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Alkar vs Dubrovnik Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 26 Oct 2025
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 70-72
16-15 15-23 18-17 21-17
Position#9
Record3-1
FormWWLLL
Points / game72.5
Allowed / game72.2
vs
Position#5
Record2-2
FormWLLWW
Points / game80.5
Allowed / game83.5
CroatiaPremijer ligaRound 5· GSD Ivica Glavan-Ico
Other2025-26
Meetings · Alkar v Dubrovnik
08 Nov 2026
ALKA91
DUBR72
26 Oct 2025
ALKA70
DUBR72
25 Jan 2025
ALKA73
DUBR64
10 Feb 2024
ALKA58
DUBR57
01 Dec 2012
ALKA80
DUBR52
24 Mar 2012
ALKA81
DUBR78
18 Feb 2012
ALKA101
DUBR85
05 Mar 2011
ALKA84
DUBR72
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Alkar winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Dubrovnik winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AlkarCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAlkar
Date
Competition
Cibona
#5
W
90-85
90
85
+5
87avg 66
A10/05
Premijer liga
Split
#2
L
71-97
71
97
-26
63avg 66
A15/05
Premijer liga
Split
#2
W
83-72
83
72
+11
74avg 66
H18/05
Premijer liga
Split
#2
L
81-96
81
96
-15
74avg 66
A21/05
Premijer liga
Dubrava
#6
W
82-74
82
74
+8
82avg 66
H27/09
Premijer liga
GKK Sibenka
#12
W
72-64
72
64
+8
61avg 66
A04/10
Premijer liga
Dinamo Zagreb
#10
W
74-72
74
72
+2
62avg 66
H11/10
Premijer liga
Voluntari
#3
L
72-92
72
92
-20
62avg 66
A14/10
ENBL
Split
#2
L
62-79
62
79
-17
57avg 66
A17/10
Premijer liga
Bristol Flyers
#19
L
76-81
76
81
-5
75avg 66
H21/10
ENBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-30
28-11
22-22
23-22
15-22
22-27
16-22
18-26
19-14
26-18
21-22
17-18
30-28
14-28
13-19
24-21
17-23
24-14
19-12
22-25
25-18
9-20
19-16
19-10
23-12
14-21
17-18
20-21
10-25
27-25
26-31
9-11
23-20
9-22
18-21
12-16
12-16
22-17
17-23
25-25
157.5Avg total
76.3Scored
81.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)72.572.2144.8+0.275%
Season at home (2)78.073.0151.0+5.0100%
Season away (2)67.071.5138.5-4.550%
Last 10 (10)76.381.2157.5-4.950%
Last 5 (5)71.277.6148.8-6.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)73.580.9154.4-7.440%
vs Similar (7)73.968.3142.1+5.686%
vs Weaker (3)74.057.0131.0+17.0100%
This opponent (Dubrovnik) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DubrovnikCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormDubrovnik
Date
Competition
Zabok
#8
L
75-91
75
91
-16
72avg 73
H19/04
Premijer liga
Split
#2
L
89-93
89
93
-4
82avg 73
A26/04
Premijer liga
Dubrava
#9
W
96-86
96
86
+10
94avg 73
H04/05
Premijer liga
Zadar
#1
L
61-91
61
91
-30
50avg 73
A09/05
Premijer liga
Mladost
#13
W
105-95
105
95
+10
105avg 73
H14/05
Premijer liga
Mladost
#13
W
94-84
94
84
+10
94avg 73
A17/05
Premijer liga
Dinamo Zagreb
#10
L
77-83
77
83
-6
75avg 73
H27/09
Premijer liga
Split
#2
L
68-90
68
90
-22
59avg 73
A01/10
Premijer liga
Samobor
#4
W
83-80
83
80
+3
76avg 73
H10/10
Premijer liga
Cedevita Junior
#8
W
94-81
94
81
+13
100avg 73
A18/10
Premijer liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-18
20-30
22-22
15-21
23-24
15-19
29-22
22-28
31-21
19-16
20-27
26-22
15-28
11-21
13-17
22-25
34-28
23-15
23-27
25-25
26-20
25-21
20-27
23-16
19-17
16-23
26-17
16-26
24-20
12-24
19-24
13-22
22-14
20-20
20-25
21-21
21-24
24-23
29-11
20-23
171.6Avg total
84.2Scored
87.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)80.583.5164.0-3.050%
