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Zalgiris Kaunas vs Valencia Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 07 Nov 2025
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 86-77
18-17 20-18 23-23 25-19
Position#5
Record6-2
FormWWWWW
Points / game87.2
Allowed / game76.1
vs
Position#3
Record5-3
FormWWWWW
Points / game92.4
Allowed / game90.8
EuropeEuroleagueRound 9· Zalgirio Arena
European cup2025
Meetings · Zalgiris Kaunas v Valencia
23 Dec 2026
ZAL v VAL
upcoming
07 Nov 2025
ZAL86
VAL77
27 Oct 2023
ZAL72
VAL87
31 Mar 2023
ZAL95
VAL74
22 Oct 2020
ZAL82
VAL94
18 Jan 2018
ZAL86
VAL82
24 Feb 2011
ZAL74
VAL80
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Zalgiris Kaunas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Valencia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Zalgiris KaunasLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKaunas
Date
Competition
Juventus
#7
W
98-68
98
68
+30
102avg 82
H05/10
LKL
Bayern
#14
W
98-70
98
70
+28
96avg 82
A10/10
Euroleague
Crvena zvezda
#9
L
79-88
79
88
-9
70avg 82
A14/10
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#13
L
78-89
78
89
-11
69avg 82
H16/10
Euroleague
Lietkabelis
#6
L
85-87
85
87
-2
78avg 82
H19/10
LKL
Barcelona
#8
W
88-73
88
73
+15
81avg 82
A23/10
Euroleague
Gargzdai
#5
W
89-73
89
73
+16
87avg 82
A26/10
LKL
Virtus Bologna
#17
W
86-65
86
65
+21
86avg 82
H28/10
Euroleague
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#20
W
96-59
96
59
+37
106avg 82
H30/10
Euroleague
Rytas
#2
W
79-75
79
75
+4
70avg 82
H02/11
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
32-19
20-12
25-18
21-19
26-20
19-13
23-24
30-13
27-23
12-22
19-12
21-31
21-13
21-26
19-24
17-26
14-23
34-19
13-25
24-20
26-14
26-25
23-15
13-19
24-16
21-17
16-20
28-20
25-11
17-22
16-17
28-15
26-15
22-20
25-9
23-15
15-21
27-17
22-14
15-23
162.3Avg total
87.6Scored
74.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)87.276.1163.4+11.175%
Season at home (4)86.073.5159.5+12.575%
Season away (4)88.578.8167.2+9.875%
Last 10 (10)87.674.7162.3+12.970%
Last 5 (5)87.669.0156.6+18.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (4)85.081.5166.5+3.575%
vs Weaker (26)86.974.2161.1+12.785%
This opponent (Valencia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValenciaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormValencia
Date
Competition
Barcelona
#8
L
102-108
102
108
-6
97avg 92
A10/10
Euroleague
Breogan
#11
W
113-90
113
90
+23
114avg 92
A12/10
ACB
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#6
L
93-100
93
100
-7
84avg 92
H15/10
Euroleague
Monaco
#10
L
84-90
84
90
-6
77avg 92
A17/10
Euroleague
Forca Lleida
#14
W
99-78
99
78
+21
94avg 92
A19/10
ACB
Olimpia Milano
#13
W
103-100
103
100
+3
98avg 92
A23/10
Euroleague
Joventut Badalona
#6
W
102-90
102
90
+12
105avg 92
H26/10
ACB
Fenerbahce
#4
W
94-79
94
79
+15
80avg 92
H28/10
Euroleague
Dubai
#11
W
80-78
80
78
+2
76avg 92
H30/10
Euroleague
San Pablo Burgos
#13
W
100-82
100
82
+18
99avg 92
H02/11
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-26
24-22
26-30
27-30
19-27
35-20
30-27
29-16
18-27
29-22
23-31
23-20
22-27
15-30
25-14
22-19
24-25
25-16
24-16
26-21
24-18
30-30
31-26
18-26
27-24
17-20
28-16
30-30
27-13
24-22
25-21
18-23
23-20
15-21
22-23
20-14
32-21
23-14
16-22
29-25
186.5Avg total
97.0Scored
89.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)92.490.8183.1+1.662%
Season at home (4)92.587.8180.2+4.875%
Season away (4)92.293.8186.0-1.550%
Last 10 (10)97.089.5186.5+7.570%
Last 5 (5)95.885.8181.6+10.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (9)87.091.4178.4-4.422%
vs Weaker (20)98.085.0183.0+13.195%
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +6.1+6.1Q1: +1.3+1.3Q2Q2: +2.6+2.6Q2: +2.0+2.0Q3Q3: +2.3+2.3Q3: +2.4+2.4Q4Q4: +1.9+1.9Q4: +1.8+1.8
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +6.1+6.1Q1: +1.3+1.3Q2Q2: +2.6+2.6Q2: +2.0+2.0Q3Q3: +2.3+2.3Q3: +2.4+2.4Q4Q4: +1.9+1.9Q4: +1.8+1.8
Zalgiris KaunasValencia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Zalgiris KaunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Juventus
#7
W
52-31
52
31
+21
H05/10
LKL
Bayern
#14
W
45-33
45
33
+12
A10/10
Euroleague
Crvena zvezda
#9
L
39-45
39
45
-6
A14/10
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#13
W
42-39
42
39
+3
H16/10
Euroleague
Lietkabelis
#6
W
48-42
48
42
+6
H19/10
LKL
Barcelona
#8
W
52-39
52
39
+13
A23/10
Euroleague
Gargzdai
#5
W
45-33
45
33
+12
A26/10
LKL
Virtus Bologna
#17
W
42-33
42
33
+9
H28/10
Euroleague
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#20
W
48-35
48
35
+13
H30/10
Euroleague
Rytas
#2
W
42-38
42
38
+4
H02/11
LKL
82.3Avg total
45.5Scored
36.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.335.879.1+7.577%-
Last 30 at home (17)42.934.477.4+8.582%-
Last 30 away (13)43.837.681.4+6.269%-
Last 10 (10)45.536.882.3+8.790%-
Last 5 (5)45.835.681.4+10.2100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (4)44.839.083.8+5.875%-
vs Weaker (26)43.135.378.4+7.877%-
This opponent (Valencia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValenciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Barcelona
#8
W
49-48
49
48
+1
A10/10
Euroleague
Breogan
#11
W
54-47
54
47
+7
A12/10
ACB
