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Gargzdai vs Zalgiris Kaunas Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 26 Oct 2025
Tip-off: 14:50
Final 73-89
16-24 17-21 20-16 20-28
Position#5
Record2-3
FormWWLLW
Points / game85.2
Allowed / game88.2
Gargzdai
Lithuania
vs
Zalgiris Kaunas 🏆
Lithuania
Position#1
Record4-1
FormWLLLW
Points / game89.4
Allowed / game75.2
LithuaniaLKL· Klaipedos aps. VPK sporto sale
Domestic2025-26
Meetings · Gargzdai v Zalgiris Kaunas
11 Apr 2027
GAR v ZAL
upcoming
17 Sep 2026
GAR77
ZAL98
15 Feb 2026
GAR63
ZAL69
26 Oct 2025
GAR73
ZAL89
17 Sep 2023
GAR55
ZAL107
21 Dec 2022
GAR71
ZAL89
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Gargzdai winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Zalgiris Kaunas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

GargzdaiLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGargzdai
Date
Competition
Mazeikiai
#7
L
82-93
82
93
-11
no box
H08/01
LKL
Neptunas
#6
L
81-100
81
100
-19
no box
A14/01
LKL
Siauliai
#4
L
85-93
85
93
-8
71avg 75
H21/09
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
73-99
73
99
-26
49avg 75
A24/09
LKL
Juventus
#4
L
68-72
68
72
-4
60avg 75
H01/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Jonava
#8
W
103-73
103
73
+30
91avg 75
H04/10
LKL
Nevezis
#5
W
94-72
94
72
+22
94avg 75
A08/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Neptunas
#3
L
74-102
74
102
-28
68avg 75
A11/10
LKL
Siauliai
#7
L
83-89
83
89
-6
78avg 75
A15/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Juventus
#7
W
91-74
91
74
+17
88avg 75
H18/10
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-15
21-30
24-24
19-24
28-17
12-30
22-29
19-24
21-23
22-18
23-24
19-28
19-29
16-31
21-14
17-25
24-12
18-18
15-22
11-20
32-8
27-21
21-23
23-21
32-23
24-16
17-10
21-23
18-28
18-19
16-29
22-26
24-26
17-30
23-17
19-16
29-14
20-20
21-24
21-16
170.1Avg total
83.4Scored
86.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)85.288.2173.4-3.040%
Season at home (3)93.080.0173.0+13.067%
Season away (2)73.5100.5174.0-27.00%
Last 10 (10)83.486.7170.1-3.330%
Last 5 (5)89.082.0171.0+7.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)77.692.4170.0-14.814%
vs Similar (7)86.782.0168.7+4.757%
vs Weaker (1)103.073.0176.0+30.0100%
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Zalgiris KaunasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKaunas
Date
Competition
Siauliai
#4
W
93-72
93
72
+21
93avg 81
H24/09
LKL
Neptunas
#3
W
84-71
84
71
+13
85avg 81
A27/09
LKL
Monaco
#10
W
89-84
89
84
+5
82avg 81
A01/10
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#4
W
84-81
84
81
+3
77avg 81
H03/10
Euroleague
Juventus
#7
W
98-68
98
68
+30
102avg 81
H05/10
LKL
Bayern
#14
W
98-70
98
70
+28
96avg 81
A10/10
Euroleague
Crvena zvezda
#9
L
79-88
79
88
-9
70avg 81
A14/10
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#13
L
78-89
78
89
-11
69avg 81
H16/10
Euroleague
Lietkabelis
#6
L
85-87
85
87
-2
78avg 81
H19/10
LKL
Barcelona
#8
W
88-73
88
73
+15
81avg 81
A23/10
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-20
27-9
20-25
23-18
23-16
20-17
20-17
21-21
27-20
18-15
22-25
22-24
29-20
14-17
22-16
19-28
32-19
20-12
25-18
21-19
26-20
19-13
23-24
30-13
27-23
12-22
19-12
21-31
21-13
21-26
19-24
17-26
14-23
34-19
13-25
24-20
26-14
26-25
23-15
13-19
165.9Avg total
87.6Scored
78.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)89.475.2164.6+14.280%
Season at home (3)92.075.7167.7+16.367%
Season away (2)85.574.5160.0+11.0100%
Last 10 (10)87.678.3165.9+9.370%
Last 5 (5)85.681.4167.0+4.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (4)85.081.5166.5+3.575%
vs Weaker ◀ (26)88.875.3164.1+13.485%
This opponent (Gargzdai) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +5.0+5.0Q1: +6.0+6.0Q2Q2: -3.8-3.8Q2: +3.6+3.6Q3Q3: -1.3-1.3Q3: +0.5+0.5Q4Q4: -3.2-3.2Q4: -0.8-0.8
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +5.0+5.0Q1: +6.0+6.0Q2Q2: -3.8-3.8Q2: +3.6+3.6Q3Q3: -1.3-1.3Q3: +0.5+0.5Q4Q4: -3.2-3.2Q4: -0.8-0.8
GargzdaiZalgiris Kaunas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
GargzdaiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mazeikiai
#7
L
39-45
39
45
-6
H08/01
LKL
Neptunas
#6
L
40-47
40
47
-7
A14/01
LKL
Siauliai
#4
W
43-41
43
41
+2
H21/09
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
35-60
35
60
-25
A24/09
LKL
Juventus
#4
W
42-30
42
30
+12
H01/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Jonava
#8
W
59-29
59
29
+30
H04/10
LKL
Nevezis
#5
W
56-39
56
39
+17
A08/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Neptunas
#3
L
36-47
36
47
-11
A11/10
LKL
Siauliai
#7
L
41-56
41
56
-15
A15/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Juventus
#7
W
49-34
49
34
+15
H18/10
LKL
86.8Avg total
44.0Scored
42.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.044.686.5-2.637%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.342.486.6+1.957%-
Last 30 away (16)39.946.586.4-6.619%-
Last 10 (10)44.042.886.8+1.250%-
Last 5 (5)48.241.089.2+7.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)39.846.185.9-6.323%-
