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Samobor vs Dubrovnik Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 18 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 107-76
34-21 29-22 20-18 24-15
Position#4
Record12-11
FormLWWWL
Points / game85.3
Allowed / game86.0
Samobor 🏆
Croatia
vs
Position#5
Record12-11
FormLLWWW
Points / game79.5
Allowed / game80.4
CroatiaPremijer ligaRound 24· Sportska dvorana Samobor
Other2025-26
Meetings · Samobor v Dubrovnik
20 Nov 2026
SAMO v DUBR
upcoming
13 May 2026
SAMO81
DUBR86
18 Mar 2026
SAMO107
DUBR76
03 Jan 2026
SAMO89
DUBR84
11 Mar 2023
SAMO91
DUBR92
12 Feb 2022
SAMO72
DUBR78
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Samobor winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Dubrovnik winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SamoborCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSamobor
Date
Competition
Dubrovnik
#5
W
89-84
89
84
+5
83avg 81
H03/01
Premijer liga
Zadar
#1
L
67-84
67
84
-17
64avg 81
A09/01
Premijer liga
Dubrava
#6
L
77-91
77
91
-14
no box
A18/01
Premijer liga
Alkar
#9
L
71-77
71
77
-6
58avg 81
H25/01
Premijer liga
GKK Sibenka
#12
W
95-78
95
78
+17
88avg 81
A01/02
Premijer liga
Cibona
#3
L
88-90
88
90
-2
82avg 81
H07/02
Premijer liga
Dinamo Zagreb
#10
W
101-87
101
87
+14
99avg 81
H15/02
Premijer liga
Cedevita Junior
#8
W
96-93
96
93
+3
89avg 81
H22/02
Premijer liga
Kvarner
#11
W
85-82
85
82
+3
79avg 81
H07/03
Premijer liga
Alkar
#9
L
65-69
65
69
-4
49avg 81
A14/03
Premijer liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
9-16
28-19
22-18
30-31
17-24
17-24
13-22
20-14
28-26
13-21
15-25
21-19
16-23
16-18
16-14
23-22
25-20
23-8
19-19
28-31
25-29
24-20
17-18
22-23
28-20
31-23
26-17
16-27
22-27
33-22
19-24
22-20
19-22
27-19
23-20
16-21
11-23
11-16
24-16
19-14
166.9Avg total
83.4Scored
83.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)85.386.0171.3-0.752%
Season at home (11)89.388.4177.6+0.964%
Season away (12)81.883.8165.6-2.142%
Last 10 (10)83.483.5166.9-0.150%
Last 5 (5)87.084.2171.2+2.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)79.094.5173.5-15.50%
vs Similar ◀ (10)85.678.1163.7+7.570%
vs Weaker (14)87.484.9172.2+2.571%
This opponent (Dubrovnik) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DubrovnikCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormDubrovnik
Date
Competition
Cedevita Junior
#8
W
89-77
89
77
+12
67avg 77
H10/01
Premijer liga
Alkar
#9
W
79-60
79
60
+19
no box
H14/01
Premijer liga
Cibona
#3
L
77-82
77
82
-5
no box
A17/01
Premijer liga
Kvarner
#11
W
98-74
98
74
+24
94avg 77
H24/01
Premijer liga
Split
#2
W
86-78
86
78
+8
93avg 77
H28/01
Premijer liga
Zabok
#7
L
59-82
59
82
-23
45avg 77
A31/01
Premijer liga
Zadar
#1
L
67-79
67
79
-12
61avg 77
H08/02
Premijer liga
Dubrava
#6
W
111-107 OT
111
107
+4
112avg 77
A13/02
Premijer liga
GKK Sibenka
#12
W
91-82
91
82
+9
84avg 77
H07/03
Premijer liga
GKK Sibenka
#12
W
90-83
90
83
+7
88avg 77
H15/03
Premijer liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-21
20-14
26-26
21-16
24-10
25-21
16-19
14-10
20-25
25-19
23-11
9-27
24-20
30-17
30-18
14-19
26-17
14-24
21-20
25-17
14-24
10-18
18-12
17-28
15-28
19-22
17-17
16-12
29-32
30-14
16-22
13-20
24-23
27-21
19-19
21-19
26-15
18-24
25-14
21-30
165.1Avg total
84.7Scored
80.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)79.580.4159.9-0.952%
Season at home (12)82.277.0159.2+5.267%
Season away (11)76.584.1160.5-7.636%
Last 10 (10)84.780.4165.1+4.370%
