PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Samobor vs Kvarner Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 07 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 85-82
19-22 27-19 23-20 16-21
Position#4
Record11-10
FormLWLWW
Points / game86.3
Allowed / game87.0
Samobor 🏆
Croatia
vs
Position#11
Record8-13
FormLLWLL
Points / game76.5
Allowed / game82.1
CroatiaPremijer ligaRound 22· Sportska dvorana Samobor
Other2025-26
Meetings · Samobor v Kvarner
05 Mar 2027
SAMO v KVAR
upcoming
24 Apr 2026
SAMO92
KVAR81
07 Mar 2026
SAMO85
KVAR82
21 Jan 2024
SAMO82
KVAR86
01 Oct 2022
SAMO61
KVAR65
29 Mar 2022
SAMO74
KVAR53
16 Oct 2021
SAMO63
KVAR74
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Samobor winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Kvarner winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SamoborCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSamobor
Date
Competition
Split
#2
L
86-122
86
122
-36
74avg 82
H19/12
Premijer liga
Zabok
#7
W
80-70
80
70
+10
72avg 82
A27/12
Premijer liga
Dubrovnik
#5
W
89-84
89
84
+5
83avg 82
H03/01
Premijer liga
Zadar
#1
L
67-84
67
84
-17
64avg 82
A09/01
Premijer liga
Dubrava
#6
L
77-91
77
91
-14
no box
A18/01
Premijer liga
Alkar
#9
L
71-77
71
77
-6
58avg 82
H25/01
Premijer liga
GKK Sibenka
#12
W
95-78
95
78
+17
88avg 82
A01/02
Premijer liga
Cibona
#3
L
88-90
88
90
-2
82avg 82
H07/02
Premijer liga
Dinamo Zagreb
#10
W
101-87
101
87
+14
99avg 82
H15/02
Premijer liga
Cedevita Junior
#8
W
96-93
96
93
+3
89avg 82
H22/02
Premijer liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-29
25-26
18-26
16-41
16-18
21-17
23-17
20-18
9-16
28-19
22-18
30-31
17-24
17-24
13-22
20-14
28-26
13-21
15-25
21-19
16-23
16-18
16-14
23-22
25-20
23-8
19-19
28-31
25-29
24-20
17-18
22-23
28-20
31-23
26-17
16-27
22-27
33-22
19-24
22-20
172.6Avg total
85.0Scored
87.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)86.387.0173.3-0.752%
Season at home (10)89.789.0178.7+0.760%
Season away (11)83.385.2168.5-1.945%
Last 10 (10)85.087.6172.6-2.650%
Last 5 (5)90.285.0175.2+5.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)79.094.5173.5-15.50%
vs Similar (10)85.678.1163.7+7.570%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)90.685.6176.3+5.079%
This opponent (Kvarner) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KvarnerCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKvarner
Date
Competition
Zabok
#7
L
80-94
80
94
-14
65avg 73
A21/12
Premijer liga
Zadar
#1
W
79-69
79
69
+10
67avg 73
H27/12
Premijer liga
Dubrava
#6
L
92-96
92
96
-4
85avg 73
A04/01
Premijer liga
GKK Sibenka
#12
W
84-70
84
70
+14
81avg 73
H10/01
Premijer liga
Dinamo Zagreb
#10
L
78-94
78
94
-16
no box
A14/01
Premijer liga
Split
#2
L
77-112
77
112
-35
no box
H17/01
Premijer liga
Dubrovnik
#5
L
74-98
74
98
-24
68avg 73
A24/01
Premijer liga
Cedevita Junior
#8
W
78-75
78
75
+3
79avg 73
H31/01
Premijer liga
Alkar
#9
L
73-77
73
77
-4
66avg 73
A08/02
Premijer liga
Cibona
#3
L
61-84
61
84
-23
44avg 73
H13/02
Premijer liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-27
28-21
14-15
22-31
17-26
24-7
14-23
24-13
30-24
24-32
22-21
16-19
19-20
18-19
27-17
20-14
23-22
14-17
20-27
21-28
21-27
23-33
16-28
17-24
20-24
17-30
18-30
19-14
22-21
17-12
25-17
14-25
21-23
17-19
16-18
19-17
17-19
10-21
26-26
8-18
164.5Avg total
77.6Scored
86.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)76.582.1158.6-5.638%
Season at home (11)75.779.1154.8-3.445%
Season away (10)77.385.4162.7-8.130%
