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Drake vs Illinois State Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 03 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 88-71
47-28 41-43
Position#15
Record11-2
FormWWWWL
Points / game78.7
Allowed / game66.9
Drake 🏆
USA
vs
Position#240
Record8-5
FormWLWWL
Points / game68.6
Allowed / game67.8
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · Drake v Illinois State
29 Dec 2025
DRAK56
ILLI73
15 Jan 2025
DRAK66
ILLI62
02 Jan 2024
DRAK88
ILLI71
22 Feb 2023
DRAK82
ILLI51
12 Jan 2022
DRAK86
ILLI75
01 Feb 2021
DRAK95
ILLI60
31 Jan 2021
DRAK78
ILLI76
05 Mar 2020
DRAK75
ILLI65
16 Jan 2020
DRAK84
ILLI74
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Drake winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Illinois State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

DrakeUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Stephen F. Austin
#175
L
68-92
68
92
-24
A20/11
NCAA
Akron
#59
W
79-59
79
59
+20
H21/11
NCAA
Texas Southern
#210
W
77-71
77
71
+6
H26/11
NCAA
Valparaiso
#355
W
83-65
83
65
+18
A30/11
NCAA
Missouri State
#198
W
74-57
74
57
+17
H02/12
NCAA
St. Louis Billikens
#292
W
75-69
75
69
+6
H07/12
NCAA
Nevada
#25
W
72-53
72
53
+19
H10/12
NCAA
Grambling St.
#141
W
68-56
68
56
+12
H15/12
NCAA
Alcorn State
#268
W
92-55
92
55
+37
H20/12
NCAA
UAB
#77
L
78-79 OT
78
79
-1
A22/12
NCAA
1H
2H
32-38
36-54
35-29
44-30
43-30
34-41
37-36
46-29
36-25
38-32
25-41
50-28
28-19
44-34
35-30
33-26
41-16
51-39
37-37
35-35
142.2Avg total
76.6Scored
65.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)78.766.9145.6+11.885%
Season at home (9)78.861.9140.7+16.9100%
Season away (4)78.578.2156.8+0.250%
Last 10 (10)76.665.6142.2+11.080%
Last 5 (5)77.062.4139.4+14.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (7)75.762.1137.9+13.686%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)77.966.2144.1+11.782%
This opponent (Illinois State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Illinois StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Long Beach State
#140
W
61-52
61
52
+9
H20/11
NCAA
High Point
#29
L
72-74
72
74
-2
A21/11
NCAA
Wright State
#160
L
49-74
49
74
-25
A22/11
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#303
W
69-64
69
64
+5
A01/12
NCAA
Murray State
#296
W
76-72
76
72
+4
H03/12
NCAA
Northern Kentucky
#177
W
62-59
62
59
+3
H07/12
NCAA
Norfolk State
#72
L
58-64
58
64
-6
H10/12
NCAA
North Dakota St
#235
W
75-65
75
65
+10
H17/12
NCAA
Southeast Missouri State
#332
W
85-64
85
64
+21
H22/12
NCAA
Kentucky
#50
L
70-96
70
96
-26
A30/12
NCAA
1H
2H
32-24
29-28
30-37
42-37
21-39
28-35
30-36
39-28
35-33
41-39
30-26
32-33
22-27
36-37
28-35
47-30
42-28
43-36
30-45
40-51
136.1Avg total
67.7Scored
68.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)68.667.8136.4+0.862%
Season at home (8)70.161.6131.8+8.588%
Season away (5)66.277.6143.8-11.420%
Last 10 (10)67.768.4136.1-0.760%
Last 5 (5)70.069.6139.6+0.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)64.875.7140.5-10.913%
vs Similar (11)68.567.5136.0+0.964%
vs Weaker (3)75.359.3134.7+16.0100%
This opponent (Drake) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +4.8+4.81st half: -3.0-3.02nd half2nd half: +6.3+6.32nd half: +2.3+2.3
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +4.8+4.81st half: -3.0-3.02nd half2nd half: +6.3+6.32nd half: +2.3+2.3
DrakeIllinois State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
DrakeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Stephen F. Austin
#175
L
32-38
32
38
-6
A20/11
NCAA
Akron
#59
W
35-29
35
29
+6
H21/11
NCAA
Texas Southern
#210
W
43-30
43
30
+13
H26/11
NCAA
Valparaiso
#355
W
37-36
37
36
+1
A30/11
NCAA
Missouri State
#198
W
36-25
36
25
+11
H02/12
NCAA
St. Louis Billikens
#292
L
25-41
25
41
-16
H07/12
NCAA
Nevada
#25
W
28-19
28
19
+9
H10/12
NCAA
Grambling St.
