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Zalgiris Kaunas vs Virtus Bologna Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 28 Oct 2025
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 86-65
25-11 17-22 16-17 28-15
Position#5
Record4-2
FormLLLWW
Points / game86.0
Allowed / game80.8
vs
Position#17
Record4-2
FormWWLWW
Points / game84.3
Allowed / game82.0
EuropeEuroleagueRound 7· Zalgirio Arena
European cup2025
Meetings · Zalgiris Kaunas v Virtus Bologna
22 Jan 2027
ZAL v VIR
upcoming
28 Oct 2025
ZAL86
VIR65
15 Jan 2025
ZAL77
VIR68
19 Mar 2024
ZAL96
VIR81
18 Oct 2022
ZAL68
VIR65
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Zalgiris Kaunas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Virtus Bologna winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Zalgiris KaunasLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKaunas
Date
Competition
Neptunas
#3
W
84-71
84
71
+13
85avg 81
A27/09
LKL
Monaco
#10
W
89-84
89
84
+5
82avg 81
A01/10
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#4
W
84-81
84
81
+3
77avg 81
H03/10
Euroleague
Juventus
#7
W
98-68
98
68
+30
102avg 81
H05/10
LKL
Bayern
#14
W
98-70
98
70
+28
96avg 81
A10/10
Euroleague
Crvena zvezda
#9
L
79-88
79
88
-9
70avg 81
A14/10
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#13
L
78-89
78
89
-11
69avg 81
H16/10
Euroleague
Lietkabelis
#6
L
85-87
85
87
-2
78avg 81
H19/10
LKL
Barcelona
#8
W
88-73
88
73
+15
81avg 81
A23/10
Euroleague
Gargzdai
#5
W
89-73
89
73
+16
87avg 81
A26/10
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-16
20-17
20-17
21-21
27-20
18-15
22-25
22-24
29-20
14-17
22-16
19-28
32-19
20-12
25-18
21-19
26-20
19-13
23-24
30-13
27-23
12-22
19-12
21-31
21-13
21-26
19-24
17-26
14-23
34-19
13-25
24-20
26-14
26-25
23-15
13-19
24-16
21-17
16-20
28-20
165.6Avg total
87.2Scored
78.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)86.080.8166.8+5.267%
Season at home (2)81.085.0166.0-4.050%
Season away (4)88.578.8167.2+9.875%
Last 10 (10)87.278.4165.6+8.870%
Last 5 (5)83.882.0165.8+1.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (4)85.081.5166.5+3.575%
vs Weaker ◀ (26)88.075.7163.7+12.385%
This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Virtus BolognaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBologna
Date
Competition
Real Madrid
#2
W
74-68
74
68
+6
66avg 79
H30/09
Euroleague
Valencia
#3
L
94-103
94
103
-9
86avg 79
A03/10
Euroleague
Basket Napoli
#11
W
105-88
105
88
+17
104avg 79
H06/10
Lega A
Paris
#16
L
79-90
79
90
-11
77avg 79
A09/10
Euroleague
Udine
#13
W
82-80 OT
82
80
+2
75avg 79
A11/10
Lega A
Monaco
#10
W
77-73
77
73
+4
72avg 79
H15/10
Euroleague
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#20
W
90-83
90
83
+7
86avg 79
A17/10
Euroleague
Cremona
#12
L
69-86
69
86
-17
62avg 79
H20/10
Lega A
Panathinaikos
#7
W
92-75
92
75
+17
89avg 79
H24/10
Euroleague
Sassari
#16
W
90-71
90
71
+19
94avg 79
H26/10
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-19
24-16
17-15
19-18
23-26
23-23
25-26
23-28
25-19
26-13
21-24
33-32
24-24
16-25
20-23
19-18
17-12
20-19
23-16
12-25
19-19
18-15
22-19
18-20
21-24
19-18
21-22
29-19
23-19
7-22
20-32
19-13
19-15
29-20
21-18
23-22
23-23
26-12
22-19
19-17
166.9Avg total
85.2Scored
81.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)84.382.0166.3+2.367%
Season at home (3)81.072.0153.0+9.0100%
Season away (3)87.792.0179.7-4.333%
Last 10 (10)85.281.7166.9+3.570%
Last 5 (5)83.677.6161.2+6.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)84.882.0166.8+2.860%
vs Similar (11)83.579.3162.7+4.282%
vs Weaker (13)87.279.4166.5+7.877%
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +6.5+6.5Q1: +0.8+0.8Q2Q2: +2.2+2.2Q2: +2.5+2.5Q3Q3: +0.6+0.6Q3: -0.2-0.2Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: +0.2+0.2
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +6.5+6.5Q1: +0.8+0.8Q2Q2: +2.2+2.2Q2: +2.5+2.5Q3Q3: +0.6+0.6Q3: -0.2-0.2Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: +0.2+0.2
Zalgiris KaunasVirtus Bologna
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Zalgiris KaunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Neptunas
#3
W
43-33
43
33
+10
A27/09
LKL
Monaco
#10
W
45-35
45
35
+10
A01/10
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#4
W
43-37
43
37
+6
H03/10
Euroleague
Juventus
#7
W
52-31
52
31
+21
H05/10
LKL
Bayern
#14
W
45-33
45
33
+12
A10/10
Euroleague
Crvena zvezda
#9
L
39-45
39
45
-6
A14/10
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#13
W
42-39
42
39
+3
H16/10
Euroleague
Lietkabelis
#6
W
48-42
48
42
+6
H19/10
LKL
Barcelona
#8
W
52-39
52
39
+13
A23/10
Euroleague
Gargzdai
#5
W
45-33
45
33
+12
A26/10
LKL
82.1Avg total
45.4Scored
36.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.336.279.5+7.277%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.335.178.4+8.180%-
Last 30 away (15)43.437.280.6+6.273%-
Last 10 (10)45.436.782.1+8.790%-
Last 5 (5)45.239.684.8+5.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (4)44.839.083.8+5.875%-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)43.135.778.8+7.477%-
This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Virtus BolognaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Real Madrid
#2
W
38-35
38
