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Duke vs Florida State Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 19 Feb 2022
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 88-70
52-41 36-29
Position#12
Record22-4
FormWLWWW
Points / game79.8
Allowed / game65.1
Duke 🏆
USA
vs
Florida State
USA
Position#168
Record14-11
FormLLLLW
Points / game71.7
Allowed / game70.6
USANCAA
Other2021-22
Meetings · Duke v Florida State
12 Mar 2026
DUKE80
FLOR79
01 Mar 2025
DUKE100
FLOR65
31 Dec 2022
DUKE86
FLOR67
19 Feb 2022
DUKE88
FLOR70
10 Feb 2020
DUKE70
FLOR65
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Duke winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Florida State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

DukeUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Florida State
#168
L
78-79 OT
78
79
-1
A19/01
NCAA
Syracuse
#205
W
79-59
79
59
+20
H22/01
NCAA
Clemson
#190
W
71-69
71
69
+2
H26/01
NCAA
Louisville
#265
W
74-65
74
65
+9
A29/01
NCAA
Notre Dame
#72
W
57-43
57
43
+14
A01/02
NCAA
North Carolina
#41
W
87-67
87
67
+20
A05/02
NCAA
Virginia
#135
L
68-69
68
69
-1
H08/02
NCAA
Clemson
#190
W
82-64
82
64
+18
A11/02
NCAA
Boston College
#270
W
72-61
72
61
+11
A12/02
NCAA
Wake Forest
#50
W
76-74
76
74
+2
H16/02
NCAA
1H
2H
38-33
29-34
36-22
43-37
36-36
35-33
40-35
34-30
27-14
30-29
39-28
48-39
29-34
39-35
38-27
44-37
37-28
35-33
42-33
34-41
139.4Avg total
74.4Scored
65.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)79.865.1144.9+14.785%
Season at home (17)82.264.6146.8+17.688%
Season away (9)75.166.1141.2+9.078%
Last 10 (10)74.465.0139.4+9.480%
Last 5 (5)77.067.0144.0+10.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)84.081.0165.0+3.0100%
vs Similar (6)75.272.8148.0+2.367%
vs Weaker ◀ (23)80.263.2143.4+17.083%
This opponent (Florida State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Florida StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Duke
#12
W
79-78 OT
79
78
+1
H19/01
NCAA
North Florida
#293
W
86-73
86
73
+13
H20/01
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#58
W
61-60
61
60
+1
A22/01
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#298
L
61-75
61
75
-14
A27/01
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#102
L
72-85
72
85
-13
H29/01
NCAA
Clemson
#190
L
69-75
69
75
-6
A03/02
NCAA
Wake Forest
#50
L
60-68
60
68
-8
H05/02
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#301
L
51-56
51
56
-5
H10/02
NCAA
North Carolina
#41
L
74-94
74
94
-20
A12/02
NCAA
Clemson
#190
W
81-80
81
80
+1
H16/02
NCAA
1H
2H
33-38
34-29
48-38
38-35
43-19
18-41
33-44
28-31
31-39
41-46
36-45
33-30
21-25
39-43
20-21
31-35
24-62
50-32
36-40
45-40
143.8Avg total
69.4Scored
74.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)71.770.6142.3+1.056%
Season at home (15)75.366.9142.2+8.373%
Season away (10)66.376.2142.5-9.930%
Last 10 (10)69.474.4143.8-5.040%
Last 5 (5)67.074.6141.6-7.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)68.077.0145.0-9.042%
vs Similar (16)73.866.1139.9+7.869%
vs Weaker (2)66.057.0123.0+9.050%
This opponent (Duke) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-9-4+0+4+91st half1st half: +7.2+7.21st half: -4.6-4.62nd half2nd half: +2.3+2.32nd half: -0.5-0.5
-9-4+0+4+91st half1st half: +7.2+7.21st half: -4.6-4.62nd half2nd half: +2.3+2.32nd half: -0.5-0.5
DukeFlorida State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
DukeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Florida State
#168
W
38-33
38
33
+5
A19/01
NCAA
Syracuse
#205
W
36-22
36
22
+14
H22/01
NCAA
Clemson
#190
D
36-36
36
36
+0
H26/01
NCAA
Louisville
#265
W
40-35
40
35
+5
A29/01
NCAA
Notre Dame
#72
W
27-14
27
14
+13
A01/02
NCAA
North Carolina
#41
W
39-28
39
28
+11
A05/02
NCAA
Virginia
#135
L
29-34
29
34
-5
H08/02
NCAA
Clemson
#190
W
38-27
38
27
+11
A11/02
NCAA
Boston College
#270
W
37-28
37
28
+9
A12/02
NCAA
Wake Forest
#50
W
42-33
42
33
+9
H16/02
NCAA
65.2Avg total
36.2Scored
