PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Drake vs Illinois (Chi.) Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 13 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 00:30
Final 70-80
38-40 32-40
Position#271
Record12-14
FormWLLLL
Points / game77.6
Allowed / game75.0
vs
Position#155
Record13-12
FormWWWLL
Points / game74.6
Allowed / game70.3
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Drake v Illinois (Chi.)
21 Jan 2027
DRAK v ILLI
upcoming
12 Feb 2026
DRAK70
ILLI80
19 Feb 2025
DRAK74
ILLI57
03 Dec 2022
DRAK77
ILLI64
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Drake winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Illinois (Chi.) winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

DrakeUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Belmont
#25
L
76-78
76
78
-2
H10/01
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#203
W
76-73 OT
76
73
+3
A15/01
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#155
L
67-74
67
74
-7
A17/01
NCAA
Murray State
#102
W
101-90
101
90
+11
H22/01
NCAA
Indiana State
#311
W
76-62
76
62
+14
A24/01
NCAA
Evansville
#362
W
82-78
82
78
+4
H29/01
NCAA
Bradley
#91
L
73-87
73
87
-14
H31/01
NCAA
Belmont
#25
L
90-103
90
103
-13
A04/02
NCAA
Illinois State
#96
L
76-86
76
86
-10
A07/02
NCAA
Valparaiso
#170
L
76-81
76
81
-5
H10/02
NCAA
1H
2H
44-25
32-53
26-37
41-30
22-34
45-40
44-41
57-49
26-24
50-38
30-36
52-42
35-41
38-46
43-51
47-52
32-47
44-39
40-38
36-43
160.5Avg total
79.3Scored
81.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)77.675.0152.5+2.646%
Season at home (16)79.673.5153.1+6.144%
Season away (10)74.477.3151.7-2.950%
Last 10 (10)79.381.2160.5-1.940%
Last 5 (5)79.487.0166.4-7.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)74.081.0155.0-7.00%
vs Similar (14)73.273.4146.6-0.257%
vs Weaker (6)79.862.0141.8+17.8100%
This opponent (Illinois (Chi.)) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Illinois (Chi.)USALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Southern Illinois
#203
W
70-57
70
57
+13
H08/01
NCAA
Illinois State
#96
W
63-59 OT
63
59
+4
A10/01
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#88
W
69-61
69
61
+8
A14/01
NCAA
Drake
#271
W
74-67
74
67
+7
H17/01
NCAA
Evansville
#362
W
76-49
76
49
+27
H21/01
NCAA
Bradley
#91
W
85-70
85
70
+15
A25/01
NCAA
Indiana State
#311
W
76-74
76
74
+2
H28/01
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#203
W
68-66
68
66
+2
A01/02
NCAA
Murray State
#102
L
74-81
74
81
-7
A04/02
NCAA
Belmont
#25
L
62-68
62
68
-6
H07/02
NCAA
1H
2H
31-21
39-36
28-25
23-26
29-32
40-29
34-22
40-45
34-20
42-29
39-28
46-42
41-32
35-42
25-36
43-30
33-40
41-41
26-38
36-30
136.9Avg total
71.7Scored
65.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)74.670.3144.8+4.352%
Season at home (12)77.265.2142.3+12.067%
Season away (13)72.275.0147.2-2.838%
Last 10 (10)71.765.2136.9+6.580%
Last 5 (5)73.071.8144.8+1.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)67.781.3149.0-13.70%
vs Similar (14)68.570.9139.4-2.443%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)76.869.2146.1+7.667%
This opponent (Drake) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: -3.2-3.21st half: +2.6+2.62nd half2nd half: +1.0+1.02nd half: +3.5+3.5
-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: -3.2-3.21st half: +2.6+2.62nd half2nd half: +1.0+1.02nd half: +3.5+3.5
DrakeIllinois (Chi.)
