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Zalgiris Kaunas vs Lietkabelis Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 19 Oct 2025
Tip-off: 13:50
Final 85-87
14-23 34-19 13-25 24-20
Position#1
Record4-0
FormWWWLL
Points / game90.5
Allowed / game72.2
vs
Position#6
Record3-2
FormWLLWL
Points / game90.8
Allowed / game83.4
LithuaniaLKL· Zalgirio Arena
Domestic2025-26
Meetings · Zalgiris Kaunas v Lietkabelis
12 May 2027
ZAL v LIE
upcoming
04 Oct 2026
ZAL97
LIE68
31 May 2026
ZAL103
LIE93
26 May 2026
ZAL85
LIE75
10 May 2026
ZAL87
LIE70
19 Oct 2025
ZAL85
LIE87
06 Apr 2025
ZAL83
LIE79
15 Feb 2025
ZAL79
LIE56
20 Oct 2024
ZAL73
LIE66
26 May 2024
ZAL88
LIE79
21 May 2024
ZAL93
LIE72
18 Feb 2024
ZAL86
LIE70
29 Oct 2023
ZAL69
LIE63
26 May 2023
ZAL66
LIE67
22 May 2023
ZAL69
LIE58
18 Dec 2022
ZAL85
LIE77
19 May 2022
ZAL69
LIE73
14 May 2022
ZAL71
LIE70
20 Feb 2022
ZAL91
LIE66
05 Dec 2021
ZAL84
LIE70
05 May 2021
ZAL70
LIE68
14 Feb 2021
ZAL76
LIE69
27 Sep 2020
ZAL61
LIE72
29 Mar 2020
ZAL v LIE
upcoming
06 Oct 2019
ZAL96
LIE69
21 May 2019
ZAL v LIE
upcoming
31 Mar 2019
ZAL85
LIE63
28 Oct 2018
ZAL71
LIE58
03 Jun 2018
ZAL83
LIE64
29 May 2018
ZAL93
LIE69
25 Mar 2018
ZAL85
LIE72
17 Feb 2018
ZAL88
LIE74
29 Oct 2017
ZAL92
LIE90
09 Jun 2017
ZAL73
LIE68
03 Jun 2017
ZAL97
LIE58
28 May 2017
ZAL73
LIE67
17 Apr 2017
ZAL84
LIE62
08 Jan 2017
ZAL76
LIE65
15 Feb 2016
ZAL92
LIE59
02 Jan 2016
ZAL84
LIE58
05 May 2015
ZAL99
LIE60
29 Apr 2015
ZAL91
LIE69
23 Mar 2015
ZAL102
LIE72
10 Nov 2014
ZAL91
LIE83
25 Nov 2013
ZAL101
LIE60
04 Mar 2012
ZAL93
LIE71
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Zalgiris Kaunas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Lietkabelis winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Zalgiris KaunasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKaunas
Date
Competition
Rytas
#2
W
76-69
76
69
+7
71avg 81
H21/06
LKL
Jonava
#8
W
87-78
87
78
+9
88avg 81
A20/09
LKL
Siauliai
#4
W
93-72
93
72
+21
93avg 81
H24/09
LKL
Neptunas
#3
W
84-71
84
71
+13
85avg 81
A27/09
LKL
Monaco
#10
W
89-84
89
84
+5
82avg 81
A01/10
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#4
W
84-81
84
81
+3
77avg 81
H03/10
Euroleague
Juventus
#7
W
98-68
98
68
+30
102avg 81
H05/10
LKL
Bayern
#14
W
98-70
98
70
+28
96avg 81
A10/10
Euroleague
Crvena zvezda
#9
L
79-88
79
88
-9
70avg 81
A14/10
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#13
L
78-89
78
89
-11
69avg 81
H16/10
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-15
14-15
21-25
26-14
22-14
19-11
21-25
25-28
23-20
27-9
20-25
23-18
23-16
20-17
20-17
21-21
27-20
18-15
22-25
22-24
29-20
14-17
22-16
19-28
32-19
20-12
25-18
21-19
26-20
19-13
23-24
30-13
27-23
12-22
19-12
21-31
21-13
21-26
19-24
17-26
163.6Avg total
86.6Scored
77.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)90.572.2162.8+18.2100%
Season at home (2)95.570.0165.5+25.5100%
Season away (2)85.574.5160.0+11.0100%
Last 10 (10)86.677.0163.6+9.680%
Last 5 (5)87.479.2166.6+8.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (3)84.084.3168.3-0.367%
vs Weaker ◀ (27)89.074.0162.9+15.089%
This opponent (Lietkabelis) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LietkabelisLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLietkabelis
Date
Competition
Jonava
#5
W
92-78
92
78
+14
90avg 79
H16/06
LKL
Jonava
#5
W
81-73
81
73
+8
76avg 79
A18/06
LKL
Neptunas
#3
L
84-96
84
96
-12
80avg 79
H20/09
LKL
Jonava
#8
W
101-74
101
74
+27
105avg 79
H23/09
LKL
Nevezis
#9
W