Last 10 (10)77.686.9164.5-9.330%
Last 5 (5)72.689.2161.8-16.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)75.086.4161.4-11.431%
vs Similar (10)78.181.3159.4-3.230%
vs Weaker (7)87.477.6165.0+9.986%
This opponent (Samobor) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.9-1.9Q1: -2.7-2.7Q2Q2: +3.3+3.3Q2: -1.9-1.9Q3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q3: -2.4-2.4Q4Q4: -2.8-2.8Q4: -2.3-2.3
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.9-1.9Q1: -2.7-2.7Q2Q2: +3.3+3.3Q2: -1.9-1.9Q3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q3: -2.4-2.4Q4Q4: -2.8-2.8Q4: -2.3-2.3
SamoborKvarner
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SamoborLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Split
#2
L
52-55
52
55
-3
H19/12
Premijer liga
Zabok
#7
W
37-35
37
35
+2
A27/12
Premijer liga
Dubrovnik
#5
W
37-35
37
35
+2
H03/01
Premijer liga
Zadar
#1
L
34-48
34
48
-14
A09/01
Premijer liga
Dubrava
#6
L
41-47
41
47
-6
A18/01
Premijer liga
Alkar
#9
L
32-41
32
41
-9
H25/01
Premijer liga
GKK Sibenka
#12
W
48-28
48
28
+20
A01/02
Premijer liga
Cibona
#3
D
49-49
49
49
+0
H07/02
Premijer liga
Dinamo Zagreb
#10
W
59-43
59
43
+16
H15/02
Premijer liga
Cedevita Junior
#8
W
55-49
55
49
+6
H22/02
Premijer liga
87.4Avg total
44.4Scored
43.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.342.887.1+1.547%-
Last 30 at home (13)44.544.288.7+0.446%-
Last 30 away (17)44.141.885.9+2.347%-
Last 10 (10)44.443.087.4+1.450%-
Last 5 (5)48.642.090.6+6.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)41.048.389.3-7.317%-
vs Similar (10)40.839.380.1+1.550%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)48.243.091.2+5.257%-
This opponent (Kvarner) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KvarnerLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zabok
#7
L
44-48
44
48
-4
A21/12
Premijer liga
Zadar
#1
W
41-33
41
33
+8
H27/12
Premijer liga
Dubrava
#6
L
54-56
54
56
-2
A04/01
Premijer liga
GKK Sibenka
#12
L
37-39
37
39
-2
H10/01
Premijer liga
Dinamo Zagreb
#10
L
37-39
37
39
-2
A14/01
Premijer liga
Split
#2
L
44-60
44
60
-16
H17/01
Premijer liga
Dubrovnik
#5
L
37-54
37
54
-17
A24/01
Premijer liga
Cedevita Junior
#8
W
39-33
39
33
+6
H31/01
Premijer liga
Alkar
#9
L
38-42
38
42
-4
A08/02
Premijer liga
Cibona
#3
L
27-40
27
40
-13
H13/02
Premijer liga
84.2Avg total
39.8Scored
44.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.743.182.8-3.323%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.042.582.5-2.527%-
Last 30 away (15)39.543.683.1-4.120%-
Last 10 (10)39.844.484.2-4.620%-
Last 5 (5)37.045.882.8-8.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)38.743.682.3-4.931%-
vs Similar (10)40.442.683.0-2.220%-
vs Weaker (7)40.742.783.4-2.014%-
This opponent (Samobor) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Samobortheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Samobor: 85.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.2 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.9 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.0 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
48%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.218.6
51.4%
53.2%37.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.610.3
41.9%
34.2%30.9
🏀 Free throws22.417.0
75.9%
74.3%17.0
They take 60.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Kvarnertheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Kvarner: 78.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.6 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.3 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
