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Drake vs Illinois State Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 16 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 66-62
34-30 32-32
Position#8
Record14-2
FormWLLWW
Points / game71.3
Allowed / game57.0
Drake 🏆
USA
vs
Position#141
Record10-7
FormLWWLL
Points / game77.8
Allowed / game71.5
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · Drake v Illinois State
29 Dec 2025
DRAK56
ILLI73
15 Jan 2025
DRAK66
ILLI62
02 Jan 2024
DRAK88
ILLI71
22 Feb 2023
DRAK82
ILLI51
12 Jan 2022
DRAK86
ILLI75
01 Feb 2021
DRAK95
ILLI60
31 Jan 2021
DRAK78
ILLI76
05 Mar 2020
DRAK75
ILLI65
16 Jan 2020
DRAK84
ILLI74
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Drake winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Illinois State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

DrakeUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Georgia Southern
#201
W
61-47
61
47
+14
H30/11
NCAA
Valparaiso
#248
W
66-60
66
60
+6
A06/12
NCAA
St. Ambrose
#553
W
90-35
90
35
+55
H13/12
NCAA
Kansas State
#216
W
73-70 OT
73
70
+3
A18/12
NCAA
Wisc. Green Bay
#366
W
72-62
72
62
+10
H21/12
NCAA
Belmont
#79
W
65-46
65
46
+19
H29/12
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#154
L
70-74
70
74
-4
A01/01
NCAA
Murray State
#214
L
59-66
59
66
-7
H05/01
NCAA
Bradley
#30
W
64-57
64
57
+7
A09/01
NCAA
Evansville
#319
W
63-40
63
40
+23
H11/01
NCAA
1H
2H
29-23
32-24
35-26
31-34
51-19
39-16
36-27
27-36
40-32
32-30
39-21
26-25
33-32
37-42
26-26
33-40
31-31
33-26
25-20
38-20
124.0Avg total
68.3Scored
55.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)71.357.0128.3+14.388%
Season at home (10)71.251.8123.0+19.490%
Season away (6)71.565.7137.2+5.883%
Last 10 (10)68.355.7124.0+12.680%
Last 5 (5)64.256.6120.8+7.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (7)70.968.3139.1+2.671%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)76.265.5141.8+10.786%
This opponent (Illinois State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Illinois StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Belmont
#79
L
97-99 OT
97
99
-2
A05/12
NCAA
Pacific
#336
W
72-61
72
61
+11
H08/12
NCAA
St. Louis Billikens
#140
W
81-77
81
77
+4
H15/12
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#352
W
81-60
81
60
+21
H19/12
NCAA
Cornell
#113
W
80-77
80
77
+3
A22/12
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#154
L
67-73
67
73
-6
H29/12
NCAA
Murray State
#214
W
74-68
74
68
+6
A03/01
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#270
W
85-54
85
54
+31
H05/01
NCAA
Evansville
#319
L
51-69
51
69
-18
A09/01
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#107
L
84-85
84
85
-1
H12/01
NCAA
1H
2H
45-54
43-34
33-29
39-32
43-31
38-46
36-28
45-32
43-45
37-32
35-33
32-40
33-25
41-43
44-23
41-31
30-34
21-35
43-36
41-49
149.5Avg total
77.2Scored
72.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)77.871.5149.3+6.259%
Season at home (10)81.168.7149.8+12.470%
Season away (7)73.075.6148.6-2.643%
Last 10 (10)77.272.3149.5+4.960%
Last 5 (5)72.269.8142.0+2.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)63.866.6130.4-2.820%
vs Similar (19)73.772.3146.1+1.458%
vs Weaker (6)78.061.8139.8+16.267%
This opponent (Drake) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-11-6+0+6+111st half1st half: +8.8+8.81st half: +4.7+4.72nd half2nd half: +3.5+3.52nd half: +0.4+0.4
-11-6+0+6+111st half1st half: +8.8+8.81st half: +4.7+4.72nd half2nd half: +3.5+3.52nd half: +0.4+0.4
DrakeIllinois State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
DrakeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Georgia Southern
#201
W
29-23
29
23
+6
H30/11
NCAA
Valparaiso
#248
W
35-26
35
26
+9
A06/12
NCAA
St. Ambrose
#553
W
51-19
51
19
+32
H13/12
NCAA
Kansas State
#216
W
36-27
36
27
+9
A18/12
NCAA
Wisc. Green Bay
#366
W
40-32
40
32
+8
H21/12
NCAA
Belmont
#79
W
39-21
39
21
+18
H29/12
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#154
W
33-32
33
32
+1
A01/01
NCAA
Murray State
#214
D
26-26
26
26
+0
H05/01
NCAA
Bradley
#30
D
31-31
31
31
+0
A09/01
NCAA
Evansville
#319
W
25-20
25
20
+5
H11/01
NCAA
