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Dubrovnik vs Alkar Prediction & Stats

Date: Fri 29 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 16:00
Scheduled
Position#10
Record2-6
FormLWLLL
Points / game77.8
Allowed / game89.5
vs
Form · last 5 games
5.5/10
Above normal
4.8/10
Around normal
Position#8
Record2-5
FormLLLLW
Points / game80.7
Allowed / game82.7
CroatiaPremijer ligaRound 18· Sportska dvorana Gospino polje
Other2026-27
Meetings · Dubrovnik v Alkar
29 Jan 2027
DUBR v ALKA
upcoming
09 May 2026
DUBR87
ALKA70
14 Jan 2026
DUBR79
ALKA60
08 Apr 2025
DUBR95
ALKA78
09 Nov 2024
DUBR64
ALKA55
17 Apr 2024
DUBR76
ALKA72
25 Nov 2023
DUBR78
ALKA75
16 Mar 2013
DUBR76
ALKA77
15 Apr 2012
DUBR78
ALKA88
12 Nov 2011
DUBR78
ALKA69
27 Nov 2010
DUBR83
ALKA86
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Dubrovnik win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Alkar win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

DubrovnikCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormDubrovnik
Date
Competition
Zadar
#1
L
57-83
57
83
-26
42avg 74
A22/05
Premijer liga
Zadar
#1
L
68-81
68
81
-13
58avg 74
H25/05
Premijer liga
Split
#3
L
66-81
66
81
-15
58avg 74
H26/09
Premijer liga
Dinamo Zagreb
#4
L
85-94
85
94
-9
85avg 74
A03/10
Premijer liga
Zabok
#9
W
92-79
92
79
+13
92avg 74
H10/10
Premijer liga
Kvarner
#5
L
81-91
81
91
-10
73avg 74
H17/10
Premijer liga
Dubrava
#11
W
84-80
84
80
+4
83avg 74
A24/10
Premijer liga
Zadar
#1
L
71-105
71
105
-34
60avg 74
H30/10
Premijer liga
Alkar
#8
L
72-91
72
91
-19
no box
A08/11
Premijer liga
Cibona
#2
L
71-95
71
95
-24
no box
H14/11
Premijer liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-17
12-20
25-23
7-23
15-25
22-19
18-18
13-19
24-15
16-23
19-22
7-21
23-25
20-21
17-23
25-25
31-14
24-23
19-17
18-25
21-19
20-23
14-19
26-30
19-26
24-10
24-21
17-23
16-14
15-30
18-29
22-32
21-24
14-30
17-23
20-14
28-20
13-25
15-23
15-27
162.7Avg total
74.7Scored
88.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)77.889.5167.2-11.825%
Season at home (5)76.290.2166.4-14.020%
Season away (3)80.388.3168.7-8.033%
Last 10 (10)74.788.0162.7-13.320%
Last 5 (5)75.892.4168.2-16.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)73.287.5160.7-14.313%
vs Similar (12)84.081.9165.9+2.175%
vs Weaker (3)89.378.3167.7+11.0100%
This opponent (Alkar) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AlkarCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAlkar
Date
Competition
Cibona
#2
L
78-84
78
84
-6
64avg 68
H27/09
Premijer liga
Zrinjski Mostar
#17
W
92-87 OT
92
87
+5
86avg 68
A30/09
ENBL
Samobor
#12
W
95-91 OT
95
91
+4
96avg 68
A04/10
Premijer liga
Skrljevo
#6
L
73-88
73
88
-15
66avg 68
H10/10
Premijer liga
Spartak Pleven
#3
L
82-93
82
93
-11
76avg 68
A14/10
ENBL
Cedevita Junior
#7
L
78-83
78
83
-5
71avg 68
A18/10
Premijer liga
Split
#3
L
75-76
75
76
-1
64avg 68
H25/10
Premijer liga
Dinamo Zagreb
#4
L
75-85
75
85
-10
72avg 68
A30/10
Premijer liga
Donar Groningen
#8
L
80-92
80
92
-12
no box
H03/11
ENBL
Dubrovnik
#10
W
91-72
91
72
+19
no box
H08/11
Premijer liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-23
25-23
10-23
25-15
13-18
18-21
21-22
24-15
21-17
16-22
26-16
21-29
23-22
23-21
18-26
9-19
20-22
26-32
16-16
20-23
21-20
26-28
16-17
15-18
24-20
23-16
16-21
12-19
17-26
16-20
20-19
22-20
25-22
15-28
24-25
16-17
24-21
30-14
23-17
14-20
167.0Avg total
81.9Scored