Last 5 (5)83.686.6170.2-3.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)75.781.0156.7-5.333%
vs Similar ◀ (14)82.583.4165.9-0.950%
vs Weaker (7)86.080.3166.3+5.786%
This opponent (Samobor) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -3.0-3.0Q1: +0.9+0.9Q2Q2: +3.3+3.3Q2: +2.4+2.4Q3Q3: +0.1+0.1Q3: +3.3+3.3Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: -2.7-2.7
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -3.0-3.0Q1: +0.9+0.9Q2Q2: +3.3+3.3Q2: +2.4+2.4Q3Q3: +0.1+0.1Q3: +3.3+3.3Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: -2.7-2.7
SamoborDubrovnik
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SamoborLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dubrovnik
#5
W
37-35
37
35
+2
H03/01
Premijer liga
Zadar
#1
L
34-48
34
48
-14
A09/01
Premijer liga
Dubrava
#6
L
41-47
41
47
-6
A18/01
Premijer liga
Alkar
#9
L
32-41
32
41
-9
H25/01
Premijer liga
GKK Sibenka
#12
W
48-28
48
28
+20
A01/02
Premijer liga
Cibona
#3
D
49-49
49
49
+0
H07/02
Premijer liga
Dinamo Zagreb
#10
W
59-43
59
43
+16
H15/02
Premijer liga
Cedevita Junior
#8
W
55-49
55
49
+6
H22/02
Premijer liga
Kvarner
#11
W
46-41
46
41
+5
H07/03
Premijer liga
Alkar
#9
L
22-39
22
39
-17
A14/03
Premijer liga
84.3Avg total
42.3Scored
42.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.142.585.6+0.647%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.643.988.6+0.750%-
Last 30 away (16)41.841.283.1+0.644%-
Last 10 (10)42.342.084.3+0.350%-
Last 5 (5)46.244.290.4+2.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)41.048.389.3-7.317%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)40.839.380.1+1.550%-
vs Weaker (14)45.742.388.0+3.457%-
This opponent (Dubrovnik) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DubrovnikLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cedevita Junior
#8
W
42-35
42
35
+7
H10/01
Premijer liga
Alkar
#9
W
49-31
49
31
+18
H14/01
Premijer liga
Cibona
#3
W
45-44
45
44
+1
A17/01
Premijer liga
Kvarner
#11
W
54-37
54
37
+17
H24/01
Premijer liga
Split
#2
L
40-41
40
41
-1
H28/01
Premijer liga
Zabok
#7
L
24-42
24
42
-18
A31/01
Premijer liga
Zadar
#1
L
34-50
34
50
-16
H08/02
Premijer liga
Dubrava
#6
W
59-46
59
46
+13
A13/02
Premijer liga
GKK Sibenka
#12
W
51-44
51
44
+7
H07/03
Premijer liga
GKK Sibenka
#12
W
44-39
44
39
+5
H15/03
Premijer liga
85.1Avg total
44.2Scored
40.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.840.182.0+1.757%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.238.782.9+5.573%-
Last 30 away (15)39.541.581.0-2.140%-
Last 10 (10)44.240.985.1+3.370%-
Last 5 (5)42.444.286.6-1.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)38.041.979.9-3.933%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)41.839.481.1+2.457%-
vs Weaker (7)46.939.486.3+7.486%-
This opponent (Samobor) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Samobortheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Samobor: 83.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.8 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.9 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
48%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.818.4
51.4%
53.2%36.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.89.5
38.3%
34.2%28.5
🏀 Free throws24.117.9
74.3%
74.3%17.9
They take 60.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Dubrovniktheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Dubrovnik: 81.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.4 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.2 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.1 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