48%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.516.8
48.7%
53.2%33.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.49.8
37.1%
34.2%29.4
🏀 Free throws20.515.3
74.6%
74.3%15.3
They take 60.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 07 Mar 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Samobor
WWLWLLLWWL
Kvarner
LLWLLLWLWL
#4
League position
#11
-2.4
Net rating
-5.0
102.3
Offensive rating
96.2
104.7
Defensive rating
101.2
56.0%
Effective FG%
51.7%
54.6%
Opp. effective FG%
52.4%
19.2%
Turnover %
18.3%
26.8%
Off. rebound %
25.0%
0.37
Free-throw rate
0.34
41.9%
3-point %
37.1%
59.5%
Assist %
58.6%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence102.3 · 96.2Defence104.7 · 101.2Shooting56.0% · 51.7%3-point %41.9% · 37.1%Ball care19.2% · 18.3%Off. rebounds26.8% · 25.0%Free throws0.37 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)50% · 30%
■ Samobor   ■ Kvarner
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Samobor wins
9
Kvarner wins
DateGameScore
13/12/25Kvarner v Samobor88-85
21/01/24Samobor v Kvarner82-86
29/11/23Kvarner v Samobor88-85
08/10/23Kvarner v Samobor91-70
17/12/22Kvarner v Samobor76-68
01/10/22Samobor v Kvarner61-65
22/04/22Kvarner v Samobor83-72
29/03/22Samobor v Kvarner74-53
15/01/22Kvarner v Samobor92-70
16/10/21Samobor v Kvarner63-74
Samoborlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/02/26HCedevita Junior96-93
15/02/26HDinamo Zagreb101-87
07/02/26HCibona88-90
01/02/26AGKK Sibenka95-78
25/01/26HAlkar71-77
18/01/26ADubrava77-91
09/01/26AZadar67-84
03/01/26HDubrovnik89-84
27/12/25AZabok80-70
19/12/25HSplit86-122
Kvarnerlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/02/26HCibona61-84
08/02/26AAlkar73-77
31/01/26HCedevita Junior78-75
24/01/26ADubrovnik74-98
17/01/26HSplit77-112
14/01/26ADinamo Zagreb78-94
10/01/26HGKK Sibenka84-70
04/01/26ADubrava92-96
27/12/25HZadar79-69
21/12/25AZabok80-94

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Samobor
Premijer liga 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW52%
HomeWLLWW60%
AwayLWLLW45%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211011
Win %52%60%45%
Points / game86.389.783.3
Allowed / game87.089.085.2
Point differential-0.7+0.7-1.9
Avg total173.3178.7168.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%20%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (10)75% (4)50% (6)
Overtime %5%0%9%
Kvarner
Premijer liga 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL38%
HomeWWLWL45%
AwayLLLLL30%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211110
Win %38%45%30%
Points / game76.575.777.3
Allowed / game82.179.185.4
Point differential-5.6-3.4-8.1
Avg total158.6154.8162.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%27%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (8)50% (4)50% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zadar2119290%87.470.2+17.1
2 Split2117481%91.580.2+11.3
3 Cibona2114767%84.377.4+7.0
4 Zabok2113862%81.379.2+2.1
5 Samobor21111052%86.387.0-0.7
6 Dubrovnik22111150%79.080.3-1.3
7 Alkar2191243%71.879.4-7.6
8 Dubrava2291341%83.286.2-3.0
9 Dinamo Zagreb2181338%84.987.3-2.4
10 Kvarner2181338%76.582.1-5.6
11 Cedevita Junior2261627%79.984.3-4.4
12 GKK Sibenka2231914%73.585.0-11.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Samobor1927231685
Kvarner2219202182
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.