vs Similar (7)46.342.088.3+4.371%-
vs Weaker (1)59.029.088.0+30.0100%-
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Zalgiris KaunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Siauliai
#4
W
50-29
50
29
+21
H24/09
LKL
Neptunas
#3
W
43-33
43
33
+10
A27/09
LKL
Monaco
#10
W
45-35
45
35
+10
A01/10
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#4
W
43-37
43
37
+6
H03/10
Euroleague
Juventus
#7
W
52-31
52
31
+21
H05/10
LKL
Bayern
#14
W
45-33
45
33
+12
A10/10
Euroleague
Crvena zvezda
#9
L
39-45
39
45
-6
A14/10
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#13
W
42-39
42
39
+3
H16/10
Euroleague
Lietkabelis
#6
W
48-42
48
42
+6
H19/10
LKL
Barcelona
#8
W
52-39
52
39
+13
A23/10
Euroleague
82.2Avg total
45.9Scored
36.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.736.079.7+7.877%-
Last 30 at home (16)44.134.678.8+9.581%-
Last 30 away (14)43.337.580.8+5.871%-
Last 10 (10)45.936.382.2+9.690%-
Last 5 (5)45.239.684.8+5.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (4)44.839.083.8+5.875%-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)43.635.579.1+8.177%-
This opponent (Gargzdai) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Gargzdaitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Gargzdai: 82.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.6 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.3 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.6 points a game
50%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.322.3
54.0%
55.4%44.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.27.9
32.6%
35.5%23.7
🏀 Free throws22.514.3
63.6%
74.3%14.3
They take 65.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Zalgiris Kaunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zalgiris Kaunas: 87.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.6 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.2 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.5 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.6 points a game
50%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.920.8
57.9%
55.4%41.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.810.4
38.8%
35.5%31.2
🏀 Free throws19.214.5
75.5%
74.3%14.5
They take 62.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 26 Oct 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Gargzdai
WLLWWLLLLL
Zalgiris Kaunas
WLLLWWWWWW
#5
League position
#1
-4.2
Net rating
+13.9
111.7
Offensive rating
121.0
115.9
Defensive rating
107.2
52.1%
Effective FG%
58.1%
52.8%
Opp. effective FG%
50.2%
14.8%
Turnover %
17.0%
31.7%
Off. rebound %
32.6%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.31
32.6%
3-point %
38.8%
58.3%
Assist %
64.7%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence111.7 · 121.0Defence115.9 · 107.2Shooting52.1% · 58.1%3-point %32.6% · 38.8%Ball care14.8% · 17.0%Off. rebounds31.7% · 32.6%Free throws0.34 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)30% · 70%
■ Gargzdai   ■ Zalgiris Kaunas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Gargzdai wins
4
Zalgiris Kaunas wins
DateGameScore
17/09/23Gargzdai v Zalgiris Kaunas55-107
26/03/23Zalgiris Kaunas v Gargzdai96-70
21/12/22Gargzdai v Zalgiris Kaunas71-89
16/10/22Zalgiris Kaunas v Gargzdai86-74
Gargzdailast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/10/25HJuventus91-74
15/10/25ASiauliai83-89
11/10/25ANeptunas74-102
08/10/25ANevezis94-72
04/10/25HJonava103-73
01/10/25HJuventus68-72
24/09/25ARytas73-99
21/09/25HSiauliai85-93
14/01/24ANeptunas81-100
08/01/24HMazeikiai82-93
Zalgiris Kaunaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/10/25ABarcelona88-73
19/10/25HLietkabelis85-87
16/10/25HOlimpia Milano78-89
14/10/25ACrvena zvezda79-88
10/10/25ABayern98-70
05/10/25HJuventus98-68
03/10/25HFenerbahce84-81
01/10/25AMonaco89-84
27/09/25ANeptunas84-71
24/09/25HSiauliai93-72

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Gargzdai
LKL 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW40%
HomeLWW67%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %40%67%0%
Points / game85.293.073.5
Allowed / game88.280.0100.5
Point differential-3.0+13.0-27.0
Avg total173.4173.0174.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%67%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Zalgiris Kaunas
LKL 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL80%
HomeWWL67%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %80%67%100%
Points / game89.492.085.5
Allowed / game75.275.774.5
Point differential+14.2+16.3+11.0
Avg total164.6167.7160.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+60%67%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Rytas65183%91.380.5+10.8
2 Zalgiris Kaunas54180%89.475.2+14.2
3 Neptunas53260%90.884.8+6.0
4 Lietkabelis74357%87.783.4+4.3
5 Siauliai73443%84.389.0-4.7
6 Gargzdai52340%85.288.2-3.0
7 Nevezis62433%84.089.5-5.5
8 Juventus62433%79.886.2-6.3
9 Jonava51420%77.893.2-15.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Gargzdai1617202073
Zalgiris Kaunas2421162889
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