100-76
100
76
+24
111avg 79
H28/09
LKL
Besiktas
#2
W
85-79
85
79
+6
84avg 79
H01/10
Eurocup
Siauliai
#4
L
80-87
80
87
-7
69avg 79
A05/10
LKL
Chemnitz
#12
L
67-86
67
86
-19
51avg 79
A08/10
Eurocup
Rytas
#2
W
89-84
89
84
+5
86avg 79
H11/10
LKL
Ulm
#15
L
94-98
94
98
-4
92avg 79
H15/10
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-18
23-25
24-13
29-22
15-22
16-15
31-19
19-17
21-26
18-18
22-29
23-23
21-13
31-17
21-21
28-23
27-13
30-13
21-28
22-22
22-19
13-24
20-14
30-22
16-19
26-22
22-24
16-22
17-28
12-25
17-18
21-15
23-21
22-20
24-21
20-22
17-28
25-33
29-19
23-18
170.4Avg total
87.3Scored
83.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)90.883.4174.2+7.460%
Season at home (4)93.582.5176.0+11.075%
Season away (1)80.087.0167.0-7.00%
Last 10 (10)87.383.1170.4+4.260%
Last 5 (5)83.086.8169.8-3.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)79.084.3163.3-5.340%
vs Similar (6)83.890.8174.7-7.017%
vs Weaker (14)91.278.7169.9+12.593%
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +6.5+6.5Q1: -1.2-1.2Q2Q2: +2.7+2.7Q2: +0.4+0.4Q3Q3: +0.1+0.1Q3: +2.5+2.5Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: +2.5+2.5
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +6.5+6.5Q1: -1.2-1.2Q2Q2: +2.7+2.7Q2: +0.4+0.4Q3Q3: +0.1+0.1Q3: +2.5+2.5Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: +2.5+2.5
Zalgiris KaunasLietkabelis
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Zalgiris KaunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rytas
#2
L
29-30
29
30
-1
H21/06
LKL
Jonava
#8
W
41-25
41
25
+16
A20/09
LKL
Siauliai
#4
W
50-29
50
29
+21
H24/09
LKL
Neptunas
#3
W
43-33
43
33
+10
A27/09
LKL
Monaco
#10
W
45-35
45
35
+10
A01/10
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#4
W
43-37
43
37
+6
H03/10
Euroleague
Juventus
#7
W
52-31
52
31
+21
H05/10
LKL
Bayern
#14
W
45-33
45
33
+12
A10/10
Euroleague
Crvena zvezda
#9
L
39-45
39
45
-6
A14/10
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#13
W
42-39
42
39
+3
H16/10
Euroleague
76.6Avg total
42.9Scored
33.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.035.578.6+7.573%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.833.877.5+10.081%-
Last 30 away (14)42.237.679.8+4.664%-
Last 10 (10)42.933.776.6+9.280%-
Last 5 (5)44.237.081.2+7.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (3)42.339.081.3+3.367%-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)43.135.178.3+8.074%-
This opponent (Lietkabelis) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LietkabelisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jonava
#5
L
39-43
39
43
-4
H16/06
LKL
Jonava
#5
L
31-37
31
37
-6
A18/06
LKL
Neptunas
#3
L
39-44
39
44
-5
H20/09
LKL
Jonava
#8
W
52-30
52
30
+22
H23/09
LKL
Nevezis
#9
W
57-26
57
26
+31
H28/09
LKL
Besiktas
#2
L
35-43
35
43
-8
H01/10
Eurocup
Siauliai
#4
W
42-41
42
41
+1
A05/10
LKL
Chemnitz
#12
L
29-53
29
53
-24
A08/10
Eurocup
Rytas
#2
W
45-41
45
41
+4
H11/10
LKL
Ulm
#15
L
42-61
42
61
-19
H15/10
Eurocup
83.0Avg total
41.1Scored
41.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.142.384.4-0.343%-
Last 30 at home (17)43.439.883.2+3.553%-
Last 30 away (13)40.445.686.0-5.231%-
Last 10 (10)41.141.983.0-0.840%-
Last 5 (5)38.647.886.4-9.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)37.743.581.2-5.830%-
vs Similar (6)42.046.388.3-4.333%-
vs Weaker (14)45.239.885.0+5.457%-