Season at home (2)80.081.5161.5-1.550%
Season away (2)81.085.5166.5-4.550%
Last 10 (10)84.287.4171.6-3.250%
Last 5 (5)83.283.6166.8-0.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)75.888.5164.3-12.68%
vs Similar (11)83.182.9166.0+0.245%
vs Weaker ◀ (5)88.483.0171.4+5.480%
This opponent (Alkar) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -1.7-1.7Q1: +1.9+1.9Q2Q2: -0.8-0.8Q2: -2.7-2.7Q3Q3: -1.8-1.8Q3: +0.2+0.2Q4Q4: -0.6-0.6Q4: -2.6-2.6
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -1.7-1.7Q1: +1.9+1.9Q2Q2: -0.8-0.8Q2: -2.7-2.7Q3Q3: -1.8-1.8Q3: +0.2+0.2Q4Q4: -0.6-0.6Q4: -2.6-2.6
AlkarDubrovnik
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AlkarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cibona
#5
W
45-41
45
41
+4
A10/05
Premijer liga
Split
#2
L
37-49
37
49
-12
A15/05
Premijer liga
Split
#2
W
45-32
45
32
+13
H18/05
Premijer liga
Split
#2
L
44-56
44
56
-12
A21/05
Premijer liga
Dubrava
#6
W
41-37
41
37
+4
H27/09
Premijer liga
GKK Sibenka
#12
L
34-38
34
38
-4
A04/10
Premijer liga
Dinamo Zagreb
#10
W
37-33
37
33
+4
H11/10
Premijer liga
Voluntari
#3
L
37-50
37
50
-13
A14/10
ENBL
Split
#2
L
32-42
32
42
-10
A17/10
Premijer liga
Bristol Flyers
#19
W
34-33
34
33
+1
H21/10
ENBL
79.7Avg total
38.6Scored
41.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.438.575.9-1.150%-
Last 30 at home (15)35.734.870.5+0.967%-
Last 30 away (15)39.142.281.3-3.133%-
Last 10 (10)38.641.179.7-2.550%-
Last 5 (5)34.839.274.0-4.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)37.940.478.2-2.550%-
vs Similar (7)37.337.674.9-0.343%-
vs Weaker (3)34.728.363.0+6.367%-
This opponent (Dubrovnik) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DubrovnikLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zabok
#8
L
38-48
38
48
-10
H19/04
Premijer liga
Split
#2
L
38-43
38
43
-5
A26/04
Premijer liga
Dubrava
#9
W
50-37
50
37
+13
H04/05
Premijer liga
Zadar
#1
L
26-49
26
49
-23
A09/05
Premijer liga
Mladost
#13
W
57-43
57
43
+14
H14/05
Premijer liga
Mladost
#13
W
51-41
51
41
+10
A17/05
Premijer liga
Dinamo Zagreb
#10
L
35-40
35
40
-5
H27/09
Premijer liga
Split
#2
L
36-44
36
44
-8
A01/10
Premijer liga
Samobor
#4
W
42-34
42
34
+8
H10/10
Premijer liga
Cedevita Junior
#8
L
45-47
45
47
-2
A18/10
Premijer liga
84.4Avg total
41.8Scored
42.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.243.483.7-3.237%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.841.083.8+1.864%-
Last 30 away (16)38.045.683.6-7.612%-
Last 10 (10)41.842.684.4-0.840%-
Last 5 (5)41.841.283.0+0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)36.246.282.5-10.00%-
vs Similar (11)41.840.682.5+1.255%-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)48.840.689.4+8.2100%-
This opponent (Alkar) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Alkartheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alkar: 75.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.6 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.4 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
48%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.817.8
48.4%
53.2%35.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.49.1
35.8%
34.2%27.3
🏀 Free throws15.812.4
78.5%
74.3%12.4
