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Alkar vs Samobor Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 14 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 69-65
23-11 16-11 16-24 14-19
Position#9
Record9-13
FormLWWLL
Points / game71.0
Allowed / game79.3
Alkar 🏆
Croatia
vs
Position#4
Record12-10
FormWLWWW
Points / game86.3
Allowed / game86.8
CroatiaPremijer ligaRound 23· GSD Ivica Glavan-Ico
Other2025-26
Meetings · Alkar v Samobor
27 Dec 2026
ALKA v SAMO
upcoming
14 Mar 2026
ALKA69
SAMO65
09 Nov 2025
ALKA76
SAMO79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Alkar winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Samobor winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AlkarCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAlkar
Date
Competition
Dubrovnik
#5
L
60-79
60
79
-19
no box
A14/01
Premijer liga
Cedevita Junior
#8
L
61-82
61
82
-21
no box
H17/01
Premijer liga
Syntainics MBC
#1
L
52-69
52
69
-17
36avg 65
H20/01
ENBL
Samobor
#4
W
77-71
77
71
+6
73avg 65
A25/01
Premijer liga
Fyllingen
#25
W
74-72
74
72
+2
68avg 65
A28/01
ENBL
Cibona
#3
L
67-92
67
92
-25
53avg 65
A02/02
Premijer liga
Kvarner
#11
W
77-73
77
73
+4
79avg 65
H08/02
Premijer liga
Valmiera Glass Via
#9
W
104-94
104
94
+10
104avg 65
H11/02
ENBL
Zabok
#7
L
81-91
81
91
-10
75avg 65
A14/02
Premijer liga
Zadar
#1
L
54-77
54
77
-23
41avg 65
H09/03
Premijer liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
10-24
21-25
19-16
10-14
16-14
14-24
18-19
13-25
11-21
13-13
15-12
13-23
23-16
18-16
14-16
22-23
26-26
19-15
16-10
13-21
17-20
13-24
18-20
19-28
23-21
19-17
18-16
17-19
22-25
23-20
31-21
28-28
20-29
18-16
12-22
31-24
19-25
18-18
9-14
8-20
150.7Avg total
70.7Scored
80.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)71.079.3150.3-8.341%
Season at home (11)72.576.0148.5-3.545%
Season away (11)69.582.5152.0-13.136%
Last 10 (10)70.780.0150.7-9.340%
Last 5 (5)76.685.4162.0-8.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)71.081.6152.7-10.629%
vs Similar (5)72.872.2145.0+0.680%
vs Weaker (1)74.072.0146.0+2.0100%
This opponent (Samobor) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SamoborCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSamobor
Date
Competition
Zabok
#7
W
80-70
80
70
+10
72avg 82
A27/12
Premijer liga
Dubrovnik
#5
W
89-84
89
84
+5
83avg 82
H03/01
Premijer liga
Zadar
#1
L
67-84
67
84
-17
64avg 82
A09/01
Premijer liga
Dubrava
#6
L
77-91
77
91
-14
no box
A18/01
Premijer liga
Alkar
#9
L
71-77
71
77
-6
58avg 82
H25/01
Premijer liga
GKK Sibenka
#12
W
95-78
95
78
+17
88avg 82
A01/02
Premijer liga
Cibona
#3
L
88-90
88
90
-2
82avg 82
H07/02
Premijer liga
Dinamo Zagreb
#10
W
101-87
101
87
+14
99avg 82
H15/02
Premijer liga
Cedevita Junior
#8
W
96-93
96
93
+3
89avg 82
H22/02
Premijer liga
Kvarner
#11
W
85-82
85
82
+3
79avg 82
H07/03
Premijer liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-18
21-17
23-17
20-18
9-16
28-19
22-18
30-31
17-24
17-24
13-22
20-14
28-26
13-21
15-25
21-19
16-23
16-18
16-14
23-22
25-20
23-8
19-19
28-31
25-29
24-20
17-18
22-23
28-20
31-23
26-17
16-27
22-27
33-22
19-24
22-20
19-22
27-19
23-20
16-21
168.5Avg total
84.9Scored
83.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)86.386.8173.0-0.555%
Season at home (11)89.388.4177.6+0.964%
Season away (11)83.385.2168.5-1.945%
Last 10 (10)84.983.6168.5+1.360%
Last 5 (5)93.086.0179.0+7.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)79.094.5173.5-15.50%
vs Similar (10)85.678.1163.7+7.570%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)90.585.8176.3+4.779%
This opponent (Alkar) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -3.4-3.4Q1: -2.0-2.0Q2Q2: -1.2-1.2Q2: +4.2+4.2Q3Q3: +0.4+0.4Q3: -0.1-0.1Q4Q4: -5.1-5.1Q4: -0.8-0.8
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -3.4-3.4Q1: -2.0-2.0Q2Q2: -1.2-1.2Q2: +4.2+4.2Q3Q3: +0.4+0.4Q3: -0.1-0.1Q4Q4: -5.1-5.1Q4: -0.8-0.8
AlkarSamobor
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AlkarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dubrovnik
#5
L
31-49
31
49
-18
A14/01
Premijer liga
Cedevita Junior
#8
L
30-38
30
38
-8
H17/01
Premijer liga
Syntainics MBC
#1
L
24-34
24
34
-10
H20/01
ENBL
Samobor
#4
W
41-32
41
32
+9
A25/01
Premijer liga
Fyllingen
#25
W
45-41
45
41
+4
A28/01
ENBL
Cibona
#3
L
30-44
30
44
-14
A02/02
Premijer liga
Kvarner
#11
W
42-38
42
38
+4
H08/02
Premijer liga
Valmiera Glass Via
#9
D
45-45
45
45
+0
H11/02
ENBL
Zabok
#7
L
38-45
38
45
-7
A14/02
Premijer liga
Zadar
#1
L
37-43
37
43
-6
H09/03
Premijer liga
77.2Avg total
36.3Scored
40.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.640.876.4-5.237%-
Last 30 at home (15)36.139.275.3-3.140%-
Last 30 away (15)35.142.477.5-7.333%-
Last 10 (10)36.340.977.2-4.630%-
Last 5 (5)38.443.081.4-4.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)34.242.076.2-7.725%-
vs Similar (5)40.235.275.4+5.080%-
vs Weaker (1)45.041.086.0+4.0100%-
This opponent (Samobor) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SamoborLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zabok
