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Duke vs Arizona Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 28 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 01:39
Final 100-93
48-42 52-51
Position#7
Record33-3
FormWWWWW
Points / game83.2
Allowed / game61.7
Duke 🏆
USA
vs
Arizona
USA
Position#88
Record24-12
FormWWLWW
Points / game82.2
Allowed / game72.5
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · Duke v Arizona
27 Mar 2025
DUKE100
ARIZ93
10 Nov 2023
DUKE73
ARIZ78
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Duke winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Arizona winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

DukeUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Illinois
#100
W
110-67
110
67
+43
A23/02
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#344
W
97-60
97
60
+37
A26/02
NCAA
Florida State
#177
W
100-65
100
65
+35
H02/03
NCAA
Wake Forest
#87
W
93-60
93
60
+33
H04/03
NCAA
North Carolina
#111
W
82-69
82
69
+13
A08/03
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#196
W
78-70
78
70
+8
H13/03
NCAA
North Carolina
#111
W
74-71
74
71
+3
H14/03
NCAA
Louisville
#26
W
73-62
73
62
+11
H16/03
NCAA
Mount St. Mary's
#112
W
93-49
93
49
+44
H21/03
NCAA
Baylor
#149
W
89-66
89
66
+23
H23/03
NCAA
1H
2H
54-37
56-30
47-32
50-28
47-30
53-35
40-27
53-33
43-42
39-27
26-31
52-39
45-24
29-47
33-38
40-24
54-28
39-21
47-30
42-36
152.8Avg total
88.9Scored
63.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (36)83.261.7144.8+21.592%
Season at home (24)83.561.4144.9+22.192%
Season away (12)82.562.2144.7+20.392%
Last 10 (10)88.963.9152.8+25.0100%
Last 5 (5)81.463.6145.0+17.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (30)83.361.9145.2+21.497%
This opponent (Arizona) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ArizonaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brigham Young
#48
L
95-96
95
96
-1
H23/02
NCAA
Utah Utes
#206
W
83-66
83
66
+17
H27/02
NCAA
Iowa State
#50
L
67-84
67
84
-17
A02/03
NCAA
Arizona State
#285
W
113-100
113
100
+13
H05/03
NCAA
Kansas
#114
L
76-83
76
83
-7
A08/03
NCAA
Kansas
#114
W
88-77
88
77
+11
H14/03
NCAA
Texas Tech
#33
W
86-80
86
80
+6
A15/03
NCAA
Houston
#9
L
64-72
64
72
-8
A15/03
NCAA
Akron
#21
W
93-65
93
65
+28
H21/03
NCAA
Oregon
#52
W
87-83
87
83
+4
H24/03
NCAA
1H
2H
44-47
51-49
46-32
37-34
30-43
37-41
55-47
58-53
30-39
46-44
45-37
43-40
47-39
39-41
33-28
31-44
41-31
52-34
42-38
45-45
165.8Avg total
85.2Scored
80.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (36)82.272.5154.7+9.767%
Season at home (22)86.370.4156.7+15.977%
Season away (14)75.775.9151.6-0.150%
Last 10 (10)85.280.6165.8+4.660%
Last 5 (5)83.675.4159.0+8.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)61.067.0128.0-6.00%
vs Similar (15)80.374.5154.8+5.767%
vs Weaker (13)85.771.2156.9+14.585%
This opponent (Duke) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-17-8+0+8+171st half1st half: +11.7+11.71st half: +3.2+3.22nd half2nd half: +13.3+13.32nd half: +1.4+1.4
-17-8+0+8+171st half1st half: +11.7+11.71st half: +3.2+3.22nd half2nd half: +13.3+13.32nd half: +1.4+1.4
DukeArizona
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
DukeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Illinois
#100
W
54-37
54
37
+17
A23/02
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#344
W
47-32
47
32
+15
A26/02
NCAA
Florida State
#177
W
47-30
47
30
+17
H02/03
NCAA
Wake Forest
#87
W
40-27
40
27
+13
H04/03
NCAA
North Carolina
#111
W
43-42
43
42
+1
A08/03
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#196
L
26-31
26
31
-5
H13/03
NCAA
North Carolina
#111
W
45-24
45
24
+21
H14/03
NCAA
Louisville
#26
L
33-38
33
38
-5
H16/03
NCAA
Mount St. Mary's
#112
W
54-28
54
28
+26
H21/03
NCAA
Baylor
#149
W
47-30
47
30
+17
H23/03
NCAA
75.5Avg total
43.6Scored
31.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.429.970.3+10.587%-
Last 30 at home (19)39.828.368.2+11.584%-
Last 30 away (11)41.432.674.0+8.791%-
Last 10 (10)43.631.975.5+11.780%-
Last 5 (5)41.030.271.2+10.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (30)40.429.970.3+10.587%-
