4 Belmont43175%73.562.2+11.2
5 Southern Illinois32167%85.070.0+15.0
6 Valparaiso32167%77.373.0+4.3
7 Indiana State42250%80.265.8+14.5
8 Evansville42250%76.076.2-0.2
9 Bradley52340%59.856.4+3.4
10 Northern Iowa52340%85.286.0-0.8
11 Illinois State41325%81.275.8+5.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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