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
DrakeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Belmont
#25
W
44-25
44
25
+19
H10/01
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#203
L
26-37
26
37
-11
A15/01
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#155
L
22-34
22
34
-12
A17/01
NCAA
Murray State
#102
W
44-41
44
41
+3
H22/01
NCAA
Indiana State
#311
W
26-24
26
24
+2
A24/01
NCAA
Evansville
#362
L
30-36
30
36
-6
H29/01
NCAA
Bradley
#91
L
35-41
35
41
-6
H31/01
NCAA
Belmont
#25
L
43-51
43
51
-8
A04/02
NCAA
Illinois State
#96
L
32-47
32
47
-15
A07/02
NCAA
Valparaiso
#170
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H10/02
NCAA
71.6Avg total
34.2Scored
37.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.434.668.0-1.340%-
Last 30 at home (18)35.734.370.1+1.439%-
Last 30 away (12)29.835.164.9-5.342%-
Last 10 (10)34.237.471.6-3.240%-
Last 5 (5)36.042.678.6-6.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)34.039.173.1-5.111%-
vs Similar (14)31.434.766.1-3.450%-
vs Weaker (6)35.829.064.8+6.850%-
This opponent (Illinois (Chi.)) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Illinois (Chi.)Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Southern Illinois
#203
W
31-21
31
21
+10
H08/01
NCAA
Illinois State
#96
W
28-25
28
25
+3
A10/01
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#88
L
29-32
29
32
-3
A14/01
NCAA
Drake
#271
W
34-22
34
22
+12
H17/01
NCAA
Evansville
#362
W
34-20
34
20
+14
H21/01
NCAA
Bradley
#91
W
39-28
39
28
+11
A25/01
NCAA
Indiana State
#311
W
41-32
41
32
+9
H28/01
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#203
L
25-36
25
36
-11
A01/02
NCAA
Murray State
#102
L
33-40
33
40
-7
A04/02
NCAA
Belmont
#25
L
26-38
26
38
-12
H07/02
NCAA
61.4Avg total
32.0Scored
29.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.832.366.2+1.557%-
Last 30 at home (15)35.228.964.1+6.380%-
Last 30 away (15)32.535.768.2-3.333%-
Last 10 (10)32.029.461.4+2.660%-
Last 5 (5)32.834.867.6-2.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)33.040.373.3-7.30%-
vs Similar (14)31.133.564.6-2.450%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)36.229.665.8+6.775%-
This opponent (Drake) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Drake wins
2
Illinois (Chi.) wins
DateGameScore
17/01/26Illinois (Chi.) v Drake74-67
20/02/25Drake v Illinois (Chi.)74-57
01/01/25Illinois (Chi.) v Drake74-70
29/02/24Illinois (Chi.) v Drake105-107 OT
11/01/23Illinois (Chi.) v Drake71-76 OT
03/12/22Drake v Illinois (Chi.)77-64
Drakelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/02/26HValparaiso76-81
07/02/26AIllinois State76-86
04/02/26ABelmont90-103
31/01/26HBradley73-87
29/01/26HEvansville82-78
24/01/26AIndiana State76-62
22/01/26HMurray State101-90
17/01/26AIllinois (Chi.)67-74
15/01/26ASouthern Illinois76-73 OT
10/01/26HBelmont76-78
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/02/26HBelmont62-68
04/02/26AMurray State74-81
01/02/26ASouthern Illinois68-66
28/01/26HIndiana State76-74
25/01/26ABradley85-70
21/01/26HEvansville76-49
17/01/26HDrake74-67
14/01/26ANorthern Iowa69-61
10/01/26AIllinois State63-59 OT
08/01/26HSouthern Illinois70-57

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Drake
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL46%
HomeLWWLL44%
AwayWLWLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261610
Win %46%44%50%
Points / game77.679.674.4
Allowed / game75.073.577.3
Point differential+2.6+6.1-2.9
Avg total152.5153.1151.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%25%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (10)25% (8)100% (2)
Overtime %8%6%10%
Illinois (Chi.)
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL52%
HomeWWWWL67%
AwayWWWWL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251213
Win %52%67%38%
Points / game74.677.272.2
Allowed / game70.365.275.0
Point differential+4.3+12.0-2.8
Avg total144.8142.3147.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+28%50%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (8)33% (3)60% (5)
Overtime %8%0%15%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Missouri Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Belmont2722581%82.273.1+9.0
2 Murray State2719870%84.979.2+5.6
3 Illinois State2617965%77.267.5+9.7
4 Bradley2617965%77.472.9+4.5
5 Northern Iowa2516964%67.860.0+7.8
6 Illinois (Chi.)25131252%74.670.3+4.3
7 Valparaiso26131350%71.270.8+0.3
8 Drake26121446%77.675.0+2.6
9 Southern Illinois25111444%74.271.6+2.6
10 Indiana State26101638%75.174.9+0.2
11 Evansville2561924%67.774.5-6.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Drake383270
Illinois (Chi.)404080
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.