29.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.630.769.3+7.983%-
Last 30 at home (18)40.330.871.1+9.678%-
Last 30 away (12)36.030.766.7+5.392%-
Last 10 (10)36.229.065.2+7.280%-
Last 5 (5)37.030.067.0+7.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)45.042.087.0+3.0100%-
vs Similar (6)34.333.267.5+1.283%-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)39.429.669.0+9.883%-
This opponent (Florida State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Florida StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Duke
#12
L
33-38
33
38
-5
H19/01
NCAA
North Florida
#293
W
48-38
48
38
+10
H20/01
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#58
W
43-19
43
19
+24
A22/01
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#298
L
33-44
33
44
-11
A27/01
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#102
L
31-39
31
39
-8
H29/01
NCAA
Clemson
#190
L
36-45
36
45
-9
A03/02
NCAA
Wake Forest
#50
L
21-25
21
25
-4
H05/02
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#301
L
20-21
20
21
-1
H10/02
NCAA
North Carolina
#41
L
24-62
24
62
-38
A12/02
NCAA
Clemson
#190
L
36-40
36
40
-4
H16/02
NCAA
69.6Avg total
32.5Scored
37.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.933.066.9+0.953%-
Last 30 at home (19)34.829.964.8+4.963%-
Last 30 away (11)32.438.370.6-5.936%-
Last 10 (10)32.537.169.6-4.620%-
Last 5 (5)27.438.666.0-11.20%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)31.136.968.0-5.825%-
vs Similar (16)36.331.467.8+4.975%-
vs Weaker (2)32.022.054.0+10.050%-
This opponent (Duke) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Duke wins
1
Florida State wins
DateGameScore
19/01/22Florida State v Duke79-78 OT
11/02/20Duke v Florida State70-65
Dukelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/02/22HWake Forest76-74
12/02/22ABoston College72-61
11/02/22AClemson82-64
08/02/22HVirginia68-69
05/02/22ANorth Carolina87-67
01/02/22ANotre Dame57-43
29/01/22ALouisville74-65
26/01/22HClemson71-69
22/01/22HSyracuse79-59
19/01/22AFlorida State78-79 OT
Florida Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/02/22HClemson81-80
12/02/22ANorth Carolina74-94
10/02/22HPittsburgh51-56
05/02/22HWake Forest60-68
03/02/22AClemson69-75
29/01/22HVirginia Tech72-85
27/01/22AGeorgia Tech61-75
22/01/22AMiami (FL)61-60
20/01/22HNorth Florida86-73
19/01/22HDuke79-78 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Duke
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW85%
HomeWWWLW88%
AwayWWWWW78%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games26179
Win %85%88%78%
Points / game79.882.275.1
Allowed / game65.164.666.1
Point differential+14.7+17.6+9.0
Avg total144.9146.8141.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+65%71%56%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)50% (4)33% (3)
Overtime %4%0%11%
Florida State
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW56%
HomeWLLLW73%
AwayWWLLL30%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251510
Win %56%73%30%
Points / game71.775.366.3
Allowed / game70.666.976.2
Point differential+1.0+8.3-9.9
Avg total142.3142.2142.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won73% (11)71% (7)75% (4)
Overtime %8%13%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Duke2622485%79.865.1+14.7
2 Wake Forest2821775%78.569.0+9.5
3 SMU Mustangs2418675%75.067.6+7.4
4 North Carolina2719870%77.872.4+5.4
5 Notre Dame2719870%71.266.6+4.6
6 Miami (FL)2719870%74.571.0+3.4
7 Virginia27171063%63.460.1+3.3
8 Virginia Tech27161159%70.161.7+8.4
9 Stanford26151158%67.568.3-0.7
10 Florida State25141156%71.770.6+1.0
11 Syracuse26141254%77.473.8+3.5
12 Louisville26121446%68.369.3-1.0
13 Clemson27121544%71.969.1+2.8
14 NC State27111641%73.574.3-0.8
15 California27111641%64.566.3-1.8
16 Pittsburgh27111641%62.566.5-4.0
17 Georgia Tech2591636%68.470.2-1.9
18 Boston College2591636%65.868.2-2.4
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Duke523688
Florida State412970
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