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Alkar vs Dubrovnik Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 10 Feb 2024
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 58-57
18-15 13-13 10-20 17-9
Position#11
Record4-15
FormWLLLL
Points / game76.0
Allowed / game86.1
Alkar 🏆
Croatia
vs
Position#8
Record9-11
FormWLWLL
Points / game77.0
Allowed / game79.5
CroatiaPremijer ligaRound 21· GSD Ivica Glavan-Ico
Other2023-24
Meetings · Alkar v Dubrovnik
08 Nov 2026
ALKA91
DUBR72
26 Oct 2025
ALKA70
DUBR72
25 Jan 2025
ALKA73
DUBR64
10 Feb 2024
ALKA58
DUBR57
01 Dec 2012
ALKA80
DUBR52
24 Mar 2012
ALKA81
DUBR78
18 Feb 2012
ALKA101
DUBR85
05 Mar 2011
ALKA84
DUBR72
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Alkar winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Dubrovnik winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AlkarCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAlkar
Date
Competition
Osijek
#8
L
78-81
78
81
-3
77avg 70
A29/11
Croatian Cup
Dinamo Zagreb
#5
L
53-76
53
76
-23
41avg 70
H03/12
Premijer liga
Dubrava
#9
W
74-73 OT
74
73
+1
no box
H09/12
Premijer liga
Cibona
#3
L
76-89
76
89
-13
72avg 70
A18/12
Premijer liga
Zadar
#1
L
70-84
70
84
-14
61avg 70
H20/12
Premijer liga
GKK Sibenka
#10
W
81-73
81
73
+8
77avg 70
H05/01
Premijer liga
Skrljevo
#12
L
88-94
88
94
-6
85avg 70
A13/01
Premijer liga
Zabok
#7
L
80-95
80
95
-15
74avg 70
H20/01
Premijer liga
Split
#2
L
86-91
86
91
-5
87avg 70
H31/01
Premijer liga
Cedevita Junior
#4
L
81-95
81
95
-14
72avg 70
A04/02
Premijer liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-28
18-18
17-19
19-16
12-22
16-15
10-22
15-17
19-15
17-15
15-16
15-20
27-34
23-21
8-20
18-14
17-18
21-17
11-21
21-28
19-13
16-25
27-20
19-15
21-20
24-29
16-24
27-21
16-21
21-18
23-29
20-27
15-21
26-20
19-26
26-24
13-25
31-27
21-21
16-22
161.8Avg total
76.7Scored
85.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)76.086.1162.1-10.121%
Season at home (10)75.383.4158.7-8.130%
Season away (9)76.889.0165.8-12.211%
Last 10 (10)76.785.1161.8-8.420%
Last 5 (5)83.289.6172.8-6.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)70.787.3158.0-16.50%
vs Similar ◀ (13)86.883.5170.2+3.354%
vs Weaker (5)82.288.2170.4-6.020%
This opponent (Dubrovnik) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DubrovnikCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormDubrovnik
Date
Competition
Skrljevo
#12
W
86-72
86
72
+14
79avg 66
A02/12
Premijer liga
Zabok
#7
L
79-92
79
92
-13
70avg 66
A09/12
Premijer liga
Bosco
#13
W
108-87
108
87
+21
101avg 66
H17/12
Premijer liga
Split
#2
L
77-91
77
91
-14
62avg 66
A20/12
Premijer liga
Cedevita Junior
#4
L
73-79
73
79
-6
60avg 66
H07/01
Premijer liga
GKK Sibenka
#10
W
88-77
88
77
+11
86avg 66
A13/01
Premijer liga
Dinamo Zagreb
#5
L
66-84
66
84
-18
54avg 66
A21/01
Premijer liga
Dubrava
#9
W
78-72
78
72
+6
65avg 66
H28/01
Premijer liga
Cibona
#3
L
55-83
55
83
-28
41avg 66
A31/01
Premijer liga
Zadar
#1
L
64-83
64
83
-19
46avg 66
H04/02
Premijer liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-11
16-20
21-17
18-24
25-20
13-30
29-15
12-27
21-15
42-22
26-19
19-31
22-27
21-21
19-22
15-21
21-20
22-21
15-21
15-17
19-12
32-24
17-18
20-23
18-18
12-20
13-26
23-20
10-21
12-13
23-20
33-18
13-19
8-23
11-24
23-17
13-16
8-21
20-25
23-21
159.4Avg total
77.4Scored
82.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)77.079.5156.4-2.545%
Season at home (10)77.877.7155.5+0.150%
Season away (10)76.281.2157.4-5.040%
