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Samobor vs GKK Sibenka Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 23 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 102-76
19-21 28-16 29-18 26-21
Position#4
Record13-11
FormWWWLW
Points / game86.2
Allowed / game85.6
Samobor 🏆
Croatia
vs
Position#12
Record4-20
FormLLLLW
Points / game74.8
Allowed / game84.9
CroatiaPremijer ligaRound 25· Sportska dvorana Samobor
Other2025-26
Meetings · Samobor v GKK Sibenka
23 Mar 2026
SAMO102
GKK 76
16 Nov 2025
SAMO87
GKK 85
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Samobor winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
GKK Sibenka winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SamoborCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSamobor
Date
Competition
Zadar
#1
L
67-84
67
84
-17
64avg 82
A09/01
Premijer liga
Dubrava
#6
L
77-91
77
91
-14
no box
A18/01
Premijer liga
Alkar
#9
L
71-77
71
77
-6
58avg 82
H25/01
Premijer liga
GKK Sibenka
#12
W
95-78
95
78
+17
88avg 82
A01/02
Premijer liga
Cibona
#3
L
88-90
88
90
-2
82avg 82
H07/02
Premijer liga
Dinamo Zagreb
#10
W
101-87
101
87
+14
99avg 82
H15/02
Premijer liga
Cedevita Junior
#8
W
96-93
96
93
+3
89avg 82
H22/02
Premijer liga
Kvarner
#11
W
85-82
85
82
+3
79avg 82
H07/03
Premijer liga
Alkar
#9
L
65-69
65
69
-4
49avg 82
A14/03
Premijer liga
Dubrovnik
#5
W
107-76
107
76
+31
113avg 82
H18/03
Premijer liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-24
17-24
13-22
20-14
28-26
13-21
15-25
21-19
16-23
16-18
16-14
23-22
25-20
23-8
19-19
28-31
25-29
24-20
17-18
22-23
28-20
31-23
26-17
16-27
22-27
33-22
19-24
22-20
19-22
27-19
23-20
16-21
11-23
11-16
24-16
19-14
34-21
29-22
20-18
24-15
167.9Avg total
85.2Scored
82.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)86.285.6171.8+0.754%
Season at home (12)90.887.3178.1+3.467%
Season away (12)81.883.8165.6-2.142%
Last 10 (10)85.282.7167.9+2.550%
Last 5 (5)90.881.4172.2+9.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)79.094.5173.5-15.50%
vs Similar (10)89.077.7166.7+11.380%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)87.484.9172.2+2.571%
This opponent (GKK Sibenka) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GKK SibenkaCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSibenka
Date
Competition
Kvarner
#11
L
70-84
70
84
-14
58avg 64
A10/01
Premijer liga
Zabok
#7
L
69-80
69
80
-11
no box
H14/01
Premijer liga
Zadar
#1
L
71-91
71
91
-20
no box
A19/01
Premijer liga
Dubrava
#6
L
59-73
59
73
-14
48avg 64
H24/01
Premijer liga
Samobor
#4
L
78-95
78
95
-17
70avg 64
H01/02
Premijer liga
Dinamo Zagreb
#10
L
82-83
82
83
-1
79avg 64
A07/02
Premijer liga
Split
#2
L
55-93
55
93
-38
34avg 64
H12/02
Premijer liga
Dubrovnik
#5
L
82-91
82
91
-9
73avg 64
A07/03
Premijer liga
Dubrovnik
#5
L
83-90
83
90
-7
55avg 64
A15/03
Premijer liga
Cedevita Junior
#8
W
97-77
97
77
+20
93avg 64
H18/03
Premijer liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-19
19-18
17-27
14-20
22-23
10-23
18-16
19-18
21-30
23-21
5-22
22-18
15-11
12-15
16-22
16-25
20-25
8-23
19-19
31-28
27-17
14-21
18-19
23-26
14-26
17-18
14-30
10-19
23-24
21-27
19-19
19-21
15-26
24-18
14-25
30-21
22-21
21-22
24-16
30-18
160.3Avg total
74.6Scored
85.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)74.884.9159.7-10.017%
Season at home (12)74.280.9155.1-6.833%
Season away (12)75.588.8164.3-13.30%
Last 10 (10)74.685.7160.3-11.110%
Last 5 (5)79.886.8166.6-7.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)76.386.4162.7-10.223%
vs Similar (4)69.876.0145.8-6.225%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Samobor) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.0-1.0Q1: -2.3-2.3Q2Q2: +3.1+3.1Q2: -3.7-3.7Q3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q3: -5.1-5.1Q4Q4: +0.5+0.5Q4: +0.0+0.0
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.0-1.0Q1: -2.3-2.3Q2Q2: +3.1+3.1Q2: -3.7-3.7Q3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q3: -5.1-5.1Q4Q4: +0.5+0.5Q4: +0.0+0.0
SamoborGKK Sibenka
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SamoborLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zadar
#1
L
34-48
34
48
-14
A09/01
Premijer liga
Dubrava
#6
L
41-47
41
47
-6
A18/01
Premijer liga
Alkar
#9
L
32-41
32
41
-9
H25/01
Premijer liga
GKK Sibenka
#12
W
48-28
48
28
+20
A01/02
Premijer liga
Cibona
#3
D
49-49
49
49
+0
H07/02
Premijer liga
Dinamo Zagreb
#10
W
59-43
59
43
+16
H15/02
Premijer liga
Cedevita Junior
#8
W
55-49
55
49
+6
H22/02
Premijer liga
Kvarner
#11
W
46-41
46
41
+5
H07/03
Premijer liga
Alkar
#9
L
22-39
22
39
-17
A14/03
Premijer liga
Dubrovnik
#5
W
63-43
63
43
+20
H18/03
Premijer liga
87.7Avg total
44.9Scored
42.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.142.486.4+1.750%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.943.989.7+2.053%-
Last 30 away (15)42.340.983.1+1.447%-
Last 10 (10)44.942.887.7+2.150%-
Last 5 (5)49.043.092.0+6.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)41.048.389.3-7.317%-
vs Similar (10)43.638.982.5+4.760%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)45.742.388.0+3.457%-