85.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)80.782.7163.4-2.029%
Season at home (4)79.280.0159.2-0.825%
Season away (3)82.786.3169.0-3.733%
Last 10 (10)81.985.1167.0-3.230%
Last 5 (5)79.881.6161.4-1.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)71.280.9152.1-9.720%
vs Similar (6)80.382.2162.5-1.850%
vs Weaker ◀ (4)84.579.5164.0+5.075%
This opponent (Dubrovnik) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +1.2+1.2Q1: -0.5-0.5Q2Q2: -4.4-4.4Q2: -0.7-0.7Q3Q3: -3.2-3.2Q3: -1.2-1.2Q4Q4: -6.9-6.9Q4: -1.7-1.7
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +1.2+1.2Q1: -0.5-0.5Q2Q2: -4.4-4.4Q2: -0.7-0.7Q3Q3: -3.2-3.2Q3: -1.2-1.2Q4Q4: -6.9-6.9Q4: -1.7-1.7
DubrovnikAlkar
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
DubrovnikLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zadar
#1
L
25-37
25
37
-12
A22/05
Premijer liga
Zadar
#1
L
37-44
37
44
-7
H25/05
Premijer liga
Split
#3
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H26/09
Premijer liga
Dinamo Zagreb
#4
L
43-46
43
46
-3
A03/10
Premijer liga
Zabok
#9
W
55-37
55
37
+18
H10/10
Premijer liga
Kvarner
#5
L
41-42
41
42
-1
H17/10
Premijer liga
Dubrava
#11
W
43-36
43
36
+7
A24/10
Premijer liga
Zadar
#1
L
31-44
31
44
-13
H30/10
Premijer liga
Alkar
#8
L
35-54
35
54
-19
A08/11
Premijer liga
Cibona
#2
L
41-45
41
45
-4
H14/11
Premijer liga
81.4Avg total
39.1Scored
42.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.942.183.0-1.250%-
Last 30 at home (17)42.440.582.9+1.853%-
Last 30 away (13)39.144.283.2-5.146%-
Last 10 (10)39.142.381.4-3.230%-
Last 5 (5)38.244.282.4-6.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)38.544.182.5-5.620%-
vs Similar (12)42.841.283.9+1.675%-
vs Weaker (3)46.036.082.0+10.0100%-
This opponent (Alkar) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AlkarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cibona
#2
L
43-46
43
46
-3
H27/09
Premijer liga
Zrinjski Mostar
#17
L
31-39
31
39
-8
A30/09
ENBL
Samobor
#12
L
37-39
37
39
-2
A04/10
Premijer liga
Skrljevo
#6
W
46-43
46
43
+3
H10/10
Premijer liga
Spartak Pleven
#3
L
46-54
46
54
-8
A14/10
ENBL
Cedevita Junior
#7
L
47-48
47
48
-1
A18/10
Premijer liga
Split
#3
W
47-36
47
36
+11
H25/10
Premijer liga
Dinamo Zagreb
#4
L
33-46
33
46
-13
A30/10
Premijer liga
Donar Groningen
#8
L
40-50
40
50
-10
H03/11
ENBL
Dubrovnik
#10
W
54-35
54
35
+19
H08/11
Premijer liga
86.0Avg total
42.4Scored
43.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.740.177.8-2.433%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.437.676.0+0.847%-
Last 30 away (15)37.042.779.7-5.720%-
Last 10 (10)42.443.686.0-1.230%-
Last 5 (5)44.243.087.2+1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)35.539.975.4-4.420%-
vs Similar (6)39.540.580.0-1.067%-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)45.840.886.5+5.050%-
This opponent (Dubrovnik) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Dubrovniktheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Dubrovnik: 76.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.0 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.1 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.4 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.3 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.119.5
52.6%
54.8%39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.86.7
27.0%
34.2%20.1
🏀 Free throws22.817.4
76.3%
71.7%17.4