Last 10 (10)77.482.0159.4-4.640%
Last 5 (5)70.279.8150.0-9.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)69.685.5155.1-15.90%
vs Similar ◀ (8)75.073.5148.5+1.575%
vs Weaker (11)84.466.4150.7+18.091%
This opponent (Alkar) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -3.4-3.4Q1: +1.4+1.4Q2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q2: -2.9-2.9Q3Q3: -5.1-5.1Q3: -1.3-1.3Q4Q4: -0.8-0.8Q4: -1.8-1.8
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -3.4-3.4Q1: +1.4+1.4Q2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q2: -2.9-2.9Q3Q3: -5.1-5.1Q3: -1.3-1.3Q4Q4: -0.8-0.8Q4: -1.8-1.8
AlkarDubrovnik
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AlkarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Osijek
#8
L
42-46
42
46
-4
A29/11
Croatian Cup
Dinamo Zagreb
#5
L
28-37
28
37
-9
H03/12
Premijer liga
Dubrava
#9
W
36-30
36
30
+6
H09/12
Premijer liga
Cibona
#3
L
50-55
50
55
-5
A18/12
Premijer liga
Zadar
#1
W
38-35
38
35
+3
H20/12
Premijer liga
GKK Sibenka
#10
L
35-38
35
38
-3
H05/01
Premijer liga
Skrljevo
#12
L
45-49
45
49
-4
A13/01
Premijer liga
Zabok
#7
L
37-39
37
39
-2
H20/01
Premijer liga
Split
#2
D
41-41
41
41
+0
H31/01
Premijer liga
Cedevita Junior
#4
L
44-52
44
52
-8
A04/02
Premijer liga
81.8Avg total
39.6Scored
42.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.843.283.0-3.523%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.439.778.1-1.327%-
Last 30 away (15)41.146.787.9-5.620%-
Last 10 (10)39.642.281.8-2.620%-
Last 5 (5)40.443.884.2-3.40%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)36.844.981.7-8.19%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)42.840.983.8+1.946%-
vs Weaker (5)37.845.082.8-7.20%-
This opponent (Dubrovnik) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DubrovnikLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Skrljevo
#12
W
47-31
47
31
+16
A02/12
Premijer liga
Zabok
#7
L
38-50
38
50
-12
A09/12
Premijer liga
Bosco
#13
W
63-37
63
37
+26
H17/12
Premijer liga
Split
#2
L
43-48
43
48
-5
A20/12
Premijer liga
Cedevita Junior
#4
W
43-41
43
41
+2
H07/01
Premijer liga
GKK Sibenka
#10
W
51-36
51
36
+15
A13/01
Premijer liga
Dinamo Zagreb
#5
L
30-38
30
38
-8
A21/01
Premijer liga
Dubrava
#9
L
22-34
22
34
-12
H28/01
Premijer liga
Cibona
#3
L
21-42
21
42
-21
A31/01
Premijer liga
Zadar
#1
L
21-37
21
37
-16
H04/02
Premijer liga
77.3Avg total
37.9Scored
39.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.638.976.5-1.343%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.637.476.1+1.257%-
Last 30 away (16)36.740.176.8-3.431%-
Last 10 (10)37.939.477.3-1.540%-
Last 5 (5)29.037.466.4-8.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)34.144.778.8-10.620%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)34.838.573.2-3.838%-
vs Weaker (11)43.333.576.8+9.773%-
This opponent (Alkar) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Alkartheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alkar: 76.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.2 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.8 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.4 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.920.1
54.5%
53.6%40.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.38.4
34.6%
34.6%25.2
🏀 Free throws16.710.8
64.7%
73.4%10.8
They take 61.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Dubrovniktheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Dubrovnik: 76.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.6 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.8 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.4 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.418.8