48%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.020.7
57.5%
53.2%41.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.17.4
29.5%
34.2%22.2
🏀 Free throws23.418.1
77.4%
74.3%18.1
They take 61.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 18 Mar 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Samobor
LWWWLWLLLW
Dubrovnik
WWWLLWWLWW
#4
League position
#5
+2.1
Net rating
-0.7
96.8
Offensive rating
98.4
94.7
Defensive rating
99.1
53.9%
Effective FG%
52.0%
50.5%
Opp. effective FG%
56.4%
18.6%
Turnover %
19.7%
29.3%
Off. rebound %
37.0%
0.40
Free-throw rate
0.38
38.3%
3-point %
29.5%
57.7%
Assist %
66.2%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence96.8 · 98.4Defence94.7 · 99.1Shooting53.9% · 52.0%3-point %38.3% · 29.5%Ball care18.6% · 19.7%Off. rebounds29.3% · 37.0%Free throws0.40 · 0.38Form (last 10/10)50% · 70%
■ Samobor   ■ Dubrovnik
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Samobor wins
5
Dubrovnik wins
DateGameScore
03/01/26Samobor v Dubrovnik89-84
10/10/25Dubrovnik v Samobor83-80
11/03/23Samobor v Dubrovnik91-92
11/12/22Dubrovnik v Samobor103-72
12/02/22Samobor v Dubrovnik72-78
13/11/21Dubrovnik v Samobor80-66
Samoborlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/03/26AAlkar65-69
07/03/26HKvarner85-82
22/02/26HCedevita Junior96-93
15/02/26HDinamo Zagreb101-87
07/02/26HCibona88-90
01/02/26AGKK Sibenka95-78
25/01/26HAlkar71-77
18/01/26ADubrava77-91
09/01/26AZadar67-84
03/01/26HDubrovnik89-84
Dubrovniklast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/03/26HGKK Sibenka90-83
07/03/26HGKK Sibenka91-82
13/02/26ADubrava111-107 OT
08/02/26HZadar67-79
31/01/26AZabok59-82
28/01/26HSplit86-78
24/01/26HKvarner98-74
17/01/26ACibona77-82
14/01/26HAlkar79-60
10/01/26HCedevita Junior89-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Samobor
Premijer liga 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL52%
HomeLLWWW64%
AwayWLLWL42%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231112
Win %52%64%42%
Points / game85.389.381.8
Allowed / game86.088.483.8
Point differential-0.7+0.9-2.1
Avg total171.3177.6165.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%18%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won58% (12)80% (5)43% (7)
Overtime %4%0%8%
Dubrovnik
Premijer liga 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW52%
HomeWWLWW67%
AwayLLLLW36%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231211
Win %52%67%36%
Points / game79.582.276.5
Allowed / game80.477.084.1
Point differential-0.9+5.2-7.6
Avg total159.9159.2160.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+26%33%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)100% (1)50% (4)
Overtime %4%0%9%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zadar2422292%86.869.8+17.0
2 Split2317674%92.082.1+9.9
3 Cibona2416867%84.576.9+7.5
4 Zabok24141058%81.180.0+1.1
5 Samobor23121152%85.386.0-0.7
6 Dubrovnik23121152%79.580.4-0.9
7 Dubrava23101343%83.185.9-2.8
8 Dinamo Zagreb24101442%85.087.3-2.3
9 Alkar24101442%71.279.1-7.8
10 Kvarner2491538%77.983.2-5.3
11 Cedevita Junior2461825%79.284.7-5.5
12 GKK Sibenka2442017%74.884.9-10.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Samobor34292024107
Dubrovnik2122181576
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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