#7
W
37-35
37
35
+2
A27/12
Premijer liga
Dubrovnik
#5
W
37-35
37
35
+2
H03/01
Premijer liga
Zadar
#1
L
34-48
34
48
-14
A09/01
Premijer liga
Dubrava
#6
L
41-47
41
47
-6
A18/01
Premijer liga
Alkar
#9
L
32-41
32
41
-9
H25/01
Premijer liga
GKK Sibenka
#12
W
48-28
48
28
+20
A01/02
Premijer liga
Cibona
#3
D
49-49
49
49
+0
H07/02
Premijer liga
Dinamo Zagreb
#10
W
59-43
59
43
+16
H15/02
Premijer liga
Cedevita Junior
#8
W
55-49
55
49
+6
H22/02
Premijer liga
Kvarner
#11
W
46-41
46
41
+5
H07/03
Premijer liga
85.4Avg total
43.8Scored
41.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.442.787.1+1.750%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.643.988.6+0.750%-
Last 30 away (16)44.241.685.8+2.650%-
Last 10 (10)43.841.685.4+2.260%-
Last 5 (5)51.442.093.4+9.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)41.048.389.3-7.317%-
vs Similar (10)40.839.380.1+1.550%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)48.442.791.1+5.764%-
This opponent (Alkar) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Alkartheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alkar: 75.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.4 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.2 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.6 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
48%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.620.2
51.0%
53.2%40.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.27.4
31.9%
34.2%22.2
🏀 Free throws17.212.6
73.3%
74.3%12.6
They take 62.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Samobortheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Samobor: 85.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.0 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.9 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.4 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
48%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.618.5
52.0%
53.2%37.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.710.3
41.7%
34.2%30.9
🏀 Free throws22.917.4
76.0%
74.3%17.4
They take 60.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 14 Mar 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Alkar
LLWWLWWLLL
Samobor
WWWLWLLLWW
#9
League position
#4
-6.7
Net rating
-1.4
90.5
Offensive rating
100.9
97.2
Defensive rating
102.4
49.8%
Effective FG%
56.3%
53.9%
Opp. effective FG%
52.7%
16.2%
Turnover %
18.7%
38.5%
Off. rebound %
25.9%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.38
31.9%
3-point %
41.7%
69.2%
Assist %
58.7%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence90.5 · 100.9Defence97.2 · 102.4Shooting49.8% · 56.3%3-point %31.9% · 41.7%Ball care16.2% · 18.7%Off. rebounds38.5% · 25.9%Free throws0.27 · 0.38Form (last 10/10)40% · 60%
■ Alkar   ■ Samobor
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Alkar wins
1
Samobor wins
DateGameScore
25/01/26Samobor v Alkar71-77
09/11/25Alkar v Samobor76-79
Alkarlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/03/26HZadar54-77
14/02/26AZabok81-91
11/02/26HValmiera Glass Via104-94
08/02/26HKvarner77-73
02/02/26ACibona67-92
28/01/26AFyllingen74-72
25/01/26ASamobor77-71
20/01/26HSyntainics MBC52-69
17/01/26HCedevita Junior61-82
14/01/26ADubrovnik60-79
Samoborlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/03/26HKvarner85-82
22/02/26HCedevita Junior96-93
15/02/26HDinamo Zagreb101-87
07/02/26HCibona88-90
01/02/26AGKK Sibenka95-78
25/01/26HAlkar71-77
18/01/26ADubrava77-91
09/01/26AZadar67-84
03/01/26HDubrovnik89-84
27/12/25AZabok80-70

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Alkar
Premijer liga 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL41%
HomeWLLWL45%
AwayWLWLL36%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221111
Win %41%45%36%
Points / game71.072.569.5
Allowed / game79.376.082.5
Point differential-8.3-3.5-13.1
Avg total150.3148.5152.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)50% (4)100% (2)
Overtime %5%0%9%
Samobor
Premijer liga 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW55%
HomeLLWWW64%
AwayLWLLW45%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221111
Win %55%64%45%
Points / game86.389.383.3
Allowed / game86.888.485.2
Point differential-0.5+0.9-1.9
Avg total173.0177.6168.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%18%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won64% (11)80% (5)50% (6)
Overtime %5%0%9%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zadar2220291%86.969.5+17.4
2 Split2317674%92.082.1+9.9
3 Cibona2215768%84.677.0+7.5
4 Zabok23131057%80.880.0+0.7
5 Samobor22121055%86.386.8-0.5
6 Dubrovnik22111150%79.080.3-1.3
7 Dinamo Zagreb23101343%85.687.3-1.7
8 Dubrava2291341%83.286.2-3.0
9 Alkar2291341%71.079.3-8.3
10 Kvarner2391439%77.983.0-5.0
11 Cedevita Junior2261627%79.984.3-4.4
12 GKK Sibenka2231914%73.585.0-11.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Alkar2316161469
Samobor1111241965
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