They take 61.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Alkartheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alkar: 80.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.2 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.0 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.3 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.621.1
56.1%
54.8%42.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.48.4
31.8%
34.2%25.2
🏀 Free throws19.413.0
67.0%
71.7%13.0
They take 64.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 29 Jan 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Dubrovnik
LLLWLWLLLL
Alkar
WLLLLLLWWL
#10
League position
#8
-8.2
Net rating
-6.7
90.6
Offensive rating
93.5
98.8
Defensive rating
100.3
47.7%
Effective FG%
52.7%
55.2%
Opp. effective FG%
55.0%
16.0%
Turnover %
15.9%
0.37
Free-throw rate
0.30
27.0%
3-point %
31.8%
73.7%
Assist %
58.3%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence90.6 · 93.5Defence98.8 · 100.3Shooting47.7% · 52.7%3-point %27.0% · 31.8%Ball care16.0% · 15.9%Free throws0.37 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)20% · 30%
■ Dubrovnik   ■ Alkar
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Dubrovnik wins
3
Alkar wins
DateGameScore
08/11/26Alkar v Dubrovnik91-72
09/05/26Dubrovnik v Alkar87-70
14/01/26Dubrovnik v Alkar79-60
26/10/25Alkar v Dubrovnik70-72
08/04/25Dubrovnik v Alkar95-78
25/01/25Alkar v Dubrovnik73-64
09/11/24Dubrovnik v Alkar64-55
17/04/24Dubrovnik v Alkar76-72
10/02/24Alkar v Dubrovnik58-57
25/11/23Dubrovnik v Alkar78-75
Dubrovniklast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HCibona71-95
08/11/26AAlkar72-91
30/10/26HZadar71-105
24/10/26ADubrava84-80
17/10/26HKvarner81-91
10/10/26HZabok92-79
03/10/26ADinamo Zagreb85-94
26/09/26HSplit66-81
25/05/26HZadar68-81
22/05/26AZadar57-83
Alkarlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/11/26HDubrovnik91-72
03/11/26HDonar Groningen80-92
30/10/26ADinamo Zagreb75-85
25/10/26HSplit75-76
18/10/26ACedevita Junior78-83
14/10/26ASpartak Pleven82-93
10/10/26HSkrljevo73-88
04/10/26ASamobor95-91 OT
30/09/26AZrinjski Mostar92-87 OT
27/09/26HCibona78-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Dubrovnik
Premijer liga 2026-27
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL25%
HomeLWLLL20%
AwayLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games853
Win %25%20%33%
Points / game77.876.280.3
Allowed / game89.590.288.3
Point differential-11.8-14.0-8.0
Avg total167.2166.4168.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%20%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Alkar
Premijer liga 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW29%
HomeLLLW25%
AwayWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %29%25%33%
Points / game80.779.282.7
Allowed / game82.780.086.3
Point differential-2.0-0.8-3.7
Avg total163.4159.2169.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %14%0%33%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zadar770100%94.367.0+27.3
2 Cibona880100%90.976.1+14.8
3 Split86275%81.976.1+5.8
4 Dinamo Zagreb85362%77.281.2-4.0
5 Kvarner74357%88.983.9+5.0
6 Skrljevo84450%83.283.6-0.4
7 Cedevita Junior84450%79.888.9-9.1
8 Alkar72529%80.782.7-2.0
9 Zabok82625%77.683.0-5.4
10 Dubrovnik82625%77.889.5-11.8
11 Dubrava71614%74.685.0-10.4
12 Samobor81712%76.683.9-7.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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