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#6
L
47-49
47
49
-2
H15/10
Euroleague
Monaco
#10
L
37-57
37
57
-20
A17/10
Euroleague
Forca Lleida
#14
W
49-41
49
41
+8
A19/10
ACB
Olimpia Milano
#13
W
54-48
54
48
+6
A23/10
Euroleague
Joventut Badalona
#6
D
44-44
44
44
+0
H26/10
ACB
Fenerbahce
#4
W
51-35
51
35
+16
H28/10
Euroleague
Dubai
#11
L
38-41
38
41
-3
H30/10
Euroleague
San Pablo Burgos
#13
W
55-35
55
35
+20
H02/11
ACB
92.3Avg total
47.8Scored
44.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.342.187.4+3.257%-
Last 30 at home (14)46.040.486.4+5.664%-
Last 30 away (16)44.643.688.2+1.050%-
Last 10 (10)47.844.592.3+3.360%-
Last 5 (5)48.440.689.0+7.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (9)42.644.286.8-1.733%-
vs Weaker (20)46.641.087.7+5.670%-
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Zalgiris Kaunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zalgiris Kaunas: 87.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.0 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.0 points a game
48%
38%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.021.5
59.7%
60.4%43.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.210.0
38.2%
35.9%30.0
🏀 Free throws18.314.0
76.5%
78.2%14.0
They take 62.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 47%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Valenciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valencia: 95.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀41%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.4 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.4 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.8 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.0 points a game
48%
38%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.419.7
59.0%
60.4%39.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.412.8
38.3%
35.9%38.4
🏀 Free throws22.617.8
78.8%
78.2%17.8
They take 66.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 50% of their shots are threes (league average: 47%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 07 Nov 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Zalgiris Kaunas
WWWWWLLLWW
Valencia
WWWWWWLLWL
#5
League position
#3
+19.1
Net rating
+10.0
123.0
Offensive rating
122.5
103.9
Defensive rating
112.5
58.7%
Effective FG%
58.2%
48.5%
Opp. effective FG%
53.6%
17.8%
Turnover %
18.7%
35.2%
Off. rebound %
39.2%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.34
38.2%
3-point %
38.3%
64.8%
Assist %
63.7%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence123.0 · 122.5Defence103.9 · 112.5Shooting58.7% · 58.2%3-point %38.2% · 38.3%Ball care17.8% · 18.7%Off. rebounds35.2% · 39.2%Free throws0.29 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)70% · 70%
■ Zalgiris Kaunas   ■ Valencia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Zalgiris Kaunas wins
4
Valencia wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/11/25HRytas79-75
30/10/25HLyon-Villeurbanne96-59
28/10/25HVirtus Bologna86-65
26/10/25AGargzdai89-73
23/10/25ABarcelona88-73
19/10/25HLietkabelis85-87
16/10/25HOlimpia Milano78-89
14/10/25ACrvena zvezda79-88
10/10/25ABayern98-70
05/10/25HJuventus98-68
Valencialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/11/25HSan Pablo Burgos100-82
30/10/25HDubai80-78
28/10/25HFenerbahce94-79
26/10/25HJoventut Badalona102-90
23/10/25AOlimpia Milano103-100
19/10/25AForca Lleida99-78
17/10/25AMonaco84-90
15/10/25HHapoel Tel-Aviv93-100
12/10/25ABreogan113-90
10/10/25ABarcelona102-108

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Zalgiris Kaunas
Euroleague 2025
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW75%
HomeWLWW75%
AwayWWLW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %75%75%75%
Points / game87.286.088.5
Allowed / game76.173.578.8
Point differential+11.1+12.5+9.8
Avg total163.4159.5167.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%50%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Valencia
Euroleague 2025
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW62%
HomeWLWW75%
AwayWLLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %62%75%50%
Points / game92.492.592.2
Allowed / game90.887.893.8
Point differential+1.6+4.8-1.5
Avg total183.1180.2186.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (1)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Crvena zvezda97278%87.680.1+7.4
2 Hapoel Tel-Aviv97278%90.985.8+5.1
3 Zalgiris Kaunas86275%87.276.1+11.1
4 Monaco96367%89.485.9+3.6
5 Olympiacos85362%85.481.1+4.2
6 Valencia85362%92.490.8+1.6
7 Barcelona85362%86.686.4+0.2
8 Panathinaikos95456%86.887.4-0.7
9 Bayern95456%79.682.9-3.3
10 Real Madrid84450%83.679.9+3.8
11 Olimpia Milano94544%82.981.4+1.4
12 Paris94544%89.087.8+1.2
13 Fenerbahce94544%79.180.8-1.7
14 Virtus Bologna94544%79.783.4-3.8
15 Partizan83538%83.687.8-4.1
16 Dubai93633%83.686.4-2.9
17 Anadolu Efes93633%82.685.9-3.3
18 Baskonia93633%86.490.2-3.8
19 Maccabi Tel Aviv92722%90.796.0-5.3
20 Lyon-Villeurbanne92722%77.286.2-9.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Zalgiris Kaunas1820232586
Valencia1718231977
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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