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Dubai vs Zalgiris Kaunas Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 14 Nov 2025
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 95-89
24-34 21-14 28-16 22-25
Position#11
Record4-6
FormLWLWW
Points / game85.4
Allowed / game86.4
Dubai 🏆
vs
Position#5
Record7-3
FormWWWWL
Points / game86.2
Allowed / game78.1
EuropeEuroleagueRound 11· Coca-Cola Arena
European cup2025
Meetings · Dubai v Zalgiris Kaunas
07 Apr 2027
DUB v ZAL
upcoming
14 Nov 2025
DUB95
ZAL89
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Dubai winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Zalgiris Kaunas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

DubaiLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormDubai
Date
Competition
Barcelona
#8
W
83-78
83
78
+5
81avg 83
H16/10
Euroleague
Cluj-Napoca
#7
W
81-77
81
77
+4
72avg 83
H19/10
ABA League
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#20
L
79-85
79
85
-6
80avg 83
A23/10
Euroleague
KK Krka Novo mesto
#12
W
83-79
83
79
+4
71avg 83
A26/10
ABA League
Baskonia
#18
L
85-92
85
92
-7
73avg 83
A28/10
Euroleague
Valencia
#3
L
78-80
78
80
-2
68avg 83
A30/10
Euroleague
Partizan
#2
W
82-70
82
70
+12
79avg 83
H03/11
ABA League
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#6
L
97-109
97
109
-12
88avg 83
H06/11
Euroleague
Studentski Centar
#16
W
77-69
77
69
+8
68avg 83
H09/11
ABA League
Crvena zvezda
#9
W
102-86
102
86
+16
100avg 83
H11/11
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-15
9-19
25-22
25-22
28-22
13-12
18-21
22-22
24-21
20-23
24-15
11-26
24-16
15-21
20-22
24-20
20-26
22-15
18-23
25-28
20-23
21-15
23-22
14-20
18-19
23-24
25-12
16-15
26-25
22-22
19-35
30-27
21-16
16-16
18-18
22-19
29-21
22-26
18-18
33-21
167.2Avg total
84.7Scored
82.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)85.486.4171.8-1.040%
Season at home (4)92.887.2180.0+5.575%
Season away (6)80.585.8166.3-5.317%
Last 10 (10)84.782.5167.2+2.260%
Last 5 (5)87.282.8170.0+4.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)84.099.2183.2-15.225%
vs Similar ◀ (12)88.286.0174.2+2.258%
vs Weaker (14)84.774.4159.1+10.479%
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Zalgiris KaunasLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKaunas
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#13
L
78-89
78
89
-11
69avg 82
H16/10
Euroleague
Lietkabelis
#6
L
85-87
85
87
-2
78avg 82
H19/10
LKL
Barcelona
#8
W
88-73
88
73
+15
81avg 82
A23/10
Euroleague
Gargzdai
#5
W
89-73
89
73
+16
87avg 82
A26/10
LKL
Virtus Bologna
#17
W
86-65
86
65
+21
86avg 82
H28/10
Euroleague
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#20
W
96-59
96
59
+37
106avg 82
H30/10
Euroleague
Rytas
#2
W
79-75
79
75
+4
70avg 82
H02/11
LKL
Valencia
#3
W
86-77
86
77
+9
80avg 82
H07/11
Euroleague
Nevezis
#9
W
94-68
94
68
+26
97avg 82
A09/11
LKL
Olympiacos
#1
L
78-95
78
95
-17
62avg 82
A12/11
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-13
21-26
19-24
17-26
14-23
34-19
13-25
24-20
26-14
26-25
23-15
13-19
24-16
21-17
16-20
28-20
25-11
17-22
16-17
28-15
26-15
22-20
25-9
23-15
15-21
27-17
22-14
15-23
18-17
20-18
23-23
25-19
21-19
24-12
25-25
24-12
14-28
22-22
17-24
25-21
162.0Avg total
85.9Scored
76.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)86.278.1164.3+8.170%
Season at home (5)86.074.2160.2+11.880%
Season away (5)86.482.0168.4+4.460%
Last 10 (10)85.976.1162.0+9.870%
Last 5 (5)86.674.8161.4+11.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)78.095.0173.0-17.00%
vs Similar ◀ (5)85.280.6165.8+4.680%
vs Weaker (24)87.174.7161.8+12.483%
This opponent (Dubai) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +3.0+3.0Q1: +2.7+2.7Q2Q2: -1.0-1.0Q2: +3.6+3.6Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +0.3+0.3Q4Q4: +0.2+0.2Q4: +3.2+3.2
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +3.0+3.0Q1: +2.7+2.7Q2Q2: -1.0-1.0Q2: +3.6+3.6Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +0.3+0.3Q4Q4: +0.2+0.2Q4: +3.2+3.2
DubaiZalgiris Kaunas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
DubaiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Barcelona
#8
L
33-34
33
34
-1
H16/10
Euroleague
Cluj-Napoca
#7
W
41-34
41
34
+7
H19/10
ABA League
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#20
D
44-44
44
44
+0
A23/10
Euroleague
KK Krka Novo mesto
#12
W
39-37
39
37
+2
A26/10
ABA League
Baskonia
#18
W
42-41
42
41
+1
A28/10
Euroleague
Valencia
#3
W
41-38
41
38
+3
A30/10
Euroleague
Partizan
#2
L
41-43
41
43
-2
H03/11
ABA League
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#6
W
48-47
48
47
+1
H06/11
Euroleague
Studentski Centar
#16
W
37-32
37
32
+5
H09/11
ABA League
Crvena zvezda
#9
W
51-47
51
47
+4
H11/11
Euroleague
81.4Avg total
41.7Scored
39.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.040.184.0+3.970%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.738.682.2+5.169%-
Last 30 away (14)44.341.886.1+2.571%-
Last 10 (10)41.739.781.4+2.070%-
Last 5 (5)43.641.485.0+2.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)41.848.890.5-7.050%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)45.042.187.1+2.958%-
vs Weaker (14)43.735.979.6+7.986%-
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Zalgiris KaunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#13
W
42-39
42
39
+3
H16/10