This opponent (GKK Sibenka) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GKK SibenkaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kvarner
#11
W
39-37
39
37
+2
A10/01
Premijer liga
Zabok
#7
L
32-46
32
46
-14
H14/01
Premijer liga
Zadar
#1
L
44-51
44
51
-7
A19/01
Premijer liga
Dubrava
#6
W
27-26
27
26
+1
H24/01
Premijer liga
Samobor
#4
L
28-48
28
48
-20
H01/02
Premijer liga
Dinamo Zagreb
#10
W
41-38
41
38
+3
A07/02
Premijer liga
Split
#2
L
31-44
31
44
-13
H12/02
Premijer liga
Dubrovnik
#5
L
44-51
44
51
-7
A07/03
Premijer liga
Dubrovnik
#5
L
39-44
39
44
-5
A15/03
Premijer liga
Cedevita Junior
#8
D
43-43
43
43
+0
H18/03
Premijer liga
79.6Avg total
36.8Scored
42.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.442.279.6-4.837%-
Last 30 at home (15)35.938.974.9-3.047%-
Last 30 away (15)38.945.584.4-6.727%-
Last 10 (10)36.842.879.6-6.030%-
Last 5 (5)39.644.083.6-4.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)37.343.080.3-5.735%-
vs Similar (4)38.037.575.5+0.550%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Samobor) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Samobortheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Samobor: 86.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.6 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.2 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
48%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.918.8
53.9%
53.2%37.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.110.1
40.2%
34.2%30.3
🏀 Free throws24.418.2
74.6%
74.3%18.2
They take 60.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
GKK Sibenkatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

GKK Sibenka: 71.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.6 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.8 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.8 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
48%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.216.8
47.7%
53.2%33.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.57.6
29.8%
34.2%22.8
🏀 Free throws18.614.8
79.6%
74.3%14.8
They take 60.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 23 Mar 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Samobor
WLWWWLWLLL
GKK Sibenka
WLLLLLLLLL
#4
League position
#12
+4.7
Net rating
-14.3
98.9
Offensive rating
86.4
94.2
Defensive rating
100.7
56.6%
Effective FG%
46.5%
51.0%
Opp. effective FG%
52.7%
18.7%
Turnover %
17.3%
33.3%
Off. rebound %
28.2%
0.41
Free-throw rate
0.31
40.2%
3-point %
29.8%
60.2%
Assist %
59.4%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence98.9 · 86.4Defence94.2 · 100.7Shooting56.6% · 46.5%3-point %40.2% · 29.8%Ball care18.7% · 17.3%Off. rebounds33.3% · 28.2%Free throws0.41 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)50% · 10%
■ Samobor   ■ GKK Sibenka
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Samobor wins
0
GKK Sibenka wins
DateGameScore
01/02/26GKK Sibenka v Samobor78-95
16/11/25Samobor v GKK Sibenka87-85
Samoborlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/03/26HDubrovnik107-76
14/03/26AAlkar65-69
07/03/26HKvarner85-82
22/02/26HCedevita Junior96-93
15/02/26HDinamo Zagreb101-87
07/02/26HCibona88-90
01/02/26AGKK Sibenka95-78
25/01/26HAlkar71-77
18/01/26ADubrava77-91
09/01/26AZadar67-84
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/03/26HCedevita Junior97-77
15/03/26ADubrovnik83-90
07/03/26ADubrovnik82-91
12/02/26HSplit55-93
07/02/26ADinamo Zagreb82-83
01/02/26HSamobor78-95
24/01/26HDubrava59-73
19/01/26AZadar71-91
14/01/26HZabok69-80
10/01/26AKvarner70-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Samobor
Premijer liga 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW54%
HomeLWWWW67%
AwayWLLWL42%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241212
Win %54%67%42%
Points / game86.290.881.8
Allowed / game85.687.383.8
Point differential+0.7+3.4-2.1
Avg total171.8178.1165.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%25%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won58% (12)80% (5)43% (7)
Overtime %4%0%8%
GKK Sibenka
Premijer liga 2025-26
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW17%
HomeLLLLW33%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241212
Win %17%33%0%
Points / game74.874.275.5
Allowed / game84.980.988.8
Point differential-10.0-6.8-13.3
Avg total159.7155.1164.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+8%17%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)50% (2)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zadar2522388%86.670.6+15.9
2 Split2317674%92.082.1+9.9
3 Cibona2517868%83.976.4+7.4
4 Zabok25141156%81.280.4+0.8
5 Samobor24131154%86.285.6+0.7
6 Dubrovnik25131252%79.781.6-1.8
7 Dubrava24111346%83.585.7-2.2
8 Dinamo Zagreb24101442%85.087.3-2.3
9 Kvarner25101540%78.483.4-5.0
10 Alkar25101540%71.078.7-7.7
11 Cedevita Junior2561924%79.684.9-5.4
12 GKK Sibenka2442017%74.884.9-10.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Samobor19282926102
GKK Sibenka2116182176
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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