This opponent (Arizona) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ArizonaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brigham Young
#48
L
44-47
44
47
-3
H23/02
NCAA
Utah Utes
#206
W
46-32
46
32
+14
H27/02
NCAA
Iowa State
#50
L
30-43
30
43
-13
A02/03
NCAA
Arizona State
#285
W
55-47
55
47
+8
H05/03
NCAA
Kansas
#114
L
30-39
30
39
-9
A08/03
NCAA
Kansas
#114
W
45-37
45
37
+8
H14/03
NCAA
Texas Tech
#33
W
47-39
47
39
+8
A15/03
NCAA
Houston
#9
W
33-28
33
28
+5
A15/03
NCAA
Akron
#21
W
41-31
41
31
+10
H21/03
NCAA
Oregon
#52
W
42-38
42
38
+4
H24/03
NCAA
79.4Avg total
41.3Scored
38.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.734.073.6+5.773%-
Last 30 at home (17)42.433.175.4+9.388%-
Last 30 away (13)36.235.271.3+1.054%-
Last 10 (10)41.338.179.4+3.270%-
Last 5 (5)41.634.676.2+7.0100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)31.526.558.0+5.0100%-
vs Similar (15)39.135.374.4+3.760%-
vs Weaker (13)41.633.575.2+8.185%-
This opponent (Duke) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Duke wins
1
Arizona wins
DateGameScore
23/11/24Arizona v Duke55-69
11/11/23Duke v Arizona73-78
Dukelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/03/25HBaylor89-66
21/03/25HMount St. Mary's93-49
16/03/25HLouisville73-62
14/03/25HNorth Carolina74-71
13/03/25HGeorgia Tech78-70
08/03/25ANorth Carolina82-69
04/03/25HWake Forest93-60
02/03/25HFlorida State100-65
26/02/25AMiami (FL)97-60
23/02/25AIllinois110-67
Arizonalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/03/25HOregon87-83
21/03/25HAkron93-65
15/03/25AHouston64-72
15/03/25ATexas Tech86-80
14/03/25HKansas88-77
08/03/25AKansas76-83
05/03/25HArizona State113-100
02/03/25AIowa State67-84
27/02/25HUtah Utes83-66
23/02/25HBrigham Young95-96

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Duke
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW92%
HomeWWWWW92%
AwayLWWWW92%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games362412
Win %92%92%92%
Points / game83.283.582.5
Allowed / game61.761.462.2
Point differential+21.5+22.1+20.3
Avg total144.8144.9144.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+78%75%83%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)33% (3)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Arizona
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW67%
HomeWWWWW77%
AwayWLLWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games362214
Win %67%77%50%
Points / game82.286.375.7
Allowed / game72.570.475.9
Point differential+9.7+15.9-0.1
Avg total154.7156.7151.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+44%59%21%
Close games (≤5 pts) won29% (7)20% (5)50% (2)
Overtime %6%5%7%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Duke3633392%83.261.7+21.5
2 Clemson3427779%76.165.8+10.3
3 Louisville3527877%78.569.5+9.0
4 SMU Mustangs33231070%80.071.1+8.9
5 Wake Forest32211166%70.268.0+2.2
6 North Carolina37231462%80.774.7+6.1
7 Stanford33201361%73.070.6+2.4
8 Pittsburgh32171553%75.970.8+5.0
9 Florida State32171553%74.572.5+2.0
10 Georgia Tech33171652%73.472.4+0.9
11 Virginia32151747%64.866.8-2.0
12 Notre Dame33151845%72.672.5+0.2
13 California33141942%75.676.8-1.2
14 Syracuse33141942%74.777.8-3.1
15 Virginia Tech32131941%69.273.2-4.0
16 NC State31121939%69.570.3-0.8
17 Boston College31121939%70.475.8-5.4
18 Miami (FL)3172423%74.080.6-6.6
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Big 12 conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Houston3632489%74.558.4+16.1
2 Texas Tech3527877%80.867.6+13.2
3 Brigham Young36261072%81.472.6+8.9
4 Iowa State35251071%80.368.3+12.0
5 Arizona36241267%82.272.5+9.7
6 Kansas34211362%76.169.6+6.5
7 West Virginia32191359%68.264.8+3.3
8 Baylor35201557%76.169.8+6.3
9 Cincinnati33181555%70.565.7+4.8
10 UCF Knights33171652%79.380.1-0.8
11 Utah Utes32161650%75.372.2+3.1
12 TCU32161650%67.668.7-1.2
13 Kansas State33161748%70.869.6+1.2
14 Oklahoma State32151747%72.676.5-3.9
15 Colorado34142041%69.971.5-1.6
16 Arizona State32131941%73.976.5-2.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Duke4852100
Arizona425193
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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