Euroleague
Lietkabelis
#6
W
48-42
48
42
+6
H19/10
LKL
Barcelona
#8
W
52-39
52
39
+13
A23/10
Euroleague
Gargzdai
#5
W
45-33
45
33
+12
A26/10
LKL
Virtus Bologna
#17
W
42-33
42
33
+9
H28/10
Euroleague
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#20
W
48-35
48
35
+13
H30/10
Euroleague
Rytas
#2
W
42-38
42
38
+4
H02/11
LKL
Valencia
#3
W
38-35
38
35
+3
H07/11
Euroleague
Nevezis
#9
W
45-31
45
31
+14
A09/11
LKL
Olympiacos
#1
L
36-50
36
50
-14
A12/11
Euroleague
81.3Avg total
43.8Scored
37.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.536.479.0+6.177%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.935.677.5+6.481%-
Last 30 away (14)43.237.480.6+5.871%-
Last 10 (10)43.837.581.3+6.390%-
Last 5 (5)41.837.879.6+4.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)36.050.086.0-14.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (5)43.438.281.6+5.280%-
vs Weaker (24)42.635.578.1+7.179%-
This opponent (Dubai) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Dubaitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Dubai: 83.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀24%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.8 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.9 pts a game · 24% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.0 points a game
48%
38%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.620.5
53.1%
60.4%41.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.77.6
30.8%
35.9%22.8
🏀 Free throws25.319.9
78.7%
78.2%19.9
They take 63.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 47%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Zalgiris Kaunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zalgiris Kaunas: 85.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.2 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.3 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.0 points a game
48%
38%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.321.6
57.9%
60.4%43.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.99.6
34.4%
35.9%28.8
🏀 Free throws18.513.3
71.9%
78.2%13.3
They take 65.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 47%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 14 Nov 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Dubai
WWLWLLWLWW
Zalgiris Kaunas
LWWWWWWWLL
#11
League position
#5
+2.7
Net rating
+14.5
113.6
Offensive rating
118.9
110.9
Defensive rating
104.4
50.4%
Effective FG%
55.2%
52.8%
Opp. effective FG%
49.1%
13.9%
Turnover %
17.6%
31.6%
Off. rebound %
38.6%
0.40
Free-throw rate
0.28
30.8%
3-point %
34.4%
62.3%
Assist %
64.4%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence113.6 · 118.9Defence110.9 · 104.4Shooting50.4% · 55.2%3-point %30.8% · 34.4%Ball care13.9% · 17.6%Off. rebounds31.6% · 38.6%Free throws0.40 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)60% · 70%
■ Dubai   ■ Zalgiris Kaunas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Dubai wins
0
Zalgiris Kaunas wins
No previous meetings.
Dubailast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/25HCrvena zvezda102-86
09/11/25HStudentski Centar77-69
06/11/25HHapoel Tel-Aviv97-109
03/11/25HPartizan82-70
30/10/25AValencia78-80
28/10/25ABaskonia85-92
26/10/25AKK Krka Novo mesto83-79
23/10/25ALyon-Villeurbanne79-85
19/10/25HCluj-Napoca81-77
16/10/25HBarcelona83-78
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/25AOlympiacos78-95
09/11/25ANevezis94-68
07/11/25HValencia86-77
02/11/25HRytas79-75
30/10/25HLyon-Villeurbanne96-59
28/10/25HVirtus Bologna86-65
26/10/25AGargzdai89-73
23/10/25ABarcelona88-73
19/10/25HLietkabelis85-87
16/10/25HOlimpia Milano78-89

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Dubai
Euroleague 2025
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW40%
HomeWWLW75%
AwayLWLLL17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1046
Win %40%75%17%
Points / game85.492.880.5
Allowed / game86.487.285.8
Point differential-1.0+5.5-5.3
Avg total171.8180.0166.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%50%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Zalgiris Kaunas
Euroleague 2025
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL70%
HomeWLWWW80%
AwayWWLWL60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %70%80%60%
Points / game86.286.086.4
Allowed / game78.174.282.0
Point differential+8.1+11.8+4.4
Avg total164.3160.2168.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%40%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Hapoel Tel-Aviv118373%90.985.0+5.9
2 Crvena zvezda118373%87.782.0+5.7
3 Zalgiris Kaunas107370%86.278.1+8.1
4 Olympiacos107370%85.879.8+6.0
5 Panathinaikos117464%88.187.2+0.9
6 Barcelona106460%86.086.6-0.6
7 Monaco116555%87.385.6+1.6
8 Valencia116555%90.188.9+1.2
9 Fenerbahce116555%79.179.1+0.0
10 Olimpia Milano105550%82.680.5+2.1
11 Virtus Bologna105550%81.684.0-2.4
12 Bayern105550%79.082.1-3.1
13 Real Madrid115645%83.982.5+1.5
14 Paris115645%89.688.8+0.8
15 Dubai104640%85.486.4-1.0
16 Partizan104640%81.885.8-4.0
17 Anadolu Efes103730%83.287.2-4.0
18 Maccabi Tel Aviv113827%89.193.7-4.6
19 Baskonia113827%86.492.3-5.9
20 Lyon-Villeurbanne102820%76.785.6-8.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Dubai2421282295
Zalgiris Kaunas3414162589
← all games of the day
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