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Duke vs Florida State Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 31 Dec 2022
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 86-67
42-25 44-42
Position#39
Record10-3
FormWWWWL
Points / game72.9
Allowed / game60.4
Duke 🏆
USA
vs
Florida State
USA
Position#342
Record4-10
FormLWWLW
Points / game68.7
Allowed / game73.2
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Meetings · Duke v Florida State
12 Mar 2026
DUKE80
FLOR79
01 Mar 2025
DUKE100
FLOR65
31 Dec 2022
DUKE86
FLOR67
19 Feb 2022
DUKE88
FLOR70
10 Feb 2020
DUKE70
FLOR65
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Duke winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Florida State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

DukeUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Delaware
#201
W
92-58
92
58
+34
H19/11
NCAA
Bellarmine
#240
W
74-57
74
57
+17
H22/11
NCAA
Oregon State
#307
W
54-51
54
51
+3
A24/11
NCAA
Xavier
#46
W
71-64
71
64
+7
A25/11
NCAA
Purdue
#14
L
56-75
56
75
-19
A27/11
NCAA
Ohio State
#235
W
81-72
81
72
+9
H01/12
NCAA
Boston College
#221
W
75-59
75
59
+16
H03/12
NCAA
Iowa
#134
W
74-62
74
62
+12
H07/12
NCAA
Md.-East. Shore
#130
W
82-55
82
55
+27
H10/12
NCAA
Wake Forest
#142
L
70-81
70
81
-11
A20/12
NCAA
1H
2H
42-36
50-22
41-33
33-24
29-27
25-24
40-34
31-30
35-46
21-29
39-29
42-43
35-23
40-36
37-31
37-31
39-21
43-34
30-39
40-42
136.3Avg total
72.9Scored
63.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)72.960.4133.3+12.577%
Season at home (8)79.155.6134.8+23.5100%
Season away (5)63.068.0131.0-5.040%
Last 10 (10)72.963.4136.3+9.580%
Last 5 (5)76.465.8142.2+10.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (6)69.869.5139.3+0.367%
vs Weaker ◀ (24)78.166.1144.2+12.079%
This opponent (Florida State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Florida StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mercer
#261
W
81-72
81
72
+9
H21/11
NCAA
Siena
#179
L
63-80
63
80
-17
A24/11
NCAA
Stanford
#260
L
60-70
60
70
-10
A25/11
NCAA
Nebraska
#213
L
58-75
58
75
-17
A28/11
NCAA
Purdue
#14
L
69-79
69
79
-10
H01/12
NCAA
Virginia
#36
L
57-62
57
62
-5
A03/12
NCAA
Louisville
#367
W
75-53
75
53
+22
H10/12
NCAA
USC Upstate
#190
W
80-63
80
63
+17
H14/12
NCAA
St. John's (N.Y.)
#185
L
79-93
79
93
-14
H17/12
NCAA
Notre Dame
#302
W
73-72
73
72
+1
H22/12
NCAA
1H
2H
42-34
39-38
26-43
37-37
27-21
33-49
26-33
32-42
32-34
37-45
22-21
35-41
36-24
39-29
38-31
42-32
37-48
42-45
38-39
35-33
141.4Avg total
69.5Scored
71.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)68.773.2141.9-4.529%
Season at home (9)74.474.4148.9+0.044%
Season away (5)58.471.0129.4-12.60%
Last 10 (10)69.571.9141.4-2.440%
Last 5 (5)72.868.6141.4+4.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)69.475.9145.3-6.532%
vs Similar (6)68.775.7144.3-7.050%
vs Weaker (2)63.054.5117.5+8.550%
This opponent (Duke) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +4.8+4.81st half: -0.4-0.42nd half2nd half: +4.7+4.72nd half: -2.0-2.0
-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +4.8+4.81st half: -0.4-0.42nd half2nd half: +4.7+4.72nd half: -2.0-2.0
DukeFlorida State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
DukeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Delaware
#201
W
42-36
42
36
+6
H19/11
NCAA
Bellarmine
#240
W
41-33
41
33
+8
H22/11
NCAA
Oregon State
#307
W
29-27
29
27
+2
A24/11
NCAA
Xavier
#46
W
40-34
40
34
+6
A25/11
NCAA
Purdue
#14
L
35-46
35
46
-11
A27/11
NCAA
Ohio State
#235
W
39-29
39
29
+10
H01/12
NCAA
Boston College
#221
W
35-23
35
23
+12
H03/12
NCAA
Iowa
#134
W
37-31
37
31
+6
H07/12
NCAA
Md.-East. Shore
#130
W
39-21
39
21
+18
H10/12
NCAA
Wake Forest
#142
L
30-39
30
39
-9
A20/12
NCAA
68.6Avg total
36.7Scored