They take 62.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Dubrovniktheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Dubrovnik: 83.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.4 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.9 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
48%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.122.2
55.4%
53.2%44.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.28.3
35.8%
34.2%24.9
🏀 Free throws19.913.9
69.8%
74.3%13.9
They take 63.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 26 Oct 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Alkar
LLLWWWLWLW
Dubrovnik
WWLLWWLWLL
#9
League position
#5
-6.9
Net rating
-4.5
102.2
Offensive rating
109.0
109.1
Defensive rating
113.5
50.6%
Effective FG%
54.7%
51.8%
Opp. effective FG%
55.1%
17.6%
Turnover %
21.6%
23.6%
Off. rebound %
35.5%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.31
35.8%
3-point %
35.8%
67.3%
Assist %
67.9%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence102.2 · 109.0Defence109.1 · 113.5Shooting50.6% · 54.7%3-point %35.8% · 35.8%Ball care17.6% · 21.6%Off. rebounds23.6% · 35.5%Free throws0.25 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)50% · 50%
■ Alkar   ■ Dubrovnik
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Alkar wins
4
Dubrovnik wins
DateGameScore
08/04/25Dubrovnik v Alkar95-78
25/01/25Alkar v Dubrovnik73-64
09/11/24Dubrovnik v Alkar64-55
17/04/24Dubrovnik v Alkar76-72
10/02/24Alkar v Dubrovnik58-57
25/11/23Dubrovnik v Alkar78-75
16/03/13Dubrovnik v Alkar76-77
01/12/12Alkar v Dubrovnik80-52
15/04/12Dubrovnik v Alkar78-88
24/03/12Alkar v Dubrovnik81-78
Alkarlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/10/25HBristol Flyers76-81
17/10/25ASplit62-79
14/10/25AVoluntari72-92
11/10/25HDinamo Zagreb74-72
04/10/25AGKK Sibenka72-64
27/09/25HDubrava82-74
21/05/25ASplit81-96
18/05/25HSplit83-72
15/05/25ASplit71-97
10/05/25ACibona90-85
Dubrovniklast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/10/25ACedevita Junior94-81
10/10/25HSamobor83-80
01/10/25ASplit68-90
27/09/25HDinamo Zagreb77-83
17/05/25AMladost94-84
14/05/25HMladost105-95
09/05/25AZadar61-91
04/05/25HDubrava96-86
26/04/25ASplit89-93
19/04/25HZabok75-91

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Alkar
Premijer liga 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWL75%
HomeWW100%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %75%100%50%
Points / game72.578.067.0
Allowed / game72.273.071.5
Point differential+0.2+5.0-4.5
Avg total144.8151.0138.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Dubrovnik
Premijer liga 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWW50%
HomeLW50%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game80.580.081.0
Allowed / game83.581.585.5
Point differential-3.0-1.5-4.5
Avg total164.0161.5166.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%0%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zadar440100%91.278.0+13.2
2 Split54180%82.276.8+5.4
3 Dinamo Zagreb43175%78.874.2+4.5
4 Alkar43175%72.572.2+0.2
5 Zabok53260%82.477.0+5.4
6 Cibona42250%88.582.2+6.2
7 Dubrovnik42250%80.583.5-3.0
8 Cedevita Junior52340%85.083.0+2.0
9 Samobor52340%83.487.2-3.8
10 Dubrava41325%77.083.2-6.2
11 Kvarner51420%68.476.6-8.2
12 GKK Sibenka5050%69.882.6-12.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Alkar1615182170
Dubrovnik1523171772
← all games of the day
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