60.2Avg total
34.5Scored
25.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.130.067.1+7.167%-
Last 30 at home (17)38.127.665.7+10.576%-
Last 30 away (13)35.833.269.0+2.754%-
Last 10 (10)34.525.760.2+8.880%-
Last 5 (5)30.826.056.8+4.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (7)37.632.970.4+4.743%-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)36.429.465.8+7.073%-
This opponent (Illinois State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Illinois StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Belmont
#79
L
45-54
45
54
-9
A05/12
NCAA
Pacific
#336
W
33-29
33
29
+4
H08/12
NCAA
St. Louis Billikens
#140
W
43-31
43
31
+12
H15/12
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#352
W
36-28
36
28
+8
H19/12
NCAA
Cornell
#113
L
43-45
43
45
-2
A22/12
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#154
W
35-33
35
33
+2
H29/12
NCAA
Murray State
#214
W
33-25
33
25
+8
A03/01
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#270
W
44-23
44
23
+21
H05/01
NCAA
Evansville
#319
L
30-34
30
34
-4
A09/01
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#107
W
43-36
43
36
+7
H12/01
NCAA
72.3Avg total
38.5Scored
33.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.233.167.3+1.153%-
Last 30 at home (17)36.032.168.1+3.971%-
Last 30 away (13)31.934.566.4-2.531%-
Last 10 (10)38.533.872.3+4.770%-
Last 5 (5)37.030.267.2+6.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)27.434.862.2-7.420%-
vs Similar (19)35.433.668.9+1.858%-
vs Weaker (6)36.330.266.5+6.267%-
This opponent (Drake) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
9
Drake wins
1
Illinois State wins
DateGameScore
18/01/24Illinois State v Drake56-77
03/01/24Drake v Illinois State88-71
23/02/23Drake v Illinois State82-51
27/01/22Illinois State v Drake88-89 OT
13/01/22Drake v Illinois State86-75
02/02/21Drake v Illinois State95-60
31/01/21Drake v Illinois State78-76 OT
06/03/20Drake v Illinois State75-65
22/02/20Illinois State v Drake57-53
17/01/20Drake v Illinois State84-74
Drakelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/01/25HEvansville63-40
09/01/25ABradley64-57
05/01/25HMurray State59-66
01/01/25AIllinois (Chi.)70-74
29/12/24HBelmont65-46
21/12/24HWisc. Green Bay72-62
18/12/24AKansas State73-70 OT
13/12/24HSt. Ambrose90-35
06/12/24AValparaiso66-60
30/11/24HGeorgia Southern61-47
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/01/25HNorthern Iowa84-85
09/01/25AEvansville51-69
05/01/25HSouthern Illinois85-54
03/01/25AMurray State74-68
29/12/24HIllinois (Chi.)67-73
22/12/24ACornell80-77
19/12/24HNorthern Illinois81-60
15/12/24HSt. Louis Billikens81-77
08/12/24HPacific72-61
05/12/24ABelmont97-99 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Drake
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW88%
HomeWWWLW90%
AwayWWWLW83%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games16106
Win %88%90%83%
Points / game71.371.271.5
Allowed / game57.051.865.7
Point differential+14.3+19.4+5.8
Avg total128.3123.0137.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+62%80%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %6%0%17%
Illinois State
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL59%
HomeWWLWL70%
AwayLLWWL43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games17107
Win %59%70%43%
Points / game77.881.173.0
Allowed / game71.568.775.6
Point differential+6.2+12.4-2.6
Avg total149.3149.8148.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)50% (4)50% (2)
Overtime %6%0%14%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Missouri Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Drake1614288%71.357.0+14.3
2 Bradley1815383%81.167.5+13.6
3 Belmont1813572%81.278.0+3.2
4 Illinois (Chi.)1812667%80.473.8+6.7
5 Northern Iowa1811761%77.268.0+9.2
6 Illinois State1710759%77.871.5+6.2
7 Murray State1810856%75.269.1+6.2
8 Valparaiso1810856%77.972.8+5.1
9 Indiana State189950%82.880.6+2.2
10 Southern Illinois1871139%72.974.9-2.0
11 Evansville1861233%63.368.8-5.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Drake343266
Illinois State303262
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