#141
W
35-30
35
30
+5
H15/12
NCAA
Alcorn State
#268
W
41-16
41
16
+25
H20/12
NCAA
UAB
#77
D
37-37
37
37
+0
A22/12
NCAA
65.0Avg total
34.9Scored
30.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.230.068.2+8.277%-
Last 30 at home (18)37.628.165.7+9.683%-
Last 30 away (12)39.132.972.0+6.267%-
Last 10 (10)34.930.165.0+4.870%-
Last 5 (5)33.228.661.8+4.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (7)38.729.067.7+9.771%-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)38.030.268.2+7.977%-
This opponent (Illinois State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Illinois StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Long Beach State
#140
W
32-24
32
24
+8
H20/11
NCAA
High Point
#29
L
30-37
30
37
-7
A21/11
NCAA
Wright State
#160
L
21-39
21
39
-18
A22/11
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#303
L
30-36
30
36
-6
A01/12
NCAA
Murray State
#296
W
35-33
35
33
+2
H03/12
NCAA
Northern Kentucky
#177
W
30-26
30
26
+4
H07/12
NCAA
Norfolk State
#72
L
22-27
22
27
-5
H10/12
NCAA
North Dakota St
#235
L
28-35
28
35
-7
H17/12
NCAA
Southeast Missouri State
#332
W
42-28
42
28
+14
H22/12
NCAA
Kentucky
#50
L
30-45
30
45
-15
A30/12
NCAA
63.0Avg total
30.0Scored
33.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.434.966.3-3.640%-
Last 30 at home (16)31.231.562.8-0.256%-
Last 30 away (14)31.538.970.4-7.421%-
Last 10 (10)30.033.063.0-3.040%-
Last 5 (5)30.432.262.6-1.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)29.538.167.6-8.520%-
vs Similar (11)32.132.864.9-0.745%-
vs Weaker (3)35.729.064.7+6.7100%-
This opponent (Drake) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Drake wins
1
Illinois State wins
DateGameScore
23/02/23Drake v Illinois State82-51
27/01/22Illinois State v Drake88-89 OT
13/01/22Drake v Illinois State86-75
02/02/21Drake v Illinois State95-60
31/01/21Drake v Illinois State78-76 OT
06/03/20Drake v Illinois State75-65
22/02/20Illinois State v Drake57-53
17/01/20Drake v Illinois State84-74
Drakelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/12/23AUAB78-79 OT
20/12/23HAlcorn State92-55
15/12/23HGrambling St.68-56
10/12/23HNevada72-53
07/12/23HSt. Louis Billikens75-69
02/12/23HMissouri State74-57
30/11/23AValparaiso83-65
26/11/23HTexas Southern77-71
21/11/23HAkron79-59
20/11/23AStephen F. Austin68-92
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/12/23AKentucky70-96
22/12/23HSoutheast Missouri State85-64
17/12/23HNorth Dakota St75-65
10/12/23HNorfolk State58-64
07/12/23HNorthern Kentucky62-59
03/12/23HMurray State76-72
01/12/23AIllinois (Chi.)69-64
22/11/23AWright State49-74
21/11/23AHigh Point72-74
20/11/23HLong Beach State61-52

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Drake
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL85%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWLWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1394
Win %85%100%50%
Points / game78.778.878.5
Allowed / game66.961.978.2
Point differential+11.8+16.9+0.2
Avg total145.6140.7156.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+62%78%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %8%0%25%
Illinois State
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL62%
HomeWWLWW88%
AwayLLLWL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1385
Win %62%88%20%
Points / game68.670.166.2
Allowed / game67.861.677.6
Point differential+0.8+8.5-11.4
Avg total136.4131.8143.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%38%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)100% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Missouri Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Indiana State1311285%87.272.1+15.1
2 Drake1311285%78.766.9+11.8
3 Evansville1310377%80.670.9+9.7
4 Southern Illinois1410471%75.363.4+11.9
5 Belmont149564%79.878.7+1.1
6 Bradley138562%71.868.7+3.2
7 Illinois State138562%68.667.8+0.8
8 Illinois (Chi.)147750%71.164.4+6.7
9 Northern Iowa136746%77.873.8+4.0
10 Murray State145936%72.572.3+0.2
11 Valparaiso134931%67.671.1-3.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Drake474188
Illinois State284371
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