31.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.831.969.7+6.073%-
Last 30 at home (20)39.032.271.2+6.875%-
Last 30 away (10)35.531.266.7+4.370%-
Last 10 (10)36.731.968.6+4.880%-
Last 5 (5)36.028.664.6+7.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (6)35.335.070.3+0.350%-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)38.531.169.5+7.479%-
This opponent (Florida State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Florida StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mercer
#261
W
42-34
42
34
+8
H21/11
NCAA
Siena
#179
L
26-43
26
43
-17
A24/11
NCAA
Stanford
#260
W
27-21
27
21
+6
A25/11
NCAA
Nebraska
#213
L
26-33
26
33
-7
A28/11
NCAA
Purdue
#14
L
32-34
32
34
-2
H01/12
NCAA
Virginia
#36
W
22-21
22
21
+1
A03/12
NCAA
Louisville
#367
W
36-24
36
24
+12
H10/12
NCAA
USC Upstate
#190
W
38-31
38
31
+7
H14/12
NCAA
St. John's (N.Y.)
#185
L
37-48
37
48
-11
H17/12
NCAA
Notre Dame
#302
L
38-39
38
39
-1
H22/12
NCAA
65.2Avg total
32.4Scored
32.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.936.269.1-3.330%-
Last 30 at home (18)34.935.670.5-0.733%-
Last 30 away (12)30.037.167.1-7.125%-
Last 10 (10)32.432.865.2-0.450%-
Last 5 (5)34.232.666.8+1.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)33.036.869.8-3.827%-
vs Similar (6)34.338.773.0-4.333%-
vs Weaker (2)28.022.550.5+5.550%-
This opponent (Duke) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Duke wins
1
Florida State wins
DateGameScore
19/02/22Duke v Florida State88-70
19/01/22Florida State v Duke79-78 OT
11/02/20Duke v Florida State70-65
Dukelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/12/22AWake Forest70-81
10/12/22HMd.-East. Shore82-55
07/12/22HIowa74-62
03/12/22HBoston College75-59
01/12/22HOhio State81-72
27/11/22APurdue56-75
25/11/22AXavier71-64
24/11/22AOregon State54-51
22/11/22HBellarmine74-57
19/11/22HDelaware92-58
Florida Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/12/22HNotre Dame73-72
17/12/22HSt. John's (N.Y.)79-93
14/12/22HUSC Upstate80-63
10/12/22HLouisville75-53
03/12/22AVirginia57-62
01/12/22HPurdue69-79
28/11/22ANebraska58-75
25/11/22AStanford60-70
24/11/22ASiena63-80
21/11/22HMercer81-72

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Duke
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL77%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLWWLL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1385
Win %77%100%40%
Points / game72.979.163.0
Allowed / game60.455.668.0
Point differential+12.5+23.5-5.0
Avg total133.3134.8131.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+54%88%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Florida State
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW29%
HomeLWWLW44%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1495
Win %29%44%0%
Points / game68.774.458.4
Allowed / game73.274.471.0
Point differential-4.5+0.0-12.6
Avg total141.9148.9129.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%22%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Virginia1210283%70.258.3+11.8
2 Virginia Tech1411379%75.463.9+11.4
3 Clemson1411379%75.966.3+9.6
4 Duke1310377%72.960.4+12.5
5 NC State1511473%79.568.3+11.3
6 Pittsburgh1410471%75.867.9+7.9
7 Wake Forest1410471%75.671.1+4.6
8 Miami (FL)2719870%77.271.1+6.1
9 North Carolina149564%80.974.6+6.3
10 Syracuse138562%75.369.4+5.9
11 Notre Dame148657%70.168.4+1.7
12 Georgia Tech137654%71.268.6+2.6
13 Boston College137654%64.366.9-2.6
14 Stanford135838%68.364.5+3.8
15 SMU Mustangs135838%68.270.3-2.1
16 Florida State1441029%68.773.2-4.5
17 Louisville1421214%61.574.4-12.9
18 California141137%58.065.7-7.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Duke424486
Florida State254267
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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