35
+3
H30/09
Euroleague
Valencia
#3
L
46-49
46
49
-3
A03/10
Euroleague
Basket Napoli
#11
W
51-32
51
32
+19
H06/10
Lega A
Paris
#16
L
40-49
40
49
-9
A09/10
Euroleague
Udine
#13
W
37-31
37
31
+6
A11/10
Lega A
Monaco
#10
W
37-34
37
34
+3
H15/10
Euroleague
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#20
L
40-42
40
42
-2
A17/10
Euroleague
Cremona
#12
L
30-41
30
41
-11
H20/10
Lega A
Panathinaikos
#7
W
48-35
48
35
+13
H24/10
Euroleague
Sassari
#16
W
49-35
49
35
+14
H26/10
Lega A
79.9Avg total
41.6Scored
38.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.838.480.2+3.460%-
Last 30 at home (17)41.537.779.2+3.871%-
Last 30 away (13)42.239.381.5+2.946%-
Last 10 (10)41.638.379.9+3.360%-
Last 5 (5)40.837.478.2+3.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)41.439.681.0+1.860%-
vs Similar (11)40.840.281.0+0.636%-
vs Weaker (13)42.636.278.8+6.577%-
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Zalgiris Kaunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zalgiris Kaunas: 86.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.4 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.3 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.0 points a game
48%
38%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.721.2
57.8%
60.4%42.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.010.0
38.5%
35.9%30.0
🏀 Free throws18.614.3
76.9%
78.2%14.3
They take 62.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 47%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Virtus Bolognatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Virtus Bologna: 84.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.2 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.7 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.9 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.0 points a game
48%
38%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.720.1
57.9%
60.4%40.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.39.9
36.3%
35.9%29.7
🏀 Free throws18.314.9
81.4%
78.2%14.9
They take 62.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 47%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Oct 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Zalgiris Kaunas
WWLLLWWWWW
Virtus Bologna
WWLWWWLWLW
#5
League position
#17
+12.7
Net rating
+6.1
120.7
Offensive rating
114.7
108.1
Defensive rating
108.6
57.7%
Effective FG%
56.4%
51.3%
Opp. effective FG%
50.9%
16.8%
Turnover %
19.6%
31.8%
Off. rebound %
31.1%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.30
38.5%
3-point %
36.3%
64.4%
Assist %
67.0%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence120.7 · 114.7Defence108.1 · 108.6Shooting57.7% · 56.4%3-point %38.5% · 36.3%Ball care16.8% · 19.6%Off. rebounds31.8% · 31.1%Free throws0.30 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)70% · 70%
■ Zalgiris Kaunas   ■ Virtus Bologna
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Zalgiris Kaunas wins
0
Virtus Bologna wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/10/25AGargzdai89-73
23/10/25ABarcelona88-73
19/10/25HLietkabelis85-87
16/10/25HOlimpia Milano78-89
14/10/25ACrvena zvezda79-88
10/10/25ABayern98-70
05/10/25HJuventus98-68
03/10/25HFenerbahce84-81
01/10/25AMonaco89-84
27/09/25ANeptunas84-71
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/10/25HSassari90-71
24/10/25HPanathinaikos92-75
20/10/25HCremona69-86
17/10/25ALyon-Villeurbanne90-83
15/10/25HMonaco77-73
11/10/25AUdine82-80 OT
09/10/25AParis79-90
06/10/25HBasket Napoli105-88
03/10/25AValencia94-103
30/09/25HReal Madrid74-68

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Zalgiris Kaunas
Euroleague 2025
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW67%
HomeWL50%
AwayWWLW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games624
Win %67%50%75%
Points / game86.081.088.5
Allowed / game80.885.078.8
Point differential+5.2-4.0+9.8
Avg total166.8166.0167.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%0%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Virtus Bologna
Euroleague 2025
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW67%
HomeWWW100%
AwayLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %67%100%33%
Points / game84.381.087.7
Allowed / game82.072.092.0
Point differential+2.3+9.0-4.3
Avg total166.3153.0179.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Hapoel Tel-Aviv65183%92.388.2+4.2
2 Olympiacos64267%89.083.2+5.8
3 Paris64267%93.788.0+5.7
4 Zalgiris Kaunas64267%86.080.8+5.2
5 Crvena zvezda64267%87.382.7+4.7
6 Virtus Bologna64267%84.382.0+2.3
7 Panathinaikos64267%88.387.3+1.0
8 Monaco63350%84.882.5+2.3
9 Fenerbahce63350%82.380.3+2.0
10 Real Madrid63350%83.581.8+1.7
11 Barcelona63350%90.290.5-0.3
12 Valencia63350%94.294.8-0.7
13 Dubai63350%82.082.8-0.8
14 Partizan63350%84.887.8-3.0
15 Olimpia Milano62433%81.881.5+0.3
16 Lyon-Villeurbanne62433%84.086.7-2.7
17 Maccabi Tel Aviv62433%88.792.3-3.7
18 Anadolu Efes62433%80.885.0-4.2
19 Bayern62433%75.785.0-9.3
20 Baskonia6060%85.596.0-10.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Zalgiris Kaunas2517162886
Virtus Bologna1122171565
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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