53.1%
53.6%37.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.38.6
30.4%
34.6%25.8
🏀 Free throws17.912.8
71.5%
73.4%12.8
They take 63.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 10 Feb 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Alkar
LLLLWLLWLL
Dubrovnik
LLWLWLLWLW
#11
League position
#8
-11.3
Net rating
-7.0
100.4
Offensive rating
106.5
111.7
Defensive rating
113.5
53.4%
Effective FG%
49.8%
55.4%
Opp. effective FG%
59.0%
21.0%
Turnover %
15.2%
25.0%
Off. rebound %
28.5%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.28
34.6%
3-point %
30.4%
69.5%
Assist %
59.9%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence100.4 · 106.5Defence111.7 · 113.5Shooting53.4% · 49.8%3-point %34.6% · 30.4%Ball care21.0% · 15.2%Off. rebounds25.0% · 28.5%Free throws0.27 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)20% · 40%
■ Alkar   ■ Dubrovnik
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Alkar wins
2
Dubrovnik wins
DateGameScore
25/11/23Dubrovnik v Alkar78-75
16/03/13Dubrovnik v Alkar76-77
01/12/12Alkar v Dubrovnik80-52
15/04/12Dubrovnik v Alkar78-88
24/03/12Alkar v Dubrovnik81-78
18/02/12Alkar v Dubrovnik101-85
12/11/11Dubrovnik v Alkar78-69
05/03/11Alkar v Dubrovnik84-72
27/11/10Dubrovnik v Alkar83-86
Alkarlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/02/24ACedevita Junior81-95
31/01/24HSplit86-91
20/01/24HZabok80-95
13/01/24ASkrljevo88-94
05/01/24HGKK Sibenka81-73
20/12/23HZadar70-84
18/12/23ACibona76-89
09/12/23HDubrava74-73 OT
03/12/23HDinamo Zagreb53-76
29/11/23AOsijek78-81
Dubrovniklast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/02/24HZadar64-83
31/01/24ACibona55-83
28/01/24HDubrava78-72
21/01/24ADinamo Zagreb66-84
13/01/24AGKK Sibenka88-77
07/01/24HCedevita Junior73-79
20/12/23ASplit77-91
17/12/23HBosco108-87
09/12/23AZabok79-92
02/12/23ASkrljevo86-72

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Alkar
Premijer liga 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL21%
HomeWLWLL30%
AwayLLLLL11%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19109
Win %21%30%11%
Points / game76.075.376.8
Allowed / game86.183.489.0
Point differential-10.1-8.1-12.2
Avg total162.1158.7165.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)67% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %11%20%0%
Dubrovnik
Premijer liga 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL45%
HomeWWLWL50%
AwayLLWLL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %45%50%40%
Points / game77.077.876.2
Allowed / game79.577.781.2
Point differential-2.5+0.1-5.0
Avg total156.4155.5157.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%20%30%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)67% (3)100% (1)
Overtime %5%0%10%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zadar2018290%88.271.8+16.4
2 Split2118386%86.471.6+14.8
3 Cibona2016480%80.274.2+6.0
4 Cedevita Junior2013765%85.881.5+4.3
5 Dinamo Zagreb2112957%83.576.5+7.0
6 Zabok21101148%83.282.9+0.3
7 GKK Sibenka1991047%80.279.7+0.5
8 Dubrovnik2091145%77.079.5-2.5
9 Dubrava1961332%80.584.5-4.0
10 Alkar1941521%76.086.1-10.1
11 Skrljevo2041620%81.692.6-11.0
12 Bosco201195%72.095.5-23.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Alkar1813101758
Dubrovnik151320957
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