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Zalgiris Kaunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zalgiris Kaunas: 86.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.7 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.6 points a game
50%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.921.5
56.7%
55.4%43.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.89.2
37.1%
35.5%27.6
🏀 Free throws20.715.7
75.8%
74.3%15.7
They take 62.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Lietkabelistheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lietkabelis: 86.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.2 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.5 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.6 points a game
50%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.521.6
56.1%
55.4%43.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.09.0
37.5%
35.5%27.0
🏀 Free throws20.816.5
79.3%
74.3%16.5
They take 62.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 19 Oct 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Zalgiris Kaunas
LLWWWWWWWW
Lietkabelis
LWLLWWWLWW
#1
League position
#6
+14.4
Net rating
+6.3
120.4
Offensive rating
114.5
106.1
Defensive rating
108.2
56.3%
Effective FG%
56.2%
49.1%
Opp. effective FG%
54.2%
16.0%
Turnover %
18.8%
33.5%
Off. rebound %
29.5%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.33
37.1%
3-point %
37.5%
67.1%
Assist %
69.0%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence120.4 · 114.5Defence106.1 · 108.2Shooting56.3% · 56.2%3-point %37.1% · 37.5%Ball care16.0% · 18.8%Off. rebounds33.5% · 29.5%Free throws0.33 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)80% · 60%
■ Zalgiris Kaunas   ■ Lietkabelis
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
10
Zalgiris Kaunas wins
0
Lietkabelis wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/10/25HOlimpia Milano78-89
14/10/25ACrvena zvezda79-88
10/10/25ABayern98-70
05/10/25HJuventus98-68
03/10/25HFenerbahce84-81
01/10/25AMonaco89-84
27/09/25ANeptunas84-71
24/09/25HSiauliai93-72
20/09/25AJonava87-78
21/06/25HRytas76-69
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/10/25HUlm94-98
11/10/25HRytas89-84
08/10/25AChemnitz67-86
05/10/25ASiauliai80-87
01/10/25HBesiktas85-79
28/09/25HNevezis100-76
23/09/25HJonava101-74
20/09/25HNeptunas84-96
18/06/25AJonava81-73
16/06/25HJonava92-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Zalgiris Kaunas
LKL 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWW100%
HomeWW100%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game90.595.585.5
Allowed / game72.270.074.5
Point differential+18.2+25.5+11.0
Avg total162.8165.5160.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+75%100%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Lietkabelis
LKL 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW60%
HomeLWWW75%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games541
Win %60%75%0%
Points / game90.893.580.0
Allowed / game83.482.587.0
Point differential+7.4+11.0-7.0
Avg total174.2176.0167.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zalgiris Kaunas440100%90.572.2+18.2
2 Rytas54180%90.880.8+10.0
3 Lietkabelis53260%90.883.4+7.4
4 Neptunas53260%90.884.8+6.0
5 Siauliai53260%83.684.4-0.8
6 Gargzdai52340%85.288.2-3.0
7 Juventus51420%79.488.8-9.4
8 Nevezis51420%79.488.8-9.4
9 Jonava51420%77.893.2-15.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Zalgiris Kaunas1434132485
Lietkabelis2319252087
← all games of the day
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